Current Weather Conditions on 8th July 5.00 pm.
In the last forecast dated 3rd July about 10 mm. to 40 mm. rainfall was Forecast for Saurashtra but did not materialize. Some places of South Gujarat received 20 mm. to 50 mm. rainfall on 3rd July being the first day of forecast period. Subsequently no meaningful rainfall has been reported.
IMD Map showing the Progress of Southwest Monsoon Till 7th July 2014
The Arabian branch of Southwest Monsoon has not moved ahead since 15th June.
The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continues to pass through Lat. 21°N / Long. 60°E, Lat.21°N / Long. 65°E, Veraval, Surat, Nashik, Aurangabad, Bhopal, Shivpuri, Alwar, Bikaner and Lat.28°N / Long. 72°E.
The low pressure area over east Uttar Pradesh and neighbourhood has become less marked, yesterday evening. However, associated cyclonic circulation lies over northeastern parts of Uttar Pradesh and neighborhood and extends upto 1.5 kms above sea level.
The trough at mean sea level now runs along the foot hills of Himalayas.
The above clearly suggests that the Southwest Monsoon is yet active along the Foothills of the Himalayas. The 925 Mb. charts also suggests that the Easterly winds are restricted to the Himalayas only.
The offshore trough at mean sea level extends from Maharashtra coast to Kerala coast.
The east-west shear zone runs roughly along Lat. 14°N and extends between 3.1 & 7.6 kms above sea level tilting southwards with height.
The above two parameters would give rainfall for Western Coast and Peninsular India.
A Low pressure area is expected to form along Odisha Coast around 11th to 13th July. Hopefully if the trough along the foothills aligns in the normal position from Northwest Rajasthan, M.P. Chhatishgarh, Odisha and BOB, Central India could get some meaningful rainfall.
Forecast: 9th July to 12th July 2014
Saurashtra: 9th July to 12th July 2014
20 % of Saurashtra area expected to receive light/medium rainfall during the forecast period and rest of Saurashtra could get scattered showers.
Kutch & North Gujarat: 9th July to 12th July 2014
Kutch & North Gujarat expected to get scattered showers during the forecast period.
South Gujarat: 9th July to 12th July 2014
South Gujarat expected to get meaningful rainfall during the forecast period.
Central Gujarat: 9th July to 12th July 2014
Scattered showers or light rainfall expected during the forecast period.
IMD GFS Rainfall Forecast Valid for oo UTC 11thJuly 2014 ( mainly 10th July)
IMD GFS Rainfall Forecast Valid for oo UTC 12th July 2014 ( mainly 11th July)
COLA/IGES Precipitation Forecast Map valid 00 UTC 11th July 2014
(mainly 10th July)
COLA/IGES Precipitation Forecast Map valid 00 UTC 12th July 2014
(mainly 11th July)
Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 8th July 2014
sir, yesterday it was good rain in porbandar, mangrol, bhanvad etc. But there is no any rain in jamnagar so far? Today the climate become even more dry and hot. There are no any clouds in the sky. Sir each day passes without rain and we are losing our hope more and more. Sir will jamnagar become most unfortunate city this year? Sir do u really see any hope or not? Bcos this question touches all the living things.
Conditions have improved. See new forecast of 12th July.
navi agahi kyard apso?
Hello sir,
is their instability in atmosphere as u explained me once few days back..chances of havoic lightning again? this year also? from past 4’to5 years we are loosing to many lifes in gujarat coz of lightning.. what is current situation… and my request to u.. as i can see many ppl now follow ur forecast…pls forecast for instability (lightning) which will help ppl and also we will not loose to many lifed specially farmers. so tht thy can b alert…and wht are the chances for surendranagar for rain…. thank you….
Normally when there is break in rain for many days and then when it resumes, chances of thunder increases due to hot cold air interaction.
Conditions are good next five days.
Sir. Have central gujarat ma varsad kyare???….
Within few days.
Sir our Ahmedabad city is still waiting for rain…clouds formed here and all in vain due to wind blow…why its unfortunate for this city this year?? WILL AHMEDABAD RECEIVE “ANY” TIPS OF RAIN OR NOT THIS YEAR?!!! VERY TRAGIC YEAR THIS TIME
Will get rain within few days. Conditions are good but Northward progress is slow.
Good mornig sir
bob ma uac che
rajsthan ma uac che
gujarat na kinara ma aek date 13 roj uac jevu dekhay che aevu anuman che maru anuman sache? 700hpa
to sistam varsad apse?
Yes
How it will affect central gujarat?
Expected in a few days.
What is current status of bay of bengal low pressure, is it weak?
sir. mp. ma je sistam chhe te guj. taraf ave chhe?
સીસ્ટમ પહેલા ઓરિસા અને છતીશગઢ અને ત્યાર બાદ એમ.પી/મહારાષ્ટ્ર બાજુ આવશે. પશ્ચિમ એમ.પી.ને લાગુ ગુજરાત ને વરસાદ ની શક્યતા વધે.
sir gujrat ke ashe din Aa gaye m.p. me jo lo preshar pahusha thanks good……
sir sabarkantha (Himatnagar) area mate varsad mateni agahi? Kyare avse varsad ans plz.
sir sabarkhantha mo kyre varsad thase?