Update Dated 1st October 2018
Meteorogical Conditions based on IMD Mid-Day Bulletin:
The Southwest Monsoon has further withdrawn from remaining parts of Rajasthan, entire Jammu & Kashmir, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, West Uttar Pradesh, some parts of East Uttar Pradesh, West & East Madhya Pradesh and some more parts of Gujarat state & North Arabian Sea.
The withdrawal line of Southwest Monsoon now passes through Bahraich, Nowgong, Bhopal, Indore, Bharuch, Veraval, lat. 21.0°N/long. 65.0°E and lat. 21.0°N/ long. 60.0°E.
Conditions are favorable for further withdrawal of Southwest Monsoon from remaining parts of East Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat and North Arabian Sea, some parts of Bihar, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh and Maharashtra during next 2-3 days.
A Low Pressure area is likely to develop over Southeast Arabian sea around 6th October. It is likely to intensify into a Depression and move Northwestwards during subsequent 48 hours. Fishermen are advised not to venture into Southeast & Central Arabian Sea from 07th October, 2018 on wards. Fishermen at deep sea areas of Southeast & Central Arabian Sea are advised to return to coast before 07th October.
Current Weather Conditions on 1st October 2018
The weather has remained dry and sunny during the last few days. The Maximum Temperature has increased and is above normal on 30th September as under:
Ahmedabad Maximum Temperature was 37.4 C and was 2 C above normal.
Rajkot Maximum Temperature was 37.9 C and was 2 C above normal.
Amreli Maximum Temperature was 37.4 C and was 2 C above normal.
Bhuj Maximum Temperature was 40.2 C and was 4 C above normal.
Advance Indication: 7th October to 14th October 2018
There is a likelihood of a development of a Low Pressure over Arabian Sea during this period. The System is expected to strengthen significantly. The Forecast track is currently uncertain since it is oscillating on a Daily basis from Gujarat to Pakistan to Oman at at times towards Yemen, depending upon various Forecast Models and Forecast Runs. Updates will be published as and when there is better clarity on the Forecast outcome.
આગોતરું એંધાણ : 7ઓક્ટોબર થી 14 ઓક્ટોબર 2018
અરબી સમુદ્ર માં એક લો પ્રેસર થવાની શક્યતા જણાય છે અને ક્રમશ મજબૂત સિસ્ટમ ની શક્યતા છે. વિવિધ ફોરકાસ્ટ મોડલ તેમજ દર રોજ ના ફોરકાસ્ટ રન મુજબ સંભવિત સિસ્ટમ નો ફોરકાસ્ટ ટ્રેક બહુ ઝોલા ખાય છે જે ક્યારેક ગુજરાત તરફ તો ક્યારેક પાકિસ્તાન તરફ તો ક્યારેક ઓમાન તરફ અને ક્યારેક યેમેન તરફ ગતિ કરે છે. જેમ જેમ નિશ્ચિતતા દેખાશે તેમ અપડેટ થશે
Caution:Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC/Government Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.
સાવચેતી:સ્ટોર્મ કે હવામાન અંગે ની માહિતી માટે ભારતીય હવામાન ખાતા/ગવર્મેન્ટ ના બુલેટીન/સુચના પર નિર્ભર રહેવું.
sir
system nu haju clear nathi pan vasasad aav chhe badha model vasad nu to batavej chhe 4,5days thi.
Atyarthi magaj kharab na karo ke system ahiya jay Che ne tya jay che karanke badhaj forecast models apadne ramade Che. Final track 7th ke 8th pachij khabar padse ane atyare koij system bani nathi Arab ma. 8 tarikh sudhi badha jovanu chodi do tya sudhi kasuj kehvay nai ke Kya jase
Sir last BOB no vavajodu western disturbance ne lidhe teno track northwest mathi Northeast thyi gyo gujrat poche pela t aa j system bnse ane Western disturbance asr kre k n kre ane jo te smay Western disturbance hoy t te system te baju khenchay k?
WD Pashchim thi Poorva jaati hoy chhe.
સર..
અરબી સમુદ્ર ની સીસ્ટમ ની શકિત.. રૃટ.. સંભવિત અસર.. બધુ જ અ-નિશ્ચિત છે.. હાલમાં તો અહક.. અભ્યાસ.. અને લોહી ઉકાળો..
sir sistam kai date thase te janavso.ane te aapda saurast thi ketla km dur hase?
Gai kaal ni update ma lakhel chhe. 6th October aaspaas Low thay.
Sri aa sistam Oman baju gati karse evu dekhay
Sar Aje skaymet vala 1:15 news am kahechhe oman yaman baju Jase to sachu ketlu
Je kahetu hoy tene khabar !
Thankyu
Sir skaymet nu 15 day forecast modal che Ema to arbi vari shistom Gujarat upar thaine pasar thay che. Jo em hale to Gujarat ma anradhar varsad varsi Jay
Sir low thase vavazodu thase avo kedino loy ukaro kare badha fb.whatsup.tv ma to aevu bani sake ke kay thayj nahi model na andaj sav khota pade ?
Badhu shakya chhe. Dakhala trikhe Samanya Depression thai ne puru thai jaay.
hi sir,
sir aa je system bani che aeno final track kyare khyal pade k te kai baju agad vadhse??? atyare to koi track final nathi thato to andaje kyare final track teno jani shakye?? plz ans sir…thx
Koi System nathi bani.
Sir system to aarab taraf jati janay che???
Je var na geet gavay chhe.ene ghodiye chadya pela vadhavva ghana desho(pakistan oman (yaman) india ) taiyar chhe…haji varrajae kapda pan sivdavya nathi! Tyan to bhadanu man var ne jova mor banine thanganat karva mandyu chhe!
Sir windy ane tropical titbit aa cyclone oman taraf jay evu batave chhe
Jsk.Sir. Chomasha ni viday thaya pachi varsad (Mavtha) ma koi pan levale Humidity ni ashar jova ni hoy ke na hoy ???
Humidity na hoy toe System te vistar baju jaay tyare nabadi padi jaay (olvaay jaay)
sir hal model par thi avu lage che system oman baju jase…
Sir aa cyclone jovu hoy to kevi rite jovay
Ahi jovo https://www.windy.com/?22.300,70.783,5,i:pressure
Ha aaykhu khuli rakhvani toe dekhashe !!
Ama to lagtu nathi ke gujrat ma avase
Sir system dharoke Oman taraf jati rahe to apadne Gujarat ma eni thodi effect dekhay khari ane varsad avi sake kharo ena lidhe?
Toe Puchhada bhag ma aavey etle teno varsad thay.
Tornado ke evu kaik hoy tyare Pani machhala vagere upper chade teni vat chhe?tyare air pressure ketlu hoy?
Tornado bahu nanu hoy comared to vavazody.
Tornado babat vancho ahi https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tornado
sir.colla ma cular ghato thato jay 6.date.9 thi 17.ane windly ma sistam oman taraf jati lage 6.date.11ma.?
Sir daban ketlu nichu thay to samudra nu Pani Pani svarupe upper chadavaMande?
?
Sir cola ma sistam sindh upar jay a vu lage che?
sir che cyclone bane che enu name oman taraf thi avyu che Luban.
Sir 12 date aaspass Bob ma kaik low jevu dekhay che teni asar Gujarat ne Thai shke?
Badhi System Special Gujarat maate j na baanti hoy !
Haju ghani var chhe… kai nakki na hoy
Initially khiye toh a system aj na forcast jota evu lage che oman ke Yemen jase pan hju pan fer far thay che.
Sir,oman vala a cyclone ne LUBAN avu namkaran kryu che?????
Ane skymate vala te cyclone Oman baju gati krse evu kahe che to skymate a GFS adharit agahi hoy che???
Normally Skymet ma GFS forecast hoy chhe.
“Luban” Oman Taraf Jay che
Sir Aje to System Oman taraf jati dekhay che windy ma.
sir weather aap ma sistem Yemen taraf jati hoy tevu batave chhe
System track banate matmatantar bhale ne hoy,pan saurashtra-kuchchh ma varsad padshe evu badha j forecast model last 4 divas thi batave chhe.
Sir thanks for update
Sir vavajodu kadash no to varsad avaseke nay
Shu ?
As it looks, the system is expected to come up in the lower latitude and will go for Yemen and Oman following a west-northwest direction: skymet
Sir je Serbian sa je Sistam Oman tarf Jay tevu lage se ??
aaj na jawab vancho
6 Tarikh Sudhi no comment.
Khoti Aahak Na Karo Sir Aagotru endhan Aape Etale Kaynk ta hoy
gya raound ma Sistem To Bangal Vali majboot hati toy sir A Aagotru natu aapyu aane kay Aavyu pan notu to Aa vakhte kik ta aavhe mate have Aapde to santi thi behvanu
Sir arabi vali sistem Oman and yaman ni vache thi pasar thase barabar ne?
aaj na jawab vancho.
Sir sistam je baju jaai tiya pavan ni matra Kevi hase
haju kai thayu nathi
સર જાફરાબાદ ના દરિયા કાઠે અસર કેદી દેખાવાનુ શરુ થાયે
Sir,
System Oman baju Jay se windy ma batave se. To sir saurashtra ma varsad n avene?
Oman taraf jati hoy to. Pls ans.
ek ne ek vat karo chho.
Dar 6 kalake track badalshe.
Kai magaj na dodavaay.
4 divas maate divas ma ekaj var badle track tyare samajvu ke aa baju jaay chhe.
NOAA-CPC ma color aavyo
Sar Gujarat ma vavajodu avase
Aagotaru endhan vancho
સર અરબી સમુદ્ર માંથી ઉદભવતી સિસ્ટમ જ્યારે વરસે છે ત્યારે લગભગ વરસાદ ખુબજ તોફાની હોય છે મતલબ કે વીજળી ના કડાકા ભડાકા તેમજ તોફાની પવન વગેરે તો આ વખતે પણ એવું જ રહેશે કે કેમ અને આનું કારણ શું
Vatavaran ma asthirta hoy vijadi thati hoy chhe.
Cola pan have chomasa pasi REGULAR thay gya. Lage Sir no mail mali gyo lage. varsad bhale aave pan vavajodu na aave to saru baki moty taraji sarjahe gujarat ma. God bless gujarat.
સર 1002,1000,999,993,987,983mb આવી રીતે પ્રેસર બતાવે છે તો દા. ત.985mb હોય તો કેટલું પ્રેસર કેવાય
Te 985 pressure kahevay
Sir aa sistanm morabi ma varashad avshe ke nahi
Ashokbhai, varsad aavshe ne etle media lakhshe ‘Khelaiya nirash’!! Khetud Nirash thai ne betho chhe ae lakhvama ene sharam aave.
સર મારે એક સવાલ છે વીન્ડી મા 10 તારીખ મા Lo 986 બતાવે છે તેમાં વરસાદ જોય તો વચે કાટોરાખુ છુ તો 41.6mm બતાવે છે તેજ દિવસે 1o તારીખે ગુજરાત મા જોવ તો 1.6mm બતાવે છે તો સમજ નથીપડતી તો સમજ પાડવા વીતી…..જય જય ગરવી ગુજરાત
System kyan chhe tena par nibhar hoy varsad nu. Varsad batave chhe te ketla time maate no chhe te pan lakhel hoy.
tamo shu jovo chho te pahela abhyas karo vancho.
Sir tamara andaz pramane 6 tarik vari system kai baju paldu bhari hoi sake.
koi andaj nathi
Sir Oman ke yaman ke pakistan ke sindh pradesh ke gujarat ma varsad thay ke na thay pan arbi samundra ma pushkal varsad thava no chhe ane varsad nu mithu pani kharu thai jashe…
aa system gujarat upar ave to ketlo varsad thai sake ?
Direct avey toe 100 mm thi 250 mm
Najik hoy toe 25 mm thi 100 mm
medium door hoy toe 10 mm thi 50 mm
door toe 25 mm sudhi
Aavse to khara j a pakku ne
Etle 1 inch to pakoj
hathiyo naksatra kedi bese 6e koi ne khabar hoy to kyo
aaje 5th day chhe.
27 September thi betho Hathiyo
Besi gayo bhai 6 divas pela