{"id":6991,"date":"2014-10-26T08:30:10","date_gmt":"2014-10-26T03:00:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wordpress\/?p=6991"},"modified":"2014-10-28T05:54:31","modified_gmt":"2014-10-28T00:24:31","slug":"arabian-sea-system-currently-deep-depression-strength-imd-expected-to-confirm","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/?p=6991","title":{"rendered":"Arabian Sea System Currently Deep Depression Strength – IMD Expected To Confirm"},"content":{"rendered":"

Current Weather Conditions on 26th October 2014 @ 8.30 am.<\/h3>\n

The Depression over West Central Arabian Sea has organized further to a Deep Depression strength. This has yet to be confirmed by IMD. System is likely to move initially in a Northwesterly direction towards Oman. System expected to intensify further into a Cyclonic Storm.<\/h3>\n

<\/h3>\n

IMD GFS (T574) MSLP Forecast Chart Valid 26th October 2014 @ 00 UTC<\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"12hgfs_mslp.gif_261014\"<\/a><\/h3>\n

JTWC Tropical Cyclone Warning Number 3<\/h3>\n

Dated 26-10-2014 @ 0300 UTC<\/h3>\n
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A (FOUR) WARNING NR 003    \r\n   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO\r\n   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE\r\n   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY\r\n    ---\r\n   WARNING POSITION:\r\n   260000Z --- NEAR 14.1N 63.0E\r\n     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS\r\n     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM\r\n     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE\r\n   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:\r\n   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT\r\n   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY\r\n   REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N 63.0E<\/pre>\n
JTWC Tropical Cyclone 04A (FOUR) Warning Number 3
\nDated 26-10-2014 @ 0300 UTC<\/h3>\n
\"io0414_3\"<\/a><\/p>\n
<\/h3>\n
JTWC track suggests a re-curve as the System comes close to\u00a0Oman. The re-curves would be Northeastwards & then Eastwards.<\/h3>\n
NRL IR Satellite Image Dated 26th October 2014 @ 0200 UTC<\/h3>\n
\"04AFOUR.35kts-996mb-141N-630E.100pc\"<\/a><\/h3>\n
<\/h3>\n
<\/h3>\n
<\/h3>\n
Wunderground ECMWF\u00a0925 hPa\u00a0Forecat Chart Valid 1st November 00 UTC<\/h3>\n
(based on\u00a0ECMWF\u00a0Forecast run dated 25th October 12 UTC)<\/h3>\n
\"ECMWF_251014_1200z\"<\/a><\/p>\n
 <\/p>\n
Wunderground GFS 925 hPa Forecat Chart Valid 31th October 00 UTC<\/h3>\n
(based on GFS Forecast run dated 25th October 12 UTC)<\/h3>\n
 <\/p>\n
\"GFS_251014_1200z\"<\/a><\/h3>\n
<\/h3>\n
 <\/p>\n
Forecast: 26th October to 1st November 2014<\/h3>\n
 <\/p>\n
ECMWF & GSF are now having similar outcome for the System in the West Central Arabian Sea. \u00a0GFS is\u00a0nearly\u00a0consistent with the forecast track by subsequently tracking the System Eastwards towards Gujarat\/Pakistan, and now ECMWF also shows the System tracking towards\u00a0Pakistan\/Gujarat but about 24 hours later.\u00a0There is differing of timing from both these forecast models, so the forecast confidence is yet low. Better forecast track will be available by tomorrow the 27th October. Now that both these models are suggesting re-curve towards Pakistan\/Gujarat, farmers should be cautious. Future Western Disturbance during the forecast period could affect the final outcome this System. Updates will be given again if some more clarity of track is available.<\/h3>\n
 <\/p>\n
Caution: Please refer\/rely on IMD\/RSMC Bulletins\/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.<\/strong><\/h3>\n
 <\/p>\n
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\u0a9f\u0ac2\u0a82\u0a95 \u0aae\u0abe\u0a82 \u0ab8\u0acc\u0ab0\u0abe\u0ab7\u0acd\u0a9f\u0acd\u0ab0 \u0a97\u0ac1\u0a9c\u0ab0\u0abe\u0aa4 \u0a85\u0aa8\u0ac7 \u0a95\u0a9a\u0acd\u0a9b \u0aae\u0abe\u0a82 \u0ab8\u0a9c\u0abe\u0a97 \u0ab0\u0ab9\u0ac7\u0ab5\u0ac1\u0a82 \u0a95\u0abe\u0ab0\u0aa3 \u0a95\u0ac7 \u0a86 \u0ab8\u0ac0\u0ab8\u0acd\u0a9f\u0aae \u0ab8\u0acc\u0ab0\u0abe\u0ab7\u0acd\u0a9f\u0acd\u0ab0 \u0a97\u0ac1\u0a9c\u0ab0\u0abe\u0aa4 \u0a85\u0aa8\u0ac7 \u0a95\u0a9a\u0acd\u0a9b \u0aac\u0abe\u0a9c\u0ac1 \u0a86\u0ab5\u0ac7 \u0aa4\u0ac7\u0ab5\u0ac0 \u0ab8\u0a82\u0aad\u0abe\u0ab5\u0aa8\u0abe \u0ab5\u0aa7\u0ac0 \u0a9b\u0ac7 \u0a8f\u0a9f\u0ab2\u0ac7 \u0aaa\u0ab5\u0aa8 \u0a85\u0aa8\u0ac7 \u0ab5\u0ab0\u0ab8\u0abe\u0aa6 \u0aa8\u0ac1\u0a82 \u0aa8\u0ac2\u0a95\u0ab8\u0abe\u0aa8 \u0aaa\u0aa3 \u0aa5\u0a87 \u0ab6\u0a95\u0ac7. \u0a86 \u0ab8\u0ac0\u0ab8\u0acd\u0a9f\u0aae \u0aa8\u0abe \u0a85\u0aa8\u0ac2\u0ab8\u0a82\u0a97\u0abf\u0a95 \u0ab5\u0abe\u0aa6\u0ab3 \u0ab8\u0aae\u0ac2\u0ab9\u0acb \u0aac\u0ab9\u0ac1 \u0aae\u0acb\u0a9f\u0abe \u0ab5\u0abf\u0ab8\u0acd\u0aa4\u0abe\u0ab0 \u0aae\u0abe\u0a82 \u0aab\u0ac7\u0ab2\u0abe\u0ab6\u0ac7 \u0a85\u0aa8\u0ac7 \u0a95\u0acd\u0aaf\u0abe\u0ab0\u0ac7\u0a95 \u0a95\u0acd\u0aaf\u0abe\u0ab0\u0ac7\u0a95 \u0aa4\u0ac7\u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0aaa\u0ac2\u0a9b\u0aa1\u0ac0\u0aaf\u0acb \u0ab8\u0acc\u0ab0\u0abe\u0ab7\u0acd\u0a9f\u0acd\u0ab0 \u0a97\u0ac1\u0a9c\u0ab0\u0abe\u0aa4 \u0a89\u0aaa\u0ab0 \u0aa5\u0ac0 \u0aaa\u0ab8\u0abe\u0ab0 \u0aa5\u0ab6\u0ac7.<\/h3>\n
\u0aa8\u0acb\u0a82\u0aa7: \u0ab5\u0abe\u0ab5\u0abe\u0a9d\u0acb\u0aa1\u0abe \u0a85\u0aa8\u0ac7 \u0a86\u0ab5\u0ac0 \u0ab8\u0ac0\u0ab8\u0acd\u0a9f\u0aae \u0aae\u0abe\u0a9f\u0ac7 \u0ab9\u0ab5\u0abe\u0aae\u0abe\u0aa8 \u0a96\u0abe\u0aa4\u0abe \u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0aae\u0abe\u0ab9\u0abf\u0aa4\u0ac0 \u0a89\u0aaa\u0ab0 \u0aae\u0aa6\u0abe\u0ab0 \u0ab0\u0abe\u0a96\u0ab5\u0acb.<\/h3>\n
\"Forecast_261014\"<\/a><\/p>\n
 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Current Weather Conditions on 26th October 2014 @ 8.30 am. The Depression over West Central Arabian Sea has organized further to a Deep Depression strength. This has yet to be confirmed by IMD. System is likely to move initially in Read More …<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6991","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ashok-patel-weather"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6991","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6991"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6991\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6991"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6991"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6991"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}