The Low Pressure area over Westcentral Bay of Bengal and adjoining Coastal Andhra Pradesh persists. The associated Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation extends upto Mid-Tropospheric levels. Currently the Central Pressure is about 1000 Mb. The axis of Monsoon trough at mean sea level passes through Anoopgarh, Jaipur,Bhopal,Wardha,Ramagundam, Centre of Low Pressure area and thence Southeastwards to Southeast Bay of Bengal.
There is a Mid-Upper level Cyclonic Circulation North of Kutch and an Off Shore trough from Saurashtra & South Gujarat to Konkan running along Karnataka Coast and Kerala Coast.
Rain Forecast from 27th August to 2nd Sepetember 2010:
Saurashtra:
60 % of Saurashtra will get 5 Cms. to 10 Cms. of Rain during the forecast period.
40 % of Saurashtra will get 10 Cms. to 15 Cms. of Rain during the forecast period. Heavy to very heavy Rainfall exceeding 20 Cms. can occur at a few Isolated places of Saurashtra region.
Gujarat:
South Gujarat will get 12 Cms. to 20 Cms. of Rain during the forecast period.
Central Gujarat will get 12 Cms. to 20 Cms. of Rain during the forecast period.
Other Areas:
Konkan, Madhya Maharashtra, Coastal Karnataka, Goa and along Maharashtra-Madhya Pradesh Border area and vicinity, 15 Cms. to 20 Cms. of Rain during the forecast period.
Note: Heavy to very heavy rainfall exceeding 25 Cms. can occur at a few Isolated places of all of the above regions including South & Central Gujarat.
NCEP/GFS Bias-Corrected Precipitation Forecasts
Forecast in Akila Daily dated 26th August 2010 @ 11.00 am.
