Unseasonal Scattered Showers & Light Rain Expected Over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch 21st/22nd January 2015

Current Weather Conditions on 19th January 2015 @ 1.00 pm.

There is a Western Disturbance as an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over Afghanistan extending up to 3.1 Kms. above mean sea level with a trough aloft along 55.0°E and North of 25.0°N. Under its influence, and Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation will form over Central Pakistan & neighborhood by 20th January.

Forecast:

Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat: 21st & 22nd January

Due to the effects of Western Disturbance approaching from Pakistan and adjoining Northeast Arabian Sea, scattered showers or scattered light rain is possible on 21st January over Kutch, Saurashtra & Gujarat. Some places could get showers on 22nd January.

IMD GSF(T574) Forecast Rainfall Map Valid @ 00 UTC 22nd January 2015
based on 00 UTC 19th January 2015

72hGFS574rain

IMD GSF(T574) Forecast Rainfall Map Valid @ 00 UTC 23rd January 2015
based on 00 UTC 19th January 2015

96hGFS574rain

North India: 20th to 26th January

Due to the effect of approaching Western Disturbance from Pakistan, all adjoining areas of North India will get rain in the plains and snowfall over the hilly regions from 20th January which will increase on 21st/22nd January. Hilly regions will continue to get snowfall till 26th January.

M.P. & U.P. will also get rain during the forecast period 22nd/23rd January.

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 19th January 2015

akila_190115

 

Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch Maximum & Minimum Temperature To Increase On 19th/20th January

Current Weather Conditions on 17th January 2015 @ 11.00 am.

Minimum Temperature over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch slightly below normal and Maximum Temperature near normal. 

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર,ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ માં ન્યુનતમ તાપમાન નોર્મલ થી થોડું નીચું તથા મહત્તમ તાપમાન નોર્મલ આસપાસ. 

Minimum Temperature in Degree C. during the last 24 hours ending 8.30 am. of 17th January 2015 over various locations of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat. 

Naliya 6.4
Deesa 9.4
Bhuj 9.4
Valsad 10.1
Kandla (Airport) 10.2
Gandhinagar 10.5
Rajkot 11.8
Amreli 12
Surendranagar 12.3
Ahmedabad 13
V.V.Nagar 13
New Kandla 13.1
Bhavnagar 13.5
Vadodara 13.6
Idar 14.1
Surat 14.2
Mahuva 14.3
Diu 14.7
Porbandar 15.9
Dwarka 16.4
Veraval 17.2
Okha 17.7

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 17th January 2015
akila_170115

 

Kyte Flying Weather For Saurashtra From Afternoon & For Kutch Whole Day

Current Weather Conditions on 13th January 2015 @ 1.00 pm.

There was fog at Rajkot this morning. Maximum Temperature over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch has been 1 to 3 C. above normal and the Minimum Temperature has been near normal.

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર,ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ માં ન્યુનતમ તાપમાન નોર્મલ આસપાસ તથા મહત્તમ તાપમાન નોર્મલ થી 1 થી 3 ડીગ્રી ઊંચું. 

Minimum Temperature in Degree C. during the last 24 hours ending 8.30 am. of 12th January 2015 over various locations of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat. 

Gandhinagar 9
Valsad 9.6
Mahuva 10.9
Ahmedabad 11
Amreli 11
Deesa 11.2
Naliya 11.2
Vadodara 12
Diu 12
Rajkot 12.6
Bhavnagar 12.9
Surendranagar 13.4
Surat 13.6
Idar 14.1
Bhuj 14.4
V.V.Nagar 14.4
Porbandar 14.7
Veraval 14.8
New Kandla 15
Kandla (Airport) 15.7
Okha 18.7
Dwarka 19.2

Forecast of 14th January wind direction:

Kutch:
Kyte flying weather will prevail for the whole day in Kutch where the winds will be mainly from Northerly direction at 10 to 15 Kms./hour increasing to 15 to 25 Kms./hour later in the day when the winds will be from Northeat direction.

Saurashtra:
Wind will be from Northwest direction in the morning at 5 to 10 Kms./hour increasing to 10 to 15 Kms./hour in the afternoon when the winds will be from Northerly direction. Jamnagar, Rajkot & Morbi Districts will have higher winds compared to Amreli, Bhavnagar & Surendranagar Districts.

Ahmedabad, Vadodara & Surat:

All these cities will have lower wind speed compared to Saurashtra & Kutch. All three cities will have initially 5 Kms./hour winds which will increase to up to 10 Kms./hour in the evening. Ahmedabad will have wind from West in morning and then Northwest later in the day. Vadodara will have wind mainly from Westerly direction for most of the time. Surat will have Northerly wind which will change to Northwest during latter part of the day.

Note: The maps below shows the wind direction and the wind speed every three hours starting with morning 8.30 am. of 14th January. The wind speed color key shows the speed in Kms./hour.

Wunderground Map Showing Wind Direction and Wind Speed Over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch On 14th January 2015 @ 8.30 am. IST

Winds_140115_0300z

Wunderground Map Showing Wind Direction and Wind Speed Over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch On 14th January 2015 @11.30 am. IST

Winds_140115_0600z

Wunderground Map Showing Wind Direction and Wind Speed Over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch On 14th January 2015 @ 2.30 pm. IST

Winds_140115_0900z

Wunderground Map Showing Wind Direction and Wind Speed Over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch On 14th January 2015 @ 5.30 am. IST

Winds_140115_1200z

 

Foggy weather is expected on 13th/14th over parts of Saurashtra. Maximum Temperature will decline on 15th/16th January and will become normal to slightly below while the Minimum Temperature is expected to decline on 16th/17th January.

આગાહી:
તારીખ 13 અને 14 ના સૌરાષ્ટ્ર ના ઘણા વિસ્તારો માં ઝાકળ ની શક્યતા છે. મહત્તમ તાપમાન માં તારીખ 15/16 ના ઘટાડો થશે અને ન્યુનત્તમ તાપમાન માં તારીખ 16 /17 ના ઘટાડો થશે. જમ્મુ કાશ્મીર માં બરફ વર્ષા તારીખ 13/14 ના થશે અને ઊત્તર ભારત ના મેદાની વિસ્તારો માં છૂટો છવાયો વરસાદ થશે.

North India:

Snowfall expected over Jammu & Kashmir and some hilly regions of North India on 13th/14th January and scattered rainfall expected over plains of North India.

 

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 13th January 2015

akila_130115

Foggy Conditions Expected Over Saurashtra 13th/14th – Daytime Temperature To Decline 15th/16th Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch

Current Weather Conditions on 12th January 2015 @ 1.00 pm.

The Maximum Temperature over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch has been 1 to 3 C. above normal and the Minimum Temperature has been near normal. The lowest minimum was at Gandhinagar at 8.6 C. followed by Naliya at 9.6 C. followed by Ahmedabad at 10.0 C., Valsad at 10.1 C., Deesa at 10.2 C. & Amreli at 12.2 C.

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર,ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ માં ન્યુનતમ તાપમાન નોર્મલ આસપાસ તથા મહત્તમ તાપમાન નોર્મલ થી 1 થી 3 ડીગ્રી ઊંચું. 

Minimum Temperature in Degree C. during the last 24 hours ending 8.30 am. of 12th January 2015 over various locations of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat. 

Gandhinagar 8.6
Naliya 9.6
Ahmedabad 10
Valsad 10.1
Deesa 10.2
Amreli 10.2
Mahuva 10.3
Rajkot 11.8
Vadodara 12
Kandla (Airport) 12.3
Diu 12.6
Porbandar 12.8
Surendranagar 13.2
Bhuj 13.6
Surat 14
New Kandla 14
Bhavnagar 14.4
V.V.Nagar 14.6
Idar 15.5
Veraval 16.8
Dwarka 18.4
Okha 20.3

The Weekly Temperature variation charts for various Cities are given below:

Weekly Temperature Variation for Ahmedabad Till 12th January 2015

 

Ahmedabad_120115

 

Weekly Temperature Variation for Rajkot Till 12th January 2015

 

Rajkot_120115

Weekly Temperature Variation for Naliya Till 12th January 2015

Naliya120115

Weekly Temperature Variation for Deesa Till 12th January 2015

Amreli_120115

Forecast: 12th January to 17th January 2014

 

Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat

 

Foggy weather is expected on 13th/14th over parts of Saurashtra. Maximum Temperature will decline on 15th/16th January and will become normal to slightly below while the Minimum Temperature is expected to decline on 16th/17th January.

આગાહી:
તારીખ 13 અને 14 ના સૌરાષ્ટ્ર ના ઘણા વિસ્તારો માં ઝાકળ ની શક્યતા છે. મહત્તમ તાપમાન માં તારીખ 15/16 ના ઘટાડો થશે અને ન્યુનત્તમ તાપમાન માં તારીખ 16 /17 ના ઘટાડો થશે. જમ્મુ કાશ્મીર માં બરફ વર્ષા તારીખ 13/14 ના થશે અને ઊત્તર ભારત ના મેદાની વિસ્તારો માં છૂટો છવાયો વરસાદ થશે.

North India:

Snowfall expected over Jammu & Kashmir and some hilly regions of North India on 13th/14th January and scattered rainfall expected over plains of North India.

 

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 12th January 2015

Akila_120115

El Nino Status – 6th January 2015

6th January 2015

El Nino Status: No El Nino till end of 2014

Most of the agencies monitoring El Nino have been forecasting every month from the beginning of 2014 that an El Nino would begin in the next two months. The year 2014 has completed without a full fledged El Nino. Only two consecutive overlapping 3-month seasons SON and OND have had ONI index equal to or above +0.5ºC thresh hold till end of 2014. SON 2014= +0.5ºC and OND 2014 = +0.7ºC

El Niño: characterized by a positive ONI greater than or equal to +0.5ºC.
La Niña: characterized by a negative ONI less than or equal to -0.5ºC.
By historical standards, to be classified as a full-fledged El Niño or La Niña episode, these thresholds must be exceeded for a period of at least 5 consecutive overlapping 3-month seasons.

 

CPC_ONI_OND_2014