Arabian Sea Depression Now Deep Depression Strength – Moved Close To South Saurashtra Coast – 23rd June 2015

Current Weather Conditions on 23rd June 2015 10.30. am. IST

The Depression over the Arabian Sea remained quasi stationary around Latitude 19.0 N and 69E yesterday the 22nd June. Deducing from JTWC, the System in the early morning of 23rd June has become Deep Depression strength and was located at Latitude 20.3N 70.1 E. Longitude about 70 km. South of Veraval. This is an estimated location and should not be relied upon. Official Bulletin from IMD/RSMC is awaited and should always be relied up on for Storms & Weather related matters. The last available is pertaining to conditions on 22nd June 2015 @ 1200 UTC and issued at 1500 UTC.

REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

22nd June 2015 1500 UTC Outlook click the link  RSMC-New Delhi Outlook

Note: 1 knot =1.852 Kms.

Update will be given if any major changes occur

JTWC has issued a TCFA ( Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert ) on 22nd June 2100 UTC (02.30 am. IST of 23rd June )

JTWC Initial Track for 97A.INVEST

io9715_TCFA

 

JTWC has issued a TCFA ( Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert ) on 22nd June 2100 UTC (02.30 am. IST of 23rd June )

TEXT

WTIO21 PGTW 222100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 19.5N 68.1E TO 21.2N 70.5E
WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 222030Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 19.8N 69.0E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 
68.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 69.0E, APPROXIMATELY 285 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY DEPICTS AN AREA OF FLARING CONVECTION SHEARED WEST OF A 
FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 221711Z GMI 
36GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A TIGHTER WRAPPED LLCC WITH INCREASED 
DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE WEST DUE TO MODERATE TO HIGH 
EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. A PARTIAL SCATTEROMETER PASS AT 
221721Z SHOWED 30 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY. 
MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT CONTINUES TO SUSTAIN CONVECTION. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 992 MB. DUE TO THE 
POSSIBILITY OF THE SYSTEM REACHING WARNING CRITERIA PRIOR TO 
LANDFALL, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 
232100Z.//
NNNN

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NRL Visible Satellite Image on 23rd June 2015 @ 0400 UTC ( 6.30 pm. IST)

 

 

97AINVEST.30kts-1000mb-203N-701E.100pc_vis

 

 

Forecast: 23rd June to 25th June 2015

Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat

The Rainfall amount and areas will vary on day to day basis as the System tracks towards and over Saurashtra & Gujarat during 23rd June to 25th June. Medium, heavy and very heavy rainfall expected over different parts of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat during this period.

ટૂકું તને ટચ : ડીપ્રેસન હવે ડીપ ડીપ્રેસન માત્રા એ પોંચ્યું છે. હવામાન ખાતા એ આ અપડેટ સમયે હજુ પુષ્ટિ આપેલ નથી . હાલ વેરાવળ થી 70 કિમી દક્ષીણે સીસ્ટમ સેન્ટર છે.

ચોમાસું હવે બેસવા ના સંજોગો થયા છે. સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, કચ્છ અને ગુજરાત ના મોટા વિસ્તાર માં ચોમાસું નોતું બેઠું, ભલે છૂટો છવાયો સારો વરસાદ થઇ ગયો હોઈ. અલગ અલગ વિસ્તાર માં વરસાદ ની માત્રા જુદી જુદી રહેશે કારણ કે આ સીસ્ટમ આધારિત વરસાદ છે.  તારીખ  23 થી 25 માં અલગ અલગ વિસ્તારો માં મધ્યમ, ભારે, અતિ ભારે વરસાદ પડે તેવી  સંભાવના છે.

Caution:
Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.

સાવચેતી:
સ્ટોર્મ કે હવામાન અંગે ની માહિતી માટે ભારતીય હવામાન ખાતા/ગવર્મેન્ટ ના બુલેટીન/સુચના પર નિર્ભર રહેવું.

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hemal katariya
hemal katariya
23/06/2015 5:40 pm

gujrati ma agahi apo ne sir please

Deap Shukla
Deap Shukla
23/06/2015 4:52 pm

Thanks for sharing such a nice update. Brings joy for the rain starved Saurashtra. Lets hope the Bay of Bengal low pressure too hits Saurashtra during this landfall….

chetansuthar
chetansuthar
23/06/2015 2:05 pm

Sir mahisagar gi ma bhare varsad kayre padse

Jaydip Zankat
Jaydip Zankat
23/06/2015 1:03 pm

Sir aje veraval baju pavan ni gati vadhi che ane pavan ni direction ma pan ferfar thayo che.

Mukesh patel
Mukesh patel
23/06/2015 12:41 pm

Aa sistamno labh katchhne mlse

manish rajpara
manish rajpara
23/06/2015 12:40 pm

ashok bhai
Aa sistam no varsad maorbi tankara ma
vavni layak thase kharo

jayesh
jayesh
23/06/2015 12:37 pm

Sara samachar thank you sar..

anil patel
anil patel
23/06/2015 12:33 pm

sorry sir comment j nay karu.. maf karjo

niteshvadaviya
niteshvadaviya
23/06/2015 12:31 pm

Sir.deep deprestion ni zadap kevi chhe 1kalak=………navlakhi bander ni aaju baaju kyare pahochi sake

Raj
Raj
23/06/2015 12:26 pm

Sir a system sourashtra NE Kyare hit karse

patel yogesh
patel yogesh
23/06/2015 11:58 am

Sir north Gujarat ma varsad nu praman kevu rehshe

chetan kundaria
chetan kundaria
23/06/2015 11:58 am

Syclone is not good matter .

ashish kanani
ashish kanani
23/06/2015 11:53 am

Je sistam che tenathe Hal Saurasht upar andaje ketlo varshad padi sake…?

mustak bariwala
mustak bariwala
23/06/2015 11:46 am

Sir aa dipressan kathe aave to te vikherai jase?
aa sistam ketla vistar ne aavri lese
Varsad ni chhut ochhi 6e(nilofar vakhat hatu)

manish rajpara
manish rajpara
23/06/2015 11:44 am

ashok bhai hu morbi tankara no chhu
amare tya pela karta have ochho varsad
kem thay chhe su ame kachch vistar ma
Aavi gaya chhi a

anil patel
anil patel
23/06/2015 11:40 am

sir je dep dipression arab sea ma se te kal karta aaje surastra najik aavu hoy tevu lage se

Jagdis
Jagdis
23/06/2015 11:37 am

Thai metrology department ma low pressure batavtu nathi enu su karan

Anil Chovatiya
Anil Chovatiya
23/06/2015 11:37 am

AAP Shri Bagasara mamlatdar office record joi ne chakasni kari sako chho Mari vat khoti nathi

Jadeja Gauravsinh
Jadeja Gauravsinh
23/06/2015 11:35 am

Sir earlier here you given answer to someone that imd said that if this system stays more time in sea and become more strong then it chance to go to pakistan or oman but now it is only 70 km far from landfall then now it has any chance to go to otherside?

vadhiya ashish
vadhiya ashish
23/06/2015 11:27 am

any possibility for rain in rajkot today sir????? i m not understanding the forecast map….

Anil Chovatiya
Anil Chovatiya
23/06/2015 11:15 am

Sir amara Bagasara Ma chhella 3 varsh no total varsad mand 50 inch jevo thayo hase to aa sistam Ma Kai vadhu Thai Eva chance chhe

mustak bariwala
mustak bariwala
23/06/2015 11:13 am

Sir veravar thi matr 70km 6e jo 70km thi vavojodo thai to kevu shtithi hase ane depdepressan sagar ma thi kathe aavi sake??

sunil patel
sunil patel
23/06/2015 11:08 am

sir savar no jordar pavan funkay 6 mendarda ma east to west

Kamlesh
Kamlesh
23/06/2015 11:05 am

Sir
Good morning
Saurastra par sw chomasu besava mate ke sw chomasa ne agal vadhava mate genaraly kyo pavan hovo joie sir???
Plz ans me sir hu pavan ni disa babate hamesa confused hovu chhu so…
Plz ans me

Omkarsinh
Omkarsinh
23/06/2015 11:00 am

Sir…low pressure…. Surendranagar…dist. Ma vashad apse…..?….plz…reply

ramkrishna rabari
ramkrishna rabari
23/06/2015 10:56 am

Sir kutch mundra ma to aaje tadko ne Pavan 6…varsad ni asar jevu kai lagtu nathi