Note: IMD has initially used number ARB02 but that number pertains to the Deep Depression over Arabian Sea in June 2015. Later in all subsequent Bulletins pertaining to this System IMD has used the correct number ARB03/2015/ with the Bulletin number. This note has been added on 11th October 2015.
Update: on 9th October 2015 @ 8.00 am. IST
The Well Marked Low Pressure over the Eastcentral Arabian Sea is expected to concentrate to Depression, so we should wait for IMD confirmation. The System is expected to track mainly Northerly direction till 12th and then track Northwest direction after reaching West of Goa-South Konkan
અરબી સમુદ્ર વાળું વેલ માર્કડ લો પ્રેસર ડીપ્રેસન ની માત્રા એ આજે પોન્ચશે. જોકે IMD પુષ્ટિ કરે ત્યારે પાકું સમજવું. સીસ્ટમ 12 તારીખ સુધી મુખ્યત્વે ઊત્તર તરફ ગતિ કરશે.ગોવા દક્ષીણ કોંકણ ની પશ્ચિમે આવ્યા બાદ ઊત્તર પશ્ચિમ તરફ ગતિ કરશે.
The JTWC has issued a TCFA (Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert) for Arabian Sea 91A.INVEST
91A.INVEST over Eastcentral Arabian Sea Location 14.0 N. & 70.7 E. with winds of 30 knots with 1000 millibar Central Pressure on 9th October NRL IR Satellite Image @ 0200 UTC
The Well Marked Low Pressure area over Northeast Bay of Bengal has tracked over Bangladesh near Chittagong and is now over Mizoram &Myanmar border areas. The current location is 22.7 N & 93.1 E.
92B.INVEST now over land ( Northeastern States) Location Lat. 22.7 N. & 93.1 E. 25 knots and 1004 millibar Central Pressure on 9th October NRL IR Satellite Image @ 0200 UTC ( 07.30 am. IST )
Sir I want know that as per Imd the storm realy across saurastra sea sore on 13 Oct is fact or otherwise across any other side in gujrat state.plz reply
ahi update ma apel chhe etle bijo koi jawab nathi.
karshan modhvadia
09/10/2015 10:09 pm
Saheb Porbandar Port par 1 number nu bhaysuchak singnal lagadva ma aavyu chhe… mara khayal thi 1 number atle khas koi bhay jevu na kevay… aap nu 7 tarikh nu j anuman chhe haji ke kai fer far dekhay chhe aagad aapne ?
Savcheti roope Government te badhu aiyari karvi padey ane loko ne jaan karvi pade.
Aapade pan ahi Chetavani api didhi chhe ke IMD na Bulletin pramane chalo.
ramsibhai k
09/10/2015 8:15 pm
Sir jamkhambhali baju vrsad avani skyata khari sir tv9 ma agahi apese sir jvab apo sir dhor no saro bagde nhi sir jvab apo sir tmara jvab ni vat jov sir pils
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mustak bariwala
09/10/2015 5:56 pm
Sir aaje thoro vadar thaya chhe ane pavan ni disha ma par fer far thayo chhe aaje monsoon ni pavan par fukai chhe su aa pavan thi sistem gujarat taraf aavana chans chhe?
Haal na anooman moojab System Gujarat sudhi nathi ponchti. Tamoe System ni vaat karta hov em samji ne jawab apel chhe.
rasik vadalia
09/10/2015 4:29 pm
jsk sir
Precipitation forecasts from the National centers for Environmental Prediction . na lamba gada na naksha ma Dt. 7-10-2015 to 16-10-2015 sudhi 200 m.m. thi 250 m.m. varasad no kalar Saurashtra ane Gujarat upar batavto hto. te me agau joyel htu . Mne joyel tarikh atyare yad nthi pan andaje 30-9-2015 aaspas aa kalar batavto hto . Ane atyare te kalar batavto nthi . To aam thavanu karan su hoy ? To aana vishe tamaru manmavya shu thay che te janavva vinanti kru chu . Ans. Aapjo plz sir .
Haal parchuran sharkyata chhe karan ke System Gujarat sudhi ponchti nathi.
Bhavik
09/10/2015 2:16 pm
Deep depretion in 24hr Due to the deep depresion over arebian sea its a possibility of Scatter shower to medium rain for saurastra and south gujrat for 2 day after 48hr by indian metrological department.
What u say this is right
The first paragraph of my update already has that IMD Bulletio if you care to click the link !
Meraman bhai
09/10/2015 11:22 am
jam khambhaliya
thanks sir.
sir aapda (khambhaliya) vistar ma haji mavatha ni khas jarur che j. pan magafali na chhota bhega karava etle hamna sir mavtha ni kevik aasha che? magfali bhegi kari lye ane varsad aave to dhor nu khavanu sav puru thay jay. ane 5-6 divas bhegu na kariye to pan sukay jay. sir aame mujay gaya. to sir hamana mavathani kevik sakyata che. sir plz javab aapjo. aapn chahak na jay siyaram.
sir gujarat side avse k nai…a kai tarikh sudhi ma khbr pdi jase??
Update vancho aajni.
Sir I want know that as per Imd the storm realy across saurastra sea sore on 13 Oct is fact or otherwise across any other side in gujrat state.plz reply
IMD has never said that it will come towards Saurashtra.
Sir 1983 Ma je vavoojado gujrat uper aavyu hatu te kya sagar ma thi aavyu hatu? ?te kevi rete aavyu hatu??
Haal te mahiti oopar dhyaan devano samay nathi.
Sir Mara anuman pamane system tuti teu lage Che te sachu Che cola image ma jota
Sar varsad aavavani sakayta se news ma kaheseke vavazodu aavase aavat sachise pilz sar javab aapo
Te news vara ne khabar hoi.
ahi update ma apel chhe etle bijo koi jawab nathi.
Saheb Porbandar Port par 1 number nu bhaysuchak singnal lagadva ma aavyu chhe… mara khayal thi 1 number atle khas koi bhay jevu na kevay… aap nu 7 tarikh nu j anuman chhe haji ke kai fer far dekhay chhe aagad aapne ?
Haal 7 tarikh varu ganvanu.
Navi update jaroor pramane avashe.
Sir arebian sea ma deep depression thavani sambhavana ch6 K kem. Tenathi saurashtra ne koe fayado thase k kem
aagala jawab aaje anek var apel chhe te vancho.
Sir 22 Oct 1975 nu Vavajodu thi u tu is time ma 11 es Varsad thiyo to Porbandar ma maru anuman sasu sir?? Please answer
Te mahiti varsad ni haal nathi. Vavazodu thayu te sachu.
Sar pchdiya vadlo ni asar akha saurastr MA thase ke matr dariya kinara na vistar MA j sar ansr pls.
Gamey tyan… poochhada nu nakki hoi ?
Sir thanks navi update mate
Sir koi pan sistam UAC thi cyclone sudhi pahoche to teni felav trijya vadhe ke nahi?
evu kai na hoi. Kyarek nabadi System na vadada vadhu vistar ma ver vikher hoi.
Fix nathi
Sistam ne pagle magrol okha veraval jafrabad mumbai bandre 1no. Nu singnal. fromTv9 news
Savcheti roope Government te badhu aiyari karvi padey ane loko ne jaan karvi pade.
Aapade pan ahi Chetavani api didhi chhe ke IMD na Bulletin pramane chalo.
Sir jamkhambhali baju vrsad avani skyata khari sir tv9 ma agahi apese sir jvab apo sir dhor no saro bagde nhi sir jvab apo sir tmara jvab ni vat jov sir pils
ahi aakho divas jawab apel chhe …. vancho toe khabar pade ne bhai!
Parchuran asar thaay.
Baaki vadhu TV9 ne khabar !
amara jeva amuke haju magfali upadi nathi tene faydo (saurastra ma
Ashok bhai Etv, tv9 par breaking news aave chhe ke gujarat ma vavojodu ane varsad aavse aa. vaat sachhi chhe answer aapjo.
Te ETV per breaking news chhe em tamo kaho chho….. etle teo ne khabar hoi.
Marey je kahevanu chhe te ahi update ma apel chhe.
Sir have to avta jeth mahina ma varsad ni rah jovani rahi ne ke haji koy sara varsad ni sakyta che
Hu lamba gaadani aagahi karto nathi. Update ma je hoi te samajvanu.
Sir,
Gujarat ma varsad kyare aavche
And
Khas amara vistarma
Girgadhada Gir somnath jilo
agad jawab vancho aaj na.
sistam vadhu majbut bane ane vadhare gheravo leye tema faydo
Kene faydo ?
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Sir aaje thoro vadar thaya chhe ane pavan ni disha ma par fer far thayo chhe aaje monsoon ni pavan par fukai chhe su aa pavan thi sistem gujarat taraf aavana chans chhe?
Haal shakyata ochhi chhe.
sir aavnara divasoma varsad mavtha ni sakyata chee.
Parchuran shakyata chhe poochhadiya vadadado ne hisabe.
Sorry sir tmaru mantavya su thay am vachjo .
Ave to Gujarat ma kyare pohche
Haal na anooman moojab System Gujarat sudhi nathi ponchti. Tamoe System ni vaat karta hov em samji ne jawab apel chhe.
jsk sir
Precipitation forecasts from the National centers for Environmental Prediction . na lamba gada na naksha ma Dt. 7-10-2015 to 16-10-2015 sudhi 200 m.m. thi 250 m.m. varasad no kalar Saurashtra ane Gujarat upar batavto hto. te me agau joyel htu . Mne joyel tarikh atyare yad nthi pan andaje 30-9-2015 aaspas aa kalar batavto hto . Ane atyare te kalar batavto nthi . To aam thavanu karan su hoy ? To aana vishe tamaru manmavya shu thay che te janavva vinanti kru chu . Ans. Aapjo plz sir .
Etle laamba gaada oopar vishwash na bese.
dar 6 kalake taran fariya rakhtu hoi. etle best andaj aapade karvo padey.
Sir
Porbandar-Veraval patima varsad avi sake?
System Saurashtra sudhi nathi avati maate poochhadiya vadadani parchuran asas thai shake.
Sir sistam dip dipretion thaya ni imd ae pushti aapi.
Evu kai nathi.
IMD em kahe chhe ke avata 48 kalak ma Deep Depression thashe.
Versad avse kharo
Haal parchuran sharkyata chhe karan ke System Gujarat sudhi ponchti nathi. poochhadiya vadada ni asar thai shake.
To pachi sir saurashtra ma ketla divas ma rain aavani sambhavna rahe che
Saurashra ma khas moti asar thaay tevu haal nathi lagtu. Chhata savcheti rakhvi. System Saurashtra Gujarat sudhi ponche tevu nathi lagtu.
Sir gujarat par mavthu avani shakyata khari ke nahi
Haal parchuran sharkyata chhe karan ke System Gujarat sudhi ponchti nathi.
Deep depretion in 24hr Due to the deep depresion over arebian sea its a possibility of Scatter shower to medium rain for saurastra and south gujrat for 2 day after 48hr by indian metrological department.
What u say this is right
This has been already given in my forecast dated 7th. That some clouding would come over Gujarat & Saurashtra after 10th.
Whether it is a Deep Depression or not some clouding would be coming near. System will remain away from Gujarat.
Thanks for update
Sir magfli upadva ma thodak divs dhiru revay ke?
aa badhu tamare nakki karvanu hoi. kai magafali ne kya khetar ma ketle time haale tem chhe.
Vadhu vaar lagado toe magfali oopadvama ditiya tuti jaay.
ha sir have varsad no aave temaj kheduto ne faydo che sir thank sir
Sir aavarshe je varsaw ni dhat chhe te anlino ni asar ne lidhe chhe ke koi bija ne lidhe .sir lopresar jova mate kai link chhe te aapasho
El Nino alag alag Gaam ne goti goti ne dharode varsad ma ane amook baju vaada gaam ne kahe tamoe ‘ek tana karo’ (ochho varsad) evu kai nathi.
koi karan joiy etle El Nino na naame haankvanu.
Arabian sea depression next 23 hours deep depression
Update na pahela paragraph ma apel chhe te link click karo toe.
Sir just got the msg from IMD that it would convert into deep depression in next 24 hours.
The first paragraph of my update already has that IMD Bulletio if you care to click the link !
jam khambhaliya
thanks sir.
sir aapda (khambhaliya) vistar ma haji mavatha ni khas jarur che j. pan magafali na chhota bhega karava etle hamna sir mavtha ni kevik aasha che? magfali bhegi kari lye ane varsad aave to dhor nu khavanu sav puru thay jay. ane 5-6 divas bhegu na kariye to pan sukay jay. sir aame mujay gaya. to sir hamana mavathani kevik sakyata che. sir plz javab aapjo. aapn chahak na jay siyaram.
Haal parchuran shakyata chhe, poochhadiya ne hisabe.
Sir tapman ma gatado kyare avse?
aavati kaal thi thodo farak ane avivar thi thodo vadhu farak padshe. Garmi ma thodi rahat thava mandshe.
Sir aa dipression thi junagadh and porbandar baju Kay varsad ni sakyata 6?pls ans aapjo
Khas kai nathi. Parchuran shakyata chhe poochhadiya vadado ni.
sir haju eno track nakki nathi ne kadach a pachu gujrat per avi sake sir ane sir dipresion ma thi deep dipresion bane pachij cyclone thay ne sir.
IMD depression ni jaherat kare eni raah jovani chhe. Joke tenathi vadhu jor aa System kare evu haju lagtu nathi.
New update aapava badal thaks sir
Sir arben vali sistem na puchadiya vadado thi kai faydo thase kharo?
Poochhadiya jeva vadada na mavatha athava varsad ma faydo thai ke nuksan te toe kheduto ne khabar.
Good morning sir
its a good news for us
Thanks
Etle em ke mavathu nathi jotu…. magafali palo vigere palare nahi !