Very Severe Cyclonic Storm “VARDAH” Over WestCentral Bay Of Bengal – Landfall Expected Over North Tamilnadu Coast Vicinity Tomorrow

Current Weather Conditions on 11th December 2016

INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT

Bulletin No.: 33 (BOB 06/2016)

Sub: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm, VARDAH over west central and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal: Cyclone Alert for South Andhra Pradesh and north Tamil Nadu Coasts

Time of issue: 0830 hours IST

Dated: 11.12.2016

The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm, VARDAH over West Central and adjoining South Bay of Bengal moved further Westwards during past 06 hrs with a speed of 11 kmph and lay centered at 0530 hrs IST of today, the 11 th December, 2016 over West Central and adjoining Southwest Bay of Bengal near Latitude 13.3ºN and Longitude 84.7ºE, about 520 km East-Southeast of Nellore, 490 km Eastsoutheast of Machilipatnam and 480 km East-Northeast of Chennai. The system is very likely to move nearly West-Southwestwards and maintain its intensity up to the evening of today, the 11th December 2016. Thereafter, it is likely to weaken gradually while moving towards South Andhra Pradesh coast and adjoining North Tamilnadu coast. It is very likely to cross North Tamilnadu and South Andhra Pradesh coast, close to Chennai by 12th December 2016 afternoon.

The details are available here IMD Bulletin No.: Thirty Three

 

1 knot= 1.85 km./hour

JTWC Tropical Cyclone 05B.VARDAH (Very Severe Cyclonic STorm “VARDAH”) Warning No. 15

Issued at 0300 UTC on 11th December 2016

 

 io0516_15

NRL IR Satellite Image of 05B.VARDAH (Very Severe Cyclonic Storm “VARDAH”)

on 11th December 2016 @ 0430 UTC (10.00 am. IST)

 

 05bvardah-70kts-970mb-127n-845e_ir-100pc

 

 

NRL Water Vapor Satellite Image of 05B.VARDAH (Very Severe Cyclonic Storm “VARDAH”)

on 11th December 2016 @ 0430 UTC (10.00 am. IST)

 

 05bvardah-70kts-970mb-127n-845e_vapor-100pc

 

UW-CIMSS Automated Satellite-Based
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
Version 8.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Algorithm
Current Intensity Analysis
                     UW - CIMSS                     
              ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE       
                  ADT-Version 8.2.1                
         Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm       

             ----- Current Analysis ----- 
     Date :  11 DEC 2016    Time :   040000 UTC
      Lat :   12:41:51 N     Lon :   83:58:15 E

     
                CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
                3.8 / 989.9mb/ 61.0kt

     
             Final T#  Adj T#  Raw T# 
                3.8     3.9     3.9

 Center Temp : -81.7C    Cloud Region Temp : -83.0C

 Scene Type : UNIFORM CDO CLOUD REGION 

 Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION 

 Ocean Basin : INDIAN        
 Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : CKZ Method  

 Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT 
                   Weakening Flag : OFF   
           Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF   

 C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
  - Average 34 knot radii :   83km
  - Environmental MSLP    : 1009mb

 Satellite Name :    MET7 
 Satellite Viewing Angle : 34.5 degrees 

 

 

Estimate:

Distance of the VSC Storm is around 400 kms. nearly East of Chennai at 0400 UTC (09.30 am. IST) as per UW-CIMSS

Landfall expected over North Tamilnadu coast around Chennai on 12th December 2016 afternoon.

 

 

 

Caution: Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.

સાવચેતી:

સ્ટોર્મ કે હવામાન અંગે ની માહિતી માટે ભારતીય હવામાન ખાતા/ગવર્મેન્ટ ના બુલેટીન/સુચના પર નિર્ભર રહેવું.

 

 

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Narendra baraiya
Narendra baraiya
12/12/2016 11:27 am

Sir,
હજુ ઘણા વિસ્તારો માં મગફળી ના ભર ખેતર માં છે, તો આ વર્ધા વવાજોડા ની અસર ની સંભાવના ખરી?ખેડૂતો આગોતરી તૈયારી કરી સકે એટલા માટે.
આભાર

Narendra baraiya
Narendra baraiya
12/12/2016 9:16 am

Sir
વર્ધા ની સૌરાષ્ટ્ર પર સુ અસર પડી સકે છે? જણાવવા વિનંતી.

ramji bhai kachchhi at.sanathli di rajkot
ramji bhai kachchhi at.sanathli di rajkot
11/12/2016 9:39 pm

साहेब तमारू weather स्टेसन चालू क्यारे चालू थासे ?भेज,प्रेसर वगेरे janva mate बहु उपयोगी छे

hiteshpalsinhrana
hiteshpalsinhrana
11/12/2016 9:37 pm

Sir thandi kyarthi jam che?

Rambhai Bantwa
Rambhai Bantwa
11/12/2016 8:28 pm

Varsad ni asar Saurashtra upar ketli ane kevi thai shake

mustak bariwala dahegam.jambusar
mustak bariwala dahegam.jambusar
11/12/2016 6:44 pm

sir 12 date cola image level pressure red color batave chhe 850 aa su chhe??

mustak bariwala dahegam.jambusar
mustak bariwala dahegam.jambusar
11/12/2016 5:28 pm

sir Gujarat ma 14/15/16 Date Vardar ane mavthu thavanu hatu tema have fer far Thai gayu chhe have mavthu ane vadar nahi thai please ans???

Mehul
Mehul
11/12/2016 3:44 pm

Sir it is best time to enjoy snow in Shimla and manali in January 2017 ?? coz i am planing to go there so just asking. please reply

vipul sinojiya govindpar ta.padadhari
vipul sinojiya govindpar ta.padadhari
11/12/2016 3:43 pm

Sir aavtikale zakal ni sakyata chhe? Please ans…

Gunjan Jadav(Dahod)
Gunjan Jadav(Dahod)
11/12/2016 11:38 am

3 divas thi GFS 850 forecast nathi khultaa