Normal Date For Withdrawal Of Southwest Monsoon

Current Weather Conditions on 17th September 2014 @ 06.30 am.

A Low Pressure area formed over Northwest Bay of Bengal and adjoining Coastal areas of Odisha and West central Bay of Bengal yesterday morning.  Last evening the Low Pressure area was over West Central Bay of Bengal and adjoining Coastal Andhra Pradesh. Associated Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation extends up to 7.6 Kms. above mean sea level tilting South Westwards with height.

The Western end of monsoon trough runs close to the foothills of Himalayas and Eastern end passess through Lucknow, Pendra, Center of Low Pressure area and thence South Eastwards to Andaman Sea. It extends up to 1.5 Kms. above mean sea level.

Zone Wise District Rainfall Data For Whole Gujarat till 16th September 2014

Rainfall_160914

IMD criteria for Withdrawal of SW Monsoon 

a)           Withdrawal from extreme north-western parts of the country is not attempted before 1stSeptember.

b)           After 1st  September:

The following major synoptic features are considered for the first withdrawal from the western parts of NW India.

i)        Cessation of rainfall activity over the area for continuous 5 days.

ii)       Establishment of anticyclone in the lower troposphere (850 hPa and below)

iii)      Considerable reduction in moisture content as inferred from satellite water vapor imageries and tephigrams.

Further Withdrawal from the Country

 i)        Further withdrawal from the country is declared, keeping the spatial continuity, reduction in moisture as seen in the water vapor imageries and prevalence of dry weather for 5 days.

ii)       SW monsoon is from the southern peninsula and hence from the entire country only after 1st October, when the circulation pattern indicates a change over from the South Westerly wind regime.

 

Map Showing The Normal Date For Withdrawal Of Southwest Monsoon From India

withdrawal_normal

Forecast: 17th September to 22nd September 2014

 

Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch :

 

Current Low Pressure of Bay of Bengal will not affect Saurashtra & Gujarat & Kutch.

Mainly dry weather will prevail over large parts with some scattered showers or isolated light rain on a few days at a few places of the forecast period. Some parts of Gujarat could get light rain/showers on more days than Saurashtra or Kutch.

 

NOTE: On Vacation so post will be put if time permits !

 

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ :

 

તારીખ સપ્ટેમ્બર ૧૭ થી ૨૨ સપ્ટેમ્બર ૨૦૧૪:

 

બંગાળની ખાડી નું હાલ નું લો પ્રેસર સૌરાષ્ટ્ર ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ ને અસરકર્તા નહિ થાય.

તારીખ ૧૭ થી ૨૨ સપ્ટેમ્બર દરમ્યાન મુખ્યત્વે વરસાદ નો વિરામ રહેશે. ટૂક માં હાલ કોઈ મોટો વરસાદ નથી. સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત, કચ્છ અને ગુજરાત માં કોઈ કોઈ દિવસે છુટા છવાયા ઝાપટા અથવા હળવો વરસાદ સીમિત વિસ્તાર માં થઇ શકે.

 

નોંધ: રજા માં બહાર ગામ હોવા થી નવી અપડેટ માટે વેલા મોડું ગણવું તેમજ પોસ્ટ ના જવાબ પણ વેલા મોડા મળશે.

 

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ketan
ketan
19/09/2014 8:56 pm

sir cola claud jovu hoy to sema jovanu sir plesse anawer me

ashok
ashok
19/09/2014 7:57 pm

next agahi kai tarikhe apvana? ?

kanji patel
kanji patel
19/09/2014 7:04 pm

Sir navi jankari kayre aapso?
Plz

jiva ata
jiva ata
19/09/2014 5:43 pm

ashok sir…sir saurashtra ma low nthi,uac nthi to talaja city ane gramya panthak ma 4 divas thi 2to4 vagyana galama chutochavayo adadha thi 1 inch jetlo varsad kem pade 6e?

Gopal kacha
Gopal kacha
19/09/2014 2:21 pm

Sir mane lage 6 k have saurashtra ma varsad nahi ave. Tamaru su k vu 6e.

Hitesh patel
Hitesh patel
19/09/2014 1:01 pm

Sar boi ma biju praser thatu hoi tevu lage 6 .su maro andaj sacho 6.

manish kumar
manish kumar
19/09/2014 11:41 am

22 pachhi varsad chhe ke kem te janavso.

jinesh
jinesh
19/09/2014 10:44 am

@ashoksir:saurashtra ma 6elo round Kyare chalu thase…??

sandip tada
sandip tada
19/09/2014 8:27 am

date 24-25 ni aaspas varsad thase

yahya shaikh
yahya shaikh
18/09/2014 10:59 pm

Currently I am in Rajasthan, sri ganganagar dist. Very hot atmosphere here…

devendra
devendra
18/09/2014 10:06 pm

Sir anand dist ma hawe pachi varsad thase

jiva ata
jiva ata
18/09/2014 7:47 pm

ashok sir…today rainfall activity was increase in bhavnagar districs..there is any chance of cotinous rainfall for coming days?

pradip
pradip
18/09/2014 6:28 pm

Sir Bob ma navi sistam bane Che saurastra mate?

Kaushal
Kaushal
18/09/2014 6:26 pm

Hi Ashok Bhai,

I just want to know k Has monsoon withdrawn from any part of our country? Because I saw Water Vapor image & it shows big black area over Rajasthan means may have withdrawn 🙁

Thanks

renish jivani
renish jivani
18/09/2014 4:39 pm

sir, avta devsoma saverastra ma varsade mahol kevo rahese

kishor patel
kishor patel
18/09/2014 3:13 pm

Sir havaman khatavala kahe che ke chomasu vidai na divaso najadik che. To sir a tamaru anuman su che?sir vatavaranma chomasu vidai letu hoi teva tamane paribado dekhay che?

Ajay
Ajay
18/09/2014 2:07 pm

22 pachi varsad aavse

ashok
ashok
18/09/2014 1:53 pm

hu lage bhadar bharahe? ??

Jay
Jay
18/09/2014 1:08 pm

Sir,chomashu temna antim tabkka ma che tamra janavya anushar haji chomasha na divsho baki che to shu antim tabakka na varshad musaldhar hoi sake..k aa vishe koi pan taran khadhvu ashky che

Nayan bhojani
Nayan bhojani
18/09/2014 1:02 pm

Sir rajkot ma a round ma kevu rayse

M V RANA
18/09/2014 10:04 am

Chomasu Rajasthan mathi viday Lai lidhi che?
Pls. Ans aapjo.

ravirajsinh jadeja
ravirajsinh jadeja
18/09/2014 9:47 am

Sir chomasu puru kyare thase

ashvin Baria
ashvin Baria
18/09/2014 8:40 am

Ashokbhai,
Good morning in india,not in usa
Which thick clouds on eastern states near assam is positive effect our monsoon system.

ashok sojitra
ashok sojitra
17/09/2014 11:57 pm

sir….22 pa6i saurashtra ma varsad aavse

murtuza
murtuza
17/09/2014 6:49 pm

sir surashtra ma chomasa na divso ketla baki rahya che

N.S.Makhela
N.S.Makhela
17/09/2014 4:36 pm

Sir
30sep. Pachhi. Varsad. Aavi. Sake.?

nitin patel
nitin patel
17/09/2014 4:33 pm

Hallo sir chomachu have antim tabaka che have varsad no round nahi ave? Riply

amit Bhalani
amit Bhalani
17/09/2014 2:06 pm

thanks

vivek patel
vivek patel
17/09/2014 1:27 pm

Sir varshad nai aave

dudhat bharat
dudhat bharat
17/09/2014 11:44 am

saurashtra ma kyare varsad avashe

nitinvadaviya
nitinvadaviya
17/09/2014 9:50 am

Sir chomasu Viday liye the kya chart ma jovu .samjavo pls ans…