Heat Wave Condions Will Prevail Over Many Parts Of Indian Sub-Continent

Current Weather Conditions on 18th May 2013 @ 10.30 am.

Yesterday at the least 28 Centers of India had Maximum Temperature above 43.0 C. Highest was Bikaner at 47.0 C. Some other centers above 45.0 C. are:
Nagpur Sonegaon (Maharashtra) 46.5 °C
Jaisalmer (Rajasthan) 46.3 °C
Kota Aerodrome (Rajasthan) 45.3 °C
Guna (M.P.) 45.1 °C
Rentachintala (A.P.) 45.1 °C
Ramgundam (A.P.) 45.0 °C

In Gujarat  Surendranagar with 44.3 C. had the highest Maximum Temperature and other  centers with Maximum Temperature above 42.0 C. were:

AHMEDABAD 43.4 °C
AMRELI 42.9 °C
RAJKOT 42.6 °C
GANDHI NAGAR 42.6 °C
IDAR 42.6 °C
DEESA 42.4 °C

As per IMD: Monsoon Watch 18th May 2013 morning

♦ Southwest monsoon has set in over some parts of south Bay of Bengal and Andaman Sea.

♦ The northern limit of monsoon passes through 5.0°N/85.0°E,10.0°N/90.0°E, Long Islands and 16.0°N/98.0°E.

♦ Conditions are favourable for further advance of Southwest monsoon over some more parts of south Bay of Bengal, remaining parts of Andaman Sea and some parts of eastcentral Bay of Bengal during next 2-3 days.

IMD – Advance Of Southwest Monsoon Map Up To 17th May 2013

Monsoon_Onset_Line_170513

Forecast: 18th to 23rd May 2013

Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat:

During the forecast period hot spots of whole Gujarat will be between 43.0 C.  to 45 C. Generally non-coastal areas of the region will be 42 to 45 C. during this period. Expected to be windy in the evening period on a daily basis.

Whole India:

Heat Wave conditions would prevail on most of the days during the forecast period over various Indian States. The following States will have at least one center where the Maximum Temperature will be above 44 C. on majority of the days during the forecast period:

Rajasthan, M.P., Maharashtra, A.P., Chhatishgarh, Orissa, Bihar, Jharkhand, U.P.,New Delhi, Punjab, Haryana.

In India as well as Pakistan on most days during the forecast period the Maximum Temperature is expected to be above 47.0 C. with some days reaching 49 to 50 C.

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 18th May 2013 @ 10.00 am.

Akila_180513

Cyclone “MAHASEN” Center Relocated Drastically – Landfall Over Banlga Desh Ongoing

Current Weather Conditions on 16th May 1.15 pm.

The Center of Cyclone “MAHASEN” has changed drastically as per NRL the location is 23N & 91E. with 45 knots winds. This location is already over Bangla Desh.

Note: Please Refer/Rely on the Official RSMC/IMD New Delhi Advisories/Warnings/Bulletins/Reports regarding this Weather System.

Cyclone “MAHASEN” To Make Landfall Today Over Bangla Desh After Sunset

Current Weather Conditions on 16th May 2013 @ 9.30 am.

Cyclonic Storm “MAHASEN” has entered the Northeast Bay Of Bengal current location 20.9 N. & 90.3 E. with winds speeds of 50 knots ( 93 Kms/hour on one minute average basis) with Central Pressure 985 Mb. The System has strengthened once again by 5 knots during the past 6 hours. The current location is about 100 Kms. South of the Balga Desh Delta and 275 Kms. Southeast of Kolkata and about 220 Kms. to Landfall on the Eastern Bangla Desh Coast. Major portion of the convective clouds associated with this System are over land spread over West Bengal and Bangala Desh Delta. However, the System Center is located on the periphery of the cloud mass. Landfall expected at around 1400 UTC (7.30 pm.) Update may be given latter today.

UW-CIMSS Image on 16th May 0330 showing Cyclone Mahasen Center with respect to convective clouds.

01B._160513_0330zGIF

Google Earth- JTWC Historical Track & Forecast Track of Cyclonic Storm Mahasen today 16th May 0000 UTC. The yellow placement marker shows the position at the time of this posting.

Mahasen_JTWC_160513_24

 JTWC TC Warning No. 24 For Mahasen

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NRL Satellite Image on 16th May 0400 UTC ( 9.30 am. IST.)

 MAHASEN_160513_ir_0400z

As per RSMC/IMD Bulletin No. BOB 01/2013/29 issued at 0830 hours IST dated 16-05-2013 the cyclonic storm MAHASEN over westcentral Bay of Bengal moved northeastwards during past 6 hours at a speed of about 25 kmph and lay centred at 0530 hours IST of 16th May 2013 near latitude 20.00  N and longitude 89.50  E over northwest Bay of Bengal, about 990 km north-northwest of Portblair, 310 km south-southeast of Kolkata, 300 km east of Paradip and 360 km southwest of Chittagong. It would move northeastwards and cross Bangladesh coast near Chittagong during night of 16th May 2013.

Under the influence of this system, Rainfall at most places with isolated heavy falls would occur over South Assam, Mizoram, Manipur, Tripura and Nagaland during next 36 hours.
Strong wind speed reaching 30-40 kmph would prevail along and off north Odisha coast and wind speed 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph would prevail along and off West Bengal coast during next 24 hours.
Squally wind speed reaching 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph would prevail over South Assam, Mizoram, Manipur, Tripura and Nagaland commencing from today, the 16thth May 2013 evening/night for subsequent 24 hours.
Fishermen along and off Andhra Pradesh, Odisha and West Bengal coasts are advised to be cautious while venturing into sea during next 36 hrs.

Note: Please Refer/Rely on the Official RSMC/IMD New Delhi Advisories/Warnings/Bulletins/Reports regarding this Weather System.

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 15th May 2013 @ 10.00 am.

(This pertains to yesterday’s forecast)

akila_150513

Cyclone “MAHASEN” Now Tracking Northwards Over Bay Of Bengal

Current Weather Conditions on 13th May 2013 @ 10.30 am.

Cyclonic Storm “MAHASEN” has again regained wind speeds of 50 knots ( 93 Kms/hour on a one minute average wind speed basis) as per JTWC today 13th May 2013 at 0000 UTC (05 .30 am. IST)  located currently at 12.0 N. and 86.7 E. with Central Pressure of 985 Mb. Pressure.

Google Earth- JTWC Historical Track & Forecast Track of Cyclonic Storm Mahasen

Mahasen_130513_0000z

 JTWC TC Warning No. 12 For Mahasen

io0113_130513_12

 

NRL Water Vapor Satellite Image on 13th May 0400 UTC ( 9.30 am. IST.)

20130513.0400.meteo7.x.wv1km.01BMAHASEN.50kts-985mb-115N-867E.100pc

As per RSMC/IMD Bulletin No. BOB 01/2013/14 (corrected) issued at 0900 hours IST Dated 13-05-2013 the cyclonic storm MAHASEN over southeast Bay of Bengal moved northwards with a speed of 10 kmph during past 6 hrs and lay centred at 0530 hrs IST of 13th May 2013 near latitude 11.50  N and longitude 86.50  E, about 750 km northwest of Car Nicobar, 650 km northeast of Trincomalee, 700 km southeast of Chennai and 1330 km south-southwest of Chittagong. It would move initially north-northwestwards during next 12 hours and thereafter northeastwards towards Bangladesh-Myanmar coast.

Under the influence of this system, rainfall at many places with isolated heavy rainfall would occur over Andaman and Nicobar Islands during next 48 hrs.
Squally winds speed reaching 40-45 kmph gusting to 60 kmph would prevail along Andaman and Nicobar Islands during next 48 hours. Sea condition will be rough to very rough along and off Andaman and Nicobar Islands during this period.
Fishermen of Andaman and Nicobar Islands are advised not to venture into the sea during next 48 hrs.

Note: Please Refer/Rely on the Official RSMC/IMD New Delhi Advisories/Warnings/Bulletins/Reports regarding this Weather System.

 

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 13th May 2013 @ 10.30 am.

Akila_130513

Cyclonic Storm “MAHASEN” Weakens Marignally

Current Weather Conditions on 12th May 2013 @ 12.30 pm.

Cyclonic Storm “MAHASEN” has weakened marginally from 50 knots as per JTWC this System today 12th May 2013 at 0630 UTC (12 .00 pm. IST) has winds of  45 knots. ( 85 Kms/hour on a one minute average wind speed basis) located at 10.0 N. and 87.3 E. with Central Pressure of 989 Mb. instead of the earlier 985 Mb. Pressure.

Google Earth- JTWC Historical Track & Forecast Track of Cyclonic Storm Mahasen

Mahasen_120513_0000z

 JTWC TC Warning No. 8 For Mahasen

io0113_130513_08

 

NRL Satellite Image on 12th May 0600 UTC ( 11.30 am. IST.)

 20130512.0600.meteo7.x.ir1km.01BMAHASEN.50kts-985mb-92N-882E.100pc

As per RSMC/IMD Bulletin No.: BOB 01/2013/10 Dated: 12-05-2013 issued at 1000 hours IST the Cyclonic Storm MAHASEN over Southeast Bay of Bengal moved slightly Northwestwards and lay centred at 0830 hrs IST of 12th May 2013 near latitude 10.00  N and longitude 87.50  E, about 600 km west-southwest of Car Nicobar, 700 km northeast of Trincomalee, 850 km southeast of Chennai and 1450 km south-southwest of Chittagong. It would move initially northwestwards during next 36 hours and recurve thereafter northeastwards towards Bangladesh-Myanmar coast. Latest satellite imagery shows disorganisation of cloud mass and weakening of the system.

Note: Please Refer/Rely on the Official RSMC/IMD New Delhi Advisories/Warnings/Bulletins/Reports regarding this Weather System.