{"id":10377,"date":"2015-10-30T21:21:14","date_gmt":"2015-10-30T15:51:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wordpress\/?p=10377"},"modified":"2015-10-30T21:21:14","modified_gmt":"2015-10-30T15:51:14","slug":"extremely-severe-cyclonic-storm-chapala-over-westcentral-arabian-sea-jtwc-tropical-cyclone-04a-chapala-warning-08","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/?p=10377","title":{"rendered":"Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm &#8220;CHAPALA&#8221; Over Westcentral Arabian Sea &#8211; JTWC Tropical Cyclone 04A (CHAPALA) Warning #08"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>Current Weather Conditions on 30th October 2015 @ 9.00 pm. IST<\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<table style=\"color: #00005f;\" border=\"1\" width=\"450\">\n<tbody>\n<tr align=\"center\">\n<td colspan=\"2\" rowspan=\"1\" bgcolor=\"#dfdfd\" width=\"450\" height=\"100\"><span style=\"color: #000055; font-size: large;\"><b>UW-CIMSS Automated Satellite-Based<\/b><\/span> <span style=\"color: #0000bb; font-size: large;\"><b>Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)<\/b><\/span> <span style=\"color: #0000bb; font-size: large;\"><b>Version 8.2.1<\/b><\/span> <span style=\"color: #000055; font-size: medium;\"><b>Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Algorithm<\/b><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr align=\"center\">\n<td colspan=\"2\" rowspan=\"1\" bgcolor=\"#dfdfdf\" width=\"450\" height=\"30\"><span style=\"color: #005500; font-size: large;\"><b>Current Intensity Analysis<\/b><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr align=\"left\">\n<td colspan=\"2\" rowspan=\"1\" bgcolor=\"#dfdfdf\" width=\"450\" height=\"30\">\n<pre>                     UW - CIMSS                     \r\n              ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE       \r\n                  ADT-Version 8.2.1                \r\n         Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm       \r\n\r\n             ----- Current Analysis ----- \r\n     Date :  30 OCT 2015    Time :   143000 UTC\r\n      Lat :   13:52:05 N     Lon :   60:25:00 E\r\n\r\n     <span style=\"color: #bb0000;\"><b>\r\n                                 CI# \/Pressure\/ Vmax\r\n                                 6.4 \/ 939.6mb\/124.6kt\r\n\r\n     <\/b><\/span>\r\n             Final T#  Adj T#  Raw T# \r\n                6.0     6.0     6.0\r\n\r\n Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 18 km\r\n\r\n Center Temp :  -3.7C    Cloud Region Temp : -70.0C\r\n\r\n Scene Type : EYE  \r\n\r\n Positioning Method : RING\/SPIRAL COMBINATION \r\n\r\n Ocean Basin : INDIAN        \r\n Dvorak CI &gt; MSLP Conversion Used : CKZ Method  \r\n\r\n Tno\/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT \r\n                   Weakening Flag : ON    \r\n           Rapid Dissipation Flag : FLAG  \r\n\r\n C\/K\/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :\r\n  - Average 34 knot radii :  111km\r\n  - Environmental MSLP    : 1010mb\r\n\r\n Satellite Name :    MET7 \r\n Satellite Viewing Angle : 16.7 degrees \r\n\r\n****************************************************<\/pre>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\">UW-CIMSS IR (NHC Enhancement) \u00a0Satellite Image of \u00a0Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm &#8220;CHAPALA&#8221;\u00a0on 30th October 2015 @1430 UTC<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/UW_Chapala_301015_1430.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-10388\" src=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/UW_Chapala_301015_1430.gif\" alt=\"UW_Chapala_301015_1430\" width=\"1341\" height=\"699\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>As per NRL: 04A (CHAPALA) over the Westcentral Arabian Sea is located at 14.0\u00b0N &amp; 60.5\u00b0E with winds of 130 knots &amp; Central Pressure of 926 mb. on 30th October 2015 @ 1200 UTC.<\/h3>\n<h3>1 knot= 1.85 km.\/hour<\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>From JTWC:<\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3>\u00a0JTWC Tropical Cyclone 04A \u00a0(FOUR) Warning No. 8<\/h3>\n<h3><a href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/io0415_8.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-10378\" src=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/io0415_8.gif\" alt=\"io0415_8\" width=\"1277\" height=\"755\" \/><\/a><\/h3>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\">NRL IR Satellite Image on 30th October 2015 @ 1500 UTC (08.30 pm. IST)<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/04ACHAPALA.130kts-926mb-140N-605E.100pc_ir.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-10393\" src=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/04ACHAPALA.130kts-926mb-140N-605E.100pc_ir.jpg\" alt=\"04ACHAPALA.130kts-926mb-140N-605E.100pc_ir\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/04ACHAPALA.130kts-926mb-140N-605E.100pc_ir.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/04ACHAPALA.130kts-926mb-140N-605E.100pc_ir-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/04ACHAPALA.130kts-926mb-140N-605E.100pc_ir-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/04ACHAPALA.130kts-926mb-140N-605E.100pc_ir-144x144.jpg 144w, https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/04ACHAPALA.130kts-926mb-140N-605E.100pc_ir-900x900.jpg 900w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\">NRL Water Vapor Satellite Image on 30th October 2015 @ 1500 UTC (08.30 am. IST)<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/04ACHAPALA.130kts-926mb-140N-605E.100pc_vapor.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-10394\" src=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/04ACHAPALA.130kts-926mb-140N-605E.100pc_vapor.jpg\" alt=\"04ACHAPALA.130kts-926mb-140N-605E.100pc_vapor\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/04ACHAPALA.130kts-926mb-140N-605E.100pc_vapor.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/04ACHAPALA.130kts-926mb-140N-605E.100pc_vapor-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/04ACHAPALA.130kts-926mb-140N-605E.100pc_vapor-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/04ACHAPALA.130kts-926mb-140N-605E.100pc_vapor-144x144.jpg 144w, https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/04ACHAPALA.130kts-926mb-140N-605E.100pc_vapor-900x900.jpg 900w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3>REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI \u00a0issued TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY BULLETIN<\/h3>\n<h3>TROPICAL STORM \u2018CHAPALA\u2019 ADVISORY NO. THIRTEEN ISSUED AT 1500 UTC OF 30TH OCTOBER 2015 BASED ON 1200 UTC CHARTS<\/h3>\n<h3>THE EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM, \u2018CHAPALA\u2019 OVER WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA MOVED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF ABOUT 12 KMPH DURING PAST 6 HOURS, AND LAY CENTERED AT 1200 UTC OF TODAY, THE 30TH OCTOBER 2015 NEAR LATITUDE 14.1\u00b0N AND LONGITUDE 60.6\u00b0E, ABOUT 1410 KM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MUMBAI (43003) AND ABOUT 770 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SALALAH (41316) (OMAN). IT WOULD MOVE WESTWARDS, INTENSIFY FURTHER DURING NEXT 12 HOURS AND CROSS YEMEN AND ADJOINING OMAN COAST BETWEEN LATITUDE 15.0\u00b0N AND 16.0\u00b0N AROUND MIDNIGHT OF 2ND NOVEMBER, 2015. DUE TO ENTRAINMENT OF DRY AIR AND LOWER OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY OVER GULF OF ADEN AND ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA OFF YEMEN AND OMAN COAST, THERE IS POSSIBILITY OF SLIGHT WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM BEFORE THE LANDFALL AND IT WOULD CROSS YEMEN AND ADJOINING OMAN COAST AS A VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM.<\/h3>\n<h3 style=\"color: #333333;\">For further details click link below.<\/h3>\n<h3 style=\"color: #333333;\"><a style=\"color: #0d85cc;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.webcitation.org\/6cfUoJEO1\" target=\"_blank\">RSMC ADVISORY No.: THIRTEEN<\/a><\/h3>\n<h3 style=\"color: #333333;\">Observations:<\/h3>\n<h3>The Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm &#8220;CHAPALA&#8221; is now over Westcentral Arabian Sea and could reach Super Cyclonic Storm strength. <strong>However, IMD\/RSMC has to confirm the same.<\/strong> As per International Weather Agencies the winds are blowing at 240 km.\/hour with gusts of 295 km\/hour based on average winds on 1 minute basis as compared to IMD&#8217;s basis of 3 minute average wind speed. The System is expected to track towards Yemen\/Oman next few days.<\/h3>\n<h3 style=\"color: #333333;\">For Saurashtra, Gujarat &amp; Kutch refer to Forecast Dated 30th October 2015 issued at 6.00 pm. click here\u00a0<a style=\"color: #0d85cc;\" href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/?p=10366\" target=\"_blank\">Forecast Dated 30th October 2015 @ 6.00 pm.<\/a><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Caution:<\/strong> <strong> Please refer\/rely on IMD\/RSMC Bulletins\/Advisories for Storms &amp; Weather related matter.<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3>\u0a85\u0aaa\u0aa1\u0ac7\u0a9f 30 \u0a93\u0a95\u0acd\u0a9f\u0acb\u0aac\u0ab0 2015 \u0ab0\u0abe\u0aa4\u0acd\u0ab0\u0ac7 9.30 \u0a95\u0ab2\u0abe\u0a95\u0ac7:<\/h3>\n<h3>\u0a85\u0ab0\u0aac\u0ac0 \u0ab8\u0aae\u0ac1\u0aa6\u0acd\u0ab0 \u0ab5\u0abe\u0ab3\u0ac0 \u0ab8\u0ac0\u0ab8\u0acd\u0a9f\u0aae \u00a0&#8220;\u0a9a\u0aaa\u0ab2\u0abe&#8221; (&#8220;CHAPALA&#8221;) \u0ab9\u0abe\u0ab2 \u0a85\u0aa4\u0acd\u0aaf\u0a82\u0aa4 \u0aa4\u0ac0\u0ab5\u0acd\u0ab0\u00a0\u0ab5\u0abe\u0ab5\u0abe\u0a9d\u0acb\u0aa1\u0ac1 \u0a9b\u0ac7. \u0ab8\u0ac1\u0aaa\u0ab0 \u0ab8\u0abe\u0aaf\u0a95\u0acd\u0ab2\u0acb\u0aa8\u0abf\u0a95 \u0ab8\u0acd\u0a9f\u0acb\u0ab0\u0acd\u0aae \u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0aae\u0abe\u0aa4\u0acd\u0ab0\u0abe \u0a8f\u00a0\u0aaa\u0ab9\u0acb\u0a82\u0a9a\u0ac0 \u0ab6\u0a95\u0ac7 \u0a9b\u0ac7.\u00a0IMD\/RSMC \u0aa4\u0ab0\u0aab \u0aa5\u0ac0 \u0aaa\u0ac1\u0ab7\u0acd\u0a9f\u0abf \u0aa5\u0ab5\u0ac0 \u0a9c\u0ab0\u0ac2\u0ab0\u0ac0 \u0a9b\u0ac7.<\/h3>\n<h3>\u0a86 \u0ab5\u0abe\u0ab5\u0abe\u0a9d\u0acb\u0aa1\u0abe \u0aa8\u0abe\u00a0\u0aaa\u0ab5\u0aa8\u0acb \u0a87\u0aa8\u0acd\u0a9f\u0ab0\u0aa8\u0ac7\u0ab8\u0aa8\u0ab2 \u0a8f\u0a9c\u0aa8\u0acd\u0ab8\u0ac0 \u0aae\u0ac2\u0a9c\u0aac 240 \u0a95\u0abf\u0aae\u0ac0 \u0aaa\u0acd\u0ab0\u0aa4\u0abf \u0a95\u0ab2\u0abe\u0a95\u0ac7 \u0aab\u0ac2\u0a82\u0a95\u0abe\u0aaf \u0a9b\u0ac7 (1 \u0aae\u0abf\u0aa8\u0ac0\u0a9f \u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0ab6\u0ab0\u0ac7\u0ab0\u0abe\u0ab6 \u0aae\u0ac2\u0a9c\u0aac ) \u0a9c\u0ac7 IMD 3 \u0aae\u0abf\u0aa8\u0ac0\u0a9f \u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0ab6\u0ab0\u0ac7\u0ab0\u0abe\u0ab6 \u0aae\u0ac2\u0a9c\u0aac \u0aae\u0abe\u0aaa\u0ac7 \u0a9b\u0ac7. \u0a86\u0a82\u0a9a\u0a95\u0abe \u0aa8\u0abe \u0aaa\u0ab5\u0aa8\u0acb 295 \u0a95\u0abf\u0aae\u0ac0 \u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0a9d\u0aa1\u0aaa\u0ac7 \u0aab\u0ac2\u0a82\u0a95\u0abe\u0aaf \u0a9b\u0ac7\u00a0(1 \u0aae\u0abf\u0aa8\u0ac0\u0a9f \u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0ab6\u0ab0\u0ac7\u0ab0\u0abe\u0ab6 \u0aae\u0ac2\u0a9c\u0aac ).\u00a0\u0a85\u0ab0\u0aac\u0ac0 \u0ab8\u0aae\u0ac1\u0aa6\u0acd\u0ab0 \u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0ab8\u0ac0\u0ab8\u0acd\u0a9f\u0aae \u0ab9\u0abe\u0ab2 \u0a93\u0aae\u0abe\u0aa8\/\u0aaf\u0ac7\u0aae\u0ac7\u0aa8 \u0aa4\u0ab0\u0aab \u0a9c\u0abe\u0aaf \u0a9b\u0ac7. \u0ab8\u0ac0\u0ab8\u0acd\u0a9f\u0aae \u0ab8\u0acc\u0ab0\u0abe\u0ab7\u0acd\u0a9f\u0acd\u0ab0 \u0aa4\u0ac7\u0aae\u0a9c \u0a97\u0ac1\u0a9c\u0ab0\u0abe\u0aa4 \u0aa5\u0ac0 \u0a98\u0aa3\u0ac0 \u0aa6\u0ac2\u0ab0 \u0a9b\u0ac7 \u0a9b\u0aa4\u0abe\u0a82 \u0ab8\u0ac0\u0ab8\u0acd\u0a9f\u0aae \u0aa8\u0abe \u0aaa\u0ac2\u0a9b\u0aa1\u0abf\u0aaf\u0abe \u0ab5\u0abe\u0aa6\u0ab3\u0acb \u0ab8\u0acc\u0ab0\u0abe\u0ab7\u0acd\u0a9f\u0acd\u0ab0 \u0aa4\u0ac7\u0aae\u0a9c \u0a97\u0ac1\u0a9c\u0ab0\u0abe\u0aa4 \u0a89\u0aaa\u0ab0 \u0aa5\u0ac0 \u0aaa\u0abe\u0ab8 \u0aa5\u0abe\u0aaf \u0a9b\u0ac7.<\/h3>\n<h3>\u0ab8\u0acc\u0ab0\u0abe\u0ab7\u0acd\u0a9f\u0acd\u0ab0 \u0a97\u0ac1\u0a9c\u0ab0\u0abe\u0aa4 \u0a85\u0aa8\u0ac7 \u0a95\u0a9a\u0acd\u0a9b \u0aae\u0abe\u0a9f\u0ac7 30 \u0a93\u0a95\u0acd\u0a9f\u0acb\u0aac\u0ab0 2015 \u0ab8\u0abe\u0a82\u0a9c\u0ac7 6.00 \u0a95\u0ab2\u0abe\u0a95\u0ac7 \u0a86\u0aaa\u0ac7\u0ab2 \u0a85\u0aaa\u0aa1\u0ac7\u0a9f \u0ab5\u0abe\u0a82\u0a9a\u0ab5\u0abe \u0a85\u0ab9\u0ac0 \u0a95\u0acd\u0ab2\u0abf\u0a95 \u0a95\u0ab0\u0acb\u00a0\u00a0<a style=\"color: #0d85cc;\" href=\"https:\/\/vmi2318806.contaboserver.net\/?p=10366\" target=\"_blank\">\u0aa4\u0abe\u0ab0\u0ac0\u0a96 30 \u0a93\u0a95\u0acd\u0a9f\u0acb\u0aac\u0ab0 2015 \u0ab8\u0abe\u0a82\u0a9c\u0ac7 6.00 \u0a95\u0ab2\u0abe\u0a95<\/a><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><strong>\u0ab8\u0abe\u0ab5\u0a9a\u0ac7\u0aa4\u0ac0:<\/strong><\/h2>\n<h2><strong> \u0ab8\u0acd\u0a9f\u0acb\u0ab0\u0acd\u0aae \u0a95\u0ac7 \u0ab9\u0ab5\u0abe\u0aae\u0abe\u0aa8 \u0a85\u0a82\u0a97\u0ac7 \u0aa8\u0ac0 \u0aae\u0abe\u0ab9\u0abf\u0aa4\u0ac0 \u0aae\u0abe\u0a9f\u0ac7 \u0aad\u0abe\u0ab0\u0aa4\u0ac0\u0aaf \u0ab9\u0ab5\u0abe\u0aae\u0abe\u0aa8 \u0a96\u0abe\u0aa4\u0abe\/\u0a97\u0ab5\u0ab0\u0acd\u0aae\u0ac7\u0aa8\u0acd\u0a9f \u0aa8\u0abe \u0aac\u0ac1\u0ab2\u0ac7\u0a9f\u0ac0\u0aa8\/\u0ab8\u0ac1\u0a9a\u0aa8\u0abe \u0aaa\u0ab0 \u0aa8\u0abf\u0ab0\u0acd\u0aad\u0ab0 \u0ab0\u0ab9\u0ac7\u0ab5\u0ac1\u0a82.<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Current Weather Conditions on 30th October 2015 @ 9.00 pm. IST &nbsp; UW-CIMSS Automated Satellite-Based Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.2.1 Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Algorithm Current Intensity Analysis UW &#8211; CIMSS ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE ADT-Version 8.2.1 Tropical Cyclone Intensity <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/?p=10377\">Read More &#8230;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10377","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ashok-patel-weather"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10377","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10377"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10377\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10377"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10377"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gujaratweather.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10377"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}