Atmospheric Instability & WD – Possibility Of Unseasonal Showers Over Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat 27th/29th March

Current Weather Conditions on 27th March 2015

The Maximum Temperature as well as Minimum Temperature have been way above normal last four days over most parts of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat with Heat Wave conditions over some pockets of all these regions. The Maximum Temperature and Minimum Temperature yesterday for some locations were as follows :

temperature_260315_1

There is an atmospheric instability over South Rajasthan & adjoining Gujarat region. Yesterday there was clouding stretching from Arabian Sea and over parts of Saurashtra and North Gujarat and West Rajasthan and North India.

Forecast: 27th to 30th March 2015

 

Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat:

 

Currently there is an atmospheric instability over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kucth region. A fresh Western Disturbance as an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation would affect North India from 28th March. The trough of Low at 500 Mb associated with this System would affect Rajasthan and Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch around 29th March. Due to atmospheric instability and the effects of WD there is a possibility of scattered showers over parts of Saurashtra, Gujarat and Kutch on 27th/29th March. See maps below for forecast rain/shower areas.

The Maximum as well as the Minimum Temperature is expected to remain high and above normal till 28th March and subsequently again decline towards normal by 30th March.

 

COLA/IGES Precipitation Forecast Map
Valid for 24 hours ending 00 UTC 28th March 2015 ( for 27th March)

india3.24hr_270315

COLA/IGES Precipitation Forecast Map
Valid for 24 hours ending 00 UTC 30th March 2015 ( for 29th March)

 

india3.72hr_270315

 

COLA/IGES 500 Mb. Vorticity Forecast Map
Valid for 24 hours ending 00 UTC 30th March 2015 ( for 29th March)

india1.72hr_270315

 

COLA/IGES Sea Level Pressure Forecast Map
Valid for 24 hours ending 00 UTC 30th March 2015 ( for 29th March)

india2.72hr_270315

 

Rest of India: 27th March to 31st March 2015

 

The incoming Western Disturbance will  give rain to North India from 28th March affecting Jammu & Kashmir, Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, H.P., UK., Delhi, West U.P. as the rain belt shifts Eastwards during the forecast period.

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 27th March 2015

akila_270315