Weak El Nino Continues To Exist April 2015 – Update 5th May 2015

El Nino Update on 5th May 2015

Full fledged EL Nino was confirmed at the end of March 2015 when the five consecutive 3 monthly seasons had ONI index of +0.5 C or higher. February, March & April 2015 SST anomaly for Nino3.4 region is used to calculate the ONI Index for FMA as +0.6 .

As per NOAA Officially El Nino is declared as per conditions laid down and shown in ONI Index graph below:

El Niño: characterized by a positive ONI greater than or equal to +0.5ºC. La Niña: characterized by a negative ONI less than or equal to -0.5ºC. By historical standards, to be classified as a full-fledged El Niño or La Niña episode, these thresholds must be exceeded for a period of at least 5 consecutive overlapping 3-month seasons.

 

ONI_FMA_2015

 

The respective ONI Index are SON 2014= +0.5ºC and OND 2014 = +0.7ºC, NDJ 2015=0.7ºC,  DJF 2015=0.6ºC, JFM 2015=0.5ºC & FMA 2015=0.6ºC.

CPC had issued an El Nino Advisory on 5th March 2015 in anticipation that JFM 2015 ONI would be 0.5ºC or more.

CPC considers El Niño or La Niña conditions to occur when the monthly Niño3.4 OISST departures meet or exceed +/- 0.5°C along with consistent atmospheric features. These anomalies must also be forecasted to persist for 3 consecutive months.

Southern Oscillation Index

 

The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) had moved to negative zone from neutral zone during March 2015. However, the latest 30-day SOI value from BOM-Australian Government for period ending 26 April is −3.6 which denotes neutral zone.

soi30_02052015

 

SOI Monthly graph till end of April 2015 – The Long Paddock – Queensland Government. The Latest April 2015 30 days SOI was -3.1 .

2015_April

This is the only El Nino to have been declared as full fledged El nino at the end of March of any year from 1950 on wards.

 

Clouding Over Some Parts Of Saurashtra On 4th May 2015

Current Weather Conditions on 4th May 2015

Visible Satellite Image showing scattered clouding over Saurashtra
on 4th May 2015 @ 05.30 pm. IST

 
dundee_04052015

 

Wunderground Map showing scattered clouding over Saurashtra
on 4th May 2015 @ 05.30 pm. IST

 
wunderground_04052015
 

Maximum Temperature over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch has marginally declined over most centers. Rajkot at 42.8 C. Only two centers are above 43.0 C Idar at 43.8 C & Amreli at 43.3 C.

 

Hot Centers (Major) Of India

Amritsar (India) 44.6 °C
Barmer (India) 44.5 °C
Jaisalmer (India) 44.4 °C
Jodhpur (India) 44.3 °C
Bikaner (India) 43.8 °C
Ganganagar (India) 43.0 °C

The Maximum Temperature today for locations over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch were as follows :

 

4th May 2015                 Stations

 

Maximum Temperature

(oC)

 

Idar

43.8

Amreli

43.3

Rajkot

42.8

Surendranagar

42.8

Kandla (Airport)

42.8

Gandhinagar

42.5

Bhuj

42.4

Ahmedabad

42.4

Vadodara

42.4

Deesa

42

Bhavnagar

41

New Kandla 

37.9

Surat

37

Naliya

36.9

Porbandar

36.2

Mahuva

35.8

Valsad

35.4

Diu

34.5

Veraval

33.7

Okha

32.9

Dwarka

32.2

Amreli Highest Maximum Temperature In Whole Gujarat On 3rd May 2015

Current Weather Conditions on 3rd May 2015

Maximum Temperature over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch has remained high over most centers. Amreli at 44.0 C & Rajkot at 43.8 C

 

Hot Centers (Major) Of India

Barmer (India) 44.9 °C
Akola (India) 43.9 °C
Rajkot (India) 43.8 °C
Jaisalmer (India) 43.7 °C
Jodhpur (India) 43.5 °C
Nagpur Sonegaon (India) 43.0 °C

 

The Maximum Temperature today for locations over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch were as follows :

 

3rd May 2015   Stations

 

Maximum Temperature

(oC)

 

Amreli

44

Rajkot

43.8

Kandla (Airport)

43.7

Surendranagar

43.5

Idar

43.4

Deesa

43

Ahmedabad

42.6

Gandhinagar

42.6

Vadodara

42.4

Bhuj

42.2

Bhavnagar

41.4

Mahuva

40.8

Naliya

38.2

New Kandla 

37.8

Surat

36.6

Porbandar

36.2

Valsad

35.7

Kutch-Mandvi

35.6

Diu

35.4

Veraval

34

Okha

33

Dwarka

32.2

Rajkot Highest Maximum Temperature Among Major Centers Of Whole India On 2nd May 2015

Current Weather Conditions on 2nd May 2015

Maximum Temperature over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch has increased further over many centers. Rajkot & Kandala (Airport) has recorded highest Maximum temperature of 44.2 C. in Gujarat as well as India.

 

Hot Centers (Major) Of India

Rajkot (India) 44.2 °C
Barmer (India) 44.0 °C
Nagpur Sonegaon (India) 43.7 °C
Sholapur (India) 43.4 °C
Bhuj-Rudramata (India) 43.2 °C
Ahmadabad (India) 43.0 °C
Jaisalmer (India) 43.0 °C

 

The Maximum Temperature today for locations over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch were as follows :

 

2nd May 2015                 Stations

 

Maximum Temperature

(oC)

 

Rajkot

44.2

Kandla (Airport)

44.2

Surendranagar

44

Amreli

43.8

Idar

43.6

Deesa

43.6

Bhuj

43.2

Ahmedabad

43

Gandhinagar

42.5

Vadodara

42.2

Bhavnagar

41.1

New Kandla 

39.7

Naliya

37.9

Mahuva

37.4

Porbandar

36.4

Surat

36

Diu

35.7

Valsad

35.4

Kutch-Mandvi

34.1

Veraval

34

Okha

34

Dwarka

32.4

Kandla (Airport ) At 44.8 C Highest Maximum Temperature In Whole Gujarat On 1st May 2015

Current Weather Conditions on 1st May 2015

Maximum Temperature over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch has increased over many centers. Kandala (Airport) has recorded Maximum temperature of 44.8 C. and Rajkot at 43.8 C.

 

Hot Centers (Major) Of India

Nagpur Sonegaon (India) 44.3 °C
Bhuj-Rudramata (India) 44.2 °C
Rajkot (India) 43.8 °C
Nizamabad (India) 43.0 °C

 

The Maximum Temperature today for locations over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch were as follows :

 

1st May 2015                   Stations

 

Maximum Temperature

(oC)

 

Kandla (Airport)

44.8

Bhuj

44.2

Surendranagar

43.9

Rajkot

43.8

Amreli

43.6

Ahmedabad

42.5

Idar

42.4

Gandhinagar

41.8

Deesa

41.7

Vadodara

40.7

Bhavnagar

38.8

Naliya

37.1

New Kandla 

36.5

Mahuva

35.4

Porbandar

34.4

Kutch-Mandvi

34.4

Surat

34

Veraval

34

Valsad

33.9

Diu

33.7

Okha

33

Dwarka

32