Current Weather Conditions on 5th July 2016

The Southwest monsoon has further advanced into some more parts of North Arabian sea, Kutch area, remaining parts of Gujarat region and some more parts of West Rajasthan.

The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) passes through Lat. 24.0°N/ Long. 60.0°E, Lat. 24.0°N/ Long. 70.0°E, Jodhpur, Phalodi and Lat. 28.0°N/ Long. 71.0°E.

The Low Pressure area over Bihar & adjoining East Uttar Pradesh now become a Well Marked Low Pressure area over East Uttar Pradesh and adjoining Bihar. The associated Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation extends up to 7.6 km above mean sea level. The system is likely to concentrate into a Depression during next 24 hours.

The trough at mean sea level runs from Punjab to Northeast Bay of Bengal across Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Center of Well Marked Low Pressure area and Gangetic West Bengal.

The off­shore trough at mean sea level runs from south Gujarat coast to north Kerala coast.

The Western Disturbance as a trough in Mid­tropospheric westerlies roughly along longitude 77.0°E & North of Latitude 30.0°N persists.

UAC over Kutch is now not seen.

Although Monsoon has officially set in over most parts of Kutch and whole Saurashtra & Gujarat, there has not been much rain over Kutch where the total rainfall till date is just 3.26% of the Seasonal average. Similarly many Districts of Saurashtra have not received significant rainfall till date where Districts of Jamnagar , Devbhumi Dwarka, Rajkot & Porbandar have received 6.95% to 10.88% of the Seasonal average. Many Taluka level centers have just received 5% or less rainfall.

IMD Advance Of Southwest Monsoon Till 5th July 2016

લીલી લીટી ના નીચલા છેડા ની નીચે તેમજ લીલી લીટી ના ઉપલા છેડા ની ઉપર જે તારીખ હોઈ તે તારીખે બધા ભાગ માં ચોમાસું પોંચી ગયું છે તેમ સમજવું.

લાલ ત્રુટક લીટી જે તે વિસ્તાર માં નોર્મલ ચોમાસું બેસવાની તારીખ દર્શાવે છે

The date shown at the end of green line shows that the Southwest Monsoon has set in over areas below the lower arm of green line & above the upper arm of green line on that date.

The red dashed line shows the normal date of onset of Southwest Monsoon over various regions.

 Forecast: Dated 5th July to 9th July 2016

The Well Marked Low Pressure over East U.P. and adjoining areas is expected to concentrate into a Depression by tomorrow. The System is expected to track towards Madhya Pradesh and remain in M.P. and vicinity for few days.

Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch:

Scattered showers light rain expected during the forecast period over Saurashyra & Kutch. Due to Off-shore trough South Gujarat will get light, medium and heavy rains on various days during the forecast period. Madhya Pradesh is expected to benefit the most from this System and hence the border areas of East Central Gujarat and North Gujarat could benefit from it. The quantity of rain will be completely variable. Rest of Gujarat can get scattered showers, light rain with few places getting medium rain. High speed winds from Arabian Sea will blow over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch during the forecast period. Cloudy weather expected on many days of forecast period.

Wunderground ECMWF 925 hPA Forecast Dated 5th July 2016 Valid for 9th July 2016 @ 0000 UTC

Wunderground GFS 925 hPa Forecast Dated 5th July 2016 Valid for 9th July 2016 @ 0000 UTC

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 5th July 2016

(કચ્છ આસપાસ હવે UAC નથી)

Weather Forecast In Sanj Samachar Daily Dated 5th July 2016

નીચે લિન્ક ક્લિક કરો પછી “Earth”/નકશા ઉપર ક્લિક કરો જોવો અને અખતરા કરો, નવું નવું જાણ  મળશે. આ બાબત ની કમેન્ટ માં પૂછવું નહીં. રસ હોઈ જાતે શીખવાનું.

Click here for “Forecast Model Nullschool” page.

Click on the word “Earth” to see options and also on map and experiment will available parameters. No comments will be entertained. If you want to use it you have to learn by yourself.

Guideline for Comments:

1. Please post comment if you have a valid email address.

2. Read earlier comments and their reply before posting any comment.

3. Do not ask question about when the update will take place. Usually as and when deemed fit update will be given.

4. I do not forecast for long term, so do not ask for any forecast beyond 7 days.

5. Do not ask when it will rain in any city, town or village or city. Normally the forecast is given for broad areas of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat.

કમેન્ટ માટે માર્ગદર્શન:

1. ખરું ઈ મેઈલ એડ્રેસ હોઈ તો કમેન્ટ કરો.

2. આગળ સવાલો અને તેના જવાબ વાંચી ને તમારી કમેન્ટ કરો.

3. “અપડેટ ક્યારે થશે ?” તેવા સવાલ કરવા નહિ. સામાન્ય રીતે યોગ્ય લાગશે ત્યારે અપડેટ થશે.

4. હું લાંબા ગાળા ની આગાહી નથી કરતો માટે 7 દિવસ થી આગળ માટે આગાહી બાબત કમેન્ટ ના કરવી.

5. “મારા શહેર, કે ગામ માં વરસાદ ક્યારે થશે ?” તેવા સવાલ પૂછવા નહિ. સામાન્ય રીતે સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ ના બહોળા વિસ્તારો ની આગાહી આપેલ હોઈ છે.