{"id":7137,"date":"2014-10-30T08:41:13","date_gmt":"2014-10-30T03:11:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wordpress\/?p=7137"},"modified":"2014-10-31T06:57:08","modified_gmt":"2014-10-31T01:27:08","slug":"nilofar-now-expected-to-enter-northeast-arabian-sea-as-a-weak-system","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/?p=7137","title":{"rendered":"&#8216;NILOFAR&#8217; Now Expected To Enter Northeast Arabian Sea As A Weak System"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>Current Weather Conditions on 30th October 2014 @ 8.30 am.<\/h3>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3>For Latest Bulletin from REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI\u00a0<a style=\"color: #0d85cc;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.rsmcnewdelhi.imd.gov.in\/images\/bulletin\/rsmc.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">click here&#8230;<\/a><\/h3>\n<h3>Very Severe Cyclonic Storm &#8216;NILOFAR&#8217; over West Central Arabian Sea has weakened considerably from its peak of 115 knots (213 kms.\/hour on 1 minute average speed basis) on 28th October to 60 knots (111 kms.\/hour on 1 minute average basis)<\/h3>\n<h3>Current location at 0000 UTC on 30th October 2014 is Lat. 19.7 N &amp; Long. 63.9 E with 60 knots winds\u00a0(111 kms.\/hour on 1 minute average speed basis) and 978 mb. Central Pressure. The System has weakened by 65 knots from its peak. Wave height of 30 feet.<\/h3>\n<h3><b>Tropical Cyclone 04A (Nilofar) Warning #19\u00a0<\/b> <b>Issued at 30\/0300Z<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/io0414_19.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-7146\" src=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/io0414_19.gif\" alt=\"io0414_19\" width=\"1179\" height=\"450\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\">\u00a0NRL\u00a0IR Satellite Image of \u00a004A.NILOFAR<\/h3>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\">Dated 30th October 2014 @ 0200 UTC<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/04ANILOFAR.60kts-978mb-197N-639E.100pc_ir.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-7142\" src=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/04ANILOFAR.60kts-978mb-197N-639E.100pc_ir.jpg\" alt=\"04ANILOFAR.60kts-978mb-197N-639E.100pc_ir\" width=\"1024\" height=\"650\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\">NRL Water Vapor Satellite Image of \u00a004A.NILOFAR<\/h3>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\">Dated 30th October 2014 @ 0200 UTC<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/04ANILOFAR.60kts-978mb-197N-639E.100pc_vapor.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-7143\" src=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/04ANILOFAR.60kts-978mb-197N-639E.100pc_vapor.jpg\" alt=\"04ANILOFAR.60kts-978mb-197N-639E.100pc_vapor\" width=\"1024\" height=\"650\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<table style=\"color: #00005f;\" border=\"1\" width=\"450\">\n<tbody>\n<tr align=\"center\">\n<td colspan=\"2\" rowspan=\"1\" bgcolor=\"#dfdfd\" width=\"450\" height=\"100\"><span style=\"color: #000055; font-size: large;\"><b>UW-CIMSS Automated Satellite-Based<\/b><\/span> <span style=\"color: #0000bb; font-size: large;\"><b>Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)<\/b><\/span> <span style=\"color: #0000bb; font-size: large;\"><b>Version 8.2.1<\/b><\/span> <span style=\"color: #000055; font-size: medium;\"><b>Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Algorithm<\/b><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr align=\"center\">\n<td colspan=\"2\" rowspan=\"1\" bgcolor=\"#dfdfdf\" width=\"450\" height=\"30\"><span style=\"color: #005500; font-size: large;\"><b>Current Intensity Analysis<\/b><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr align=\"left\">\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" colspan=\"2\" rowspan=\"1\" bgcolor=\"#dfdfdf\" width=\"450\" height=\"30\">\n<pre>                     UW - CIMSS                     \r\n              ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE       \r\n                  ADT-Version 8.2.1                \r\n         Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm       \r\n\r\n             ----- Current Analysis ----- \r\n     Date :  30 OCT 2014    Time :   020000 UTC\r\n      Lat :   19:50:06 N     Lon :   64:10:19 E\r\n\r\n     <span style=\"color: #bb0000;\"><b>\r\n                CI# \/Pressure\/ Vmax\r\n                3.1 \/ 995.2mb\/ 47.0kt\r\n\r\n     <\/b><\/span>\r\n             Final T#  Adj T#  Raw T# \r\n                3.0     3.3     3.3\r\n\r\n Center Temp : -52.0C    Cloud Region Temp : -66.2C\r\n\r\n Scene Type : EMBEDDED CENTER CLOUD REGION \r\n\r\n Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION \r\n\r\n Ocean Basin : INDIAN        \r\n Dvorak CI &gt; MSLP Conversion Used : PACIFIC   \r\n\r\n Tno\/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT \r\n                   Weakening Flag : ON    \r\n           Rapid Dissipation Flag : ON    \r\n\r\n C\/K\/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :\r\n  - Average 34 knot radii :  100km\r\n  - Environmental MSLP    : 1009mb\r\n\r\n Satellite Name :    MET7 \r\n Satellite Viewing Angle : 24.6 degrees \r\n\r\n****************************************************<\/pre>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">04A.NILOFAR<\/p>\n<h3><a href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/04AP.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-7152\" src=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/04AP.gif\" alt=\"04AP\" width=\"800\" height=\"600\" \/><\/a><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Forecast: 30th October to 2nd November 2014<\/h3>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3>Both major forecast models GFS &amp; ECMWF do not expect the System to make landfall, however, both have differing outcome for distance to landfall.<\/h3>\n<h3>As per GFS the System has started weakening and is expected to weaken considerably by 31st as it reaches vicinity of Saurashtra &amp; Kutch and remain there for two days till 2nd November. As per last forecast runs this model also does not expect System to make landfall.<\/h3>\n<h3>As per ECMWF the System has started weakening and is expected to remain far from Kutch &amp; Saurashtra and dissipate at sea by 2nd November. This model does not expect the System to make landfall.<\/h3>\n<h3>One thing is certain as per all models that the System is expected to weaken considerably during the next 48 hours. System not expected to make landfall even though it would be in the vicinity of Saurashtra &amp; Kutch. Clouding associated with the System will be over Saurashtra, Kutch &amp; Gujarat and adjoining Northeast Arabian Sea till 2nd November. Scattered showers, light to medium rainfall is expected over parts of Saurashtra &amp; Kutch with isolated heavy rainfall over Kutch and Coastal areas of Saurashtra till 2nd November. Since the System is expected to weaken winds will be lower than expected earlier.<\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Caution: Please refer\/rely on IMD\/RSMC Bulletins\/Advisories for Storms &amp; Weather related matter.<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>\u0a86\u0a97\u0abe\u0ab9\u0ac0 \u0aa4\u0abe\u0ab0\u0ac0\u0a96 \u0ae9\u0ae6 \u0a93\u0a95\u0acd\u0a9f\u0acb\u0aac\u0ab0 \u0aa5\u0ac0 \u0ae8 \u0aa8\u0ab5\u0ac7\u0aae\u0acd\u0aac\u0ab0 \u0ae8\u0ae6\u0ae7\u0aea:<\/h3>\n<h3>\u0aae\u0aa7\u0acd\u0aaf \u0aaa\u0ab6\u0acd\u0a9a\u0abf\u0aae \u0a85\u0ab0\u0aac\u0ac0 \u0ab8\u0aae\u0ac1\u0aa6\u0acd\u0ab0 \u0aae\u0abe\u0a82 \u2018\u0aa8\u0ac0\u0ab2\u0acb\u0aab\u0ab0\u2019 \u0aa8\u0abe\u0aae\u0aa8\u0ac1\u0a82 \u0a85\u0aa4\u0abf \u0aa4\u0ac0\u0ab5\u0acd\u0ab0 \u0ab5\u0abe\u0ab5\u0abe\u0a9d\u0acb\u0aa1\u0ac1\u0a82 \u0a9b\u0ac7\u0ab2\u0acd\u0ab2\u0abe \u0ae9\u0aec \u0a95\u0ab2\u0abe\u0a95 \u0aa5\u0aaf\u0abe \u0aa8\u0aac\u0ab3\u0ac1\u0a82 \u0aaa\u0aa1\u0ab5\u0abe 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\u0ab5\u0abe\u0ab5\u0abe\u0a9d\u0acb\u0aa1\u0abe \u0a85\u0aa8\u0ac7 \u0a86\u0ab5\u0ac0 \u0ab8\u0ac0\u0ab8\u0acd\u0a9f\u0aae \u0aae\u0abe\u0a9f\u0ac7 \u0ab9\u0ab5\u0abe\u0aae\u0abe\u0aa8 \u0a96\u0abe\u0aa4\u0abe \u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0aae\u0abe\u0ab9\u0abf\u0aa4\u0ac0 \u0a89\u0aaa\u0ab0 \u0aae\u0aa6\u0abe\u0ab0 \u0ab0\u0abe\u0a96\u0ab5\u0acb.<\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><a href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/Forecast_301014_1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-7158\" src=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/Forecast_301014_1.jpg\" alt=\"Forecast_301014_1\" width=\"1097\" height=\"450\" \/><\/a><\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/Forecast_281014_2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-7068\" src=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/Forecast_281014_2.jpg\" alt=\"Forecast_281014_2\" width=\"1107\" height=\"450\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/akila_301014_1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-7190\" src=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/akila_301014_1.jpg\" alt=\"akila_301014_1\" width=\"1174\" height=\"700\" \/><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/akila_301014_2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-7191\" src=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/akila_301014_2.jpg\" alt=\"akila_301014_2\" width=\"1162\" height=\"200\" \/><\/a><\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Current Weather Conditions on 30th October 2014 @ 8.30 am. For Latest Bulletin from REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI\u00a0click here&#8230; Very Severe Cyclonic Storm &#8216;NILOFAR&#8217; over West Central Arabian Sea has weakened considerably from its peak of 115 <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/?p=7137\">Read More &#8230;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7137","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ashok-patel-weather"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7137","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7137"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7137\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7137"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7137"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7137"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}