Saurashtra & Gujarat Weather To Clear From Tomorrow – 18th November

Current Weather Conditions on 17th November 2014 @ 8.30 am.

 

Due to Upper Air instability over Saurashtra & Gujarat accompanied by high Upper air Humidity there has been un-seasonal rain over different parts of Saurashtra & Gujarat on various days during the last five days. The rainfall figures for 24 hours ending 15th November 8.30 am. & 16th November 8.30 am. are given for few places here under:

 

24 hour period ending 8.30 am. of  15th November
===============
Talala – 42 mm
Kaprada – 34 mm
Vadodara City – 25 mm
Upleta – 21 mm

24 hour period ending 8.30 am. of  16th November

=============
Vanthali – 40 mm
Sanand – 35 mm
Junagadh – 33 mm
Talala – 30 mm
Keshod – 30 mm
Mendarda – 30
Ranpur – 28 mm
Umrala – 20 mm
Vallabhipur – 10 mm
Bhesan – 10 mm
Veeraval – 9 mm
Diu – 9 mm
Jafrabad – 5 mm

 

The above rainfall figures provided by Pradeep John of  http://tamilnaduweatherman.blogspot.com/ , an Amateur Weather Forecaster popularly known as ‘Rainman’.

 

COLA/IGES Forecast Meteogram for Rajkot on 16th November 2014 @ 1200 UTC

rajkgfs_161114

The Upper Air instability is expected to decline from 18th November. CAPE is forecast to decrease and LI is also forecast to decline.

 

The Maximum as well as the Minimum Temperature over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch have been above normal during the last week. he Minimum Temperatures have been 2 to 6 C above normal over many places of the region.

Ahmedabad Maximum was 33.1 C which is normal & Minimum was 23.5 C which was 6 C above normal.

Rajkot Maximum was  34.3 C which was 1 C above normal & Minimum was 23.7 C which was +5  C above normal.

Rajkot Maximum was  36.4 C which was 4 C above normal & Minimum was 18.8 C which was +4  C above normal.

For Latest Inference from INDIAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT, NEW DELHI click here…

 

Forecast: 17th to 23rd November 2014

 

Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch

 

The Upper Air instability is expected to decline in 24 hours, so 50% chance of unseasonal rain for some parts of Saurashtra & Gujarat today the 17th November. Weather expected to be dry from 18th November on wards over the forecast regions.

 

The Maximum as well as the Minimum Temperature over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch will gradually start to decline from 20th November on wards. The Minimum Temperaure will go down by 3 to 5 C. by 23rd November.

 

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને ગુજરાત :

 

ઉપલા લેવલ ની અસ્થિરતા તેમજ ઉપલા લેવલ ના વધુ ભેજ ના પ્રમાણ ને હિસાબે તારીખ ૧૨ થી ૧૬ નવેમ્બર દરમ્યાન સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને ગુજરાત ના ભાગો માં કમોસમી વરસાદ થયેલ છે.

 

આગાહી ૧૭ થી ૨૩ નવેમ્બર ૨૦૧૪:

 

ઉપલા લેવલ ની અસ્થિરતા તેમજ ઉપલા લેવલ ના ભેજ નું પ્રમાણ ૨૪ કલાક માં ઘટવા માં છે માટે આજનો દિવસ હજુ કોઈ જગ્યાએ માવઠા ની ૫૦% શક્યતા છે.  તારીખ ૧૮ થી ઉપલા લેવલ માં સ્થિરતા આવી જશે. વાતાવરણ સુકું રહેશે. હાલ ન્યુનતમ તાપમાન ૩ થી ૬ C નોર્મલ થી ઊંચું છે. તારીખ ૨૦ થી ન્યુનતમ તાપમાન માં ઘટાડો ચાલુ થશે અને ૨૩ સુધી માં ૩ થી ૫ C નો ઘટાડો થશે.

forecast_171114

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 18th November 2014

akila_181114

Low Pressure Over Southwest Bay Of Bengal Expected To Track Westwards Over Southern Peninsula & Into Arabian Sea

Current Weather Conditions on 12th November 2014 @ 7.30 am.

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 12th November 2014

akila_121114

For Latest Inference from INDIAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT, NEW DELHI click here…

99W.INVEST monitored by JTWC had crossed over from Gulf of Thailand and into the South Andaman Sea on 9th November.  On 10th November 2014 @ 0000 UTC this System became a Low Pressure located at 9.1 N & 95.2 E. with 20 knots winds and 1006 Central Pressure. It tracked mainly West Northwest during the last two days and today at 0000 UTC of 12th November is located at Lat. 11.2 N & Long. 84.8 E with 20 knots winds and 1007 Central Pressure. The clouding associated with this System are mainly to the Northwest of the System Center and along the Tamilnadu coast.

 

NRL Satellite IR Image of 99W.INVEST
on 12th November 2014 @ 0130 UTC

99WINVEST.20kts-1007mb-112N-848E.100pc_ir

 

 

NRL Satellite Water Vapor Image of 99W.INVEST
on 12th November 2014 @ 0130 UTC

99WINVEST.20kts-1007mb-112N-848E.100pc_vapor

 

Forecast: 12th to 17th November 2014

99W.INVEST ( Low Pressure ) is expected to track over Southern Peninsula and cross over into the Arabian Sea by 13th/14th.
Tamilnadu 60 mm. to 100 mm. rainfall during the forecast period mainly on 12th/14th.

South Coastal Andhra Pradesh 40 mm. to 60 mm. rainfall during the forecast period mainly on 12th/14th

Kerala 60 mm. to 100 mm. rainfall during the forecast period mainly on 13th/14th

Coastal Karataka 50 mm. to 60 mm. rainfall during the forecast period mainly on 13th/14th.

Maharashtra, Rest of Karnataka will receive light rain on various days.

 

Saurashtra & Gujarat:

This System is not expected to come towards Saurashtra or Gujarat. However, there will be clouding over parts of Saurashtra & Gujarat from 13th to 16th November with a possibility of un-seasonal showers at Isolated places on more than one day during the forecast period.

Caution: Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.

આગાહી ૧૨ થી ૧૭ નવેમ્બર ૨૦૧૪;

થાયલેન્ડ બાજુથી એક સીસ્ટમ અંદામાન ના દરિયા માં સરકી આવેલ જે મુખ્યત્વે પશ્ચિમ તરફ ગતિ કરી બંગાળ ની ખાડી માં આવેલ અને હાલ આ લો પ્રેસર  દક્ષીણ પશ્ચિમ બંગાળ ની ખાડી માં તામીલનાડુ નજીક પોન્ચેલ છે. તેને અનૂસંગિક વાદળ સમૂહો સેન્ટર થી ઊત્તર માં તેમજ તામીલનાડુ ના કાઠા ના વિસ્તાર માં ફેલાયેલ છે. આ સીસ્ટમ દક્ષીણ ભારત ઉપર થી પાસ થઇ ને અરબી સમુદ્ર માં ૧૩/૧૪ તારીખ ના સરકી આવશે.

આગાહી સમય માં તામીલનાડુ, કેરલા માં ૬૦ થી ૧૦૦ મીમી વરસાદ પડવાની શકતા છે.
આગાહી સમય માં કોસ્ટલ આંધ્ર પ્રદેશ તેમજ કોસ્ટલ કર્નાટકા માં ૪૦ થી ૬૦ મીમી વરસાદ પડવાની શકતા છે.
મહારાષ્ટ્ર તેમજ અંદરૂની કર્નાટકા માં કટકે કટકે હળવો વરસાદ પડવાની શક્યતા છે.

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને ગુજરાત :

તારીખ ૧૩ થી ૧૬ સુધી સૌરાષ્ટ્ર તેમજ ગુજરાત માં અમૂક ભાગો માં વાદળો છવાશે. તેમજ આ સમય માં એક કે બે દિવસ કોઈ કોઈ જગ્યાએ માવઠા ની શક્યતા છે.

નોંધ: વાવાઝોડા અને આવી સીસ્ટમ માટે હવામાન ખાતા ની માહિતી ઉપર મદાર રાખવો.

forecast_121114

99W.INVEST Crosses over From Gulf Of Thailand – Now A Low Pressure In Andaman Sea

Current Weather Conditions on 10th November 2014 @ 7.30 am.

For Latest Inference from INDIAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT, NEW DELHI click here…

Latest development is that 99W.INVEST that is being monitored by JTWC  has crossed over from Gulf of Thailand and into the South Andaman Sea yesterday.  On 10th November 2014 @ 0000 UTC this System is a Low Pressure located at 9.1 N & 95.2 E. with 20 knots winds and 1006 Central Pressure. The clouding associated with this System are mainly to the North West of the System Center and is in vicinity of  Andaman & Nicobar Islands.

 

NRL Satellite IR Image of 99W.INVEST
on 10th November 2014 @ 0100 UTC

99WINVEST.20kts-1006mb-91N-952E.100pc_ir

 

NRL Satellite Water Vapor Image of 99W.INVEST
on 10th November 2014 @ 0100 UTC

 

99WINVEST.20kts-1006mb-91N-952E.100pc_vapor

Forecast: 10th to 13th November 2014

99W.INVEST is expected to strengthen further and track towards Tamilnadu Coast by 13th November. Tamilnadu expected to get rainfall from this System on 12th/13th November.

 

Caution: Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.

Depression Weakens To A Well Marked Low Pressure Over Central BOB – New System To Crossover From Gulf Of Thailand To Andaman Sea

Current Weather Conditions on 8th November 2014 @ 8.30 am.

 

Latest development is that 99W.INVEST is being monitored by JTWC and was last located just in the vicinity of Thailand in the Gulf of Thailand and tracking Westwards. The System will cross over Thailand and over to the Andaman Sea within 24 hours.

 

NRL Satellite IR Image of 99W.INVEST on 8th November 2014 @ 0230 UTC

99WINVEST.15kts-1006mb-65N-1022E.100pc_ir

NRL Satellite Water Vapor Image of 99W.INVEST on 8th November 2014 @ 0230 UTC

99WINVEST.15kts-1006mb-65N-1022E.100pc_vapor

Now for the current System being monitored in the Bay of Bengal:

For Latest Bulletin from REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI click here…

For Latest Bulletin from INDIAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT, NEW DELHI click here…

JTWC Tropical Cyclone 05B.FIVE Warning Number 8

io0514_8

 

On 8th November 2014 @ 0000 UTC as per JTWC 05B.FIVE has winds speed of 25 knots and 1004 mb. Central Pressure located at Lat. 14.6°N & Long. 86.4°E

NRL IR Satellite Image of 05B.FIVE ( Well Marked Low Pressure )
Dated 8th November 2014 @ 0200 UTC

05BFIVE.25kts-1004mb-146N-864E.100pc_ir

NRL Water Vapor Satellite Image of 05B.FIVE ( Well Marked Low Pressure)

Dated 8th November 2014 @ 0200 UTC

 

05BFIVE.25kts-1004mb-146N-864E.100pc_vapor

 

Forecast: 8th to 10th November 2014

IMD had downgraded the System to a Depression yesterday and as expected the System has further weakened to a Well Marked Low Pressure. JTWC has issued final warning for this System indicating rapid weakening.  This System will dissipate at sea.

99W.INVEST is expected to develop into a strong System after crossing over to the Andaman Sea and subsequently over the Bay of Bengal.

Caution: Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.

IMD Downgrades The System To A Depression Over Central Bay Of Bengal

Current Weather Conditions on 7th November 2014 @ 9.00 pm.

For Latest Bulletin from REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI click here…

For Latest Bulletin from INDIAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT, NEW DELHI click here…

JTWC Tropical Cyclone 05B.FIVE Warning Number 7

io0514_7

 

As per JTWC 05B.FIVE has winds speed of 35 knots and 996 mb. Central Pressure located at Lat. 14.3°N & Long. 87.7°E

 TROPICAL CYCLONE 05B (FIVE) WARNING NR 007    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   071200Z --- NEAR 14.3N 87.7E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N 87.7E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   080000Z --- 14.5N 86.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS

NRL IR Satellite Image of 05B.FIVE ( Depression )
Dated 7th November 2014 @ 1400 UTC

05BFIVE.35kts-996mb-143N-877E.100pc_ir

NRL Water Vapor Satellite Image of 05B.FIVE ( Depression )

Dated 7th November 2014 @ 1400 UTC

 

05BFIVE.35kts-996mb-143N-877E.100pc_vapor

 

Forecast: 7th to 10th November 2014

The System is expected to track mainly Westerly direction next two days. IMD has downgraded the System to a Depression and expects it to weaken further during next 24 hours. JTWC expects some more strengthening of the System and subsequently weaken before landfall as it tracks towards South Coastal Andhra Pradesh on 9th November.

Caution: Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.