Current Weather Conditions on 21st August 2016
The Deep Depression from Northwest Madhya pradesh tracked mainly Westwards and weakened three notches and now is a Low Pressure area over East Rajasthan & adjoining West Madhya Pradesh in morning of 21st August 2016. The associated Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation now extends up to 7.6 km above mean sea level.
The Axis of Monsoon trough at mean sea level continue to pass through Bikaner, Center of Low Pressure area over East Rajasthan & adjoining West Madhya Pradesh, Satna, Varanasi, Bhagalpur, Center of Low Pressure area over Bangladesh & neighborhood and thence Southeastwards to Northeast Bay of Bengal.
The Low pressure area over Myanmar is now located over Bangladesh & neighborhood at 23.3 N & 90.0E. The associated Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation extends up to Mid-tropospheric levels. The System is now a Well Marked Low Pressure area.
The Western Disturbance as a trough in Mid-tropospheric Westerlies roughly along Long. 64.0°E and North of Lat. 28.0°N.
Myanmar System now over Bangla Desh (Well Marked Low Pressure) original 11W.Dianmu location was Lat. 23.2 N & Long. 90.0 E at 0600 UTC 21st August 2016 about 2100 km. East of Rajkot.
NRL IR Satellite Image of 11W.DIANMU ( WMLP ) on 21st August 2016 @ 0800 UTC (01.30 pm. IST)
NRL Water Vapor Satellite Image of 11W.DIANMU ( WMLP ) on 21st August 2016 @ 0800 UTC (01.30 pm. IST)
Forecast dated 20th August still valid, however, updates will be given about the progress of the System currently over Bangladesh & neighborhood.
બંગલા દેશ વળી સિસ્ટમ (વેલ માર્કંડ લો પ્રેસર ) 11W.Dianmu લોકેશન Lat. 23.2 N & Long. 90.0 E આજે સવારે 11.30 કલાકે 21st August 2016 ના રાજકોટ થી 2100 દૂર પૂર્વે હતી.
તારીખ 20 ઓગસ્ટ ની આગાહી હજુ અમલ માં છે,છતાં પૂર્વ બાજુ થી જે નવી સિસ્ટમ આવી રહી છે તેની પ્રગતિ દર રોજ કરવા માં આવશે.
Forecast: 20th August to 26th August 2016
Saurashtra & Kutch : Mixed weather with Sun & Clouds. Only light rain or scattered showers on some days. The current Depression over NW Madhya Pradesh will not benefit Saurashtra in a big way.
Gujarat: Light medium rain on some days and some places receiving heavy rain. Main beneficiary will be Gujarat Districts bordering Rajasthan & Madhya Pradesh.
Note: ECMWF forecast model shows likelyhood of better rainfall for Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch during 24-26th Augsut due to the new Low Pressure System over Myanmar, however, GSF does not show this possibility. Hence the situation has to be monitored during the next two days. This Low Pressure is yet over Myanmar and has a long way to come to Gujarat.
સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને કચ્છ: સૂર્ય અને વાદળો વાળું મિક્સ વાતાવરણ।. હાલ અમૂક દિવસે ઝાપટા હળવો વરસાદ ની શક્યતા છે. હાલ નું ડિપ્રેસન થી સૌરાષ્ટ્ર ને મોટો ફાયદો નહિ થાય.
ગુજરાત : અમૂક દિવસો માં હળવો મધ્યમ વરસાદ અને કોઈ કોઈ જગ્યાએ ભારે વરસાદ ખાસ કરીને એમપી અને રાજસ્થાન ને લાગુ ગુજરાત ની બોર્ડર ડીસ્ટ્રીકટ.
નોંધ: ECMWF ફોરકાસ્ટ મોડલ મુજબ 24 થી 26 દરમિયાન નવા લો પ્રેસર થી સૌરાષ્ટ્ર ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ ને ફાયદો થાય તેવી ધારણા છે પરંતુ GSF ફોરકાસ્ટ મોડલ મુબજ ખાસ કઈ ફાયદો નથી દર્શાવતો માટે બેએક દિવસ માં એની વધુ સ્પષ્ટતા થશે. આ સિસ્ટમ હજુ મ્યાનમાર માં છે માટે તેનું કઈ નક્કી ના રહે કારણ કે પલ્લો ઘણો કાપવાનો છે.
આજે માણાવદરમા 3 થી 4 વાગયા સુધીમા સુપડાધારે ,,,ધબધબાટી બૉલાવતૉ આ સીજનનૉ આવૉ જડપી વરસાદ પહેલીવાર આવયૉ,,,,2 ઈંચ જેટલૉ,,,,,27/8/2016,,,,,શનિવાર
Junagadh ma 2 ich varasad
Thanks for good news
Wunderground weather ma varsad ni matra ave 6 te ecmwf ke gfs kaya forecast model mujab ave 6 sir….
Wunderground ni model je hoi te.
Himmatnagar , Sabarkantha ma gadi aavi gai che….
Heavy thunderstorm
nullschool.net ma gana badha valona che jya pavno ni gati red color ma che tya speed pan gani che JAPAN ma aevu che
Sir Bangla wali system saurastra ne ketlok faido karse ?
Hello sir,
. kale ne 24 sudhi heavy round lageche 4 site joi badha ma same batadeche. Gfs imd accu ne uk as badha ma specially Kutch morbi dhrangadhra and upto surendranagar and after that on 25 moderate rain on patan to Ahmedabad.
What you sir. thank you.
Sir tv9 samachar ma kahe che bhare thi ati bhare varsad am ane sir sistem to vikherai gai hoy avu kem dekhay che insat image ma sir….ane navi update ketla vage apso….
Sir find am kahe che samachar ma ke 2/3 divas ma madhy purv ane uttar gujrat ma bhare thi ati bhare varsad padse
Good news sir
Sir Ji,
Thanks for new Akila update
All members ne happy Janmashtami
sir badhu jota avu lage che ke a system thi jamnagar ne 24 thi 26 ma vadhu labh thase am i right please answer
sir canadian forcast mujab je viyetnam ane myanmar ma cyclone vali system gujrat na north vistar ane katch ane sindh pradesh ma saro varsad lavse to su gujrat na baki vistar ma varsad nahi pade ?
Sir, i hope your new update positiv
sir rajasthan vala valonama makhan chhe ke chhas j rahi chhe?
Sir….chomasu dhari pn guj ..pase avi gai che…ane system pn guj..ma avse………….maro andaj sacho che ne ????
Sir cola images jota to Evu lage se k sourashtra ne Bhagvan a vakhate pan lolipop j apse… Halva thi madhyam
Ash ok bhai bangalni system nabli paid hoy aavu inset image ma lagese
Sir chomasa ni dhari joya imd ne web site ma su lakhelu hoy Che.plz ans
Saheb, surendranagar jilla ma akash ma ak vadad pan nathi rahyu aaje to !!!!!
West jamnagar ma varsadi hadvu zaptu 3.30 pm
sir 24/8/2016 wensday ma saurashtrama ghana centrema 70% w.G che to
koi sistem ave che
what is this cola images ??
sir
Ahi Menu ma chhe link COLA forecast ni
low nabdu padi vervikher thaygyu k shu?
k bahoda vistar ma felayu?
IMD Well marked kahe chhe.
2:20 thi DAHOD maa Ane MP bordar naa Gaamo MAA Dhodhmar varsad chaalu che. Jordar VARSAD padi Rahyo CHE sir Tamari AAGAHI sachot che Thanku sir
sir. atyare je pavan avese te kyare band thase.
Pavan hoi toe pan varsad aavey.
24-25 saurashtra ne labh malse
Sir,
In COLA image of 24th Aug 2016, it is showing red and green colour on Jamnagar dist coastal area, in Accuweather is also showing rain on 24th at Jamnagar and Morbi, wunderground, it is showing almost 90% on 25th, can we expect medium rain on 24th / 25th Aug ? Request to revert back.
Update in evening 7.00 pm.
sir have pachhi kutch mate kai update chhe kutch have pachhi kai system varsad lavse ? kutch mate haju asha chhe ke nahi bob vadi system kutch ne asar karse ke nahi
aaje update thashe.
Sir, Nowadays it seems that ARABIAN SEA is getting active. and Negative IOD is over…hope in September 1st week some slight system from Arabian sea will give rain to whole gujarat like a PACHOTARO VARSAD !!
Arabian Sea is inactive as yet. IOD is still negative -0.62.
Update coming in evening 7.00 pm.
Sir wonderground ma map and forecast
Batavata nathi to jova mate su karvu
Wunderground forecast ni link ma jovo tamara city maate ahi website ma chhe.
Gujarat ane Saurashtra/Kutch
Sir Bangladesh vadi system vikhay gay aevu lage che sachu che?
Tamo kaho chho !
Sir, jaan ketale pahochi? And teni disha haju apani baju j chhe ne
Aavati kale m.P. ma ponchshe.
Sir kaale Raatre 10 VAAGE THi 11:30 sudi Dhodhmar VARSAD paacho PADYO Lagabhag 3 to 4 inche jetlo padi gayo. Thanks sir
jsk , Sir . Bangla Desh wadi system ni dariya ni sapati thi oochai ketali chhe ??? 3:1 km ke 5:8 km ??? Jawab aapjo plz sir .
Koi pan low hoi te sea level hoi. Tena anoosangik UAC 3.1 min. Chhe
Seeing cola images it seems Arabian sea shall come into action on 28th August
Sir atyar. Sudhi je gadi bangal ni khadi. Mathi avi tene aapada bhage athavad j lavi aaje je gadi aave she te pan nevu karshe tevi. Shnka she pan. Ta28:08:16 ma daxin steshne thi gadi saru pirsanu lave tevi kudrat ne prathna kriye