Maximum Temperature 42C-44C Expected During 15th-17th May Over Saurashtra & Gujarat – Depression System Expected Over South Arabian Sea by 16th/17th May
15 થી 17 મે દરમિયાન સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને ગુજરાત માં મહત્તમ તાપમાન 42-44 C ની શક્યતા
તારીખ 16/17 મે સુધીમાં દક્ષિણ અરબી સમુદ્ર માં ડિપ્રેસન સિસ્ટમ ની શક્યતા
લો પ્રેસર થયા બાદ અપડેટ થશે.
Weather Conditions on 10th May 2021
Observations:
The Maximum Temperature has been 1C to 2C above normal over many Hot Centers, while some Centers had normal Maximum Temperature. Now the normal Maximum Temperature for most centers is around 41 C. Maximum Temperature on 9th May 2021 was as under:
Ahmedabad 43.1C
Rajkot 41.8C
Gandhinagar 41.8C
Amreli 42.2C
Vallabh Vidhyanagar 42.0C
Vadodara 41.4C
Kandla (A) 40.8C
COLA Meteogram – Rajkot for Period 10th May to 19th May 2021
A Western Disturbance will affect North India around 11th May 2021 onwards (11th-13th May) when there will be rainfall. various other parameters are present that will give rain over West Bengal to Northeast India and over Peninsular India.
Forecast: Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch: 10th May to 17th May 2021
The wind direction will vary but mainly it will be Westerly and North Westerly direction during the Forecast Period. High wind speeds up to 15-30 km per hour possible evening time from 10th -14th. Subsequently for rest of forecast period, the winds will be 10-15 km/hour. Scattered Clouds expected on 10th and again on from 14th onwards.
Some relief expected today in Maximum Temperature due to clouding. The Maximum Temperature from 10th to 14th May will be near normal (40C-42C). Maximum Temperature will increase during 15th to 17th May and is expected to be in 42C to 44C range. Night Temperature will also be higher during 15th-17th May compared to 10th-14th May.
Forecast For Arabian Sea:
As per IMD: The cyclonic circulation extending up to 3.1 km above mean sea level over the Equatorial Indian Ocean and adjoining central parts of the South Arabian Sea persists. Under its influence, a Low Pressure Area is likely to form over Southeast Arabian Sea and adjoining Equatorial Indian Ocean around 14th May. It is likely to become more marked over the Southeast Arabian Sea during subsequent 48 hours.
Hence a Depression System is expected by 16th/17th May 2021. Update will be given for the System once a Low Pressure develops over South Arabian Sea.
Caution: Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.
સાવચેતી: સ્ટોર્મ કે હવામાન અંગે ની માહિતી માટે ભારતીય હવામાન ખાતા/ગવર્મેન્ટ ના બુલેટીન/સુચના પર નિર્ભર રહેવું.
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IMD e je track aapyo che e 17th sudhino j che. Ema haji ferfar aavse.
Hve Motabhag na Model jota Vavazodu 17/18 May na porbandar ane veraval ni vachethi pasar thase Sathe Bhare Varsad Skytao vadhti jay che .
Finally to sir ni jyare update avse e paku rese .
News vara e to Bhuka bolavanu chalu kri didhu che tv ma ave che ave che krine.
Imd ye depression declare karyu…cyclone alert for Gujarat cost..source Imd
Barobar chhe.
hello sir
kem chho aap..sir aa season no 1st question 6 maro..aa vakhte vavajoda nu name karan kone kryu chhe sir …
Ahi ghjani vaar link aapel chhe jovo https://pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=1619051
Mayanmar e karyu che
Sar ecmwf ni atar ni update ma pan vavajodu veraval pashe lendfol karvese to have katla % paku manvu plz ans sar
Shakyata vadhti jaay chhe
Ecmwf update sema jovi?
અરબી કૂવો છે ને bob બોર છે.બંનેમાં સારા પડવાણ(system) આવશે તો પાળીયા પલળશે.ભલે ને ઉપરા ઉપરી દાબે.
Sir aa vavajodu landfal taya pachi tena pavan ni speed ketli hase?
Dariye 150 km speed forecast chhe. Jamin naji avey tyare je speed hoy tema thodo farak padey jamin par ne indhan (bhej) na madey.
sir aa thoduk vahelu kevay pan abhyas mate tame thodi aagotari hint aapo to helpful rese. 21 tarikh na AB ane BOB Bey ma hulchul thay chhe to back to back systems banti hoy aevu lage che. Is this due to MJO?
MJO toe tyare phase 4 & 5 ma chhe
Bhare Kari 22 around Arabian and BOB banne ma ek sathe system Banti janay Che
Sir tame long term ni agahi nai karta bt su aavu possible Thai sake j hal ni ecmwf ma batave Che . Plz ans sir
Ema bharey shu thai gayu ?
Mand saheb taute ni kal utarse tya biji be hali aave Che
Sir ..ecmwf…ma..track Gujarat par batave chee..to sir system no track to aaaj model par aadhar rakhe ke koi biju model.. (Baaki deleted by Moderator)
IMD pan System track aape chhe.
Ecmfw mujab ame tracking ariya ma si dussa kadhi nakhse varsad ne pavan
sir gfs preciaption chart mata khubj vdhare btaveh gujrat ma varsad to tmaru su kehvanu thays??
Sir, L ma thi Depression bani gyu ne.
IMD update nathi karyu ke modu avey pan IMD mujab Depression thai gayu chhe.
System khud pote gotey chadshe ne models ne pan chadavshe.
Sir mne khabar che ke tame gana varso ni sareras par chalo cho aakha trij na pavan mate to e sareras pramane ane Aajna divas na pavan ni disha pramane thodi mahiti aapi sako to Saru aaje vaheli savare pavan ni gujrat na Amuk center ni mahiti aapo disha ni. Ane tamari counting pramane past years pramane pan jo possible hoy to
Akhatrij ma shu jovanu hoy te j maney khabar nathi
Finally Imd a track declair karyo j ecmwf ni aaj ni update Sathe same Che
Sir haju Ecmwf ma ferfar se landfall babte.aaj ni upadte ma pan to have su naki thay .
Sir tame mota bhage varsad padvano hoy tena karta ochho varsad kaheta hov chho parantu te chomasa ma barabar chhe jethi ghana mitro ne ahak na thay parantu aa kamosami varsad hoy je thavaa no hoy tej update ma janavashho abhar sir
ગુડ મોર્નિંગ સર.
આ વાવાઝોડું જે ઉદભવ્યું છે એનાથી ચોમાસું પાછું ઠેલાશે?
એ ચોમાસાંને અસર કરશે?
Khas chomasa ne nuksan nahi karey.
India thi chhetu jaay toe nuksan thay.
Thank you so much sir. Much relieved.
સર વાવાઝોડાના ટ્રેકને નક્કી કરવા માટે અરબી સમુદ્રનું ભૂગોળ કેટલું મહત્વ ધરાવે છે
Vavazoda ne 500 hPa and teni upar na pressure par track nirbhar hoy. Amuk side ma avrodh hoy toe jyan avrodh na hoy te disha pakade.
Biju ke Jamin karta Dariya ma Vavazoda ne majboot thava aney taki raheva masalo(Bhej) madey.
સર કે એ સાચો બાકી બધુ ખોટુ
સર Gfs મોડલ ની લાસ્ટ અપડેટ મૂજબ કરછ ની બાજુમાં માથી વાવઝોડૂ પસાર થાય તેવૂ લાગે છે આ પ્રમાણે જો ચાલેતો કરછ મા કેટલા km ની ઝડપે પવન ફૂકાય ને કેટલા ઇચ સૂધી વરસાદ થઇ શકે
GFS ni update ma Precipitation pan batavey chhe… te pan joiy levaay etle khyal aavshe.
IMD GFS wind charts ma pan veraval ane porbandar ni vasse landfall batave se…Gujarat upar have khatro vadhi gyo che.
Good morning sir, sir ..tamari aagahi no wait kari ye chiiye..to sir tanari aagahi..andaje kyare aavase.. and kyu model..par vadhare.. vishwas valu kahevay tamara ..matte..sir.. thanks sir.. answer sir
IMD GFS
Sir bane atalu velu update apajo
Haji GFS ane ECMWF ma ghano ferfar se.
Sir haju Ecmwf to Gujarat ma j landfall kare to sakyta sari kahi sakay have ferfar bov nai thay track babte.
Bhai Aato kudrat chhe. Kai nakki na kevay. Aapne to aasha rakhie ke Gujarat ma Bau nuksan n thay ane dur thi nikdi jay.
Sasi vat che kudarat na hathma che thakar kare e think!
Porbandar city ma Sanje full Sandhya khilli hti ane Akho Divas Vadal chayu vatavarn htu.Pavan pn Saro che continue.
Sir vavjodu landfall Thai tenathi Uttar baju ke daxin
baju vaddhre varsad nu jor rahe
Normally Dakshin Pashchim baju
Sir kale deepressoin thase to track chokas thase to humna ni track ne 95% Sachi manvi Ke haji gana ferfar thase.
Andj kahevay
Gujarat na dariya kinare 2 rakshak che 1.dwarka thakorji ane 2.somnath devo na dev mahadev
Jai Shri Krishna sir 2021 chomasu varsh na. Bhayavadar, Upleta taluko aaje amare sarash sandhya khili hati. To aavnar divsho unadu pak mate jokham Varu rahe ?
Yes
sir mjo atiyare positive che k arb sgar ma??
MJO thoda divas pahela agad gayo hato pachho Arbi ma chhe
Aaje aakash ma jordar sandhya fuli.
સર,ડીપ્રેશન માટે કેટલું હવાનુ દબાણ હોય? Maximam
1000 milibar jevu hoy
June 1998ma saurashtrama avela vavajodama pavanni speed ketli hase?
165 km/hour maximum pavan hato
Saheb imd , gfs , ecmwf , icon , cmc , navgem, gem aa tamam model gujrat ni najik west bhag ma track batave ,2-3 model to saurashtra ni andar landfall pan batave , to hve 70% sakyta kevay ke system sav najik thi nikde athva landfall pan kare…..Baki hju time chhe etle thodo ghano ferfar thay
ha “evu badhay key se”.
Sir tamari cyclone update kyare avse?
Aavti kaale ganatri chhe….
Sir, tame mjama haso lamba samay bad comment karvano samay avo have..
Sir, ak comment na ans ma tame kidhu ke aje Low thyu se,to have track ecmf pramane ganvo?
Aavati kaale Depression thashe etle track ma chokkasta aavashe
sir low dharna karta vahelu develop thay gayu k nay?
Maap ma chhe
IMD Kaal sudhi ma Depression declare karshe
Hash vavazoda ni ghat gay…ECMWF ni chheli upate joya bad khabar padi ke vavazoda ni ghat gay
સર આવતી કાલ સૂધી ટ્રેક ફાઇનલ થઇ જાય કે હજી રાહ જોવી પડે
Lagbhag final thai jashe.
Parantu Arabian Sea na mara anubhav ma.. track ma fer far ghan jova madey chhe…. BOB karta.
Sir atyar ni IMD press release ma pan Gujarat thi najik pasar thase ane pakistan ane lagu Kutch vistar ma landfall karse . 17 date thi varsad saru thase ane dhime dhime vadhse biju ke 18 tarikhe Saurashtra ane Kutch ma amuk vistar ma bhare thi ati bhare varsad padshe.
આ ટ્રફનું ધુહુ એક યુ ટ્યુબર ધોકાવિ રહ્યા છે.ઍ કહે છે કે અત્યારે ટ્રફ ના હોય એટલે વાવાઝોડું ગુજરાતમા ન આવે.તો પાકિસ્તાન કે ઓમાનમા ક્યાં ટ્રફ હોય છે કે જે સિસ્ટમને ખેંચે!!
Cyclone jya land thay tya dariya mojha ketla ucha Hui sake and dariyanu pani cyclone darmiyan Gam ma Ke ajubaju vistar ketla sudhi Avi ske..
Dariya na moja ghana factor hoy… Cyclone strength and local kinara no aakar kevo chhe te.
Sir (1) vavajodo Ave to Kai savcheti rakhvi…..(2) haal ma imd wind ma 60-65 kt batve che to ketli speed kahevay wind ni?
Vavazoda ma Pavan vadhu hoy and varsad pan vadhu hoy… track aadharit.
kt etle knot etle pavan speed nu maap chhe.
Vadhu vigat maate Menu ma aa link jovo http://www.gujaratweather.com/wordpress/?page_id=12914
Imd nu track ECMWF na track thi 1 update pachad chali rahyu che. But imd je track update krse e j mostly final hase. Imd track depression banse pchi j aavse.
IMD GFS model chhe jema IMD ECMWF ni chheli update sunghadey chhe !!!
hello sir
haveni ecmwf ni updet pan gfs na raste chalre 6 karachi pase lend karse avu batave chhe have track ma jajo ferfar thay ke nahi janavso
Depression thay pachhi track ochho farey
નમસ્કાર સર
આ વખતે IMD મુજબ ટ્રેક કરશે…..
કે ECM બાજી મારશે…
Banne ma lambo fer nahi hoy
Cyclone pachi arebian and BOB ma halchal ma vadharo janay Che j aavnar monsoon mate kadach saru Hoi sake
Gfs ane ecmwf banne have approx same track per chale Che joi have kale Imd kyo track aape Che
2019 ma vayu na turn na anubhav ..bdhay ne chhe ….hhh
baki ..aa taoktae west sourashtra .kutch ane pak. a line vdhu pasand krse evu lage