![\"io0213_101013_7\"](\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/io0213_101013_7.gif\")
<\/a><\/p>\nTC Warning Text:<\/p>\n
WTIO31 PGTW 101500\r\nMSGID\/GENADMIN\/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI\/\/\r\nSUBJ\/TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B (PHAILIN) WARNING NR 007\/\/\r\nRMKS\/\r\n1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B (PHAILIN) WARNING NR 007 \r\n 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO\r\n MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE\r\n WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY\r\n ---\r\n WARNING POSITION:\r\n 101200Z --- NEAR 15.4N 90.3E\r\n MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 08 KTS\r\n POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM\r\n POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE\r\n PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:\r\n MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT\r\n WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY\r\n RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N 90.3E\r\n ---\r\n FORECASTS:\r\n 12 HRS, VALID AT:\r\n 110000Z --- 16.0N 89.0E\r\n MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT\r\n WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY\r\n RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG\/ 08 KTS\r\n ---\r\n 24 HRS, VALID AT:\r\n 111200Z --- 16.9N 87.6E\r\n MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT\r\n WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY\r\n RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG\/ 08 KTS\r\n ---\r\n 36 HRS, VALID AT:\r\n 120000Z --- 17.6N 86.2E\r\n MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT\r\n WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY\r\n RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG\/ 09 KTS\r\n ---\r\n EXTENDED OUTLOOK:\r\n 48 HRS, VALID AT:\r\n 121200Z --- 18.8N 84.9E\r\n MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT\r\n WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY\r\n RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT\r\n 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT\r\n VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG\/ 09 KTS\r\n ---\r\n 72 HRS, VALID AT:\r\n 131200Z --- 21.7N 82.5E\r\n MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT\r\n WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY\r\n DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND\r\n VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG\/ 07 KTS\r\n ---\r\n LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:\r\n ---\r\n 96 HRS, VALID AT:\r\n 141200Z --- 24.3N 81.6E\r\n MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT\r\n WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY\r\n DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND\r\n ---\r\nREMARKS:\r\n101500Z POSITION NEAR 15.6N 90.0E.\r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE 02B (PHAILIN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 445 NM\r\nSOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD\r\nAT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED \r\n(EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TC 02B HAS UNDERGONE EXTREME RAPID \r\nINTENSIFICATION (RI) OVER THE PAST TWELVE HOURS. PGTW DVORAK CURRENT \r\nINTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE INCREASED FROM 4.0 AT 10\/00Z TO 6.0 AT \r\n10\/12Z. THE EIR INDICATES A WARM SYMMETRIC EYE FEATURE WITH \r\nSURROUNDING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM COLD-MEDIUM-GREY TO \r\nCOLD-DARK-GREY. ADDITIONALLY, CONVECTIVE BANDING HAS TIGHTENED AS \r\nEVIDENT IN A 101323Z SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE INITIAL POSITION IS \r\nBASED ON THE EYE FEATURE IN THE EIR ANIMATION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. \r\nTHE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 100 KNOTS WHICH IS SLIGHTLY \r\nLOWER THAN THE PGTW AND KNES DVORAK ESTIMATES OF 115 KNOTS. THE \r\nINTENSITY FORECAST HAS INCREASED ACCORDINGLY DUE TO THE RI EVENT. \r\nUPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS 05 DEGREES SOUTH OF THE \r\nRIDGE AXIS IN AN AREA OF LOW (05-10 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND \r\nEXCELLENT RADIAL OUTFLOW. THE CYCLONE IS TRACKING ALONG THE OUTER \r\nPERIPHERY OF THE MID-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. TC \r\n02B IS EXPECTED TO STAY ON THIS TRACK THROUGHOUT ITS LIFESPAN AS IT \r\nDRIFTS ACROSS THE BAY OF BENGAL AND MAKES LANDFALL NORTHEAST OF \r\nVISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY DUE TO \r\nTHE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS DISCUSSED ABOVE IN ADDITION TO WARM SEA-\r\nSURFACE TEMPERATURES, PEAKING AT 135 KNOTS. AFTER LANDFALL, TC \r\nPHAILIN WILL RAPIDLY ERODE AS IT DRAGS ACROSS THE RUGGED INDIAN \r\nTERRAIN, DISSIPATING BY TAU 96. THE AVAILABLE NUMERIC TRACK GUIDANCE \r\nIS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC TRACK \r\nFORECAST THAT IS LAID CLOSE TO MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS. MAXIMUM \r\nSIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT \r\n102100Z, 110300Z, 110900Z AND 111500Z.\/\/\r\nNNNN<\/pre>\nAs per JTWC the highest forecast winds for this System is 135 knots or 250 Kms.\/hour based on 1 minute average wind speed basis on 12th October 00 UTC.<\/h3>\n
NOTE: RSMC\/IMD New Delhi is the Official Agency for monitoring North Indian Cyclones. Refer Rely on IMD\/RSMC Bulletins\/Advisories.<\/strong>
\n<\/strong><\/h3>\nCAUTION: Take precautions and be vigil due to high winds, rain and waves in the vicinity of the above System and at other places due to the above System. Refer Rely on IMD\/RSMC Bulletins\/Advisories.<\/strong><\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Tropical Cyclone 02B (Phailin) Warning #07 Issued at 10\/1500Z TC Warning Text: WTIO31 PGTW 101500 MSGID\/GENADMIN\/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI\/\/ SUBJ\/TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B (PHAILIN) WARNING NR 007\/\/ RMKS\/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B (PHAILIN) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL Read More …<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4818","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ashok-patel-weather"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4818","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4818"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4818\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4818"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4818"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4818"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}