Hot Weather To Start Over North India, U.P. & Then Spread East/South – Temperature Over Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat Expected To Be Above Normal Up To 15th May 2016
The Maximum Temperature has been near normal over most centers of Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch. The hot center Maximum Temperature were between 39 to 42.8 C during the last week. The morning humidity was high on most days of last week. There was unseasonal rain on two three days during the last week over some pockets of Saurashtra & Kutch.
Weekly Temperature Variation Graphs of various centers of Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch are available here Weekly Temperature Variations
Forecast: 9th May 2016 to 15th May 2016
The Hot Weather areas of India will start to increase from tomorrow over North India and hot weather areas will spread East & South till 14th May and decrease on 15th May. Large areas of Pakistan will experience hot weather till 15th May 2016.
Rain: Kerala & Coastal Karnataka will receive 5 Cms. to 8 Cms. rain during the forecast period. Maharashtra, Rest of Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh will receive showers to 2.5 Cms. of rain during the forecast period.
Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch: 9th May to 15th May 2016
Maximum Temperature will again increase from today and is expected to be above normal most of the days and near normal on a few days during the forecast period. Overall hot center maximum range will be 41 to 44 C on most days and 40 C to 43 C on some days. Few centers expected to exceed 44 C on some days.
Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 9th May 2016
Weather Forecast In Sanj Samachar Daily Dated 9th May 2016
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Er.Shivam (kutchchh)
10/05/2016 8:06 pm
Sir
One weather forecast says that the system will be land to goa. I don’t think it would be land to goa because mostly systems land to gujarat Pakistan or oman. What you think?
Cyclonic activity (Low Pressure ke tenathi majboot System) normally chomasa pahela thaati hoi chhe. Bangadni khaadi ma ane/athavaa Arabian Sea ma…. vadhu shakyata May mahina ma hoi chhe.
CA. Jiten R. Thakar
10/05/2016 9:42 am
Sir,
Whenever there is cyclone in May end or June First Week in Arabian Sea, it affect progress of monsoon because it takes away lots of moisture.
Is it True?
It depends upon the track of the System. If it comes towards India it may enhence and if it goes Westwards it takes lots of moisture along with it.
Deepak Gohil
09/05/2016 10:21 pm
Dear sir,
Good evening!!!
I know you are not in long term forecasting although i am sharing what I am observing to you, need your expert comment.
On or around 13th this month there will be low pressure west of Kerala and moving towards central Arabian Sea as a tropical cyclone later this month.
Is it really so? this is just plain observation.
I follow all the Forecast Models of up to 15 days. Most outcome come true only when they are consistent till 7 days ahead.
I am also following all those forecast developments.
Normally GFS & ECMWF should agree or else you have to take a call for the outcome from those models.
Er.Shivam (kutchchh)
09/05/2016 8:52 pm
Sir
In arebian sea there are high pressure activated it will be end in last week of may and then monsoons comes to kerala.
As per imd monsoons comes to gujarat on 15 june . Right sir?
Sir
One weather forecast says that the system will be land to goa. I don’t think it would be land to goa because mostly systems land to gujarat Pakistan or oman. What you think?
I don’t think about any landfall until a Low Pressure develops.
Sir sorry …. Kay date ae kaya vistaar ma chomasu besega ae NO sir photo muko ne sir jethi amane problem nay thay.
Sir Gujarat ma Kay Date thi chomasu besega ..
aagala jawab vancho
Sir arbian sea ma cyclone thai ke amuk saal nathi thayu aeyu bane?
Cyclonic activity (Low Pressure ke tenathi majboot System) normally chomasa pahela thaati hoi chhe. Bangadni khaadi ma ane/athavaa Arabian Sea ma…. vadhu shakyata May mahina ma hoi chhe.
Sir,
Whenever there is cyclone in May end or June First Week in Arabian Sea, it affect progress of monsoon because it takes away lots of moisture.
Is it True?
It depends upon the track of the System. If it comes towards India it may enhence and if it goes Westwards it takes lots of moisture along with it.
Dear sir,
Good evening!!!
I know you are not in long term forecasting although i am sharing what I am observing to you, need your expert comment.
On or around 13th this month there will be low pressure west of Kerala and moving towards central Arabian Sea as a tropical cyclone later this month.
Is it really so? this is just plain observation.
I follow all the Forecast Models of up to 15 days. Most outcome come true only when they are consistent till 7 days ahead.
I am also following all those forecast developments.
Normally GFS & ECMWF should agree or else you have to take a call for the outcome from those models.
Sir
In arebian sea there are high pressure activated it will be end in last week of may and then monsoons comes to kerala.
As per imd monsoons comes to gujarat on 15 june . Right sir?
Monsoon reaches Saurashtra & South Gujarat first June 15/20th.
Kutch comes latter.
However, cyclonic activity can come anytime.