Low Pressure has developed over North West Bay of Bengal and adjoining areas. There is an UAC associated with this System upto Mid Troposhere.
Dense convective clouds are present over major parts of the Bay of Bengal as well as over Arabian Sea from Goa to South Gujarat. Convective clouds are present over Central India and parts of North India.
The axis of monsoon trough at mean sea level passes through Bikaner, Sikar, Agra, Kanpur, Allahabad, Daltongunj, Chaibasa, Centre of the Low Pressure area and thence Southeastwards to Eastcentral Bay of Bengal. There is an off shore trough from South Gujarat coast to Karnataka coast.
The Low Pressure is expected to track mainly West Northwestwards direction over Orissa, Chhatishgarh, Vidarbha & Madhya Pradesh vicinity during the next 24 to 36 hours and then further towards Gujarat. The position of the Low as on 26th morning is shown in 850 Mb. plot.
Forecast:
Heavy rains are forecast for all Central States, till 26th and Konkan, Goa, Gujarat till 27th.
Here are two Experimental forecast maps from GSF and GOES-5. Use with caution. Let us see which model stands more accurate.
20th to 24th 0600z July Precipitation + 24th to 27th July 600z forecast Precipitation from NOAA GFS model.
20th to 24th 0600z July Precipitation + 24th to 27th July 600z forecast Precipitation from NOAA GOES-5 model.
Forecast in Akila Daily dayed 24th July 2010 @ 11.30 am.
