Arabian Sea Low Strengthens To A Well Marked Low Pressure

Current Weather Conditions on 9th June 2014 @ 5.00 pm.

Yesterday’s Low Pressure over the East Central Arabian Sea strengthened further to a Well Marked Low Pressure during the night and was located at 12.7°N & 67.8°E with 25 knots winds and 1002 Mb. Central Pressure.  This System is being monitored by NRL as 95A.INVEST. and at 0700z today 9th June 2014 wind speed was 25 knots with Central Pressure of 1004 Mb. location 12.9°N & 67.0°E.

NRL Satellite IR Image Showing 95A.INVEST (Well Marked Low Pressure )

on 9th June 2014 @ 1100 UTC ( 4.30 pm. IST)

95AINVEST.25kts-1004mb-129N-670E.100pc_1100z

Monsoon Watch:

Southwest monsoon has further advanced into remaining parts of south Arabian sea and Kerala, some parts of central Arabian sea, most parts of coastal Karnataka, some more parts of Tamilnadu, remaining parts of southwest Bay of Bengal and some more parts of westcentral Bay of Bengal.

The northern limit of monsoon passes through 15.0°N/60.0°E, 15.0°N/70.0°E, Karwar, Agumbe, Medikeri, Chennai, 16.0°N/87.0°E, 18.0°N/90.0°E and 21.0°N/92.0°E.

Conditions are favorable for further advance of southwest monsoon into some more parts of Bay of Bengal and some parts of northeastern states during next 24 hours.

IMD Map Showing Northern Limit Of Monsoon on 9th June 2014

mon-prog_090614

Forecast:

The Low Pressure System is expected to track initially mainly Northerly direction. Subsequently the System is expected to take a North Westerly direction. There are differing tracks from different forecast models. Now both GFS & ECMWF are agreeing with out come till 11th June 1200z.

Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch could get light scattered shower/rain due to nearby clouding associated with the Low Pressure on two to three days during 10th to 14th June. Updates will be given as and when warranted.

Wunderground 925 Mb. GFS Forecast Chart Valid for 11th June 2014 @ 1200 UTC based on 09th June 2014 @ 0000 UTC Forecast Run

wunderground_gfs_090614

 

Wunderground 925 Mb. ECMWF Forecast Chart Valid for 11th June 2014 @ 1200 UTC based on 09th June 2014 @ 0000 UTC Forecast Run

wunderground_090614_ecmwf

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 9th June 2014

akila_090614_150