18th May 2020 @ 8.30 pm Update
Super Cyclonic Storm ‘AMPHAN’ (pronounced as UM-PUN) over Westcentral Bay of
Bengal: Cyclone Warning for West Bengal and north Odisha coasts: Orange Message.
FROM: INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT
BULLETIN NO.: 21 (BAY OF BENGAL 01/2020)
TIME OF ISSUE: 2030 HOURS IST DATED: 18.05.2020
IMD બુલેટિન નંબર 21: 2030 કલાક IST તારીખ 18-05-2020 મુજબ
‘સુપર સાયક્લોન’ ‘AMPHAN’ (‘અમ-પન’) મધ્ય પશ્ચિમ બંગાળ ની ખાડી પર : પશ્ચિમ બંગાળ અને નોર્થ ઓડિશા કિનારા માટે સાયક્લોન ની ચેતવણી : ઓરેન્જ મેસેજ
indian_1589817902
Status:
The Super Cyclonic Storm ‘AMPHAN’ is located at 14.6N, 86.4E. The winds blowing 230-240 kms/hour and gusting up to 265 kms/hour. The System is expected to track Northerly and then North Northeastwards towards West Bengal next two days. JTWC has issued Tropical Cyclone Warning No. 10. The wind speed on International scales is 145 knots ( 268 kms/hour on 1 minute average wind speeds basis. IMD has a 3 minutes average basis). NRL has 901 Millibar Central Pressure.
JTWC Tropical Cyclone 01B (AMPHAN) Warning No. 10 ( Super Cyclonic Storm “AMPHAN”)
Dated 18th May 2020 @ 1500 UTC ( 08.30 pm IST)
NRL IR Satellite Image of Super Cyclonic Storm ‘AMPHAN’
Dated 18-05-2020 @ 1400 UTC ( 07.30 pm. IST)
Caution: Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.
સાવચેતી: સ્ટોર્મ કે હવામાન અંગે ની માહિતી માટે ભારતીય હવામાન ખાતા/ગવર્મેન્ટ ના બુલેટીન/સુચના પર નિર્ભર રહેવું.
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Read Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 14th May 2020
Read Forecast in Sanj Samachar Daily Dated 14th May 2020
Read Comment Policy– કમેન્ટ માટે માર્ગદર્શન
ઉપર ની બધી અલગ લિન્ક ક્લિક કરો. નવી વિન્ડો માં પેજ ખૂલશે
kai pan thay e jo ane to par Aadhar rakhe che. Baki varsad ni babat ma mane to Gujarat mate khas Kai harkhava jevu lagtu nathi aa system ma. Mostly varsad to dariya ma j thai jay em che. Lagbhag to 80 percent jevu nichovai jase dariya ma j. Aa system Ran ma mrugjal jevi che.
Sir visible ma ane IR1 ma je clouds batave che e 2 ma su difference hoy? I mean kaik farak to che but su Te samjatu nathi Kem ke IR1 ma gani location ma clouds dekhay che but visible ma Amuk jagya e j dekhay che.
Alag alag Wave length ma Satellite Images hoy.
Satellite image ma te darshavel hoy.
Jem ke IR1 ma IR 10.8µm
Sar mare unadu magafali paki gay 6e toh to hal koy varassd na chas ni sakyata 6e
Kudarat ena kram ma tenu kam chalu j rakhey.
Aapadey aapdu karya karye rakhvu.
Sirji,
Mani lyo k cyclone gujarat pr thi pasar thai gyu 4 tarikhe…ane pxi paxad thi normal monsoon modu thavani ketli skyata..??
Gujarat par Cyclone avey toe Monsoon ne nukshan na thay.
Oman baju jaay toe modu thay
Sir varsad to chokkas aavse
Sir,have to nishan fagi gyu avu j samajvanu ne k haju 2 divas wait n watch
Low Pressure thay etle vadhu chokkasta avey. Location and Timing.
sir…kya location upar thay to ..apne avvana chans vdhe …ane oman baju javana chans ochha ?
jem ke kerala na katha vistar ni bajuma thay to apne faydo thay ke ?
Timing pan mahatva chhe ne
Karan ke ani sathe WD asar karta hoy etle Wd na timing pan jovana.
Aavi mathakut na karay !
Taiyar Model na Bahjiya Khavay.
sir aa pavan ni speed kedi ochhi thase bahu jordar se . surendranagar muli
Pavan full raheshe haju ghana divas
sir ecm. varaye ..namtu jokhyu ..costal aria ma arebian sea ma northwest jay ..ane gfs vara ..veraval baju nabli sistem land krave …hve 2 banne model ekbijana raste chalse ..evu lage tya to low bni jase …
jsk sir ama to kay samjatu nathi windy pela guj.baju hatu ane cola.vantu..guj.virudh hatu have to have a najik avi gaya. windy dur jatu rahyu.rakholu raykhe rakhi?
Sir haji ghodi k gadhedi jevu se pan. 1 tarikh thi savarast ma gaj vij and chata chuti jevu to thase j.
Sir
Ecmwf ane Gfs banne modalo ye adala badali kari have pachi ni updet ma kadash samjuti kari le tevi sakyata ketli ganvi ? Banne thodu thodu jatu karine ek J track ( diu veraval) upar aavvani sakyata ketli ?aavu thai sake?
System tivrata ma bahu moto farak chhe banne vachey
As per IMD on 29th May A Low Pressure area form and system is likely to concentrate into a depression over the same region during subsequent 48 hours…and I think around 1-3rd June SouthWest Monsoon advance into Kerela
Low form over SouthWest Arabian sea..
Aapne to varsad thi Matlab che vavni jevo ke nadi nala dem chhalkay to maja pade ane sarvtik wide spread rain aave to khus thai jaie. E pachi cyclone thi aave ke low thi that doesn’t matter. Ha aapni to ej prathna che ke Gujarat ne vavazoda jevi kudrati aafat no samno n karvu pade. Baki Hari Kare Te khari. Barabar ne sirji?
Gujrat mate 3 to 5 date varsad na chance sara 6 bane modal jota yes sir…
ECMWF Bapr ni Update ma Pachu change thyu. GFS Apdi Cora avyu to ECMWF Change.
Arbi Samudra Ma System bane etle Dar kalake Badhu fare j ane modelo ne Confuse chalu j rese.
Ecmwf vara e to turn mari didho.atyar ni update ma
sir me notice karyu che ke jetlu cyclone takatvar thay che am oman taraf java ni possibility vadhu thai jay che.
atyar ni ecmfw update ma 924 sudhi nu nichu pressure thyu to oman taraf system sarkti lage che.
Haha Ek sudhre toh biji bagde ..
Now ECMWF sways away from our coast !
Cat & Mouse game between GFS and ECMWF refuses to end !
System to Oman baju jati ecmwf batave se windy
Ecmwf ma paso thodok sudharo aayo sir atyar ni update ma Gujarat najik thi pasar thay jase and gfs gujarat par thi joya jevi thase aavta bek divas evu lage se atyre to ek bija ne kho aape se to biji virudh jay se vali pasi biji kho aape to same vala virudh jay se
જય શ્રી કૃષ્ણ અશોક સર
કોલા માં કલર આવી ગયો છે. તો હવે વરસાદ ના ચાન્સ 80% જેવા ગણાય.
(baaki deletyed by Moderator)
sir gfs ni navi update pan have ecmwf & icon modal na raste chalva lagi
ICON model shu chhe te tapaso… tema two model chhe… Chec k karo
sir ecmwf & icon banne modal no track sarkho batave se atle abanne modal system ne Gujarat uper avti batave se right ne sir ?
ICON ma Model kyu ?
Forecast Run banne na same hova joiye
Sar chlla 36 kalak thi sistam surat baju tran mari ne jayse 36 kalak pehla rajkot thi psar thati ti to sar atiyare je surat baju thi jayse te tej rasta par chalse te 70 tka gnay ke have moto ferfar thai ke nai
Aje GFS Gujarat baju nabadi System nu track chhe.
ECMWF nu joy liyo aaj nu
આજ ની અપડેટ(11.30 )a.m.મુજબ gfs મોડેલ પણ ગુજરાત તરફની વાટ પકડી છે.
arbi samudra ni System ni atyar ni movement jota Maharashtra ane gujarat na coastal area ma Varsad ni skyatao che ama wd no role important Rehse.
30 to 36 kalak ma badhu clear thase (baaki deleted by Moderator)
Cola ma colour purano sir have ketli 60 taka sakyta ganvi ke nahi sir
Yes shakyata vadhye rakhey chhe.
Jay Dwarkadhish sir, have to imd weather chart ane windy gfs ni navi update ma low pressure Gujarat taraf avtu janay che etle cyclone ke low pressure banne mathi ek to pakku Ave evu lage che.
Sir… Saurashtra ne arab sea hova chhata bay of bangal pr kem depend rahevu pde che all time?
Chomasa ma Saurashtra/Kutch ma ochho varsad thay chhe… bija rajyo ke Dakshin Gujarat thi.
Arabian varsad Dakshin Gujarat sudhi hoy chhe Monsoon Trough ne hisabe.
Sir GFS model pan hve ECMWFS model sathe sahemat thava mandyu che Shu kevu tmaru sir ???
Joya rakho… barobar abhyas chhe.
પણ હવે ecmwf એ રસ્તો બદલી નાખ્યો એનું શું
Ghodi & Gadhedi…
Lockdown ma Time Pass thay ne !
Gfs last update ma ecmwf ni najik gujarat baju
GFS ni navi update ma have track gujarat baju avyo pan trivta ochhi km chhe sir anu ky karan sir…?
Koi karan na hoy. Te Model ma je input Data hoy tena par chalta hoy.
System na janm time and location par teni ‘Kundali’ nakki thay.
અને લો પ્રેશર. અને હાઈ પ્રેશર. કેવી રીતે જાણી શકાય.
GOL kundadu thay sufface ma and tema pressure ochhu hoyu aaju baaju thi te Low Pressure.
high pressure ma ‘H’ lakhel hoy… unchu hoy.
લો પ્રેશર કે. ડિપ્રેશન થયા પસી. સુ. જોવાથી. ટ્રેક. ની. ખબર. પડે. રસ્તો. કેવી રીતે જાણી શકાય અને સિસ્ટમ ને સસ્તો. કોણ આપે
Depression hoy tyare IMD forecast track aapti hoy chhe.
Low thay etle Model ma thodi vadhu chokkasta avi jaay forecast track maate.
IMD nu MSLP chart and Windy ECMWF banne same track par che.
Sir vavajoda mate vadhare saru kyu se “ECMWF” ke pachi “GFS”
ECMWF vadhu sachu padtu hoy chhe System ma.
varsad ma GFS saru lage chhe.
Bachi Gym ! Sir
????
Sir…windy ecmwf ni last update 2 am ma pan system no track gujrat baju batave 6. To have skyata vadhu ganay?
ECMWF fix rahe chhe. GFS haju change thay chhe.
Jay mataji sir…Rohini naxtra besvani Sathe aaje Amara gamthi daxshin- pachim Disha baju hve dhimi dhimi vijdina chamkara chalu thya 6e… village-bokarvada,dist-mehsana
sir .arabian sea nu taapman ghati gyu ..28….29c chhe 1 deegri ghtyu ..ane south side bay of bengal ma sem j chhe taapman ..ane IOD nu modhu nichu thy gyu ….
asar karta thase kaynk .!!
સર વરસાદ થાય પછી જ ચોમાસુ બેસે એવું હોય?
2012 માં વરસાદ બહુ મોડો થયો હતો પણ imd એ ચોમાસુ વહેલું જાહેર કરી દીધું હતું
CHomasu rekha sadang rakhva maate kyarek amuk vistar ma Varsad na hoy toy line khenchay jaay.
નમસ્કાર સર અમરેલી ના ચિતલ માં હૂ તમને પૂછવા વિનંતી કરું છું કે મારે હળદર નૂ વાવેતર કરવાના હોય શનિવારે તો વરસાદ શકયતા છે કેમ જણાવા ..કારણ કે જો વરસાદ થાય તો બધું નવેસરથી કરવું પડે આભાર સાહેબ
Atyar na varsad nu kai nakki na hoy location nu.
Sir it’s just my thinking ke Oman vari system to Oman baju j Jay che Aetle aeno labh tyaj madse. Ane je south ma Kerala coast pase banse ena mate Aapne pray kari sakie ke Oman baju kam se kam n Jay nai to aapno mal lai jase e vadhare nuksan karse em che. Ane aapne to low ke UAC no labh made to vadhu saru wide spread rain no benefit made Gujarat ne before onset of monsoon. Ane pavan pan gothvai jay ane kadach chomasu Goa sudhi set pan thai jay. Tamara su kahevu che sir am I correct?… Read more »
Varsad avey te Temporary hoy.
Karan CHomasu Agad chalvu joiye ne?
UAC Kerala najik thay etle Low ni shakyata vadhey.
Sir aa cyclone gfs ane ecmwf ni vache no rasto pakde evu lage che atleke South saurashtra
Newspaper ma m aavyu k aa vavazoda nu name “નિસર્ગ” hse. Etle have low bne pchhi track no khyal aave. Aa vkhte nam kya country e aapyu sir.
Bangla Desh
169 naam nu list IMD e aa varse declare karyu che. Ema total 13 country e naam apyya che. Nisararg e aa list nu first naam che je upcoming cyclone mate hase.
Sir, aaje churu(Rajasthan) ma temperature 50* degree pochi gayu, aa high temperature 6e ke aana thi up gayel 6e kyarey…
Record IMD ma madey.
Yemen ni baju ma je system bane chhe ema ECMWF and GFS models almost same bataye chhe pan aa taraf na system ma ghano difference chhe
Sir.. Porbandar ma varsad ni possibility?
Pre-Monsoon toe shakya samjo maas aakhar thi
Sir..tame road map taiyar karyo ke haju homework chale chhe?
Haju Low nathi thayu….. UAC pan haju joiy tevu nathi.
નમસ્કાર સર
બન્ને મોડલ સરકાર ના નીયમો નુ પાલન કરે છે સોસયલ ડિસ્ડન્સ (બે ગજની દુરી)