Current Weather Conditions on 6th June 2015 @7.30 pm. IST

 

As per IMD inference issued on 6th June 2015 at 1630 IST:

The low pressure area over southeast and adjoining east central Arabian Sea persists. Associated upper air cyclonic circulation extending up to 3.6 km above mean sea level also persists. It would become well marked low pressure area during next 48 hours.

 

As per NRL: 95A.INVEST over the East Central Arabian Sea is located at 14.0°N & 68.5°E with 25 knots & 1004 mb. on 6th June 2015 @ 1230 UTC.

 

From JTWC:

 

ABIO10 PGTW 061130
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
/REISSUED/061130Z-061800ZJUN2015//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061051Z JUN 15//
AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 
67.6E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 68.6E, APPROXIMATELY 415 NM 
SOUTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY 
CONTINUES TO DEPICT A BROAD AREA OF PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION WITH 
FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A SLOWLY-CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 051433Z SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS 
FRAGMENTED CONVECTIVE BANDING AROUND THE LLCC. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS 
INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH 
LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. ADDITIONALLY, 
WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29 TO 30 DEGREES CELSIUS) AND HIGH 
OCEAN HEAT CONTENT VALUES ARE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM 
IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS 
ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE POLEWARD ORIENTED SUBTROPICAL 
RIDGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 
061100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN 1.B.(1) TO HIGH.//
NNNN

 JTWC Map Showing Forecast Track For 95A.INVEST (TCFA)

 

NRL IR Satellite Image on 6th June 2015 @ 1230 UTC ( 06.00 pm. IST)

 

NRL Water Vapor Satellite Image on 4th June 2015 @ 1330 UTC ( 07.00 pm. IST)

 

 

 

Caution:
Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.

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