Low Pressure To Develop Over Bay Of Bengal By 28th August – Expected To Benefit Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch

Current Weather Conditions on 26th August 2014 @ 11.00 pm.

The rainfall activity had improved from 23rd August on wards and light to medium rainfall has been reported from many places in Gujarat & Saurashtra.

The Western end of Monsoon trough continues to run close to the foot-hills of the Himalayas while the Eastern end has shifted Southwards and now passes through Balya, Gaya, Jamshedpur,Balasore and thennce Southeastwards to North Bay of Bengal.

The Off-shore trough at mean sea level from South Maharashtra coast to Kerala coast persists.

The East West shear zone roughly along 17 N between 3.1 Kms. & 4.5 Kms. above mean sea level with an embedded Cyclonic Circulation over West Central Bay of Bengal & vicinity persists. Under its influence, a low pressure area would form over West Central & adjoining Northwest Bay of Bengal off North Andhra Pradesh- South Odisha coasts by 28th August.

 The Western disturbance as an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over Afghanistan & neighborhood extends uo to 3.1 Kms. above mean sea level persists.


 COLA/IGES GFS Precipitation Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 31st August 2014

 

india3.120hr_260814

 

COLA/IGES GFS Precipitation Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 1st September 2014

india3.144hr_20814

 

COLA/IGES  SLP Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 28th August 2014

india2.48hr_280814

COLA/IGES  SLP Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 31st August 2014

india2.120hr_260814

IMD MSL Pressure Forecast Map Valid for 1200 UTC 28th August 2014

 

IMD_mslp_260814

 

IMD Daily All India Mean Rainfall (mm./day) Forecast Till 2nd September 2014

GFS574rain-drf_260814

 

The above rainfall graph shows that rainfall activity over whole India average will be good in last two days of August as well as the first two days of September. Overall above average rainfall expected for India for week ending 2nd September.

 

Forecast: 27th August to 2nd September 2014

Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch :

27th to  29th August Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat scattered showers at a few places. South Gujarat and some parts of Central Gujarat could get off & on scattered light rain/showers during the forecast period.

30th August to 2nd September major portion of Saurashtra & Gujarat expected to get medium to heavy rainfall during the forecast period while some parts of Saurashtra & Gujarat would get light to medium rainfall. Kutch is also expected to get rain from this round, however, update will be given once the Low Pressure forms over the Bay of Bengal.

Overall looking at the current forecast models this round of rainfall will be better than the earlier round that has just ended.

forecast_260814

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ :

તારીખ ૨૭ ઓગસ્ટ થી ૨ સપ્ટેમ્બર ૨૦૧૪:

આગલો રાઉન્ડ પૂરો થયો છે પરંતુ તારીખ ૨૭ થી ૨૯ ના સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને ગુજરાત માં છુટા છવાયા ઝાપટા અને દક્ષીણ ગુજરાત ને મધ્ય ગુજરાત માં છુટા છવાયા ઝાપટા અથવા હળવો વરસાદ.

નવો રાઉન્ડ:
તારીખ ૩૦ ઓગસ્ટ થી ૨ સપ્ટેમ્બર દરમ્યાન સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને ગુજરાત ના મોટા ભાગ માં મધ્યમ અને ભારે વરસાદ થશે બાકી ના વિસ્તારો માં હળવો માધ્યમ વરસાદ થશે. કચ્છ માં વરસાદ ના ઊજળા સંજોગો છે પરંતુ બંગાળની ખાડી માં લો પ્રેસર થયે કચ્છ માટે ની અપડેટ આપવામાં આવશે.

આગળ રાઉન્ડ કરતા આ રાઉન્ડ માં વરસાદ ની વધુ આશા છે.

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Vipul Patel
Vipul Patel
01/09/2014 11:29 pm

sir ,no question but I what to say thanks for what you are doing for me,for us for Gujarat and for lndia.

anil gami
anil gami
29/08/2014 3:32 pm

vadal vikhay gya hoy tevu lage se sir

chirag koradiya
chirag koradiya
28/08/2014 9:35 pm

Next update kyare apso????sir

Hitesh patel
Hitesh patel
28/08/2014 9:24 pm

Insat jota evu lage 6 k uttar guj ma thi varsad saru thase tame su kaho 6o sir

kishor patel
kishor patel
28/08/2014 9:05 pm

Sit,low pressour well mark ma parivartit thavani sambhavana che?

pratik findoriya
pratik findoriya
28/08/2014 8:44 pm

sir aa raund ma jam kandorana ma kevok varsad thase

shiroya Pravin
shiroya Pravin
28/08/2014 8:26 pm

Sir, aje amreli jilla na dhari na gir vistar ma 2 thi 3 inch jevo varsad thayo chhe setruji nadi ma thodu pur hatu.

Patel Sarju
Patel Sarju
28/08/2014 8:22 pm

Sir surat ma varsad kevo rehse!

jignesh patel
jignesh patel
28/08/2014 7:58 pm

Good night..sir…. arvalli zilla ma kevo varshad thase….

nayan patel
nayan patel
28/08/2014 7:25 pm

when u will give new update?

nilesh
nilesh
28/08/2014 7:21 pm

Sir, rajkot name paddhari taluk a ma kai tarikhe Sara ma saro varsad thavani sambhavna lage che. Nava updet mujab

mitesh kothiya
28/08/2014 7:14 pm

Sir this rain round is working to all saurastra or much coastal area?

r.h.dangar
r.h.dangar
28/08/2014 7:12 pm

Sir navi update kyare aapvama aavse?

Raj
Raj
28/08/2014 6:48 pm

Sir what will be the forecast for Ahmedabad and surrounding area in this period? Plz reply.

Jadeja gauravsinh
Jadeja gauravsinh
28/08/2014 5:37 pm

Sir for rajkot area any number how much rain in mm

Suresh ladani
Suresh ladani
28/08/2014 5:15 pm

Sir aa round ma junagadh dist.ma ketlo varsad avi sake

darshan raiyani
darshan raiyani
28/08/2014 4:10 pm

Sir me tamri application download karel chhee tema avu karone k tamara mukela forcast msg nu automatic notification male

paresh
paresh
28/08/2014 4:09 pm

Sir; low pressure ketlu strong chhe.ketla mm sushi varshad ni sakyata chhe

Dipak
Dipak
28/08/2014 3:48 pm

Sir, Porbandar Ma Aa Low Pressure Thi Varsad Thase And Saro K Hadvo…??

vivek patel
vivek patel
28/08/2014 3:39 pm

Latipur ma kevo parse andaje 3 4eich jevo

sandesh bhanderi
sandesh bhanderi
28/08/2014 3:29 pm

Sir bob nu low pressur gujarat ma avse

jay
jay
28/08/2014 3:29 pm

sir according to imd this system is towards andrapradesh & then karnataka & maharashtra only scatterd showers for gujarat sir what will u say on that

Tamaru naam ahi lakhvanu
28/08/2014 2:36 pm

talaja,palitana,mahuva na 70% gramya vistarma satat bija divse sari varsha..ashokbhini agahi sachot 6e..thanx sirji

jigar saraswat
jigar saraswat
28/08/2014 2:30 pm

hello sir,
surendranagar ma kevo varsad rese ne kai tarike
thank you

nirav patel
nirav patel
28/08/2014 2:13 pm

Sir rajkot jilla ma varshad no round ke vo rahese plase sir javab aapjo

Bhavesh
Bhavesh
28/08/2014 2:12 pm

Doraji ma varsad av6

Amin
Amin
28/08/2014 1:56 pm

Arabian Sea ma pavan ni gati kevi rah se 4 ke 5 tarikh sudhi

Jignesh Khant
Jignesh Khant
28/08/2014 12:47 pm

Sir
Next 30 aug. To 2 sep. Sudhi na round ma DAM bharavani shakyata
Ketli ?
Aa law pressure thi ketla intch sudhi varsad padse ?

dr rajesh
dr rajesh
28/08/2014 12:06 pm

Sir aa round kyarthi kya sudhi saurashtra ma 6

Ramesh vadhel
Ramesh vadhel
28/08/2014 11:49 am

Dhasa gadhada vistar ma varasad no navo raund kevo ane kevi matrama rahechhe. Plz ans

ashokbhai kanani
ashokbhai kanani
28/08/2014 11:45 am

sir jamnagar ma kevo varsad thase

hemendra.r.solanki
hemendra.r.solanki
28/08/2014 10:29 am

sir surendranagar d.s.ma aa sistam thi kevo varsad thase.ane kai date ma.plese replay sir.

dr rajesh
dr rajesh
28/08/2014 8:58 am

Sir kalavad ma aa system thi kevo varsad thase

raju ahir
raju ahir
28/08/2014 7:09 am

Sir a vakhate varasad thase Kya low pressure se

N.S.Makhela
N.S.Makhela
28/08/2014 7:02 am

Sir
28th LoPresar. Thay giyu. ?
Tena Vise kayk Kaho Pls

bhupat
bhupat
28/08/2014 12:17 am

Botad jilla ma kevok varsad thase

anil gami
anil gami
27/08/2014 11:18 pm

sir gondal jetpur na vache na patta ma jordar varshad thayo 7:50to9:00 su dhi dhodhmar

pradip
pradip
27/08/2014 11:08 pm

sir tankara vistarma varsad ketla mm thase aa roundma?

gajendrasinh
gajendrasinh
27/08/2014 10:05 pm

Sir .

Aa round ma junagadh ma varsad thase?

pradip
pradip
27/08/2014 9:50 pm

Sir sauratra ma 29tarikathi varsad ni asar Chalu Thai jase?

jigar
jigar
27/08/2014 9:42 pm

Hello sir,
surendranagar mate kem rese avakhte ne kai date per

Chetan
Chetan
27/08/2014 9:26 pm

North gujrat atle sabarkatha ma varsad kevo che?…

Nikit patel
Nikit patel
27/08/2014 9:24 pm

what amount of rain will happen in anand area in this round?

bansipatel
bansipatel
27/08/2014 9:22 pm

godal ma varsad kevo tha6

nitin kasundara
nitin kasundara
27/08/2014 9:10 pm

Paddhare ma kavo varsad yav 6

Vavadiya Vitthal
Vavadiya Vitthal
27/08/2014 9:09 pm

Rajkot jila ma aa raund kevo rhese…?

tejabhai
tejabhai
27/08/2014 8:28 pm

Sir.
West b.k.ma bobna low Thi kevo varasad thase?

Ronak Patel
Ronak Patel
27/08/2014 8:24 pm

Aravalli ni update apo