Current Weather Conditions On 14th June 2013 @ 1.00 pm.
The Well Marked Low Pressure area over south coastal Odisha and neighborhood now lies as a low pressure area over Chhattisgarh and neighborhood. Associated cyclonic circulation now extends up to 7.6 kms a.s.l., tilting southwestwards with height.
The trough at mean sea level now runs from West Rajasthan to East Central Bay of Bengal across East Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, the Center of the Low Pressure area and South Odisha.
The off-shore trough at mean sea level extends from South Gujarat coast to Kerala coast.
The Cyclonic Circulation lies over Northeast Arabian Sea and parts of Saurashtra & Kutch.
NCEP/GFS Bias-Corrected Precipitation Forecasts
The Monsoon is expected to be vigorous for the next two weeks as can be seen from the Indian Monsoon Index.
Forecast: 14th June to 20h June
The Low Pressure is expected to track mainly West Northwestwards over Chhatishgarh, Vidarbh and then M.P. and then Northeast Rajasthan North Gujarat border area.
From 14th to 16th June there will be scattered rain over Saurashtra & Gujarat due to combined effects of the UAC in Northeast Arabian Sea and vicinity & the Monsoon trough along the South Gujarat Coast.
16th to 20 June:
Due to the effects of the Low Pressure and associated UAC that will reach the vicinity of Gujarat, conditions will be very good for heavy to very heavy rainfall over Gujarat. Some parts of Gujarat are expected to receive extreme heavy rainfall during the forecast period of 16th to 20 June. Some parts of Saurashtra will receive heavy rainfall while other parts along with Kutch will receive moderate rainfall.
Quantum of rainfall forecast:
South Gujarat, Central Gujarat & Northeast Gujarat expected to receive 10 Cms. to 15 Cms. with isolated places getting 20 Cms. of rainfall during the forecast period.
50 % of Saurashtra and rest of Gujarat expected to receive 6 Cms. to 10 Cms. during the forecast period.
Balance 50 % of Saurashtra & Kutch expected to receive 4 Cms. to 6 Cms. during the forecast period.
Note: Further update will be given as and when warranted. This forecast does not imply that all the regions will receive rain on all the days of the forecast period. This forecast is given up to 20th June and does not imply anything about what will happen from 21th June onwards.
Weather Forecast In Akila Daily dated 14th June 2013 @ 9.30 am.
