Current Weather Conditions on 31st May 2014 @ 12.30 pm.

As had been forecast on 26th May that there would be a round of very hot weather over North India and Vidarbha, and Saurashtra Gujarat & Kutch, the Maximum Temperature over Hot Spots of India have gone up and are in the range from 44 C to 47 C. In Gujarat they were ranging from 43 to 45 C between 26th to 28th May and subsequently a marginal drop in Maximum Temperature took place between 29th to 31st May. The Maximum at Rajkot was 42.8 C, Ahmedabad was 43.2 C and Bhuj was 39.5 C against normal maximum of 40 C, 41 C. and 39 C. respectively for these Centers.

The Monsoon has not yet set in over Kerala and is expected to be delayed by 5 days from normal onset.

IMD Map showing the Northern Limit of Monsoon Till 31st May 2014

 Southern Oscillation Index:

The Southern Oscillation Index, or SOI, gives an indication of the development and intensity of El Niño or La Niña events in the Pacific Ocean. The SOI is calculated using the pressure differences between Tahiti and Darwin. Sustained negative values of the SOI below −8 often indicate El Niño episodes. These negative values are usually accompanied by sustained warming of the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, a decrease in the strength of the Pacific Trade Winds.

Positive values of the SOI above +8 are typical of a La Niña episode. They are associated with stronger Pacific trade winds and warmer sea temperatures to the north of Australia. Waters in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean become cooler during this time.

Latest Monthly SOI for 31st May 2014 is  +4.5 as per Government of Queensland, Australia. The SOI is termed as consistently positive since it has been positive in April too.

Forecast: 1st to 6th June 2014:

Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch:

Marginal relief from very hot weather on 1st June, however, the Maximum temperature will start rising from 2nd June. Heat Wave condition is forecast during 3rd June to 5th June over some pockets of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat when the Maximum Temperature range will be between 43 C to 46 C over Hot Spots of these regions. The Barometric Pressure is expected to drop by 5 to 6 millibar compared to today and evening Barometri Pressure will go down to 998 millibar in Rajkot.

North & Central India:

The Maximum temperature will range between 45 C. to 48 C. over the Hot Spots of Rajasthan, Haryana, New Delhi, U.P., M.P., Vidarbha,  and adjoining areas especially during 3rd June to 5th June.

 

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 31st May 2014