95A.INVEST Over South East Arabian Sea – A Low Pressure Expected By 5th June 2015

Current Weather Conditions on 4th June 2015

 

As per IMD inference issued on 4th June 2015 at 1630 IST:

 

The trough of low over Lakshadweep area & neighborhood at mean sea level over Southeast Arabian Sea and adjoining Lakshadweep area persists.  Under its influence, a low pressure area would develop by tomorrow.

 

As per NRL: 95A.INVEST over the South East Arabian Sea is located at 10.8°N & 69.6°E with 15 knots & 1010 mb. on 4th June 2015 @ 1230 UTC.

 

From JTWC:

 

ABIO10 PGTW 031800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/031800Z-041800ZJUN2015//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 7.6N 68.6E,
APPROXIMATELY 715 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A DEEPENING, ALBEIT
DISORGANIZED, AREA OF CONVECTION WITH A POORLY-DEFINED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE IS IN AN
AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW. NUMERIC
WEATHER PREDICTION MODELS ARE CONSISTENT IN DEVELOPING THIS AREA INTO
A 35-KNOT SYSTEM IN AS EARLY AS 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN

 

Observations: A Low Pressure has not formed as yet, however, by tomorrow the 5th June 2015 a Low Pressure is expected to develop over the same area or vicinity.

 

NRL IR Satellite Image on 4th June 2015 @ 1330 UTC ( 07.00 pm. IST)

 

95AINVEST.15kts-1010mb-108N-696E.100pc_IR

NRL Water Vapor Satellite Image on 4th June 2015 @ 1330 UTC ( 07.00 pm. IST)

95AINVEST.15kts-1010mb-108N-696E.100pc_vapor

 

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deepak
deepak
05/06/2015 1:09 am

Ashok bhai. Namaskar .
Nirutya chomasu mumbai pase kyare avavani sakyata che .?

અશોક વાળા
અશોક વાળા
04/06/2015 10:11 pm

95A.invest ma jota te sistam gujarat najik thi arab sagar ma pasar thathi dekhay 6 to guj.baju fantaiava sajogo bane 8 june aspas?

mazhar
mazhar
04/06/2015 10:10 pm

Sir jasdan and aaju baju na aerya ma madhyam varsad padyo.

raj
raj
04/06/2015 9:27 pm

Sir kale adipur.kutch ma varsad no sakyta che

vipul
vipul
04/06/2015 9:18 pm

Sir
sir aa north taraf gati kartu hoy tevu lage che

K.D. Patel
K.D. Patel
04/06/2015 9:16 pm

Sir saurastra ma primonsoon varsad chhalu thayo tem kahi sakay? ane ketala divash chalu rahe?

nitin patel
04/06/2015 9:05 pm

low thase .Gujarat thi ketlu door hase

shailesh
shailesh
04/06/2015 8:56 pm

Sir gujrat ma chomasu Kay avse

ketan
ketan
04/06/2015 8:55 pm

haju ketla divso chalu rese varsad chuto chavayo ?

d.k lagariya
d.k lagariya
04/06/2015 8:51 pm

saurashtra ma varshad ni keta divsh mahol reshe?

ketan
ketan
04/06/2015 8:45 pm

haju saurastra ma varsad chalu rese

mangukiya mukesh n
04/06/2015 8:44 pm

Ashokbhai Gujaratima update aapone ! Englishma kai khabar padati nathi

mustak bariwala
mustak bariwala
04/06/2015 8:41 pm

Sir tame aasu jaravo jara gujrati ma jaravo please

raj
raj
04/06/2015 8:40 pm

sri kutch ma varsad sakytA che

Jadeja gauravsinh
Jadeja gauravsinh
04/06/2015 8:39 pm

Good showers witnessed village thebachada near aji dam 12 km far from rajkot around 10 to 12 mm

d.k lagariya
d.k lagariya
04/06/2015 8:38 pm

saurashtra ma kela diva ashar rese ?ashokbhai

raj
raj
04/06/2015 8:37 pm

sri aka low pressure vavajoda ma pair vartan thase

meet patel
meet patel
04/06/2015 8:34 pm

Sir tamara janavya pramane low presure to thase pan te cyclone ma parivrtit thase ke nai rply sir

vvainsh
vvainsh
04/06/2015 8:29 pm

Sir, cyclone storm thavani sakyata che?

vivek rabadiya
vivek rabadiya
04/06/2015 8:25 pm

Surastra ma aavse?