Current Weather Conditions on 29th August 2014 @ 6.00 pm.
The rainfall activity had improved from 23rd August on wards and light to medium rainfall has been reported from many places in Gujarat & Saurashtra.
The Low Pressure over West Central & Adjoining Northwest Bay of Bengal off North Andhra Pradesh- South Odisha coast has strengthened to a Well Marked Low Pressure. Associated Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation extends up to Mid-Tropospheric level tilting Southwards with height. It is expected to strengthen further as it tracks inland.
The Western end of Monsoon trough has shifted Southwards and now it passes through Jaisalmer, Kota, Narsinghpur, Jagdalpur, Center of Well Marked Low Pressure area and thence East Southeastwards to East Central Bay of Bengal.
The Off-shore trough at mean sea level is active from Goa coast to Kerala coast.
The Western disturbance as an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over North Pakistan & adjoining Jammu & Kashmir extends up to Mid-Tropospheric persists.
COLA/IGES GFS Precipitation Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 31st August 2014
COLA/IGES GFS Precipitation Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 1st September 2014
COLA/IGES GFS Precipitation Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 2nd September 2014
COLA/IGES SLP Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 1st September 2014
IMD MSL Pressure Forecast Map Valid for 1200 UTC 28th August 2014
IMD Daily All India Mean Rainfall (mm./day) Forecast Till 4th September 2014
The above rainfall graph shows that rainfall activity over whole India average will be very good for the week 28th August to 4th September. Overall above average rainfall expected for India for week ending 4th September.
Forecast: 29th August to 2nd September 2014
Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch :
The Well Marked Low Pressure System will track mainly West Northwestwards and strengthen further as it tracks inland towards Maharashtra and finally track towards Gujarat & vicinity.
Major portion of Saurashtra & Gujarat expected to get medium to heavy rainfall during the forecast period while some parts of Saurashtra & Gujarat would get light to medium rainfall. Kutch is also expected to get light to medium rainfall from this round.
Overall looking at the current forecast models this round of rainfall will be above average.
NOTE: On Vacation so post will be put if time permits !
સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ :
તારીખ ૨૯ ઓગસ્ટ થી ૨ સપ્ટેમ્બર ૨૦૧૪:
બંગાળની ખાડી નું વેલ માર્કડ લો પ્રેસર મુખ્યતે પશ્ચિમ ઊત્તર પશ્ચિમ તરફ ગતિ કરશે અને હજુ મજબૂત થઇ શકે છે.
સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને ગુજરાત ના મોટા ભાગ માં મધ્યમ અને ભારે વરસાદ થશે બાકી ના સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને ગુજરાત ના વિસ્તારો માં તેમજ કચ્છ માં હળવો મધ્યમ વરસાદ થશે.
વિવિદ્ધ ફોરકાસ્ટ મોડલ આધારિત માહિતી પ્રમાણે આ રાઉન્ડ માં સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ માં વરસાદ ની વધુ આશા છે.
નોંધ: રજા માં બહાર ગામ હોવા થી નવી અપડેટ માટે વેળા મોડું ગણવું તેમજ પોસ્ટ ના જવાબ પણ વેળા મોડા મળશે.
Sir, tmara chart mujab 2 tarikhe vadhre varsad batave chhe ane AMA khas jamnagar district pan tena badle varsad na padyo to Su system puri thai gai k Su plz plz ans
kothiya dines kharedi
02/09/2014 5:25 pm
Navi apdet kyare mukvanacho sar sara shamachar apo plz
anil gami
02/09/2014 4:33 pm
sir aaje vatavarn badlu hoy tevu lage se..round puro thy gyo ?
ashok
02/09/2014 4:12 pm
sir. ame a round mathi chatki gya. aje dhom tadko chhe. to have agad hu hal chhe?
vivek patel
02/09/2014 3:44 pm
Javab aapo
sandesh patel
02/09/2014 2:18 pm
Sir navi update kyare karva na
asif vadiya
02/09/2014 1:29 pm
sir lowpressr vikhy gyu hoi tevu lage che imd ma jota
pintu patel
02/09/2014 12:27 pm
sir,navu update kyare mukso?
Dr Rajesh Solanki
02/09/2014 11:35 am
Dear Ashokbhai, I have enjoyed your website and forecasts for many years. When is your weather station going to be online again? I surely miss it in this rainy season!
Sir hal low pressure kya chhe?
Saurashtra/Kutch oopar
sir, i am from kolki.have gujarat ma varsad chhe?
Sir How many days ago can we forecast for rain ? I heard that in western country it. Possible before month or half
Sar navu updat apo
Sabarkatha ma aje pan jordar varsad apdyu sanje… haji varsad na sanjog che?…
Sir today imd issued 3 number signal on sea next days what chances about rain in rajkot and saurashtra
Sir arebian sea ma saurastra ni west side ma depression thau chhe???
Morjar ta-bhanvad
2 kalak ma 4inch varsad padyo
sara samachar.
Sir, tmara chart mujab 2 tarikhe vadhre varsad batave chhe ane AMA khas jamnagar district pan tena badle varsad na padyo to Su system puri thai gai k Su plz plz ans
Navi apdet kyare mukvanacho sar sara shamachar apo plz
sir aaje vatavarn badlu hoy tevu lage se..round puro thy gyo ?
sir. ame a round mathi chatki gya. aje dhom tadko chhe. to have agad hu hal chhe?
Javab aapo
Sir navi update kyare karva na
sir lowpressr vikhy gyu hoi tevu lage che imd ma jota
sir,navu update kyare mukso?
Dear Ashokbhai, I have enjoyed your website and forecasts for many years. When is your weather station going to be online again? I surely miss it in this rainy season!
I am in U.S. currently and so weather station will remain off-line for some more time.
Forecasts will be given as and when required.
Sir, will still such heavy thunderstorm continue in Ahmedabad and surrounding areas, if yes for many days still ?
Good morning sir navi update kyare apso ? 4 thi 5 divas na havaman ni Jan karo to agal kam karvani khabar pade please sir reply
Next update kyare apo chho. Sir?
Sir rajkot and tankara. Morbi vistar ma havey rain padse ke nahi?
Sir low pressour gujarat ma pohachata saurashtra ne labh mali sake?
vadada low pressure ni agad chale
Good morning sir; Any lowpresser will develop bob Around 4/5 date?…
Sir, chart no abhyas karta a Round 6 to 7 tarikh sudhi rese evu lage 6….Tamaru su kevu 6
Janava vinanti…..
Sir IMD said that low pressure has reached mp and vidarbha and will now reach gujarat so more chances of rain next two days?
Vadada low pressure ni agad hoi etle ke West ma ane South ma.
baroda ni as pass varsad 4mm to 5mm
heavy rain kyare avse.please answer
Morbi mathase
Sir. 4 tarikh suthi vatavaran saru chhe?
Sirji…..aje jasdanma divase andaje 2 inches jevo vrsad padyo chhe.