Brief Update – ટૂંકૂ અને ટચ Dated 19th July 2016

Current Weather Conditions on 19th July 2016

There was scattered showers, light rain with some places getting medium rainfall over some parts of Gujarat.

The axis of monsoon trough at mean sea level now runs close to the foothills of the Himalayas.

The weak off-shore trough at mean sea level extends from South Maharashtra coast to Kerala coast.

An Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation lies over Bihar and adjoining Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim and extends up to 3.6 kms above sea level. A trough in lower level extends from the above system to West Central Bay of Bengal.

An Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation at 5.8 kms a. s. l. lies over Rayalaseema and neighborhood.

 

 

Forecast: 20th July to 25th July 2016

COLA/IGES Forecast precipitation valid 23rd July 2016 @ 00 UTC ( For 22nd July 2016 )

 

india3.96hr_190716

COLA/IGES Forecast precipitation valid 24th July 2016 @ 00 UTC ( For 23rd July 2016 )

india3.120hr_190716

COLA/IGES Precipitation Outlook for India

valid 19th July 2016 @ 00 UTC to August 4th @ 00 UTC ( For 2 weeks )

(Forecast for 2 weeks change very often)

(બે અઠવાડિયા ની આગાહી રોજે રોજ ફરતી હોઈ છે)

prec12_190716

Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat:

 

Saurashtra, Kutch & North Gujarat expected to get scattered showers or light rain on different days of the forecast period with some places getting medium rain especially during 22nd to 25th July.

South Gujarat expected to get scattered showers, light rain or medium rain during 22nd to 25th July on different days of the forecast period with some places expected to heavy rain especially 22nd to 23rd July.

East Central Gujarat expected to get scattered showers, light or medium rain on different days of the forecast period with more probability 22nd to 25th July.

 

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3. Do not ask question about when the update will take place. Usually as and when deemed fit update will be given.

4. I do not forecast for long term, so do not ask for any forecast beyond 7 days.

5. Do not ask when it will rain in any city, town or village or city. Normally the forecast is given for broad areas of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat. However, for your information Multicity Wunderground Forecast link has been provided for various centers of Gujarat, Sayrashtra & Kutch.

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ટૂંકૂ અને ટચ Dated 19th July 2016

ચોમાસુ ધરી હિમાલય ની તળેટી માં છે.

હાલ નબળો ઑફ શોર ટ્રફ દક્ષિણ મહારાષ્ટ્ર થી કેરાલા સુધી લંબાય છે.

એક યુએસી બિહાર અને પશ્ચિમ બંગાળ આસપાસ છે, જે 3.1 કિમી સુધી લંબાય છે.

500 hPa નું યુએસી રાયલસીમા અને આસપાસ ના વિસ્તાર માં છે.

 

આગાહી: 20 થી 25 જૂલાઇ 2016

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર ગુજરાત અને  કચ્છ:

આગાહી સમય માં સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને કચ્છ તથા ઉત્તર ગુજરાત માં છુટા છવાયા ઝાપટા, હળવો મધ્યમ વરસાદ અલગ અલગ દિવસે અલગ અલગ વિસ્તાર માં ખાસ કરીને 22 થી 25 જૂલાઈ દરમ્યાન.

દક્ષિણ ગુજરાત ઝાપટા અથવા હળવો મધ્યમ વરસાદ મુખ્ય 22 થી 25 જૂલાઈ દરમ્યાન અલગ અલગ દિવસે અલગ અલગ વિસ્તાર માં અને અમૂક જગ્યાએ ભારે વરસાદ ખાસ કરીને 22 થી 23 જૂલાઈ.

મધ્ય પૂર્વ ગુજરાત માં છુટા છવાયા ઝાપટા, હળવો મધ્યમ વરસાદ અલગ અલગ દિવસે અલગ અલગ વિસ્તાર માં ખાસ કરીને 22 થી 25 જૂલાઈ દરમ્યાન, જેમાં એકલ દોકલ ભારે વરસાદ પડી શકે છે.

 

કમેન્ટ માટે માર્ગદર્શન:

કમેન્ટ અંગે ના માર્ગદર્શન નો અમલ કરો નહીંતર ના છૂટકે કમેન્ટ વ્યવસ્થા હાલ પૂરતી બંધ કરવા માં આવશે.

1. ખરું ઈ મેઈલ એડ્રેસ હોઈ તો કમેન્ટ કરો.

2. આગળ સવાલો અને તેના જવાબ વાંચી ને તમારી કમેન્ટ કરો.

3. “અપડેટ ક્યારે થશે ?” તેવા સવાલ કરવા નહિ. સામાન્ય રીતે યોગ્ય લાગશે ત્યારે અપડેટ થશે.

4. હું લાંબા ગાળા ની આગાહી નથી કરતો માટે 7 દિવસ થી આગળ માટે આગાહી બાબત કમેન્ટ ના કરવી.

5. “મારા શહેર, કે ગામ માં વરસાદ ક્યારે થશે ?” તેવા સવાલ પૂછવા નહિ. સામાન્ય રીતે સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ ના બહોળા વિસ્તારો ની આગાહી આપેલ હોઈ છે. તમારા વિસ્તાર ના મોટા સેન્ટર માટે વંડરગ્રાઉન્ડ ની આગાહી ની લિન્ક આપેલ છે અહીં મેનુ માં.

6. જે કમેન્ટ વધુ લોકો ને સ્પર્શતો હોઈ તે આવકાર્ય છે અને તેના યોગ્ય જવાબ મળશે. બધા કમેન્ટ નો જવાબ નહીં મળે.

7. કમેન્ટ મોડરેશન (જવાબ પેન્ડિંગ ) હોઈ બીજી વાર પૂછવું નહીં.

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rakesh patel
rakesh patel
20/07/2016 1:32 pm

Ashok bhai amone chomasu dhari ni Kai khabar na pade. Pan Upleta, kolki,paneli,Bhayavdar,Jamjodhpur vistar ni dhari vise koi Sara varsad ni dhari rahese?

Narendra Baraiya
Narendra Baraiya
20/07/2016 1:19 pm

Sir,
In 925 hpa, wherever there is no colour, it means, wind with below 10 km/hour speed? Does such less velocity helps in cosntructing local clouds? Request to reply.

Narendra
Narendra
20/07/2016 1:18 pm

Mane tamari aagahi par puro vishvash che, thank you..

Raju Ahir (Visavadar )
Raju Ahir (Visavadar )
20/07/2016 1:15 pm

Sir skymate ni agahi : 23 thi 26 tarikh ma kutch ne bad karta akha gujrat ma saro varsad thase to te Sachu ganvu?
Ane te sourashtra uper Ek UAC thi a varsad avse

Dilip
Dilip
20/07/2016 12:36 pm

sir keshod ma tadako chhe to aavu vatavaran kya sudhi raheshe?

KB malaviya
KB malaviya
20/07/2016 12:23 pm

Ashok bhai have heavy rainfall kedi these amare haju magfadi vavva ni baki che plz ans me…

jignesh kotadiya
jignesh kotadiya
20/07/2016 12:17 pm

SauRashtra saro ma varsad thavani sakyta khri ke nhi.

Jeramdhanani
Jeramdhanani
20/07/2016 11:44 am

Good afternoon
Sir Hal ma al nino ni asar che gujrat ma ??
Ke pachi puri thay gay
Please ansvar…..

manoj patel
manoj patel
20/07/2016 10:57 am

sir, as per 700 hpa uac shows good rain next week all condition are change fastly two days ago imd sys lp in up devlop but even uac is merge with moonsoon trough last year is good then this year

Bhavesh patel
Bhavesh patel
20/07/2016 10:29 am

Wankaner.taluka na lunsar gam ma chomasano pahelo jarmar varsad chalu

Vijay Chauhan
Vijay Chauhan
20/07/2016 9:36 am

Hello sir
Tame je 19 to 27 mate cola image apyo 6 tema koi ferfar Thai sake?????? Y or N

piyush ahir
20/07/2016 9:32 am

Sir gujrat na kheduto ne havaman khata upar visvas rahyo nathi to tame kaik aagotru aapo to kheduto ne su vvavetar karvu te khabar pade

Jadeja mahendrasinh
Jadeja mahendrasinh
20/07/2016 9:16 am

Sir, saurashtra ma pavan nu jor vadhare chhe, jyare hu kale Mumbai aavyo tyare rasta ma joyu ke gujarat region ma pavan sav thambhi gayo chhe ane surat thi chhek Mumbai sudhi satat varasad chalu hato to mane evu lage chhe ke saurashtra ma pavan j varasad ma vilan bane chhe

lalit parecha
lalit parecha
20/07/2016 9:11 am

Dhoru..45 day ma kai n madyu…dem badha khali che.. sir aa ‘varsh’ fail java nu che ke su??….aavta mahina ni rah jova ni rahi…..

Vasoya vijay
Vasoya vijay
20/07/2016 8:24 am

Sir Chomasu Dhari jova mate imd na Kya maxa ma hoy plz link aapo ?

iqbal master
iqbal master
19/07/2016 11:57 pm

સર ભરુચ જિલલામા સાવઋિક વરસાદ. લગ ભગ ૪થી ૫ ઈંચ વરસાદ હજુપણ ચાલુ છે… સર માહિતી આપવા બદલ ખુબ ખુબ આભાર…

sanjay parecha
sanjay parecha
19/07/2016 11:16 pm

Sir Hal ma pictures che e Kyo software che jova mate link aapo.
Ane saurashtra ma bhare varsad ane aalg aalag virtar ma ketlo inch varsad padse.

Umesh Ribadiya@Visavadar
Umesh Ribadiya@Visavadar
19/07/2016 11:08 pm

LP jova mate mslp ooparant kya hpa chart no adhar lay shakay?

dhaval patel
dhaval patel
19/07/2016 11:02 pm

sir 27 jul to 4 aug ni cola image ni like (said)apo ne sar plizzz
email to sachu che

jayesh borad
jayesh borad
19/07/2016 10:59 pm

Sir mendarda ma have varap rahese

Ravin magecha
Ravin magecha
19/07/2016 10:52 pm

Sir aapna kehva mujab 22-25 ma jamjodhpur ni aaju baju, upleta ni aaju baju sakyta chhe ?

kaushal
kaushal
19/07/2016 10:48 pm

Hi Ashok Bhai,

Ahmedabad Weather Update :-

Gai kale sanje fari 4:30 thi vadado gherai gaya ane saru japtu padyu. Rate fari gheraya bad 5 min saru japtu padyu.

Aaje savare to thodo ughad hato ne surprisingly jordar vadado gheraya 9ek vage, ane jordar japtu varasyu 🙂 savar na por ma ughad pachi achanak j aavu japtu joi ne am thayu k bhale koi j moto varsad nathi aavyo to bhi aa chomasa ma dum to che j 🙂

Aaje sanje fari vadado gheraya hata pan aaje na varasya 🙂 may be savare varsi gaya atle 🙂 haha

Thanks.

meet patel
meet patel
19/07/2016 10:40 pm

Ha sir tame kayu a sachu che pan jem jem hu navu joto jav chu am hu comments karu chu have aa comment mari final che….

Mahesh lalkiya
Mahesh lalkiya
19/07/2016 10:18 pm

Sir ta-26 ma 925hsp ma sistam gova-mumbai shudhi aave che.jo te nabdi na pade ane tenu direction west north north rahe to te guj sourastra ne jarur faydo karavi sake avu lage che. Aam bane to tamaru su kahevanu thay che? Ane biju ke hind mahasagar ma aa ak biju sayclonic strom aakar lay rahyu che to aavu upra- upri ke bane che . Javab aapjo abhyas mate.pls

કેતન કનારા
કેતન કનારા
19/07/2016 10:12 pm

અશોક ભાઈ
જવાબ આપવા બદલ આભાર

dharmendra thumar
dharmendra thumar
19/07/2016 9:56 pm

Sir chomasu dhari ka rite jani sakay ?

કેતન કનારા
કેતન કનારા
19/07/2016 9:49 pm

અશોક ભાઈ
એટલે 10 દિવસ સુધી જોરદાર વરસાદ ની કોઇ શક્યતા નથી

Dilip
Dilip
19/07/2016 9:28 pm

Have to bhagvanj bachave

Sanjay
Sanjay
19/07/2016 9:25 pm

Ohh
Apado varasad no dhori mahino sav dhoro j jase bedluck our.

Akshay
Akshay
19/07/2016 9:21 pm

I guess that is the reason negative iod why we are experiencing less rains in Gujarat state and Konkan Mumbai belt. Last year positive iod helped couple of depressions in saurashtra Gujarat belt but as El Niño developed the effect was less later in the season. Imd has mentioned excess rains in central India also and ruled out a possibility of below normal rainfall in central India. What is your experience about a situation of negative iod and Enso neutral effect of rainfall on our two states of Maharashtra and Gujarat. Past data analysis?

Akshay Shah
Akshay Shah
Reply to  Ashok Patel
20/07/2016 7:57 am

Right sir. In that case of negative iod how far will it adversely effect monsoon in western India particularly Gujarat, Mumbai, Maharastra belt? Whether bay of Bengal systems will be enough to.cover inactive Arabian sea for west India? I am a resident of Mumbai and following your forecasts since past 4-5 years

Akshay Shah
Akshay Shah
Reply to  Ashok Patel
20/07/2016 3:08 pm

Sir, does that mean less than normal monsoon for gujarat n saurashtra belt. I belong to patan in North gujarat. Lack of Arabian sea systems is affecting monsoon in gujarat, at least for now.

dhaval patel
dhaval patel
19/07/2016 9:09 pm

sir 27 jul to 4 aug ni cola image ni like (said)apo ne sar plizzz

amrutiya nilesh morbi
amrutiya nilesh morbi
19/07/2016 8:59 pm

Sar. Gujarati ma jpg. Image mukone updetni kemke. Amukma. Gujtati font no hoy etle

laxmqn ahir
laxmqn ahir
19/07/2016 8:57 pm

Sir pavan na jor haju ketala divas rahese…

vipul
vipul
19/07/2016 8:56 pm

rajkot ma hadvo varsad padyo

saeed patel kesrol
saeed patel kesrol
19/07/2016 8:48 pm

Sir Bharuch area bharuch to Dahej line saro varsad padyo 7:30pm to 8:35pm 1 kalak sudhi to dhodhmar varsyo

Hiral
Hiral
19/07/2016 8:44 pm

Dhiraj rakho have najik na samay ma bhari varsad thase…

Dilip sinh g jadeja
Dilip sinh g jadeja
19/07/2016 8:42 pm

Agotaru aedhalh apo to saru

hs ahir
hs ahir
19/07/2016 8:20 pm

Sir kutch par je UAC hatu te haal maa kaya 6

jadeja jaypalsinh
jadeja jaypalsinh
19/07/2016 8:05 pm

sir,dhrol ma chela 3 divas thi harvo varsad pade 6. agami divso ma varsadni matra vadhava ni sakyta 6?

amrutiya nilesh morbi
amrutiya nilesh morbi
19/07/2016 8:05 pm

Sar. Amare aje rajpar. (Ku) ma. 1.5inch varsad hato. Vheli. Svarthi bpor sudhi aaviyo. Ane. Mne aevu. Lage 6e. Ke nvlkhi. Na driyanu moju amara vistar ma lagu pdiyu hoy ske

CA. JITEN R. THAKAR
CA. JITEN R. THAKAR
19/07/2016 8:03 pm

Have to bhagwan Saurashtra-Kutch-Gujarat par kaik chamtkar kare to saru. Baki Samay jato jay chhe.
Ane loko have negative vicharta thai gya chhe.

meet patel
meet patel
19/07/2016 7:54 pm

Sir 25 mi thi arebiyan sea active Thai jase atle apde 25/28 ma saro varsad apse aa maro abhyas che……

Jaydeepsinh
Jaydeepsinh
19/07/2016 7:49 pm

Sir cola precipation weekly forecast jota bv chinta janak sthiti lage che.tma gujarat ma vrsad ni intensity bv ochi lage avnara divso ma.

Amit makadia
Amit makadia
19/07/2016 7:48 pm

Sir gaya varash ni jem aa varse pan varsad ocho thay tevu lage che

arju chapla
arju chapla
19/07/2016 7:47 pm

Wounded ground kema jovanu sir?

rakesh . vadodara
rakesh . vadodara
19/07/2016 7:44 pm

Sir…aje vadodara ma dhimo saro varsad padyo…hmna pn vatavar saru che……havy rain padi sake che???

sharad thakar
sharad thakar
19/07/2016 7:39 pm

ok thenks sir

Raju Ahir (Visavadar )
Raju Ahir (Visavadar )
19/07/2016 7:37 pm

Sir wonderground map kya Jova male

tejabhai patel
tejabhai patel
19/07/2016 7:34 pm

sir tharad vav na ghana vistarma varasadnu tipuy nathi agahi samayma vavani thay tevo 1 ench jevo varasad thase?

sharad thakar
sharad thakar
19/07/2016 7:21 pm

jam kalyanpur ma 2thi3 inch padi sake aagahi samyama ochha ma ochho

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