{"id":27280,"date":"2023-01-10T04:08:45","date_gmt":"2023-01-09T22:38:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wordpress\/?p=27280"},"modified":"2023-06-25T09:04:40","modified_gmt":"2023-06-25T03:34:40","slug":"double-dip-la-nina-expected-to-continue-into-2023-%e0%aa%a1%e0%aa%ac%e0%aa%b2-%e0%aa%a1%e0%aa%bf%e0%aa%aa-%e0%aa%b2%e0%aa%be-%e0%aa%a8%e0%ab%80%e0%aa%a8%e0%aa%be-2023-%e0%aa%ae%e0%aa%be%e0%aa%82","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/?p=27280","title":{"rendered":"Double Dip La Nina Expected To Enter Into 2023 &#8211; \u0aa1\u0aac\u0ab2 \u0aa1\u0abf\u0aaa \u0ab2\u0abe \u0aa8\u0ac0\u0aa8\u0abe 2023 \u0aae\u0abe\u0a82 \u0aa6\u0abe\u0a96\u0ab2 \u0aa5\u0ab5\u0abe\u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0ab6\u0a95\u0acd\u0aaf\u0aa4\u0abe"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4>Double Dip La Nina Expected To Enter Into 2023<br \/>\n\u0aa1\u0aac\u0ab2 \u0aa1\u0abf\u0aaa \u0ab2\u0abe \u0aa8\u0ac0\u0aa8\u0abe 2023 \u0aae\u0abe\u0a82 \u0aa6\u0abe\u0a96\u0ab2 \u0aa5\u0ab5\u0abe\u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0ab6\u0a95\u0acd\u0aaf\u0aa4\u0abe<\/h4>\n<h4>Enso Status on 9th January 2023<\/h4>\n<p>OND 2022 ONI Index is -0.9\u00baC. The <strong>&#8216;Double Dip La Nina&#8217;<\/strong> continues to persist at the end of December 2022. Southwest Monsoon Rainfall over India has been +106% of LPA at the end of 30th September 2022.<\/p>\n<p>OND 2022 ONI \u0a88\u0aa8\u0acd\u0aa1\u0ac7\u0a95\u0acd\u0ab8 -0.9\u00baC. <strong>&#8216;\u0aa1\u0aac\u0ab2 \u0aa1\u0ac0\u0aaa \u0ab2\u0abe \u0aa8\u0ac0\u0aa8\u0abe&#8217;<\/strong> \u0ab9\u0a9c\u0ac1 \u0a9a\u0abe\u0ab2\u0ac1 \u0a9b\u0ac7. \u0aa6\u0a95\u0acd\u0ab7\u0abf\u0aa3 \u0aaa\u0ab6\u0acd\u0a9a\u0abf\u0aae \u0a9a\u0acb\u0aae\u0abe\u0ab8\u0abe \u0aae\u0abe\u0a82 \u0aa6\u0ac7\u0ab6 \u0ab2\u0ac7\u0ab5\u0ab2 \u0aae\u0abe\u0a82 \u0ab5\u0abe\u0ab0\u0acd\u0ab7\u0abf\u0a95 \u0ab6\u0ab0\u0ac7\u0ab0\u0abe\u0ab6 \u0ab5\u0ab0\u0ab8\u0abe\u0aa6 \u0aa8\u0abe 106%\u00a0 \u0ab5\u0ab0\u0ab8\u0abe\u0aa6 \u0aa5\u0aaf\u0ac7\u0ab2 \u0a9b\u0ac7 30 \u0ab8\u0aaa\u0acd\u0a9f\u0ac7\u0aae\u0acd\u0aac\u0ab0 2022 \u0ab8\u0ac1\u0aa7\u0ac0 \u0aae\u0abe\u0a82.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Ashok Patel&#8217;s Analysis &amp; Commentary :<\/strong><\/h4>\n<div id=\"overviewCommentary\">\n<p><strong><br \/>\nUsing NOAA Criteria, the La Nina thresh hold was first met in JAS 2021 with Oni Index of -0.5\u00baC, however, the full fledged La Nina event was confirmed at the end of January 2022 having fulfilled the five consecutive overlapping <\/strong><strong>3-monthly seasons with ONI less than or equal to &#8211;<\/strong><strong>0.5\u00baC. La Nina has continued for more than a year, December 2022 being the 16th 3-monthly season with OND 2022 at &#8211;<\/strong><strong>0.9\u00baC. This La Nina event is called a &#8216;Double Dip La Nina&#8217;.\u00a0 See <a href=\"https:\/\/www.noaa.gov\/news\/double-dip-la-nina-emerges\">https:\/\/www.noaa.gov\/news\/double-dip-la-nina-emerges<\/a> wherein NOAA mentions &#8220;Consecutive La Ninas following a transition through ENSO neutral conditions are not uncommon and can be referred to as a \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.climate.gov\/news-features\/blogs\/enso\/double-dipping-why-does-la-ni%C3%B1a-often-occur-consecutive-winters\">double-dip<\/a>.\u201d<br \/>\nThe First La Nina event was in 2020-21 which was followed by a second La Nina the current event of 2021-22 with a transition through Enso Neutral Conditions in 2021.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>The Double Dip La Nina is expected to continue into 2023.<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<h4>Indian Monsoon &amp; Enso relationship for India:<\/h4>\n<p>Based on earlier more than 100 years weather Data for Indian Summer Monsoon, The Average Rainfall in an El Nino years is 94% of LPA while in La Nina Years it has been 106 % of LPA for the whole country. Monsoon Rainfall over India has been +106% of LPA at the end of 30th September 2022. However, El Nino or La Nina may affect the Monsoon differently for different Regions of India and warrants research for concrete co-relations for each region of India if any.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"overviewCommentary\">\n<p><strong style=\"font-size: 20px;\">\u0a85\u0ab6\u0acb\u0a95 \u0aaa\u0a9f\u0ac7\u0ab2\u00a0\u0aa8\u0ac1\u0a82 \u0aa4\u0abe\u0ab0\u0aa3 \u0a85\u0aa8\u0ac7 \u0ab5\u0abf\u0ab6\u0acd\u0ab2\u0ac7\u0ab7\u0aa3 :<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>NOAA \u0aae\u0abe\u0aaa\u0aa6\u0a82\u0aa1 \u0aae\u0ac1\u0a9c\u0aac &#8216;\u0ab2\u0abe \u0aa8\u0ac0\u0aa8\u0abe&#8217; \u0ab5\u0acd\u0aaf\u0abe\u0a96\u0acd\u0aaf\u0abe \u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0aaa\u0ab9\u0ac7\u0ab2\u0ac0 \u0ab8\u0abf\u0a9d\u0aa8 JAS 2021 \u0aae\u0abe\u0a82 \u0ab6\u0ab0\u0ac1 \u0aa5\u0a87 \u0a85\u0aa8\u0ac7 \u0ab5\u0abf\u0aa7\u0abf\u0ab5\u0aa4 &#8216;\u0ab2\u0abe \u0aa8\u0ac0\u0aa8\u0abe&#8217; \u0a9c\u0abe\u0aa8\u0acd\u0aaf\u0ac1\u0a86\u0ab0\u0ac0 2022 \u0aa8\u0abe \u0aaa\u0acd\u0ab0\u0ab8\u0acd\u0aa5\u0abe\u0aaa\u0abf\u0aa4 \u0aa5\u0aaf\u0ac1\u0a82 \u0a95\u0ab9\u0ac7\u0ab5\u0abe\u0aaf \u0a95\u0ac7 \u0a9c\u0aaf\u0abe\u0ab0\u0ac7 \u0ab8\u0ab3\u0a82\u0a97 5 \u0aa4\u0acd\u0ab0\u0abf\u0aae\u0abe\u0ab8\u0abf\u0a95 \u0ab8\u0ac0\u0a9d\u0aa8 \u0aae\u0abe\u0a82 ONI \u0a88\u0aa8\u0acd\u0aa1\u0ac7\u0a95\u0acd\u0ab8 -0.5C \u0a95\u0ac7 \u0aa4\u0ac7\u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0aa8\u0ac0\u0a9a\u0ac7 \u0ab0\u0ab9\u0ac7\u0ab2. &#8216;\u0ab2\u0abe \u0aa8\u0ac0\u0aa8\u0abe&#8217; \u0a8f\u0a95 \u0ab5\u0ab0\u0ab8 \u0aa5\u0ac0 \u0ab5\u0aa7\u0ac1 \u0ab8\u0aae\u0aaf \u0aa5\u0aaf\u0abe \u0a9a\u0abe\u0ab2\u0ac1 \u0a9b\u0ac7. \u0ab8\u0aaa\u0acd\u0a9f\u0ac7\u0aae\u0acd\u0aac\u0ab0 2022 \u0a86\u0a96\u0ab0 \u0aae\u0abe\u0a82 \u0a95\u0ac1\u0ab2 13 \u0aa4\u0acd\u0ab0\u0abf\u0aae\u0abe\u0ab8\u0abf\u0a95 \u0ab8\u0ac0\u0a9d\u0aa8 \u0aa5\u0ac0 &#8216;\u0ab2\u0abe \u0aa8\u0ac0\u0aa8\u0abe&#8217; \u0a9a\u0abe\u0ab2\u0ac1 \u0a9b\u0ac7, \u0a9c\u0ac7\u0aae\u0abe\u0a82 JAS 2022 \u0aa8\u0ac1\u0a82 \u0a93\u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0a88\u0aa8\u0acd\u0aa1\u0ac7\u0a95\u0acd\u0ab8 -0.9\u00baC \u0a9b\u0ac7. NOAA \u0a8f\u0ab5\u0ac1\u0a82 \u0a9c\u0aa3\u0abe\u0ab5\u0ac7 \u0a9b\u0ac7 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.noaa.gov\/news\/double-dip-la-nina-emerges\">\u0a86 \u0ab2\u0abf\u0a82\u0a95 \u0aae\u0abe\u0a82<\/a> \u0a95\u0ac7 \u0aac\u0ac7 \u0ab8\u0ab3\u0a82\u0a97 \u0ab2\u0abe \u0aa8\u0ac0\u0aa8\u0abe \u0ab5\u0a9a\u0acd\u0a9a\u0ac7 \u0a8f\u0aa8\u0acd\u0ab8\u0acb \u0aa8\u0acd\u0aaf\u0ac1\u0a9f\u0acd\u0ab0\u0ab2 \u0ab8\u0acd\u0aa5\u0abf\u0aa4\u0abf \u0a86\u0ab5\u0ac7 \u0aa4\u0acb \u0aa4\u0ac7\u0aa8\u0ac7 &#8216;\u0aa1\u0aac\u0ab2 \u0aa1\u0ac0\u0aaa \u0ab2\u0abe \u0aa8\u0ac0\u0aa8\u0abe&#8217; \u0a95\u0ab9\u0ac7\u0ab5\u0abe\u0aaf. \u0aaa\u0ab9\u0ac7\u0ab2\u0acb &#8216;\u0ab2\u0abe \u0aa8\u0ac0\u0aa8\u0abe&#8217; 2020-21 \u0aae\u0abe\u0a82 \u0aa5\u0aaf\u0ac7\u0ab2 \u0aa4\u0acd\u0aaf\u0abe\u0ab0 \u0aac\u0abe\u0aa6 \u0a8f\u0aa8\u0acd\u0ab8\u0acb \u0aa8\u0acd\u0aaf\u0ac1\u0a9f\u0acd\u0ab0\u0ab2 \u0aaa\u0ab0\u0abf\u0ab8\u0acd\u0aa5\u0abf\u0aa4\u0abf 2021 \u0aae\u0abe\u0a82 \u0aa5\u0aaf\u0ac7\u0ab2 \u0a85\u0aa8\u0ac7 \u0aa4\u0acd\u0aaf\u0abe\u0ab0 \u0aac\u0abe\u0aa6 \u0ab8\u0ab3\u0a82\u0a97 \u0aac\u0ac0\u0a9c\u0acb &#8216;\u0ab2\u0abe \u0aa8\u0ac0\u0aa8\u0abe&#8217; 2021-22 \u0aa5\u0aaf\u0ac7\u0ab2 \u0a9c\u0ac7 \u0ab9\u0a9c\u0ac1 \u0a9a\u0abe\u0ab2\u0ac1 \u0a9b\u0ac7. \u0a86 \u0aaa\u0acd\u0ab0\u0a95\u0abf\u0aaf\u0abe \u0aa8\u0ac7 &#8216;\u0aa1\u0aac\u0ab2 \u0aa1\u0ac0\u0aaa \u0ab2\u0abe \u0aa8\u0ac0\u0aa8\u0abe&#8217; \u0a95\u0ab9\u0ac7\u0ab5\u0abe\u0aaf. \u0ab9\u0a9c\u0ac1 \u0a86 &#8216;\u0aa1\u0aac\u0ab2 \u0aa1\u0ac0\u0aaa \u0ab2\u0abe \u0aa8\u0ac0\u0aa8\u0abe&#8217; \u0aaa\u0ab0\u0abf\u0ab8\u0acd\u0aa5\u0abf\u0aa4\u0abf \u0a85\u0aae\u0ac1\u0a95 \u0aae\u0ab9\u0abf\u0aa8\u0abe \u0a9a\u0abe\u0ab2\u0ac1 \u0ab0\u0ab9\u0ac7\u0ab6\u0ac7.<br \/>\n<\/strong><br \/>\n\u0a86\u0a97\u0ab3 \u0aa8\u0abe 100 \u0ab5\u0ab0\u0acd\u0ab7 \u0aa5\u0ac0 \u0ab5\u0aa7\u0ac1 \u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0ab6\u0ab0\u0ac7\u0ab0\u0abe\u0ab6 \u0aaa\u0acd\u0ab0\u0aae\u0abe\u0aa3\u0ac7 \u0a8f\u0ab2 \u0aa8\u0abf\u0aa8\u0acb \u0ab5\u0ab0\u0acd\u0ab7 \u0aae\u0abe\u0a82 \u0aad\u0abe\u0ab0\u0aa4\u0ac0\u0aaf \u0a9a\u0acb\u0aae\u0abe\u0ab8\u0ac1 94% \u0ab0\u0ab9\u0ac7\u0ab2 \u0a9b\u0ac7, \u0a9c\u0aaf\u0abe\u0ab0\u0ac7 \u0ab2\u0abe \u0aa8\u0abf\u0aa8\u0abe \u0ab5\u0ab0\u0acd\u0ab7 \u0aae\u0abe\u0a82 \u0a9a\u0acb\u0aae\u0abe\u0ab8\u0ac1 106% \u0ab0\u0ab9\u0ac7\u0ab2 \u0a9b\u0ac7. \u0aad\u0abe\u0ab0\u0aa4\u0ac0\u0aaf \u0a9a\u0acb\u0aae\u0abe\u0ab8\u0abe \u0aae\u0abe\u0a9f\u0ac7 \u0ab5\u0abf\u0ab5\u0abf\u0aa6\u0acd\u0aa7 \u0aaa\u0ab0\u0abf\u0aac\u0ab3\u0acb \u0aaa\u0ac8\u0a95\u0ac0 \u0aa8\u0ac1\u0a82 \u0a8f\u0ab2 \u0aa8\u0abf\u0aa8\u0acb\/\u0ab2\u0abe \u0aa8\u0abf\u0aa8\u0abe \u0aab\u0a95\u0acd\u0aa4 \u0a8f\u0a95 \u0aaa\u0ab0\u0abf\u0aac\u0ab3 \u0a9b\u0ac7. \u0aad\u0abe\u0ab0\u0aa4 \u0aa8\u0abe \u0a85\u0ab2\u0a97 \u0a85\u0ab2\u0a97 \u0ab5\u0abf\u0ab8\u0acd\u0aa4\u0abe\u0ab0\u0acb \u0aa8\u0abe \u0a9a\u0acb\u0aae\u0abe\u0ab8\u0abe \u0aaa\u0ab0 \u0a8f\u0ab2 \u0aa8\u0abf\u0aa8\u0acb\/\u0ab2\u0abe \u0aa8\u0abf\u0aa8\u0abe \u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0a85\u0ab8\u0ab0 \u0a8f\u0a95 \u0ab8\u0ab0\u0a96\u0ac0 \u0aa8\u0aa5\u0ac0 \u0aa5\u0aa4\u0ac0, \u0a9c\u0ac7 \u0ab9\u0abe\u0ab2 \u0ab0\u0abf\u0ab8\u0ab0\u0acd\u0a9a \u0aa8\u0acb \u0aa0\u0acb\u0ab8 \u0ab5\u0abf\u0ab8\u0aaf \u0a9b\u0ac7.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h4><\/h4>\n<h4><strong>How ONI is determined:<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>The ONI is based on SST departures from average in the Ni\u00f1o 3.4 region, and is a principal measure for monitoring, assessing, and predicting ENSO. Defined as the three-month running-mean SST departures in the Ni\u00f1o 3.4 region. Departures are based on a set of further improved homogeneous historical SST analyses (Extended Reconstructed SST \u2013 ERSST.v5). Explanation about ERSST.v5 is given\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncdc.noaa.gov\/data-access\/marineocean-data\/extended-reconstructed-sea-surface-temperature-ersst-v5\">here.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>NOAA Operational Definitions for El Ni\u00f1o and La Ni\u00f1a, El Ni\u00f1o: characterized by a positive ONI greater than or equal to +0.5\u00baC. La Ni\u00f1a: characterized by a negative ONI less than or equal to -0.5\u00baC. By historical standards, to be classified as a full-fledged El Ni\u00f1o or La Ni\u00f1a episode, these thresholds must be exceeded for a period of at least 5 consecutive overlapping 3-month seasons.<\/p>\n<p>CPC considers El Ni\u00f1o or La Ni\u00f1a conditions to occur when the monthly Ni\u00f1o3.4 OISST departures meet or exceed +\/- 0.5\u00baC along with consistent atmospheric features. These anomalies must also be forecast to persist for 3 consecutive months.<\/p>\n<p>The\u00a0<b>Climate Prediction Center<\/b>\u00a0(<b>CPC<\/b>) is a United States Federal Agency that is one of the NECP, which are a part of the NOAA<br \/>\n<strong>Current La Nina 2021-22 all ONI Index are <\/strong><strong>JAS 2021 -0.5\u00baC ASO 2021 -0.7\u00baC SON 2021 -0.8\u00baC, OND 2021 -1.0\u00baC, NDJ 2022 -1.0\u00baC, DJF 2022 -1.0\u00baC, JFM 2022 -0.9\u00baC, FMA 2022 -1.0\u00baC, MAM 2022 -1.1\u00baC, AMJ 2022 -1.0\u00baC, MJJ 2022 -0.9\u00baC, JJA -0.8\u00baC, JAS 2022 -0.9\u00baC ASO 2022 -1.0\u00baC SON 2022 -1.0\u00baC and OND\u00a02022 -0.9\u00baC.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Latest Oceanic Nino Index Graph Shows<br \/>\nDouble Dip La Nina 2021-22 Exists End Of December 2022<\/strong><\/h4>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><\/h4>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/?attachment_id=27263#main\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-27263\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-27263\" src=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/LaNina-ONI_OND22-1024x777.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"860\" height=\"653\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/LaNina-ONI_OND22-1024x777.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/LaNina-ONI_OND22-300x228.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/LaNina-ONI_OND22-768x583.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/LaNina-ONI_OND22.jpg 1250w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 860px) 100vw, 860px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h4>The Table below shows the monthly SST of Nino3.4 Region and the Climate adjusted normal SST and SST anomaly from June 2020. Climate Base 1991-2020. ERSST.v5<\/h4>\n<pre>Period    Nino3.4 ClimAdjust\r\nYR   MON  Temp.\u00baC Temp.\u00baC ANOM \u00baC\r\n\r\n2020   6   27.39   27.73   -0.34\r\n2020   7   26.99   27.29   -0.30\r\n2020   8   26.27   26.86   -0.59\r\n2020   9   25.89   26.72   -0.83\r\n2020  10   25.46   26.72   -1.25\r\n2020  11   25.28   26.70   -1.42\r\n2020  12   25.45   26.60   -1.15\r\n2021   1   25.56   26.55   -0.99\r\n2021   2   25.76   26.76   -1.00\r\n2021   3   26.50   27.29   -0.80\r\n2021   4   27.11   27.83   -0.72\r\n2021   5   27.48   27.94   -0.46\r\n2021   6   27.45   27.73   -0.28\r\n2021   7   26.90   27.29   -0.39\r\n2021   8   26.32   26.86   -0.53\r\n2021   9   26.16   26.72   -0.55\r\n2021  10   25.78   26.72   -0.94\r\n2021  11   25.76   26.70   -0.94\r\n2021  12   25.54   26.60   -1.06\r\n2022   1   25.61   26.55   -0.95\r\n2022   2   25.88   26.76   -0.89\r\n2022   3   26.33   27.29   -0.97\r\n2022   4   26.72   27.83   -1.11\r\n2022   5   26.83   27.94   -1.11\r\n2022   6   26.98   27.73   -0.75\r\n2022   7   26.60   27.29   -0.70\r\n2022   8   25.88   26.86   -0.97\r\n2022   9   25.65   26.72   -1.07\r\n2022  10   25.73   26.72   -0.99\r\n2022  11   25.80   26.70   -0.90\r\n2022  12   25.71   26.60   -0.89<\/pre>\n<h4><\/h4>\n<h4><strong>Southern Oscillation Index<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"color: #222222; font-size: 1.5rem;\">As per BOM, Australia:<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"block-50\">\n<p>The 30-day Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) to 7th January 2023 was +22.1 and is considered in the La Nina zone.<\/p>\n<p>Sustained negative values of the SOI below \u22127 typically indicate El\u00a0Ni\u00f1o while sustained positive values above +7 typically indicate La\u00a0Ni\u00f1a. Values between +7 and \u22127 generally indicate neutral conditions.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/?attachment_id=27265#main\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-27265\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-27265\" src=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/soi30-7th-January-2023.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"576\" height=\"403\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/soi30-7th-January-2023.png 576w, https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/soi30-7th-January-2023-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 576px) 100vw, 576px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h4><\/h4>\n<h4>Recent (preliminary) Southern Oscillation Index values as per The Long Paddock &#8211; Queensland Government.<\/h4>\n<p>30 Days average SOI was +18.41 at the end of December 2022 and was +20.82 on 9th January 2023 as per The Long Paddock &#8211; Queensland Government and 90 Days average SOI was +14.02 on 9th January 2023.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/?attachment_id=27266#main\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-27266\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-27266\" src=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/LP-SOI-090123.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"960\" height=\"400\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/LP-SOI-090123.png 960w, https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/LP-SOI-090123-300x125.png 300w, https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/LP-SOI-090123-768x320.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h4><\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<h4>SOI Monthly graph up to December 2023 as per The Long Paddock &#8211; Queensland Government.<\/h4>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/?attachment_id=27267#main\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-27267\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-27267\" src=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/Monthly-SOI-2022-Decmber-LP.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"454\" height=\"340\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h4><strong>Summary by: Climate Prediction Center \/ NCEP \u00a0Dated 8th December 2022<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><strong>ENSO Alert System Status: La Ni\u00f1a Advisory<br \/>\nLa Ni\u00f1a is present.*<br \/>\n<\/strong>Synopsis: La Ni\u00f1a is expected to continue into the winter, with equal chances of La Ni\u00f1a<br \/>\nand ENSO-neutral during January-March 2023. In February-April 2023, there is a 71%<br \/>\nchance of ENSO-neutral.<\/p>\n<p>* Note: These statements are updated once a month (2nd Thursday of each month) in association<br \/>\nwith the ENSO Diagnostics Discussion, which can be found by clicking <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov\/products\/analysis_monitoring\/enso_advisory\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>As per BOM \u2013 Australia 4th January 2023<\/strong><\/h4>\n<div id=\"overviewContent\" class=\"block-80 print-block-100\">\n<div id=\"overviewCommentary\">\n<div id=\"modelContent\">\n<div id=\"modelCommentary\">\n<div class=\"box-centre\">\n<figure role=\"group\">\n<h4><strong>Enso Outlook<\/strong><\/h4>\n<div id=\"overviewContent\" class=\"block-80 print-block-100\">\n<div id=\"overviewCommentary\">\n<div id=\"modelContent\">\n<div id=\"modelCommentary\">\n<div class=\"block-100\">\n<div id=\"modelContent\">\n<div id=\"modelCommentary\">\n<div class=\"box-graphic block-25 float-right\">\n<div class=\"box-centre\">\n<figure class=\"\">\n<div id=\"ensoStatus\">\n<p>La Ni\u00f1a remains active; however recent observations and model outlooks indicate this event is easing. The Bureau&#8217;s latest weekly NINO3.4 value to 01 January 2023 was \u22120.6 \u00b0C, which is outside La Ni\u00f1a thresholds (\u22120.8\u00a0\u00b0C and cooler).<\/p>\n<p>All surveyed climate models indicate sea surface temperatures in the central tropical Pacific (NINO3.4) will return to ENSO-neutral by February 2023 and remain at neutral levels\u00a0until at least\u00a0the end of the southern hemisphere autumn.\u00a0Model accuracy is generally lower at this time of year than at other times, so outlooks through and beyond autumn should be viewed with caution.<\/p>\n<p>(Note: Autumn is with reference to Southern Hemisphere)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/?attachment_id=27269#main\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-27269\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-27269\" src=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/sstOutlooks.nino34.hr-December-2022.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1000\" height=\"600\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/sstOutlooks.nino34.hr-December-2022.png 1000w, https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/sstOutlooks.nino34.hr-December-2022-300x180.png 300w, https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/sstOutlooks.nino34.hr-December-2022-768x461.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"box-centre\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"block-100\">\n<div id=\"modelContent\">\n<div id=\"modelCommentary\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"block-100\">\n<div id=\"modelContent\">\n<div id=\"modelCommentary\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h4><\/h4>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Double Dip La Nina Expected To Enter Into 2023 \u0aa1\u0aac\u0ab2 \u0aa1\u0abf\u0aaa \u0ab2\u0abe \u0aa8\u0ac0\u0aa8\u0abe 2023 \u0aae\u0abe\u0a82 \u0aa6\u0abe\u0a96\u0ab2 \u0aa5\u0ab5\u0abe\u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0ab6\u0a95\u0acd\u0aaf\u0aa4\u0abe Enso Status on 9th January 2023 OND 2022 ONI Index is -0.9\u00baC. The &#8216;Double Dip La Nina&#8217; continues to persist at the <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/?p=27280\">Read More &#8230;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27280","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-enso","category-ashok-patel-weather"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27280","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=27280"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27280\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=27280"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=27280"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=27280"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}