Southwest Monsoon Has Withdrawn From Western Parts Of Rajasthan – Scattered Showers On Some Days For Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch – 4th to 9th September 2015

Current Weather Conditions on 4th September 2015 @ 8.00 pm. IST

Weather Conditions:

As per IMD the Southwest Monsoon has withdrawn from Western parts of Rajasthan. The withdrawal line passes through Anupgarh, Nagaur, Jodhpur and Barmer. Conditions are conducive for further withdrawal of Southwest Monsoon from some more parts of Northwest India during next 3-4 days.

 

IMD Map of Withdrawal of Southwest Monsoon

Withdrawal_040915

IMD Criteria for Withdrawal of Southwest Monsoon:

a) Withdrawal from extreme north-western parts of the country is not attempted before 1st September.

b) After 1st September:

The following major synoptic features are considered for the first withdrawal from the Western parts of NW India.

i) Cessation of rainfall activity over the area for continuous 5 days.
ii) Establishment of Anticyclone in the Lower Troposphere (850 hPa and below)
iii) Considerable reduction in moisture content as inferred from satellite water vapor imageries and tephigrams.

Further Withdrawal from the Country:

i) Further withdrawal from the country is declared, keeping the spatial continuity, reduction in moisture as seen in the water vapor imageries and prevalence of dry weather for 5 days.
ii) SW monsoon is from the southern peninsula and hence from the entire country only after 1st October, when the circulation pattern indicates a change over from the Southwesterly wind regime.

There is an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over Comorin area & neighbourhood between 1.5 & 3.1 km above mean sea level.

There is an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over Saurashtra & Kutch and neighbourhood between 3.1 & 5.8 km above mean sea level.

The feeble Western Disturbance as an upper air trough in the Mid Tropospheric Westerlies roughly along Longitude 60.0°E and North of Latitude 30.0°N persists.

 

Forecast: 4th to 9th September 2015

Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat

Few places got some light rain on one or two days and scattered showers over some more places of Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch.  Scattered showers or light rain over parts of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat on few days of forecast period. IMD as well as COLA/IGES maps are given for 7th to 9th September showing possible areas of scattered showers/light rain.

Monsoon is not yet over for Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch.

 

IMD GFS (T574) 850 hPa Winds (kt) & Rainfall (mm)

valid 00 UTC 8th September 2015 (for 7th September)

 

96hGFS574w850rf_040915

IMD GFS (T574) 850 hPa Winds (kt) & Rainfall (mm)

valid 00 UTC 9th September 2015 (for 8th September)

 

120hGFS574w850rf_040915

IMD GFS (T574) 850 hPa Winds (kt) & Rainfall (mm)

valid 00 UTC 10th September 2015 (for 9th September)

 

144hGFS574w850rf_040915

COLA/IGES Forecast Precipitation Valid 00 UTC 08-09-2015 ( for 7th September)

india3.96hr_040915

 

 

COLA/IGES Forecast Precipitation Valid 00 UTC 09-09-2015 ( for 8th September )

 

india3.120hr_040915

 

COLA/IGES Forecast Precipitation Valid 00 UTC 10-09-2015 ( for 9th September)

 

india3.144hr_040915

 

 

તારીખ 4 સપ્ટેમ્બર 2015 રાત્રે 8.00 વાગ્યે

હવામાન ખાતા મૂજબ દક્ષીણ પશ્ચિમ ચોમાસું પશ્ચિમ રાજસ્થાન ના અમૂક ભાગ માંથી આજે વિદાય લીધી. હાલ ચોમાસું વિદાય રેખા અનૂપગઢ નાગોર જોધપુર અને બારમેર માંથી પાસ થાય છે.

કન્યાકુમારી થી દક્ષીણે એક UAC છે જે 1.5 કિમી થી 3.1 કિમી ના લેવલે છે.

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને કચ્છ અને લાગુ અરબી સમુદ્ર ઉપર એક UAC છે 3.1 કિમી ના લેવલે.

વેસ્ટર્ન ડીસ્ટર્બન્સ હાલ પશ્ચિમી પવન ના અપર એર ટ્રફ તરીખે 60 ડિગ્રી E. અને 30 ડીગ્રી N. ઉપર છે.

 

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર કચ્છ ગુજરાત:

તારીખ 4 સપટેમ્બર થી 9 સપટેમ્બર 2015

અમૂક વિસ્તાર માં હળવો માધ્યમ વરસાદ પડેલ તેમજ અનેક જગ્યાએ ઝાપટા પડેલ છે. તારીખ 4 થી 9 સપટેમ્બર સુધી અંશત વાદળ છાયું વાતાવરણ રહેશે. આગાહી સમય માં અમૂક દિવસે ઝાપટા/હળવો વરસાદ ની શક્યતા છે જેમાં આગાહી સમય ના પાછલા દિવસો માં વધુ શક્યતા. તારીખ 7 થી 9 માટે IMD તેમજ COLA/IGES ના નકશા આપેલ છે.

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ માટે ચોમાસું હજુ પૂરું નથી થયું.

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manish rajpara
manish rajpara
07/09/2015 9:46 am

sir hal ochho varsad thayel 6 to su mavtha
no varsad thase khaeo
sakyata ganay

bharat patel
bharat patel
07/09/2015 8:17 am

Sir mare magfali upadvani see to varsad nadse

Umesh patel
Umesh patel
07/09/2015 8:00 am

Sir presure ketlu ane kya 6 …tena photo jota samjatu nathi..ke low kai rite thai ane pelo rekhao 6 te su suchve 6?

Umesh patel
Umesh patel
Reply to  Umesh patel
07/09/2015 8:07 am

Pachi 1:5 km na vadlo na tarikh10 phota ma je green ma 20 lakheli rekha ane gol tapku 6 green color nu te shu samjave 6 pls ans

Nirmal
Nirmal
07/09/2015 7:32 am

Áshokbhai stethoscope and injection Dr na hath ma j hoy to nidan complete thay….compounder na hath ma apva thi dardi nu nidan na Thai sake…. Thoda khus Thai jay compounder a vat sachi k Ame Dr. Thai gaya…jai kanaiya lal ki

k k bera
k k bera
06/09/2015 10:12 pm

Sir aagal na update ma sara news aapaso ji

kishan
kishan
06/09/2015 9:52 pm

Sir savarast ma varsad avava ni ketli
Sakayta

Ashok Vala (Keshod)
Ashok Vala (Keshod)
06/09/2015 9:47 pm

sir. cola/iges ni LINK apone. .

phone updet karyo ama badhi link delite thai gai. ane google ma cola map ave 6 pan ama india nathi avtu

Ramsibhai
Ramsibhai
06/09/2015 9:39 pm

Sir aje to grmi bav hati pan bpor pasi to pavan bav nikdi gyo to sir hve vrsad ni skyta khari sir amare jray vrsad nathi hve to pivanu Pani pan nathi distik jamkhambhali lage sir jvab apo pills

vajasi gojiya
vajasi gojiya
06/09/2015 9:20 pm

Sr.Gujarat ma kyare varsad thache

pradip
pradip
06/09/2015 7:35 pm

Sir chomasu dhari atiyare kiya che?

pradip
pradip
06/09/2015 7:34 pm

Sir accualweather ma date 17 tarikhe saurastra na badha centeroma thundrem batave che to varsad avvano sakiyata khari

suresh
suresh
06/09/2015 6:38 pm

Motipaneli ma varied asse ke su

vaibhav
vaibhav
06/09/2015 6:36 pm

sir madhya gujarat ma hajiy rain thayo nathi
sir aa varase chomasa jevu lagatu j nathi
sir varasad khechayo teni pachad nu koi karan!!!????

sunil
sunil
06/09/2015 6:34 pm

sir have to dushkal j pakku ne ?

saeed patel
saeed patel
06/09/2015 5:15 pm

Hon sir why not any reply my question once again in September chances of rain recently in south Gujarat.

Rck
Rck
06/09/2015 5:03 pm

U told that monsoon has been not over
but I asked that any heavy rain in future ???in September ???
please answer

Darshan
06/09/2015 4:47 pm

Bhur pavan no varsad to n aavyo..
Bdha to kye 6e k bhur pavan no varsad aavr j..
To kem ny aavto hoy !?

Raju
Raju
06/09/2015 2:53 pm

Sir arbi sanudra ma uac se te sourashtra ma avi sake?

Ane te low pressure banavani Ketla % sakyata se

Umesh patel
Umesh patel
06/09/2015 1:47 pm

Sir akash na vadlo jota lagtu nathi k 9 sudhi ma zapta pade. ane sir pakistan vala uac nu shu thayu?

ashok vala
ashok vala
06/09/2015 12:17 pm

sir. aje amare WN no pavan vay 6.
mara dada kahe chhe ke a a vayavya no pavan jyare vato tyare ame vadi nu kam muki papore ghare avta raheta. ane bapor bad gajvij sathe varsad avijato.
pan have a monsun caycal parivartan thata ava anumano kam karta nathi

jigar
jigar
06/09/2015 12:09 pm

Hello
according to cola images their is fair chance of medium rainfall in saurashtra and south guj.. And upto surendranagar am i right.. Sir frequently i dont ask question too many ppl ask u questions so we get ans directly.. Wht abt upcoming week for rain plz say something on this..
Thank you

Vatsal
Vatsal
06/09/2015 10:57 am

Sir,

Aa aagahi samay ma varshad nu praman ane vistar pa6al ni aagahi karata vadhu rahese?

Zala Ramsinh
Zala Ramsinh
06/09/2015 10:25 am

sir somasu Rajasthan na amuk bhago mathi vidai ledhi to somasu dhari normal pojisan (Rajasthan) par aavi sake ?

Ramesh Vadhel
Ramesh Vadhel
06/09/2015 9:39 am

Sir,
Kathivadi lakhuto….bhur pavana
koik koik lerakha aave chhe to
northwest chomasu pasufaratu
hoi to sathe varasad lavatu hoiche
chhe, Sir anuman kahesho.
Plz Ans

shail vachhani
shail vachhani
06/09/2015 9:12 am

Gujrat ma varsad kya time ma bhare thase?

k k bera
k k bera
06/09/2015 7:28 am

Sir have varsad thay tevu lagatu nathi sir tamaru shu anuman chhe

pradip
pradip
06/09/2015 12:07 am

Sir 9 to 15 tarikh thi varsadni sakiyata khari?Hu janu chu ke tame lamba gadani agahi nathi karta pan javab apava vinti

vipul rajput
vipul rajput
06/09/2015 12:03 am

Sir,cola preception maps ma 13 tarikh pachhi varshad nu precption saru batave che to su asarkar rehse?

Jitendrasinh parmar
Jitendrasinh parmar
05/09/2015 10:19 pm

sir saurastrama varsad ni kai sakyata khari

prakash chothani
prakash chothani
05/09/2015 9:40 pm

Sar chomashu Gujarat mathi vidai le tevu lage 6e

Ramsibhai
Ramsibhai
05/09/2015 9:36 pm

Sir saurasta ni su agahi se

Umesh patel
Umesh patel
05/09/2015 7:39 pm

Sir keral thi maharastra sudhi ma 1 dhari bani 6 tenathi apde kai faydo thay…..?

bharat patel
bharat patel
05/09/2015 7:36 pm

Magfali upadvi ke nahi

Sureshbhai
Sureshbhai
05/09/2015 7:05 pm

Sir GFS chart ma 9 km 24 km shu batave che ane vorticity ane isotash a shu khevay ? Samjavsho

paresh chandera
paresh chandera
05/09/2015 6:00 pm

sir dariya patti(mangrol-madhvpur)baju savare bhoor hoi ane 11 am bad pachim thi purv na pavno hoi ane purv ma vrsad nu jor thai aa 2 divas thi normaly e jor pachim baju agad vadhi japta aptu hoi pan te pachu purv ma dabai jai 6 tenu karn

niteshvadaviya
niteshvadaviya
05/09/2015 5:03 pm

Sir.pecific mahasagar ma 3 vavajoda temaj 7thi8 low chhe aatli vadhu halchal nu Karen su.

naresh popat
naresh popat
05/09/2015 2:22 pm

Sir paschim rajsathan mathi chomasu viday thai sir have kramsah kyathi viday lese chomasu ane tamara andaj mujab saurastra gujarat ma thi kai tarikhe viday levani sakyata che please reply sir

nilesh karena
nilesh karena
05/09/2015 2:20 pm

Gujarat par Aosa varsad nu Karan alanio ni ashar she.?

ankur savaliya
ankur savaliya
05/09/2015 12:34 pm

Sir kyay lopresar thavani sakyata

saeed patel
saeed patel
04/09/2015 10:16 pm

Chances of rain in may be in south Gujarat

bhavin patel
bhavin patel
04/09/2015 10:12 pm

Sir, it seems like condition is getting batter for rain in gujarat according to different graph.

niteshvadaviya
niteshvadaviya
04/09/2015 10:10 pm

Sir.imd ma monsoon kya thi Viday lidhi te ange na naksa ni jagya e rainfaal no nakso batave chhe.

devendra
devendra
04/09/2015 8:54 pm

Sir 8 9 tarikha ni cola image jota aewu lage che ke Madhya Gujarat ma varsad padi sake tem lage che.

sanjaybhai m patel
sanjaybhai m patel
04/09/2015 8:39 pm

sir. bhutkal. ma. rajsthan ma chomacha ni. vidai. pachi. sourastrama. kevok. varsad. padyo che biju. ke. rajsthan. ma. yogy. samay. karata ketali. vaheli. vidai. ganay

tejabhai patel
tejabhai patel
04/09/2015 8:39 pm

bhoor pavan su chhe?

Pintu Merja
Pintu Merja
04/09/2015 8:37 pm

Aagami 10/15 divash ma koi moti sistam bandhai avi koi skyta khari

tejabhai patel
tejabhai patel
04/09/2015 8:33 pm

utter gujaratmathi chomasu kyare viday lese? ane viday lidha pachhi bobma uac ane low thay to varasad aavi sake ? ke naj aave?

pradip
pradip
04/09/2015 8:28 pm

Sir saurastra, kutchh valu uac 9 tarikh pachi low ma thay tevu bani sake?

paresh chandera
paresh chandera
04/09/2015 8:25 pm

sir bob nu su thayu. Saurashtra mathi chomasu vidai le te pela sarvtrik varsad ni sakyata 6.

dharmendra antala
dharmendra antala
04/09/2015 8:07 pm

Chomasani viday pachhi mandani varsad thai ke nahi?