{"id":10397,"date":"2015-10-31T20:41:30","date_gmt":"2015-10-31T15:11:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wordpress\/?p=10397"},"modified":"2015-11-02T07:48:45","modified_gmt":"2015-11-02T02:18:45","slug":"chapala-weakens-during-last-24-hours-system-yet-extremely-severe-cyclonic-storm-over-westcentral-arabian-sea-jtwc-tropical-cyclone-04a-chapala-warning-08","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/?p=10397","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;CHAPALA&#8221; Weakens During Last 24 Hours &#8211; System Yet Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm Over Westcentral Arabian Sea &#8211; JTWC Tropical Cyclone 04A (CHAPALA) Warning #12"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>Current Weather Conditions on 31st October 2015 @ 9.00 pm. IST<\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<table style=\"color: #00005f;\" border=\"1\" width=\"450\">\n<tbody>\n<tr align=\"center\">\n<td colspan=\"2\" rowspan=\"1\" bgcolor=\"#dfdfd\" width=\"450\" height=\"100\"><span style=\"color: #000055; font-size: large;\"><b>UW-CIMSS Automated Satellite-Based<\/b><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #0000bb; font-size: large;\"><b>Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)<\/b><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #0000bb; font-size: large;\"><b>Version 8.2.1<\/b><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000055; font-size: medium;\"><b>Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Algorithm<\/b><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr align=\"center\">\n<td colspan=\"2\" rowspan=\"1\" bgcolor=\"#dfdfdf\" width=\"450\" height=\"30\"><span style=\"color: #005500; font-size: large;\"><b>Current Intensity Analysis<\/b><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr align=\"left\">\n<td colspan=\"2\" rowspan=\"1\" bgcolor=\"#dfdfdf\" width=\"450\" height=\"30\">\n<pre>                     UW - CIMSS                     \r\n              ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE       \r\n                  ADT-Version 8.2.1                \r\n         Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm       \r\n\r\n             ----- Current Analysis ----- \r\n     Date :  31 OCT 2015    Time :   140000 UTC\r\n      Lat :   13:45:02 N     Lon :   57:34:41 E\r\n\r\n     <span style=\"color: #bb0000;\"><b>\r\n                                        CI# \/Pressure\/ Vmax\r\n                                       5.8 \/ 952.9mb\/109.8kt\r\n\r\n     <\/b><\/span>\r\n             Final T#  Adj T#  Raw T# \r\n                5.8     5.9     5.9\r\n\r\n Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 14 km\r\n\r\n Center Temp : -13.9C    Cloud Region Temp : -71.2C\r\n\r\n Scene Type : EYE  \r\n\r\n Positioning Method : RING\/SPIRAL COMBINATION \r\n\r\n Ocean Basin : INDIAN        \r\n Dvorak CI &gt; MSLP Conversion Used : CKZ Method  \r\n\r\n Tno\/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT \r\n                   Weakening Flag : OFF   \r\n           Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF   \r\n\r\n C\/K\/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :\r\n  - Average 34 knot radii :  111km\r\n  - Environmental MSLP    : 1010mb\r\n\r\n Satellite Name :    MET7 \r\n Satellite Viewing Angle : 16.1 degrees \r\n\r\n****************************************************<\/pre>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\">UW-CIMSS IR (NHC Enhancement) \u00a0Satellite Image of \u00a0Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm &#8220;CHAPALA&#8221;\u00a0on 31st October 2015 @1330 UTC<\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/UW_Chapala_311015_1330.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-10405\" src=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/UW_Chapala_311015_1330.gif\" alt=\"UW_Chapala_311015_1330\" width=\"1341\" height=\"699\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>As per NRL: 04A (CHAPALA) over the Westcentral Arabian Sea is located at 13.8\u00b0N &amp; 57.9\u00b0E with winds of 115 knots &amp; Central Pressure of 937 mb. on 31st October 2015 @ 1200 UTC.<\/h3>\n<h3>1 knot= 1.85 km.\/hour<\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>From JTWC:<\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3>\u00a0JTWC Tropical Cyclone 04A \u00a0(FOUR) Warning No. 12<\/h3>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><a href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/io0415_12.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-10399\" src=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/io0415_12.gif\" alt=\"io0415_12\" width=\"1140\" height=\"847\" \/><\/a><\/h3>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\"><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3>REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI \u00a0issued TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY BULLETIN<\/h3>\n<h3>TROPICAL STORM \u2018CHAPALA\u2019 ADVISORY NO. TWENTY ONE ISSUED AT 1500 UTC OF 31 ST OCTOBER 2015 BASED ON 1200 UTC CHARTS OF 31 ST OCTOBER 2015.<\/h3>\n<h3>THE EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM, \u2018CHAPALA\u2019 OVER WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA MOVED WESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF ABOUT 15 KMPH DURING PAST 6 HOURS AND LAY CENTERED AT 1200 UTC OF TODAY, THE 31 ST OCTOBER 2015 NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 DEGREE NORTH AND LONGITUDE 57.9 DEGREE EAST, ABOUT 1690 KM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MUMBAI (43003) AND ABOUT 540 KM SOUTHEAST OF SALALAH (41316) (OMAN). IT WOULD MOVE NEARLY WESTWARDS DURING NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS AND CROSS YEMEN COAST NEAR LATITUDE 15.0\u00b0N AROUND 1800 UTC OF 2ND NOVEMBER, 2015. DUE TO ENTRAINMENT OF DRY AIR AND LOWER OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY, THE EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM WOULD WEAKEN GRADUALLY INTO A VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM DURING NEXT 24 HOURS, FURTHER INTO A SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM IN SUBSEQUENT 24 HOURS AND WOULD CROSS YEMEN COAST AS A SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM<\/h3>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3 style=\"color: #333333;\">For further details click link below.<\/h3>\n<h3 style=\"color: #333333;\"><a style=\"color: #0d85cc;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.webcitation.org\/6cgzhd2rc\" target=\"_blank\">RSMC ADVISORY No.: TWENTY ONE<\/a><\/h3>\n<h3 style=\"color: #333333;\">Observations:<\/h3>\n<h3>The Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm &#8220;CHAPALA&#8221; is now over Westcentral Arabian Sea and has weakened from top 135 knots speed to 115 knots. As per International Weather Agencies the winds are blowing at 215 km.\/hour with gusts of 260 km\/hour based on average winds on 1 minute basis as compared to IMD&#8217;s basis of 3 minute average wind speed. The System is expected to track towards North Yemen\/Oman next two days.<\/h3>\n<h3 style=\"color: #333333;\">For Saurashtra, Gujarat &amp; Kutch refer to Forecast Dated 30th October 2015 issued at 6.00 pm. click here\u00a0<a style=\"color: #0d85cc;\" href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/?p=10366\" target=\"_blank\">Forecast Dated 30th October 2015 @ 6.00 pm.<\/a><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Caution:<\/strong> <strong> Please refer\/rely on IMD\/RSMC Bulletins\/Advisories for Storms &amp; Weather related matter.<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3>\u0a85\u0aaa\u0aa1\u0ac7\u0a9f 31 \u0a93\u0a95\u0acd\u0a9f\u0acb\u0aac\u0ab0 2015 \u0ab0\u0abe\u0aa4\u0acd\u0ab0\u0ac7 9.00 \u0a95\u0ab2\u0abe\u0a95\u0ac7:<\/h3>\n<h3>\u0a85\u0ab0\u0aac\u0ac0 \u0ab8\u0aae\u0ac1\u0aa6\u0acd\u0ab0 \u0ab5\u0abe\u0ab3\u0ac0 \u0ab8\u0ac0\u0ab8\u0acd\u0a9f\u0aae \u00a0&#8220;\u0a9a\u0aaa\u0ab2\u0abe&#8221; (&#8220;CHAPALA&#8221;) \u0ab9\u0a9c\u0ac1 \u0a85\u0aa4\u0acd\u0aaf\u0a82\u0aa4 \u0aa4\u0ac0\u0ab5\u0acd\u0ab0\u00a0\u0ab5\u0abe\u0ab5\u0abe\u0a9d\u0acb\u0aa1\u0ac1 \u0a9b\u0ac7 \u0aaa\u0aa3 \u0a9b\u0ac7\u0ab2\u0acd\u0ab2\u0abe 24 \u0a95\u0ab2\u0abe\u0a95 \u0aae\u0abe\u0a82 \u0aa5\u0acb\u0aa1\u0ac1\u0a82 \u0aa8\u0aac\u0ab3\u0ac1\u0a82 \u0aaa\u0aa1\u0ac7\u0ab2 \u0a9b\u0ac7.<\/h3>\n<h3>\u0a86 \u0ab5\u0abe\u0ab5\u0abe\u0a9d\u0acb\u0aa1\u0abe \u0aa8\u0abe\u00a0\u0aaa\u0ab5\u0aa8\u0acb \u0a87\u0aa8\u0acd\u0a9f\u0ab0\u0aa8\u0ac7\u0ab8\u0aa8\u0ab2 \u0a8f\u0a9c\u0aa8\u0acd\u0ab8\u0ac0 \u0aae\u0ac2\u0a9c\u0aac 215 \u0a95\u0abf\u0aae\u0ac0 \u0aaa\u0acd\u0ab0\u0aa4\u0abf \u0a95\u0ab2\u0abe\u0a95\u0ac7 \u0aab\u0ac2\u0a82\u0a95\u0abe\u0aaf \u0a9b\u0ac7 (1 \u0aae\u0abf\u0aa8\u0ac0\u0a9f \u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0ab6\u0ab0\u0ac7\u0ab0\u0abe\u0ab6 \u0aae\u0ac2\u0a9c\u0aac ) \u0a9c\u0ac7 IMD 3 \u0aae\u0abf\u0aa8\u0ac0\u0a9f \u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0ab6\u0ab0\u0ac7\u0ab0\u0abe\u0ab6 \u0aae\u0ac2\u0a9c\u0aac \u0aae\u0abe\u0aaa\u0ac7 \u0a9b\u0ac7. \u0a86\u0a82\u0a9a\u0a95\u0abe \u0aa8\u0abe \u0aaa\u0ab5\u0aa8\u0acb 260 \u0a95\u0abf\u0aae\u0ac0 \u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0a9d\u0aa1\u0aaa\u0ac7 \u0aab\u0ac2\u0a82\u0a95\u0abe\u0aaf \u0a9b\u0ac7\u00a0(1 \u0aae\u0abf\u0aa8\u0ac0\u0a9f \u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0ab6\u0ab0\u0ac7\u0ab0\u0abe\u0ab6 \u0aae\u0ac2\u0a9c\u0aac ).\u00a0\u0a85\u0ab0\u0aac\u0ac0 \u0ab8\u0aae\u0ac1\u0aa6\u0acd\u0ab0 \u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0ab8\u0ac0\u0ab8\u0acd\u0a9f\u0aae \u0ab9\u0abe\u0ab2 \u0a8a\u0aa4\u0acd\u0aa4\u0ab0 \u0aaf\u0ac7\u0aae\u0ac7\u0aa8\/\u0a93\u0aae\u0abe\u0aa8 \u0aa4\u0ab0\u0aab \u0a9c\u0abe\u0aaf \u0a9b\u0ac7. \u0ab8\u0ac0\u0ab8\u0acd\u0a9f\u0aae \u0ab8\u0acc\u0ab0\u0abe\u0ab7\u0acd\u0a9f\u0acd\u0ab0 \u0aa4\u0ac7\u0aae\u0a9c \u0a97\u0ac1\u0a9c\u0ab0\u0abe\u0aa4 \u0aa5\u0ac0 \u0a98\u0aa3\u0ac0 \u0aa6\u0ac2\u0ab0 \u0a9b\u0ac7 \u0a9b\u0aa4\u0abe\u0a82 \u0ab8\u0ac0\u0ab8\u0acd\u0a9f\u0aae \u0aa8\u0abe \u0aaa\u0ac2\u0a9b\u0aa1\u0abf\u0aaf\u0abe \u0ab5\u0abe\u0aa6\u0ab3\u0acb \u0ab8\u0acc\u0ab0\u0abe\u0ab7\u0acd\u0a9f\u0acd\u0ab0 \u0aa4\u0ac7\u0aae\u0a9c \u0a97\u0ac1\u0a9c\u0ab0\u0abe\u0aa4 \u0a89\u0aaa\u0ab0 \u0aa5\u0ac0 \u0a95\u0acd\u0aaf\u0abe\u0ab0\u0ac7\u0a95 \u0a95\u0acd\u0aaf\u0abe\u0ab0\u0ac7\u0a95 \u0aaa\u0abe\u0ab8 \u0aa5\u0abe\u0aaf \u0a9b\u0ac7.<\/h3>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3>\u0ab8\u0acc\u0ab0\u0abe\u0ab7\u0acd\u0a9f\u0acd\u0ab0 \u0a97\u0ac1\u0a9c\u0ab0\u0abe\u0aa4 \u0a85\u0aa8\u0ac7 \u0a95\u0a9a\u0acd\u0a9b \u0aae\u0abe\u0a9f\u0ac7 30 \u0a93\u0a95\u0acd\u0a9f\u0acb\u0aac\u0ab0 2015 \u0ab8\u0abe\u0a82\u0a9c\u0ac7 6.00 \u0a95\u0ab2\u0abe\u0a95\u0ac7 \u0a86\u0aaa\u0ac7\u0ab2 \u0a85\u0aaa\u0aa1\u0ac7\u0a9f \u0ab5\u0abe\u0a82\u0a9a\u0ab5\u0abe \u0a85\u0ab9\u0ac0 \u0a95\u0acd\u0ab2\u0abf\u0a95 \u0a95\u0ab0\u0acb\u00a0\u00a0<a style=\"color: #0d85cc;\" href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/?p=10366\" target=\"_blank\">\u0aa4\u0abe\u0ab0\u0ac0\u0a96 30 \u0a93\u0a95\u0acd\u0a9f\u0acb\u0aac\u0ab0 2015 \u0ab8\u0abe\u0a82\u0a9c\u0ac7 6.00 \u0a95\u0ab2\u0abe\u0a95<\/a><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><strong>\u0ab8\u0abe\u0ab5\u0a9a\u0ac7\u0aa4\u0ac0:<\/strong><\/h2>\n<h2><strong> \u0ab8\u0acd\u0a9f\u0acb\u0ab0\u0acd\u0aae \u0a95\u0ac7 \u0ab9\u0ab5\u0abe\u0aae\u0abe\u0aa8 \u0a85\u0a82\u0a97\u0ac7 \u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0aae\u0abe\u0ab9\u0abf\u0aa4\u0ac0 \u0aae\u0abe\u0a9f\u0ac7 \u0aad\u0abe\u0ab0\u0aa4\u0ac0\u0aaf \u0ab9\u0ab5\u0abe\u0aae\u0abe\u0aa8 \u0a96\u0abe\u0aa4\u0abe\/\u0a97\u0ab5\u0ab0\u0acd\u0aae\u0ac7\u0aa8\u0acd\u0a9f \u0aa8\u0abe \u0aac\u0ac1\u0ab2\u0ac7\u0a9f\u0ac0\u0aa8\/\u0ab8\u0ac1\u0a9a\u0aa8\u0abe \u0aaa\u0ab0 \u0aa8\u0abf\u0ab0\u0acd\u0aad\u0ab0 \u0ab0\u0ab9\u0ac7\u0ab5\u0ac1\u0a82.<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Current Weather Conditions on 31st October 2015 @ 9.00 pm. IST &nbsp; UW-CIMSS Automated Satellite-Based Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.2.1 Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Algorithm Current Intensity Analysis UW &#8211; CIMSS ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE ADT-Version 8.2.1 Tropical Cyclone Intensity <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/?p=10397\">Read More &#8230;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10397","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ashok-patel-weather"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10397","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10397"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10397\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10397"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10397"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10397"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}