Weather Forecast In Akila Daily & Sanj Samachar Daily Dated 3rd August 2015

Current Weather Conditions on 3rd August 2015

For English version refer to yesterday’s post here  Forecast Dated 2nd August 2015

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 3rd August 2015

 

akila_030815

 

 

Weather Forecast In Sanj Samachar Daily Dated 3rd August 2015

ચોમાસું ધરી બાબતે સુધારીને આમ વાંચવું:

” ચોમાસું ધરી નોર્મલ કરતા થોડી ઊત્તર બાજુ સરકી ગઈ છે. જે પાકિસ્તાન વાળા લો પ્રેસર થઇ ને કર્નલ લખનઉ થઇ ને જારખંડ વાળી સીસ્ટમ અને ત્યાં થી ઊત્તર પૂર્વ બંગાળની ખાડી સુધી લંબાય છે.”

 Sanjsamachar_030815

 

 

Bay Of Bengal System Now A Depression Over Jharkhand & West Bengal – 2nd August 2015

Current Weather Conditions on 2nd August 2015 @ 8.00 am. IST

The Cyclonic Storm “KOMEN” has weakened two notches and is  Depression now over Jharkhand and adjoing West Bengal. It would move nearly Westwards and weaken into a Well Marked Low Pressure area gradually.

The Low Pressure area over Central Pakistan and adjoining Northwest Rajasthan and Punjab persists. Associated Cyclonic Circulation extends upto 3.6 kms. above sea level.

The Axis of the Monsoon trough at mean sea level now passes through Centre of the Low Pressure area over Central Pakistan and adjoining Northwest Rajasthan and Punjab, Ferozepur, Karnal, Lucknow, Center of the Depression over Jharkhand, and thence Southeastwards to North East Bay of Bengal. It extends upto 3.6 kms above sea level.

The Western Disturbance as a Cyclonic Circulation extending upto 3.1 kms above sea level over North Pakistan and adjoining Afghanistan persists with the trough aloft with its Axis at 5.8 kms above sea level roughly along Long.67°E to the North of Lat.28°N. System would move East-Northeastwards.

The Depression System from Jharkhand and adjoining West Bengal is not expected to track further West from Madhya Pradesh as can be seen from the Wunderground GFS Forecast model and COLA/IGES Precipitation Maps Below.

The clouding will be to the West & Southwest of the System so around 5th/6th August the clouding will be vicinity of Gujarat when the System is over Madhya Pradesh.

Wunderground 925 hPa Chart showing the position of the Depression System on 2nd August 2015 @ 1200 UTC ( 05.30 pm. IST )

 

wunderground_925_020815_020815_1200z

Wunderground 925 hPa Chart showing the position of the Depression System on 6th August 2015 @ 1200 UTC ( 05.30 pm. IST )

wunderground_925_020815_060815_1200z

COLA/IGES Forecast precipitation Map Valid 00 UTC on 6th August 2015
(5th August )

india3.96hr_020815

COLA/IGES Forecast precipitation Map Valid 00 UTC on 7th August 2015
( for 6th August)

india3.120hr_020815

Forecast: 2nd August to 7th August 2015

Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat

Partly cloudy weather and only isolates scattered showers/light rain on some days and scattered showers/light rain on few days. Winds will vary from 20 to 40 kms/hour on most days, much lower than a few days ago. Kutch and adjoining areas will have higher wind speeds compared to rest of Gujarat.

 

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર કચ્છ ગુજરાત:

તારીખ 2 ઓગસ્ટ થી 7 ઓગસ્ટ 2015

અંશત વાદળ છું વાતાવરણ. છુટ્ટા છવાયા ઝાપટા અથવા કોઈ કોઈ સ્થળે હળવો વરસાદ. હાલ કોઈ મોટો વરસાદ નથી. પવન 20 થી 40 કિમી જેમાં વધુ પવનો કચ્છ બાજુ અને લાગુ વિસ્તારો માં.

 

 

Cyclonic Storm “KOMEN” Over Northeast Bay Of Bengal @ 00 UTC 30th July 2015 – Initially Tracking Towards Bangladesh & Then Forecast To Track Westwards

Current Weather Conditions on 30th July 2015 @ 11.00 am. IST

 

Weather Forecast In Akila  Daily Dated 30th July 2015

 

akila_300715

Note: 1 knot =1.852 Kms.

THE DEEP DEPRESSION OVER NORTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL MOVED NORTHWESTWARDS DURING PAST 9 HRS, INTENSIFIED INTO A CYCLONIC STORM, KOMEN AND LAY CENTRED AT 0000 UTC OF TODAY, THE 30 JULY 2015 NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 0N AND LONGITUDE 91.2 0 E, 95 KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CHITTAGONG (41977) AND 300 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KOLKATTA( 42907). THE SYSTEM WOULD MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS AND CROSS BANGLADESH COAST BETWEEN LONGITUDE 90.5°E AND 91.0°E BY AFTERNOON OF TODAY THE 30TH JULY 2015. AFTER LANDFALL, IT WOULD MOVE WEST NORTHWESTWARDS AND WEAKEN GRADUALLY. ACCORDING TO SATELLITE IMAGERIES, INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM IS T 2.5. ASSOCIATED BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LIE OVER NORTH BAY OF BENGAL NORTH OF LATITUDE 15.0°N. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WIND SPEED IS ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE. THE STATE OF THE SEA IS VERY ROUGH. THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ABOUT 986 HPA. THE WINDS ARE STRONGER IN SOUTHERN SECTOR (30-35 KNOTS) UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SOUTHWEST MONSOON AND ARE ABOUT 25-30 KNOTS IN NORTHERN SECTOR. THE DWR OBSERVATIONS FROM KHEPUPARA AND COX’S BAZAR (BANGLADESH) INDICATE WELL DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH STRONG BANDING FEATURE IN SOUTHERN SEMI CIRCLE SIMILAR TO THE FEATURES OBSERVED THROUGH SATELLITE. THERE IS WEAK BANDING IN THE NORTHERN SECTOR.

The above is from Tropical Cyclone Advisory Bulletin 30th July 2015  0300 UTC for conditions of 00 UTC.

Click the link for full details RSMC-New Delhi Bulletin

Here is a screenshot of RSMC Observed-Forecast Track For Current System “KOMEN” on 30th July 2015

RSMC_300715

NRL Water IR Image of 02B.TWO on 30th July 2015 @ 0500 UTC
( Cyclonic Storm “KOMEN”)

 .02BTWO.40kts-993mb-219N-912E.100pc_ir

JTWC Tropical Cyclone 02B.TWO Warning Number 5 Dated 30th July @ 0300 UTC

 JTWC Location 21.9 N & 91.2 E. with 40 knots Winds ( based on 1 minute average basis) & 993 mb. Central Pressure

io0215_5_300715

Caution:
Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.

સાવચેતી:
સ્ટોર્મ કે હવામાન અંગે ની માહિતી માટે ભારતીય હવામાન ખાતા/ગવર્મેન્ટ ના બુલેટીન/સુચના પર નિર્ભર રહેવું.

JTWC TC 02B.TWO Warning Number 3 @ 1500 UTC – North East Bay Of Bengal Deep Depression As Per RSMC Bulletin @1500 UTC On 29th July 2015

Current Weather Conditions on 29th July 2015 @ 9.00 pm. IST

Note: 1 knot =1.852 Kms.

NRL Water Vapor Image of 02B.TWO on 29th July 2015 @ 1530 UTC

02BTWO.35kts-994mb-214N-912E.100pc_vapor

REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

See details of 29th July 2015 1500 UTC Outlook for conditions of 1200 UTC

click the link  RSMC-New Delhi Outlook

JTWC Tropical Cyclone 02B.TWO Warning Number 3 Dated 29th July @ 1500 UTC

 JTWC Location 21.4 N & 91.2 E. with 35 knots Winds ( based on 1 minute average basis) & 994 mb. Central Pressure

io0215_3_290715

Caution:
Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.

સાવચેતી:
સ્ટોર્મ કે હવામાન અંગે ની માહિતી માટે ભારતીય હવામાન ખાતા/ગવર્મેન્ટ ના બુલેટીન/સુચના પર નિર્ભર રહેવું.

Rajasthan System Weakened & Moving North Northeastwards – Deep Depression Over Northeast Bay Of Bengal

Current Weather Conditions on 29th July 2015 @ 2.30 pm.

 

The Deep Depression over Southwest Rajasthan & adjoining Gujarat moved North Northeastwards and has weakened into a depression and lay centered at 0830 hours IST of today, the 29th July 2015 over West Rajasthan & neighborhood near Lat. 27.2°N and Long. 73.0°E, about 50 km South Southwest of Bikaner (Rajasthan). It would move slowly North Northeastwards and weaken into a well marked low pressure area during next 24 hours.

There is a Deep Depression over Northeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining coastal areas of Bangladesh whuch remained practically stationary and lay centred at 0830 hours IST of today, the 29th July, 2015 near Lat. 21.0°N and Long. 91.0°E, 160 km South Southwest of Chittagong (Bangladesh) and about 300 km Southeast of Kolkata. The system would move nearly Northward and cross Bangladesh Coast between Long. 90.5°E and 91.5°E around 30th forenoon and it would move West Northwestwards thereafter.

The Axis of Monsoon trough passes through Center of Depression over West Rajasthan & neighborhood, Bareilly, Gorakhpur, Bhagalpur and thence Southeastwards to Center of Deep Depression over Northeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining coastal areas of Bangladesh and extends upto 5.8 km above mean sea level.

The Western Disturbance as an upper air trough in mid tropospheric westerlies roughly along Longitude 64.0°E & north of Latitude 28.0°N.

The off-shore trough at mean sea level from Karnataka coast to Kerala coast has become less marked.

JTWC has issued a Tropical Cyclone Warning for the Bay Of Bengal System (Deep Depression as per IMD)

JTWC Tropical Cyclone 02B.TWO Warning Number 2 Dated 29th July 900 UTC

io0215_2_290715

 

WU-CIMSS Visible Satellite Image with Forecast Track for 02.TWO

( BOB Deep Depression )

BOB_2_Track

 

 

Forecast: 29th July  to 2nd August 2015

Saurashtra & Kutch:
Scattered showers/ light rain during the forecast period.

Rest of Gujarat:
Today the 29th July there will be rain for areas of Gujarat adjoining Rajasthan and West Madhya Pradesh. Rain amounts to tapper off from tomorrow.

Bay of Bengal System will not be in the vicinity of Saurashtra Kutch or Gujarat up to the forecast period (2nd August )

 

Caution: Refer/Rely on IMD/RSMC Advisories/Bulletins about heavy rain or Storms over various areas.

બંગાળી ખાડી વાળી સીસ્ટમ 2 ઓગસ્ટ સુધી ગુજરાત થી દૂર હશે.

સૂચના: ગુજરાત રાજ્ય ના ઘણા વિસ્તારો માં ભારે વરસાદ ના સંજોગો હોઈ સાવચેતી રાખવી. સરકારી સુચના તેમજ બુલેટીન ઉપર મદાર રાખવો.

 

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 29th July 2015

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