Temperature Expected To Be Above Normal Over Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat

Current Weather Conditions on 27th November 2014 @ 10.00 am.

There is a Low Pressure over Southwest Bay Of Bengal and adjoining areas of Sri Lanka & Equatorial Indian Ocean. Cyclonic Circulation associated with this Low extends up to 2.1 Km above mean sea level.

There is a trough of Low at mean sea level over Southeast Arabian Sea and neighborhood.

IMD GFS MSL Pressure Forecast Valid 27th November 00 UTC

12hgfs_mslp_271114

For Latest Inference from INDIAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT, NEW DELHI click here…

 

The Maximum Temperature over most parts of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat have decline from 23rd November. Minimum Temperature has been near normal to 1 to 2 C above normal over most areas of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat. The Maximum Temperature has also declined but by less extent and were mostly 1 to 3 C above normal.

 

Amreli: Maximum 34.4 C is 3 C above normal & Minimum 15.7 C is 1 C above normal.

Ahmedabad: Maximum 32.7 C is 2 C above normal & Minimum 15.0 C is 1 C above normal.

Rajkot: Maximum 33.5 C is 1 C above normal & Minimum 17.0 C is 1 C above normal.

 Naliya: Maximum 33.0 C is 2 C above normal & Minimum 16.3 C is 3 C above normal.

Bhuj: Maximum 34.4 C is 3 C above normal & Minimum 18.0 C is 7 C above normal.

 

Note: There is some error in IMD’s consideration of Normal Temperature for Bhuj. IMD’s Normal Temperature for Bhuj is very much below that of Naliya for this time of the year.

 

The Weekly temperature variation charts for various Cities are given below:

 

Weekly Temperature Variation for Amreli Till 27th November 2014

Amreli_271114

Weekly Temperature Variation for Ahmedabad Till 27th November 2014

 

Ahmedabad_27114

 

Weekly Temperature Variation for Rajkot Till 27th November 2014

 

Rajkot_271114

Weekly Temperature Variation for Naliya Till 27th November 2014

Naliya_27114

 

Forecast: 27th November to 2nd December 2014

 

The Maximum is expected to be 2 to 3 C above normal during most of the forecast days. The Minimum Temperature is expected to increase during 29th November to 1 st December and could be 2 to 4 C above normal. Rest of the forecast period the Minimum will be near normal to 1 to 2 C above normal during the forecast period.

South India: 27th November to 2nd December 2014

Due to the effects of the Low Pressure over Southwest Bay Of Bengal, Tamilnadu & Kerala will receive heavy rain amounting to 70 mm to 150 mm. during the forecast period. Chennai expected to get rain mainly on 29th to 1st December.

 

તારીખ ૨૭ નવેમ્બર થી ૨ ડીસેમ્બર:

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર કચ્છ અને ગુજરાત:

ન્યુનત્તમ તાપમાન નોર્મલ આસપાસ અથવા નોર્મલ થી ૧ – ૨ ડીગ્રી ઊંચું રહેશે. જોકે તારીખ ૨૯ નવેમ્બર થી ૧ લી ડીસેમ્બર દરમ્યાન ન્યુનત્તમ તાપમાન થોડું વધશે જે નોર્મલ થી ૨ થી ૪ ડીગ્રી ઊંચું રહેશે. મહત્તમ તાપમાન સમગ્ર આગાહી સમય માં નોર્મલ થી ૨ – ૩ ડીગ્રી ઊંચું રહેશે.

forecast_271114

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 27th November 2014

 

Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat Minimum Temperature Declines

Current Weather Conditions on 22nd November 2014 @ 10.30 am.

 

The Maximum Temperature over most parts of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat were 3 to 5 C above normal three to four days back. Minimum has declined over North Gujarat and most parts of Saurashtra. The Maximum Temperature has also declined but by less extent. The Maximum temperature is still above normal in some places.

 

Amreli: Maximum 33.4 C is 1 C above normal & Minimum 16.4 C is normal

Ahmedabad: Maximum 32.5 C is normal & Minimum 16.0 C is normal

Rajkot: Maximum 33.7 C is 1 C above normal & Minimum 19.3 C is 2 C above normal

 Naliya: Maximum 33.8 C is 1 C above normal & Minimum 17.3 C is 2 C above normal

Bhuj: Maximum 34.6 C is 3 C above normal & Minimum 19.8 C is 7 C above normal

 

Note: There is some error in IMD’s consideration of Normal Temperature for  Bhuj. IMD’s Normal Temperature for Bhuj is very much below that of Naliya for this time of the year.

 

The Weekly temperature variation charts for various Cities are given below:

 

Weekly Temperature Variation for Amreli Till 22nd November 2014

Amreli_221114

Weekly Temperature Variation for Ahmedabad Till 22nd November 2014

Ahmedabad_221114


 

Weekly Temperature Variation for Rajkot Till 22nd November 2014

Rajkot_221114

 

Weekly Temperature Variation for Naliya Till 22nd November 2014

 

Naliya_221114

Forecast: 22nd November to 27th November 2014

 

The Maximum as well as Minimum Temperature is expected to be near normal or slightly above normal from 22nd November to 27th November. However, the Maximum Temperature is expected to be near normal to 1 to 2 C above normal during the forecast period.

 

તારીખ ૨૨ થી ૨૭ નવેમ્બર:

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર કચ્છ અને ગુજરાત:

તારીખ ૨૨ થી ૨૭ ન્યુનતમ તાપમાન સામાન્ય આસપાસ અથવા એકાદ ડીગ્રી ઊંચું રહેશે. જયારે મહત્તમ તાપમાન નોર્મલ અથવા એક બે ડીગ્રી ઊંચું રહેશે.

 

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 22nd November 2014

akila_221114

Saurashtra & Gujarat Weather To Clear From Tomorrow – 18th November

Current Weather Conditions on 17th November 2014 @ 8.30 am.

 

Due to Upper Air instability over Saurashtra & Gujarat accompanied by high Upper air Humidity there has been un-seasonal rain over different parts of Saurashtra & Gujarat on various days during the last five days. The rainfall figures for 24 hours ending 15th November 8.30 am. & 16th November 8.30 am. are given for few places here under:

 

24 hour period ending 8.30 am. of  15th November
===============
Talala – 42 mm
Kaprada – 34 mm
Vadodara City – 25 mm
Upleta – 21 mm

24 hour period ending 8.30 am. of  16th November

=============
Vanthali – 40 mm
Sanand – 35 mm
Junagadh – 33 mm
Talala – 30 mm
Keshod – 30 mm
Mendarda – 30
Ranpur – 28 mm
Umrala – 20 mm
Vallabhipur – 10 mm
Bhesan – 10 mm
Veeraval – 9 mm
Diu – 9 mm
Jafrabad – 5 mm

 

The above rainfall figures provided by Pradeep John of  http://tamilnaduweatherman.blogspot.com/ , an Amateur Weather Forecaster popularly known as ‘Rainman’.

 

COLA/IGES Forecast Meteogram for Rajkot on 16th November 2014 @ 1200 UTC

rajkgfs_161114

The Upper Air instability is expected to decline from 18th November. CAPE is forecast to decrease and LI is also forecast to decline.

 

The Maximum as well as the Minimum Temperature over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch have been above normal during the last week. he Minimum Temperatures have been 2 to 6 C above normal over many places of the region.

Ahmedabad Maximum was 33.1 C which is normal & Minimum was 23.5 C which was 6 C above normal.

Rajkot Maximum was  34.3 C which was 1 C above normal & Minimum was 23.7 C which was +5  C above normal.

Rajkot Maximum was  36.4 C which was 4 C above normal & Minimum was 18.8 C which was +4  C above normal.

For Latest Inference from INDIAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT, NEW DELHI click here…

 

Forecast: 17th to 23rd November 2014

 

Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch

 

The Upper Air instability is expected to decline in 24 hours, so 50% chance of unseasonal rain for some parts of Saurashtra & Gujarat today the 17th November. Weather expected to be dry from 18th November on wards over the forecast regions.

 

The Maximum as well as the Minimum Temperature over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch will gradually start to decline from 20th November on wards. The Minimum Temperaure will go down by 3 to 5 C. by 23rd November.

 

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને ગુજરાત :

 

ઉપલા લેવલ ની અસ્થિરતા તેમજ ઉપલા લેવલ ના વધુ ભેજ ના પ્રમાણ ને હિસાબે તારીખ ૧૨ થી ૧૬ નવેમ્બર દરમ્યાન સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને ગુજરાત ના ભાગો માં કમોસમી વરસાદ થયેલ છે.

 

આગાહી ૧૭ થી ૨૩ નવેમ્બર ૨૦૧૪:

 

ઉપલા લેવલ ની અસ્થિરતા તેમજ ઉપલા લેવલ ના ભેજ નું પ્રમાણ ૨૪ કલાક માં ઘટવા માં છે માટે આજનો દિવસ હજુ કોઈ જગ્યાએ માવઠા ની ૫૦% શક્યતા છે.  તારીખ ૧૮ થી ઉપલા લેવલ માં સ્થિરતા આવી જશે. વાતાવરણ સુકું રહેશે. હાલ ન્યુનતમ તાપમાન ૩ થી ૬ C નોર્મલ થી ઊંચું છે. તારીખ ૨૦ થી ન્યુનતમ તાપમાન માં ઘટાડો ચાલુ થશે અને ૨૩ સુધી માં ૩ થી ૫ C નો ઘટાડો થશે.

forecast_171114

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 18th November 2014

akila_181114

Low Pressure Over Southwest Bay Of Bengal Expected To Track Westwards Over Southern Peninsula & Into Arabian Sea

Current Weather Conditions on 12th November 2014 @ 7.30 am.

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 12th November 2014

akila_121114

For Latest Inference from INDIAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT, NEW DELHI click here…

99W.INVEST monitored by JTWC had crossed over from Gulf of Thailand and into the South Andaman Sea on 9th November.  On 10th November 2014 @ 0000 UTC this System became a Low Pressure located at 9.1 N & 95.2 E. with 20 knots winds and 1006 Central Pressure. It tracked mainly West Northwest during the last two days and today at 0000 UTC of 12th November is located at Lat. 11.2 N & Long. 84.8 E with 20 knots winds and 1007 Central Pressure. The clouding associated with this System are mainly to the Northwest of the System Center and along the Tamilnadu coast.

 

NRL Satellite IR Image of 99W.INVEST
on 12th November 2014 @ 0130 UTC

99WINVEST.20kts-1007mb-112N-848E.100pc_ir

 

 

NRL Satellite Water Vapor Image of 99W.INVEST
on 12th November 2014 @ 0130 UTC

99WINVEST.20kts-1007mb-112N-848E.100pc_vapor

 

Forecast: 12th to 17th November 2014

99W.INVEST ( Low Pressure ) is expected to track over Southern Peninsula and cross over into the Arabian Sea by 13th/14th.
Tamilnadu 60 mm. to 100 mm. rainfall during the forecast period mainly on 12th/14th.

South Coastal Andhra Pradesh 40 mm. to 60 mm. rainfall during the forecast period mainly on 12th/14th

Kerala 60 mm. to 100 mm. rainfall during the forecast period mainly on 13th/14th

Coastal Karataka 50 mm. to 60 mm. rainfall during the forecast period mainly on 13th/14th.

Maharashtra, Rest of Karnataka will receive light rain on various days.

 

Saurashtra & Gujarat:

This System is not expected to come towards Saurashtra or Gujarat. However, there will be clouding over parts of Saurashtra & Gujarat from 13th to 16th November with a possibility of un-seasonal showers at Isolated places on more than one day during the forecast period.

Caution: Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.

આગાહી ૧૨ થી ૧૭ નવેમ્બર ૨૦૧૪;

થાયલેન્ડ બાજુથી એક સીસ્ટમ અંદામાન ના દરિયા માં સરકી આવેલ જે મુખ્યત્વે પશ્ચિમ તરફ ગતિ કરી બંગાળ ની ખાડી માં આવેલ અને હાલ આ લો પ્રેસર  દક્ષીણ પશ્ચિમ બંગાળ ની ખાડી માં તામીલનાડુ નજીક પોન્ચેલ છે. તેને અનૂસંગિક વાદળ સમૂહો સેન્ટર થી ઊત્તર માં તેમજ તામીલનાડુ ના કાઠા ના વિસ્તાર માં ફેલાયેલ છે. આ સીસ્ટમ દક્ષીણ ભારત ઉપર થી પાસ થઇ ને અરબી સમુદ્ર માં ૧૩/૧૪ તારીખ ના સરકી આવશે.

આગાહી સમય માં તામીલનાડુ, કેરલા માં ૬૦ થી ૧૦૦ મીમી વરસાદ પડવાની શકતા છે.
આગાહી સમય માં કોસ્ટલ આંધ્ર પ્રદેશ તેમજ કોસ્ટલ કર્નાટકા માં ૪૦ થી ૬૦ મીમી વરસાદ પડવાની શકતા છે.
મહારાષ્ટ્ર તેમજ અંદરૂની કર્નાટકા માં કટકે કટકે હળવો વરસાદ પડવાની શક્યતા છે.

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને ગુજરાત :

તારીખ ૧૩ થી ૧૬ સુધી સૌરાષ્ટ્ર તેમજ ગુજરાત માં અમૂક ભાગો માં વાદળો છવાશે. તેમજ આ સમય માં એક કે બે દિવસ કોઈ કોઈ જગ્યાએ માવઠા ની શક્યતા છે.

નોંધ: વાવાઝોડા અને આવી સીસ્ટમ માટે હવામાન ખાતા ની માહિતી ઉપર મદાર રાખવો.

forecast_121114

99W.INVEST Crosses over From Gulf Of Thailand – Now A Low Pressure In Andaman Sea

Current Weather Conditions on 10th November 2014 @ 7.30 am.

For Latest Inference from INDIAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT, NEW DELHI click here…

Latest development is that 99W.INVEST that is being monitored by JTWC  has crossed over from Gulf of Thailand and into the South Andaman Sea yesterday.  On 10th November 2014 @ 0000 UTC this System is a Low Pressure located at 9.1 N & 95.2 E. with 20 knots winds and 1006 Central Pressure. The clouding associated with this System are mainly to the North West of the System Center and is in vicinity of  Andaman & Nicobar Islands.

 

NRL Satellite IR Image of 99W.INVEST
on 10th November 2014 @ 0100 UTC

99WINVEST.20kts-1006mb-91N-952E.100pc_ir

 

NRL Satellite Water Vapor Image of 99W.INVEST
on 10th November 2014 @ 0100 UTC

 

99WINVEST.20kts-1006mb-91N-952E.100pc_vapor

Forecast: 10th to 13th November 2014

99W.INVEST is expected to strengthen further and track towards Tamilnadu Coast by 13th November. Tamilnadu expected to get rainfall from this System on 12th/13th November.

 

Caution: Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.