![\"ONI_MAM_2016\"](\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/ONI_MAM_2016.jpg\")
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The Table below shows the monthly SST of Nino3.4 Region and the Climate adjusted normal SST and SST anomaly for last two years.<\/h3>\nPeriod Nino3.4 ClimAdjust\r\nYR MON Temp.\u00baC Temp.\u00baC ANOM \u00baC\r\n\r\n2014 5 28.02 27.96 0.06\r\n2014 6 27.69 27.73 -0.04\r\n2014 7 27.28 27.31 -0.02\r\n2014 8 26.90 26.96 -0.06\r\n2014 9 27.03 26.87 0.16\r\n2014 10 27.25 26.83 0.42\r\n2014 11 27.51 26.78 0.74\r\n2014 12 27.40 26.73 0.68\r\n2015 1 27.22 26.71 0.51\r\n2015 2 27.25 26.89 0.36\r\n2015 3 27.79 27.37 0.42\r\n2015 4 28.59 27.85 0.73\r\n2015 5 28.83 27.96 0.87\r\n2015 6 28.70 27.73 0.97\r\n2015 7 28.50 27.31 1.20\r\n2015 8 28.47 26.96 1.51\r\n2015 9 28.62 26.87 1.75\r\n2015 10 28.86 26.83 2.03\r\n2015 11 29.14 26.78 2.36\r\n2015 12 29.04 26.73 2.31\r\n2016 1 28.94 26.71 2.23\r\n2016 2 28.89 26.89 2.01\r\n2016 3 28.87 27.37 1.50\r\n2016 4 28.97 27.85 1.11\r\n2016 5 28.61 27.96 0.64<\/pre>\n <\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
March, April & May 2016 SST anomaly for Nino3.4 region is used to calculate the latest ONI Index for MAM 2016 as\u00a0+1.1\u00baC. \u00a0Since the latest ONI Index is yet above +1.0\u00baC,\u00a0the El Nino is classified as a Moderate El Nino till end of May 2016. The SST anomaly for May 2016 was +0.64\u00baC and so the El Nino is expected to weaken further.<\/h3>\n
<\/p>\n
CPC considers El Ni\u00f1o or La Ni\u00f1a conditions to occur when the monthly Ni\u00f1o3.4 OISST departures meet or exceed +\/- 0.5\u00b0C along with consistent atmospheric features. These anomalies must also be forecast to persist for 3 consecutive months.<\/h3>\n
<\/p>\n
Southern Oscillation Index<\/strong><\/h3>\n <\/p>\n
\nAs per BOM, Australia: The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) has increased to +2.8 at the end of May 2016 entering the positive zone. The latest 30-day SOI value to 3rd June 2016 is +2.5 .<\/h3>\n
![\"soi30_030616\"](\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/soi30_030616.png\")
<\/a><\/p>\n <\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Sustained positive values of the SOI above +7 may indicate La\u00a0Ni\u00f1a, while sustained negative values below \u22127 may indicate El\u00a0Ni\u00f1o. Values of between about +7 and \u22127 generally indicate neutral conditions.<\/h3>\n<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/h3>\nSOI Monthly graph till end of May 2016 was +3.22 as per The Long Paddock \u2013 Queensland Government.<\/h3>\n
<\/p>\n
![\"2016_May_SOI\"](\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/2016_May_SOI.gif\")
<\/a><\/p>\n <\/p>\n
\u00a0Summary by: Climate Prediction Center \/ NCEP \u00a0Dated 30 May 2016<\/strong><\/h3>\nENSO Alert System Status: El Ni\u00f1o Advisory\/ La Ni\u00f1a Watch El Ni\u00f1o is weakening.* Positive equatorial sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies are diminishing across the equatorial Pacific Ocean. La Ni\u00f1a is favored to develop during the Northern Hemisphere summer 2016, with about a 75% chance of La Ni\u00f1a during the fall and winter 2016- 17.*<\/h3>\n
* Note: These statements are updated once a month (2nd Thursday of each month) in association with the ENSO Diagnostics Discussion, which can be found by clicking\u00a0here<\/a><\/p>\nAs per BOM -Australia 24th May 2016:\u00a0El Ni\u00f1o ends as tropical Pacific Ocean returns to neutral<\/strong><\/h3>\nThe tropical Pacific Ocean has returned to a neutral El Ni\u00f1o\u2013Southern Oscillation (ENSO) state. Sea surface temperatures across the tropical Pacific have cooled to neutral levels over the past fortnight, supported by much cooler-than-average waters beneath the surface. In the atmosphere, indicators such as the trade winds, cloudiness near the Date Line, and the Southern Oscillation Index have also returned to neutral levels. Outlooks suggest little chance of returning to El Ni\u00f1o levels, in which case mid-May will mark the end of the 2015\u201316 El Ni\u00f1o.<\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
El Nino Status on 5th June 2016 NOAA \u0aae\u0abe\u0aaa\u0aa6\u0a82\u0aa1 \u0aae\u0ac2\u0a9c\u0aac \u0aae\u0ac7 2016 \u0a86\u0a96\u0ab0 \u0ab8\u0ac1\u0aa7\u0ac0 \u0aae\u0acb\u0aa1\u0ab0\u0ac7\u0a9f \u0a8f\u0ab2 \u0aa8\u0ac0\u0aa8\u0acb \u0a9b\u0ac7. BOM \u0a93\u0ab8\u0acd\u0a9f\u0acd\u0ab0\u0ac7\u0ab2\u0ac0\u0aaf\u0abe \u0aae\u0ac2\u0a9c\u0aac \u0a9f\u0acd\u0ab0\u0acb\u0aaa\u0abf\u0a95\u0ab2 \u0aaa\u0acd\u0ab0\u0ab6\u0abe\u0a82\u0aa4 \u0aae\u0ab9\u0abe\u0ab8\u0abe\u0a97\u0ab0 \u0aa8\u0acd\u0aaf\u0ac1\u0a9f\u0acd\u0ab0\u0ab2 \u0a85\u0ab5\u0ab8\u0acd\u0aa5\u0abe \u0aae\u0abe\u0a82 \u0a86\u0ab5\u0ab5\u0abe\u0aa5\u0ac0 \u0a8f\u0ab2 \u0aa8\u0ac0\u0aa8\u0acb \u0a96\u0aa4\u0aae. The ONI is based on SST departures from average Read More …<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11796","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-enso"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11796","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11796"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11796\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11796"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11796"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11796"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
March, April & May 2016 SST anomaly for Nino3.4 region is used to calculate the latest ONI Index for MAM 2016 as\u00a0+1.1\u00baC. \u00a0Since the latest ONI Index is yet above +1.0\u00baC,\u00a0the El Nino is classified as a Moderate El Nino till end of May 2016. The SST anomaly for May 2016 was +0.64\u00baC and so the El Nino is expected to weaken further.<\/h3>\n
<\/p>\n
CPC considers El Ni\u00f1o or La Ni\u00f1a conditions to occur when the monthly Ni\u00f1o3.4 OISST departures meet or exceed +\/- 0.5\u00b0C along with consistent atmospheric features. These anomalies must also be forecast to persist for 3 consecutive months.<\/h3>\n
<\/p>\n
Southern Oscillation Index<\/strong><\/h3>\n <\/p>\n
\nAs per BOM, Australia: The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) has increased to +2.8 at the end of May 2016 entering the positive zone. The latest 30-day SOI value to 3rd June 2016 is +2.5 .<\/h3>\n
<\/a><\/p>\n <\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Sustained positive values of the SOI above +7 may indicate La\u00a0Ni\u00f1a, while sustained negative values below \u22127 may indicate El\u00a0Ni\u00f1o. Values of between about +7 and \u22127 generally indicate neutral conditions.<\/h3>\n<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/h3>\nSOI Monthly graph till end of May 2016 was +3.22 as per The Long Paddock \u2013 Queensland Government.<\/h3>\n
<\/p>\n
<\/a><\/p>\n <\/p>\n
\u00a0Summary by: Climate Prediction Center \/ NCEP \u00a0Dated 30 May 2016<\/strong><\/h3>\nENSO Alert System Status: El Ni\u00f1o Advisory\/ La Ni\u00f1a Watch El Ni\u00f1o is weakening.* Positive equatorial sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies are diminishing across the equatorial Pacific Ocean. La Ni\u00f1a is favored to develop during the Northern Hemisphere summer 2016, with about a 75% chance of La Ni\u00f1a during the fall and winter 2016- 17.*<\/h3>\n
* Note: These statements are updated once a month (2nd Thursday of each month) in association with the ENSO Diagnostics Discussion, which can be found by clicking\u00a0here<\/a><\/p>\nAs per BOM -Australia 24th May 2016:\u00a0El Ni\u00f1o ends as tropical Pacific Ocean returns to neutral<\/strong><\/h3>\nThe tropical Pacific Ocean has returned to a neutral El Ni\u00f1o\u2013Southern Oscillation (ENSO) state. Sea surface temperatures across the tropical Pacific have cooled to neutral levels over the past fortnight, supported by much cooler-than-average waters beneath the surface. In the atmosphere, indicators such as the trade winds, cloudiness near the Date Line, and the Southern Oscillation Index have also returned to neutral levels. Outlooks suggest little chance of returning to El Ni\u00f1o levels, in which case mid-May will mark the end of the 2015\u201316 El Ni\u00f1o.<\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
El Nino Status on 5th June 2016 NOAA \u0aae\u0abe\u0aaa\u0aa6\u0a82\u0aa1 \u0aae\u0ac2\u0a9c\u0aac \u0aae\u0ac7 2016 \u0a86\u0a96\u0ab0 \u0ab8\u0ac1\u0aa7\u0ac0 \u0aae\u0acb\u0aa1\u0ab0\u0ac7\u0a9f \u0a8f\u0ab2 \u0aa8\u0ac0\u0aa8\u0acb \u0a9b\u0ac7. BOM \u0a93\u0ab8\u0acd\u0a9f\u0acd\u0ab0\u0ac7\u0ab2\u0ac0\u0aaf\u0abe \u0aae\u0ac2\u0a9c\u0aac \u0a9f\u0acd\u0ab0\u0acb\u0aaa\u0abf\u0a95\u0ab2 \u0aaa\u0acd\u0ab0\u0ab6\u0abe\u0a82\u0aa4 \u0aae\u0ab9\u0abe\u0ab8\u0abe\u0a97\u0ab0 \u0aa8\u0acd\u0aaf\u0ac1\u0a9f\u0acd\u0ab0\u0ab2 \u0a85\u0ab5\u0ab8\u0acd\u0aa5\u0abe \u0aae\u0abe\u0a82 \u0a86\u0ab5\u0ab5\u0abe\u0aa5\u0ac0 \u0a8f\u0ab2 \u0aa8\u0ac0\u0aa8\u0acb \u0a96\u0aa4\u0aae. The ONI is based on SST departures from average Read More …<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11796","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-enso"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11796","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11796"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11796\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11796"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11796"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11796"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
As per BOM, Australia: The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) has increased to +2.8 at the end of May 2016 entering the positive zone. The latest 30-day SOI value to 3rd June 2016 is +2.5 .<\/h3>\n
<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n * Note: These statements are updated once a month (2nd Thursday of each month) in association with the ENSO Diagnostics Discussion, which can be found by clicking\u00a0here<\/a><\/p>\n El Nino Status on 5th June 2016 NOAA \u0aae\u0abe\u0aaa\u0aa6\u0a82\u0aa1 \u0aae\u0ac2\u0a9c\u0aac \u0aae\u0ac7 2016 \u0a86\u0a96\u0ab0 \u0ab8\u0ac1\u0aa7\u0ac0 \u0aae\u0acb\u0aa1\u0ab0\u0ac7\u0a9f \u0a8f\u0ab2 \u0aa8\u0ac0\u0aa8\u0acb \u0a9b\u0ac7. BOM \u0a93\u0ab8\u0acd\u0a9f\u0acd\u0ab0\u0ac7\u0ab2\u0ac0\u0aaf\u0abe \u0aae\u0ac2\u0a9c\u0aac \u0a9f\u0acd\u0ab0\u0acb\u0aaa\u0abf\u0a95\u0ab2 \u0aaa\u0acd\u0ab0\u0ab6\u0abe\u0a82\u0aa4 \u0aae\u0ab9\u0abe\u0ab8\u0abe\u0a97\u0ab0 \u0aa8\u0acd\u0aaf\u0ac1\u0a9f\u0acd\u0ab0\u0ab2 \u0a85\u0ab5\u0ab8\u0acd\u0aa5\u0abe \u0aae\u0abe\u0a82 \u0a86\u0ab5\u0ab5\u0abe\u0aa5\u0ac0 \u0a8f\u0ab2 \u0aa8\u0ac0\u0aa8\u0acb \u0a96\u0aa4\u0aae. The ONI is based on SST departures from average Read More …<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11796","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-enso"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11796","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11796"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11796\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11796"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11796"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11796"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}<\/a><\/p>\nSustained positive values of the SOI above +7 may indicate La\u00a0Ni\u00f1a, while sustained negative values below \u22127 may indicate El\u00a0Ni\u00f1o. Values of between about +7 and \u22127 generally indicate neutral conditions.<\/h3>\n
<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n
<\/h3>\n
SOI Monthly graph till end of May 2016 was +3.22 as per The Long Paddock \u2013 Queensland Government.<\/h3>\n
<\/a><\/p>\n\u00a0Summary by: Climate Prediction Center \/ NCEP \u00a0Dated 30 May 2016<\/strong><\/h3>\n
ENSO Alert System Status: El Ni\u00f1o Advisory\/ La Ni\u00f1a Watch El Ni\u00f1o is weakening.* Positive equatorial sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies are diminishing across the equatorial Pacific Ocean. La Ni\u00f1a is favored to develop during the Northern Hemisphere summer 2016, with about a 75% chance of La Ni\u00f1a during the fall and winter 2016- 17.*<\/h3>\n
As per BOM -Australia 24th May 2016:\u00a0El Ni\u00f1o ends as tropical Pacific Ocean returns to neutral<\/strong><\/h3>\n
The tropical Pacific Ocean has returned to a neutral El Ni\u00f1o\u2013Southern Oscillation (ENSO) state. Sea surface temperatures across the tropical Pacific have cooled to neutral levels over the past fortnight, supported by much cooler-than-average waters beneath the surface. In the atmosphere, indicators such as the trade winds, cloudiness near the Date Line, and the Southern Oscillation Index have also returned to neutral levels. Outlooks suggest little chance of returning to El Ni\u00f1o levels, in which case mid-May will mark the end of the 2015\u201316 El Ni\u00f1o.<\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"