Current Weather Conditions on 5th June 2015 @ 11.00 IST

Updated

 

As per IMD inference issued on 5th June 2015 at 0530 IST:

 

The trough of low over Lakshadweep area & neighborhood at mean sea level over Southeast Arabian Sea and adjoining Lakshadweep area persists.  Under its influence, a low pressure area would develop by tomorrow.

 

As per NRL: 95A.INVEST over the South East Arabian Sea is located at 10.3°N & 68.9°E with 25 knots & 1004 mb. on 5th June 2015 @ 0500 UTC.

 

From JTWC:

 

ABIO10 PGTW 041800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/041800Z-051800ZJUN2015//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.6N 68.6E,
IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 69.9E, APPROXIMATELY 490 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A
FLARING AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF DEEP BUT FRAGMENTED CONVECTION WITH
A POORLY-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE IS IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
AND GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW. NUMERIC WEATHER PREDICTION MODELS ARE
CONSISTENT IN DEVELOPING THIS AREA INTO A 35-KNOT SYSTEM IN AS EARLY
AS 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO
20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN

 

Observations: A Low Pressure area has developed over the Southeast Arabian Sea with center located at 11.5°N & 70.3°E with 35 Kms/hour wind speed and Central Pressure of 1007 mb. in the early morning of 5th June 2015.

The clouding associated with this Low Pressure are currently spread out over a very wide stretch of Arabian Sea and looks like a disorganised System. It is expected to organise within 24 hours.

As per latest update on 5th June at 0500 UTC (10.30 am. IST) the Low Pressure has organised further and is located at 10.3°N & 68.9°E with wind speeds of 45 kms/hour ( 1 minute ave. basis) and 1004 mb. Central Pressure.

NRL IR Satellite Image on 5th June 2015 @ 0500 UTC ( 10.30 am. IST)

 

NRL Water Vapor Satellite Image on 5th June 2015 @ 0500 UTC ( 10.30 pm. IST)

UW-CIMMS IR Enhanced Satellite Image on 5th June 2015 @ 0330 UTC ( 09.00 am. IST)