Super Cyclonic Storm ‘AMPHAN’ Over West Central Bay Of Bengal: Cyclone Warning For West Bengal And North Odisha Coasts: Orange Message

18th May 2020 @ 8.30 pm Update

Super Cyclonic Storm ‘AMPHAN’ (pronounced as UM-PUN) over Westcentral Bay of
Bengal: Cyclone Warning for West Bengal and north Odisha coasts: Orange Message.

FROM: INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT
BULLETIN NO.: 21 (BAY OF BENGAL 01/2020)
TIME OF ISSUE: 2030 HOURS IST DATED: 18.05.2020

IMD બુલેટિન નંબર 21: 2030 કલાક IST તારીખ 18-05-2020 મુજબ

‘સુપર સાયક્લોન’ ‘AMPHAN’ (‘અમ-પન’) મધ્ય પશ્ચિમ બંગાળ ની ખાડી પર : પશ્ચિમ બંગાળ અને નોર્થ ઓડિશા કિનારા માટે સાયક્લોન ની ચેતવણી : ઓરેન્જ મેસેજ

 

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Status:
The Super Cyclonic Storm ‘AMPHAN’ is located at 14.6N, 86.4E. The winds blowing 230-240 kms/hour and gusting up to 265 kms/hour. The System is expected to track Northerly and then North Northeastwards towards West Bengal next two days. JTWC has issued Tropical Cyclone Warning No. 10. The wind speed on International scales is 145 knots ( 268 kms/hour on 1 minute average wind speeds basis. IMD has a 3 minutes average basis). NRL has 901 Millibar Central Pressure.

JTWC Tropical Cyclone 01B (AMPHAN) Warning No. 10 ( Super Cyclonic Storm “AMPHAN”)
Dated 18th May 2020 @ 1500 UTC ( 08.30 pm IST)

 

 

NRL IR Satellite Image of Super Cyclonic Storm ‘AMPHAN’
Dated 18-05-2020 @ 1400 UTC ( 07.30 pm. IST)



 

 

 

Caution: Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.

સાવચેતી: સ્ટોર્મ કે હવામાન અંગે ની માહિતી માટે ભારતીય હવામાન ખાતા/ગવર્મેન્ટ ના બુલેટીન/સુચના પર નિર્ભર રહેવું.

 

 

 

 

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Read Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 14th May 2020

Read Forecast in Sanj Samachar Daily Dated 14th May 2020

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Rajbha(jamnagar)
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Rajbha(jamnagar)
26/05/2020 3:15 pm

Mara mte system track west saurstra & kuchh baju dariya baju rese , majboot hase to bypass thase vayu ni jem nabdi banse to andar avse uac low Bani ne…

Vipulkakadiya
Guest
Vipulkakadiya
26/05/2020 3:04 pm

Sir bany model Juda disha ma jay chy to tamaru anuman su kahe chy gujrat no varo avse ke nahi janvo tamari rahe bathachye abhar

Haresh Zampadiya
Guest
Haresh Zampadiya
26/05/2020 2:59 pm

Sir imd mid day bulletin indicate that a fresh law pressure area south est arebian sea around 31 may so it is final this is depends on ecmwf right sir

nik raichada
Guest
nik raichada
26/05/2020 2:57 pm

Sir Jayant Sarkare IMD Gujarat 29 & 30 me na saurashtra na dariyakatha vistaro ma varsad ni agahi kri .

Ramesh Karangia
Guest
Ramesh Karangia
26/05/2020 2:13 pm

Sar tame bapor ni update ma chokasta avse evu kahelu ?

Janak Barvadiya
Guest
Janak Barvadiya
26/05/2020 1:54 pm

Sir cyclone ma havanu pressure jetlu nichu hoy aetli pavan ni zadap vadhu hoy?

vikram maadam
Guest
vikram maadam
26/05/2020 1:27 pm

sir..MJO na chella pichhda ..GFS mujab face 1 ma vartul ni vdhare najik aaavya … sistem adi adi ne jase ..evu lage
jyare GEFS mujab thodak chheta jay chhe .. face 1 ma

વાદી નીલેશ વી,નરમાણા,જામજોધપુર,જામનગર.
Guest
વાદી નીલેશ વી,નરમાણા,જામજોધપુર,જામનગર.
26/05/2020 12:49 pm

નમસ્કાર સર,ecmwf ને કોરોના ની બીક નથી સંભવીત સીસ્ટમ ને દક્ષિણ ગુજરાત (મહારાષ્ટ્ર મોહમયી નગરી) તરફ નમાવે છે.

વાદી નીલેશ વી,નરમાણા,જામજોધપુર,જામનગર.
Guest
વાદી નીલેશ વી,નરમાણા,જામજોધપુર,જામનગર.
26/05/2020 2:18 pm

તોય મુલાકાત તો કરવી જ પડશે!!

Hansraj Dhoriya
Guest
Hansraj Dhoriya
26/05/2020 11:46 am

Cyclone hoy tyare Kai disha ma varsad vadhare nu jor and Kai disha ma Pawan nu jor vadhare hoy Ke chare baju sarkhu hoy.

Kishor patel
Guest
Kishor patel
26/05/2020 11:40 am

Sir. Law system banavanu location Ecmwf &Gfs bane juda batave che. To teno track location pramane alag hoi sake?

Kailesh bhimani rajkot
Guest
Kailesh bhimani rajkot
26/05/2020 11:39 am

Sir lage che ke ecmwf ane gsf 2 divas ma 1 raste avi jase?

Sumatbhai Gagiya, modpur, lalpur, jamnagar
Guest
Sumatbhai Gagiya, modpur, lalpur, jamnagar
26/05/2020 11:08 am

Sir, aavnari (arbi vadi) system babte aap kyare updates aap so…

Dipak patel To:Rajkot
Guest
Dipak patel To:Rajkot
26/05/2020 10:49 am

Sir aa news vaday gote chadi gya chhe …
AMPHAN Vavajodu 30 may na roj aavse em kye chhe.

Dipak patel To:Rajkot
Guest
Dipak patel To:Rajkot
26/05/2020 10:52 am

Sir Chomasu kya puchyu chhe A&N thi agad vadhyu k nay te janavva vinanti.

Umesh Ribadiya@Visavadar
Guest
Umesh Ribadiya@Visavadar
26/05/2020 10:18 am

Indian cost mate Arb na cyclone no khatro mote bhage keral thi maharashtra na area karta Gujarat region ne vadhu kem hoy chhe?

Anand Raval
Guest
Anand Raval
26/05/2020 9:07 am

Hello sir… good morning..sir…tame jem kidhu…ke… afternoon ni…upate….ma finally khabar padi jase…je aa… system vise… please your… answer… thank you
.sir…

nik raichada
Guest
nik raichada
26/05/2020 8:54 am

sir aje night update ma Ecmwf system no track change thyo ame hve valsad kora che.

sir apde niche thi upr Mumbai pase chomasa pehla system ave te nabdi padi j jai che ane arbi ma system hoi etle movies ni jem twist and turn to hoy j.

Kanaiya sojitra amreli
Guest
Kanaiya sojitra amreli
26/05/2020 8:21 am

Sir cyclone ne aagal vadhva sea tempacher normal ketlu jovi..?

Kanaiya sojitra amreli
Guest
Kanaiya sojitra amreli
26/05/2020 8:18 am

Sir have GFS pan ecmwf ma raste avtu dekhay rahyu chhe….!

Ketan gadhavi
Guest
Ketan gadhavi
26/05/2020 7:06 am

avu pan banne ke banne ne vache no rasto lay shake, to sir varsad no labh Gujarat ne male ke nay

Kalpesh gondal
Guest
Kalpesh gondal
26/05/2020 6:25 am

hi sir
banne modlo thoda thoda pase aavigya atle have vavajodu gujrat baju aave e paku ganvanu ne

Umesh Ribadiya@Visavadar
Guest
Umesh Ribadiya@Visavadar
25/05/2020 8:58 pm

Evu abhyas parthi lagyu ke jya sudhi monsoon wind set na thaya hoy tya sudhi koy pan system khas kai ukade nay.. Because dry air…

Naranbhai Devda
Guest
Naranbhai Devda
26/05/2020 11:27 am

From which date Monsoon will start?

Umesh Ribadiya@Visavadar
Guest
Umesh Ribadiya@Visavadar
25/05/2020 8:54 pm

Monsoon maharashtra sudhi na pahochyu hoy ne,Upcoming system jo gujarat region ma saro varsad aape toe pan te pre-monsoon j ganay ne?

Javid dekavadiya
Guest
Javid dekavadiya
25/05/2020 8:45 pm

Sar aa sistam arbivari banvani che te kay baju chalse enu anuman kay dt ma nakki thay biju arbi vari sistam gujrat ma aave to keral gova maharasht ni mor varsad aavijayne te primonsoon gnay

Shreyansh Yadav
Guest
Shreyansh Yadav
25/05/2020 8:24 pm

Aaje j jaanva madyu. Cyclones in Southern hemisphere rotate clockwise and those in Northern hemisphere rotate counterclockwise.
Thanks 2 Coriolis effect!
Very interesting in many ways how nature works !

mayur
Guest
mayur
25/05/2020 8:09 pm

Sar jo vavajodu bane ane a oman baju Jay to Gujarat mate somasu nabadu ganay khari

Jayesh Lalani (bhayavadar)
Guest
Jayesh Lalani (bhayavadar)
25/05/2020 7:31 pm

Sar cola to Fari gayu

sanjay rajput
Guest
sanjay rajput
25/05/2020 5:34 pm

sir ecmwf sisatam tark babate sachot hoy che 3 divas thi veraval pashe batave che avu bane ke gsf chachu padu hoy

Rajesh pithiya
Guest
Rajesh pithiya
25/05/2020 4:07 pm

(Deleted link by Moderator)

આ વિશે આપનુ મંતવ્ય મહત્વનું છે,જવાબ આપશો સર.

Windy banne model jovo

Haresh Zampadiya
Guest
Haresh Zampadiya
25/05/2020 3:48 pm

Sir as per imd conditions are becoming favourable for South West monsoon on 27 may .it is good indicate for kerala for monsoon and india.

Vanrajsinh Dodiya
Guest
Vanrajsinh Dodiya
25/05/2020 3:45 pm

Sir
ecmwf pramane arbi ma majboot vavajodi batave che ane te dt 3 ma saurashtra na diu veraval najik aave evu batave che sistam treck babat ecmwf vadhare sashot che to saurashtr ma aavvani ketla taka sakyata ganay ?

Ketan gadhavi
Guest
Ketan gadhavi
25/05/2020 3:16 pm

Sir news vala nay avadiye, last vavajodau somanath thi pela turn Mari lidho to

DINESH DETROJA
Guest
DINESH DETROJA
25/05/2020 2:58 pm

સર ટીવી વાળા ભલે કહે કે વાવાઝોડુ આવશે
પરંતુ તમો કહો એ ફાઇનલ હોય એટલે અમે ખેડુક ભાઇ ઓ તમારી નવી અપડેટ ની રાહ જોઈ રહ્યા છીએ
2020 નું ચોમાસું વર્ષ સારું રહે તેવી ઈશ્વર પાસે પ્રાર્થના

Tejabhai patel (tharad)
Guest
Tejabhai patel (tharad)
25/05/2020 2:48 pm

Sir upper level nu pressure Kai rite jovanu?

Rasiklal Vadalia
Guest
Rasiklal Vadalia
25/05/2020 2:22 pm

અને સર આ windy ના Ecmwf અને Gfs ના ફોરકાસ્ટ રન 2020-05-25T00-00-00z મુજબ છે.

Kanaiya sojitra amreli
Guest
Kanaiya sojitra amreli
25/05/2020 2:07 pm

Sir ecmwf ni bapor ni update ma hji pan landfall gujarat par j ave chhe to tamara mate have ketla chance ganva joiye…?

Rasiklal Vadalia
Guest
Rasiklal Vadalia
25/05/2020 1:59 pm

જય શ્રીકૃષ્ણ સર. પહેલા સોરી માગી લઉ છું સર. પણ તમો મારા પ્રશ્ર્ન વિષે તમને યોગ્ય લાગે તો આગોતરૂ એધાન આપવા વિનંતી છે મારી સર. હવે મારા બે પ્રશ્ન છે. પ્રશ્ન (1) windy ECMWF માં 925 hpa માં 3 જૂન 9 Pm. 952 મિલીબાર પ્રેસર ની સીસ્ટમ વેરાવળ ના કાંઠા પાસે દક્ષિણ અરબીમાં સીસ્ટમ બતાવે છે. પ્રશ્ન (2) windy GFS માં 925 hpa માં 3 જુન ,9 Pm.1004 મિલીબાર પ્રેસર ની સીસ્ટમ મેંગ્લોર પાસે પશ્ચિમ અરબીમાં બતાવે છે. તો સર આ windy ના બંને મોડેલનો માંથી કયા મોડેલ ઉપર ભરોસો રાખવો ??? તો તમોને મારા પ્રશ્રનો યોગ્ય લાગે તો તમોને આ બાબતે આગોતરૂ એધાન આપવા મારી નમ્ર વિનંતી છે.

Rasiklal Vadalia
Guest
Rasiklal Vadalia
25/05/2020 9:47 pm

Ok Sir.

Kaushal chauhan
Guest
Kaushal chauhan
25/05/2020 1:51 pm

નમસ્કાર સર
અરબી વારી સિસ્ટમ GFS મોડલ બતાવતુ નથી તો કેટલા % સમજવુ ….

બીજા મોડલ બતાવે છે

Arun Nimbel
Guest
Arun Nimbel
25/05/2020 1:41 pm

ECMWF pramane system 3 tarikhe veraval najik batave che jyare GFS pramane system 3 tarikhe Low pressure j batave che. haji to bhu changes thase

Shreyansh Yadav
Guest
Shreyansh Yadav
25/05/2020 1:34 pm

Still too early to judge but it’s ECMWF vs GFS and IMD at the moment.

ECMWF showing Pressure of 950 hpa when cyclone nears landfall is not good !

Expect further changes and the picture will be clearer by 28th May!

Dodiya
Guest
Dodiya
25/05/2020 1:31 pm

Sir arebian sea ma 2 system bane aevu lage che to 2 mathi kay vadhare majbut thase tamara anubhav pramane ?

nik raichada
Guest
nik raichada
25/05/2020 1:09 pm

Sir TV news vara ne corona baad cyclone na news mali gya jika jik chalu thai gya 3 june gujarat ma 2 cyclone ek sathe avse .

hji disha nakki nathi thay eni pela news vara chalu.

D. K. Nandaniya
Guest
D. K. Nandaniya
25/05/2020 12:57 pm

Jsk sir south baju Bob ma cyclone bane tyare e baju varsad bov hoy and arbi ma cyclone bane to gujrat ma varsad kem ocho thai and na pan thai

Anand Raval
Guest
Anand Raval
25/05/2020 12:57 pm

Hello sir, aa je arbi system thavani chee…teno track and disa kyare..sure thay…48/72 kalak..sudhi

Hansraj Dhoriya
Guest
Hansraj Dhoriya
25/05/2020 12:34 pm

Good afternoon…sir low pressure and high pressure ma antar su ane low ma cyclone Thai to sir high pressure ma su Thai…

dipak raysoni
Guest
dipak raysoni
25/05/2020 11:48 am

Sir Tamara forecast pela j akila ane divybhaskar ma pan cyclone news aavi gya Aema to Gujarat na dariya kinare 3 tarikhe takray aevu aapyu chhe. Have to media aava masala vara news mate Bau advanced thai gyu chhe. Skymet pan ke che.

dipak raysoni
Guest
dipak raysoni
25/05/2020 11:41 am

OMG really ECMWF Oman baju je cyclone bane che ema 50 inch thi pan vadhare varsad batave che pan badhu dariya ma j waste thay chhe. Aano half rain pan Kutch ma padi jay aakha monsoon season ma to Kutch Dharti to tat khedu harkhay Jay ane kutchi madu khus thay. Koi aa 2 mathi 1 system pan Kutch ma aavie Kutch jova Kyoki Kutch nahi dekha to kuch nahi dekha. Aam pan ame varsad mate tarsi e chie dar vakhte Aetle Ame cyclone thi aavse varsad to Aene pan samaiyu Kari ne vadhavi lesu fulgar thi swagat che.

Shreyansh Yadav
Guest
Shreyansh Yadav
25/05/2020 10:42 am

Can Western disturbance act like a Magnet to attract the system towards it ? Or both have no relationship between each other.

vikram maadam
Guest
vikram maadam
25/05/2020 12:11 pm
Reply to  Ashok Patel

sir ..windy ma 3 june sudhi .ecm vara 2 sistem ane gfs vara 1 sistem btave ..
ana sivay oman … iran ..ane.. pak. ma pan ..WD na low btave chhe …. 998mb na..

te jota arabian vari sistem gujrat baju namse !!

dipak raysoni
Guest
dipak raysoni
25/05/2020 10:19 am

Sir BOB ma anti cyclone bane che aavta week ma?

Anand Raval
Guest
Anand Raval
25/05/2020 10:04 am

Hello sir good morning…sir tamari update no wait kari rahya chiiye…kyare aavase… please answer me..sir… thank you

Darsh(Nadiad)
Guest
Darsh(Nadiad)
25/05/2020 9:50 am

Sir,ekey var avu banyu che k 2 cyclone one by one ek j jagya a landfall thaya hoy
Pehlu thay ane pachi biju 3-4 divas ma thyu hoy