Latest Update on 5th November @ 10.00 am. IST

The Well Marked Low Pressure has concentrated to a Depression over Eastcentral Arabian Sea.

IMD has issued a Bulletin No.: ARB05/2015/01
Time of issue: 0830 hours IST
Dated: 05.11.2015
Sub: Depression over Eastcentral Arabian Sea

A Depression has formed over eastcentral Arabian Sea and lay centred at 0530 hrs IST of today the 5th November 2015 over eastcentral Arabian Sea near latitude 14.10 N and longitude 66.00 E, about 920 km southwest of Mumbai and 1310 km east-southeast of Salalah (Oman). it would move west-northwestwards and intensify into a deep depression during next 24 hrs. As the system is expected to move away from the Indian coast, no adverse weather is expected along and off west coast of India.

The JTWC has issued a TCFA (Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert) for Arabian Sea 95A.INVEST

WTIO21 PGTW 050230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.9N 66.4E TO 13.4N 60.1E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 042221Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 14.0N 65.9E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 
67.0E (INVEST AREA 95A), IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 65.9E, 
APPROXIMATELY 651 NM SOUTHEAST OF MUSCAT, OMAN. ANIMATED ENHANCED 
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEP FLARING CONVECTION ALONG THE 
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER 
(LLCC). A 042326Z SSMIS 91GHZ PARTIAL MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS WELL 
DEFINED SHALLOW SPIRAL BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC WITH 
CONVECTIVE BANDING ALONG THE NORTHERN QUADRANT. A 041639Z ASCAT PASS 
SHOWED A BETTER DEFINED LLCC WITH 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS ALONG THE 
NORTHERN PERIPHERY AND 15 TO 20 KNOTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. 
THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW ARE FAVORABLE FOR 
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT; HOWEVER, THE AFOREMENTIONED MICROWAVE IMAGE 
SHOWS SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR SURROUNDING THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. 
GLOBAL MODELS SHOW LITTLE TO NO DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE AS 
IT TRACKS WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 
25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 
1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 
060230Z.//
NNNN

95A.INVEST over Eastcentral Arabian Sea Location 14.0 N. &  65.9 E. with winds of 30 knots with 1000 millibar Central Pressure on 5th November NRL IR Satellite Image @ 0400 UTC

Forecast Dated 4th November for Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch can be referred by clicking here  Forecast Dated 4th November 2015

તારીખ તારીખ 4 થી નવેમ્બર 2015  ના સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ માટે આપેલ આગાહી વાંચો અહી ક્લિક કરો   તારીખ 4 થી નવેમ્બર 2015 ની આગાહી

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