Now A Twin Low Pressure Develops Over Arabian Sea Along With The Low Pressure Over Southwest Bay Of Bengal – 25th October 2015

Latest Update: on 25th October 2015 @ 8.00 pm. IST

Low Pressure area developed over the Southwest Bay of Bengal persists. This System is being monitored as 93B.INVEST.

Under the influence of the trough of Low at mean sea level over Southeast & adjoining Southwest Arabian sea with an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation aloft a Low Pressure area has developed over the same region. This System is being monitored as 94A.INVEST.

The Western Disturbance as an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over North Pakistan & neighborhood   extending   up to Mid-Tropospheric  level   with   trough   aloft   along Long.67.0°E and North of Latitude 25.0°N. An induced Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over Northwest Rajasthan & neighborhood extending up to 1.5 km above mean sea level persists.

93B.INVEST over Southwest Bay of Bengal Location 6.2 N. &  82.5 E. 20 knots with 1007 millibar Central Pressure NRL IR Satellite Image on 25th October @ 1330 UTC

93BINVEST.20kts-1007mb-62N-825E.100pc_ir

 

94A.INVEST over Southeast Arabian Sea & Neighboring Southwest Arabian Sea Location 6.5 N. &  64.4 E. 20 knots with 1007 millibar Central Pressure NRL IR Satellite Image on 25th October @ 1330 UTC

 

94AINVEST.20kts-1007mb-65N-644E.100pc_ir

Forecast: 25th to 31st October 2015

Both GSF and ECMWF shows that the Arabian Sea System will be stronger than the BOB System. Updates will be given in 24 hours.

 The Western Disturbance will give heavy snowfall for Jammu & Kashmir and hilly regions of North India and rain for the plains of North Indian States during 25th to 26th October just like yesterday.

 

Wunderground Map showing System location on GSF 925 hPa
Forecast run 0000 UTC on 25th October 2015 valid 30th October 2015 @ 1200 UTC

 

 

wunderground_GSF_00z_25th_925_301015_1200z

 

Wunderground Map showing System location on GSF 925 hPa
Forecast run 0600 UTC on 25th October 2015 valid 30th October 2015 @ 1200 UTC

 

wunderground_GSF_06z_25th__925_301015_1200z

 

 

 

 

 

 

Wunderground Map showing System location on ECMWF 925 hPa
Forecast run 1200 UTC on 24th October 2015 valid 30th October 2015 @ 1200 UTC

wunderground_ECMWF_1200z_925_301015_1200z

 

 

Wunderground Map showing System location on ECMWF 925 hPa
Forecast run 00 UTC on 25th October 2015 valid 30th October 2015 @ 1200 UTC

 

wunderground_ECMWF_00z_25th__925_301015_1200z

 

Forecast: Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch: 25th October to 31st October

 

No direct effect from Bay of Bengal System and also not from the Arabian Sea System during the forecast period till 31st October. The weather is expected to be dry on most days. COLA/IGES indicates some light shower between 26th & 27th October for some parts of Saurashtra but the chances of this outcome could be 50- 50.  The wind is expected to be from North or Northeast on most days during the forecast period.

 

 

 

અપડેટ 25 ઓક્ટોબર 2015 રાત્રે 8.00 કલાકે:

દક્ષીણ પશ્ચિમ બંગાળની ખાડી માં લો પ્રેસર છે અને દક્ષીણ પૂર્વ અને લાગુ દક્ષીણ પશ્ચિમ અરબી સમુદ્ર માં હવે લો પ્રેસર થયું છે.

વિવિધ ફોરકાસ્ટ મોડલ મુજબ બંગાળની સીસ્ટમ તેમજ અરબી નું  નવું લો પ્રેસર બાબત માં મતમતાંતર છે. હજુ 24 કલાક આ અંગે અભ્યાસ કરવો જરૂરી છે.

વેસ્ટર્ન ડીસ્ટર્બન્સ ની અસર થી હજુ ગઈ કાલ ની જેમ 25 અને 26 તારીખ સુધી જમ્મુ અને કાશ્મીર અને ઊત્તર ભારત ના પહાડી વિસ્તારો માં હિમ વર્ષા તેમજ મેદાની વિસ્તારો માં વરસાદ થશે.

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, કચ્છ અને ગુજરાત: 25 ઓક્ટોબર થી 31 ઓક્ટોબર 2015

 

આગાહી સમય ગાળા માં (31 ઓક્ટોબર સુધી ) બંગાળ ની ખાડી ની સીસ્ટમ કે અરબી ની સીસ્ટમ ની કોઈ સીધી અસર સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, કચ્છ અને ગુજરાત ને નહિ થાય. આગાહી સમય ના લગભગ દિવસો માં વાતાવરણ મુખ્યત્વે સુકું રહેશે. જોકે COLA/IGES મુજબ તારીખ 26th & 27th ઓક્ટોબર ના સૌરાષ્ટ્રમાં છાટાં છૂટી ની શક્યતા બતાવે છે પણ 50- 50 શક્યતા સમજવી.  મહત્તમ દિવસે પવન હવે ઊત્તર અને ઊત્તર પૂર્વ તરફ થી ફૂંકાશે.

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MAKVANA SANJAY
MAKVANA SANJAY
26/10/2015 8:18 pm

lambu jivan jivo sir, tamari “ghodi gadhedi”ni commnte amne khub hasavya. Ramuji manas

Unit Karena
Unit Karena
26/10/2015 5:46 pm

The Gujarat will Rain on 1th November.

lakhu bhai kuchhdiya
lakhu bhai kuchhdiya
26/10/2015 4:54 pm

Thanks sir navi update mate

sanjay parecha
sanjay parecha
26/10/2015 4:14 pm

Sir
Low pressure saurashtra ma aavi sake

Sweta
Sweta
26/10/2015 3:33 pm

Sir ,

Any date for when winter season starting ?

Er.Shivam (Kutch)
Er.Shivam (Kutch)
26/10/2015 3:20 pm

Sir
Ek news channel na janavya anusar aa low pressure super cyclonic strom banse ane paschim taraf jai gujarat taraf fantase.
su aa sachu chhe?

vishal viramgama
vishal viramgama
26/10/2015 11:09 am

Sir thandi ni saruvat kedi these?

kapil patel
kapil patel
26/10/2015 9:14 am

Sir lamba gada na cola/image jota lage chhe ke system Gujarat ne asar nahi kare .write ne

Vala Ajit
Vala Ajit
26/10/2015 9:07 am

Sir Jo as low pressure Gujarat ne effect kare to Gujarat ma varsad pahochta 7 8 divas lage ke ocho samay lage? Plss reply sir.

Jadeja mayursinh
Jadeja mayursinh
25/10/2015 9:53 pm

Sir arbiyan ma je lo 6e te be 3 di ma vadhu ne vadhu majbut bantu jase tevu lage 6e su te vavajoda ma parivartit thase??ne aagla divso ma te oman baju jai ne pa6u aapdi baju vartu hoy tevu lage 6e?? Aap nu su anuman 6e sir

Arju Chapla
Arju Chapla
25/10/2015 9:21 pm

Sir low pressure Gujarat be effect karse

jagdish patel
jagdish patel
25/10/2015 9:12 pm

Vividh websites jota lagese ke 3November ni aas pas arebian sea valu low gujrat baju aave se tamaru su kevu se sar

Ankita
Ankita
25/10/2015 8:35 pm

Is arabian sea low pressure area will affect gujarat