14th May 2020 Update

Observations:

The Maximum Temperature has been in the range of 42C to 44 C for two to three days and subsequently has decreased to the lower range of 42 to 43 C by the end of the forecast period. Yesterday the Maximum Temperature was in the range of 41C to 42 C over most hot centers of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat which is near current normal of 40C to 41C. Yesterday the Maximum Temperature was as under:

Date 13-05-2020

Gandhinagar 42.0C
Ahmedabad 41.8C
Surendranagr 42.2C
Amreli 41.9C
Rajkot 41.1C
Kandla(A) 42.4C

Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch: 15th to 22nd May 2020

The winds will be from Westerly (West/NW/SW) direction during the forecast period. The wind speed will be high during evening times on all days of forecast period with the wind speed exceeding 20km/hour.

The morning Humidity will be high especially for Kutch and Saurashtra.  Upper Air Instability will persist and is expected to be high from 18th to 22nd May. Off and On Scattered low level clouds on some days during the the forecast period.
The Maximum Temperature expected to be near normal or above normal till 18th May and increase by 1 to 2 C during 19th/22nd May and could be in the range of 42C to 44C. The Normal Maximum Temperature is around 40C/41C for some hot centers of Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch.

Bay of Bengal Update on 14th May 2020

Some parts of IMD Mid-day Bulletin:

The low pressure area over southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining south Andaman Sea now lies as Well Marked Low Pressure Area over southeast Bay of Bengal & neighborhood. Associated cyclonic circulation extends up to mid-tropospheric levels. It is very likely to concentrate into a Depression over central parts of south Bay of Bengal on tomorrow, the 15th May and further intensify into a Cyclonic Storm over the same region by 16th May evening. It is very likely to move northwestwards initially till 17th and then re-curve North Northeastwards towards north Bay of Bengal during 18th-19th May.

Under its influence, Squally weather conditions with wind speed of the order of 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph likely to prevail over Andaman Sea during 15th-17th, along & off north Andhra Pradesh-south Odisha coasts on 18th; wind speed of the order of 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph likely over southeast Bay of Bengal & adjoining southwest & central Bay of Bengal on 15th; of the order of 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph likely over central parts of south Bay of Bengal & adjoining central Bay of Bengal on 16th; of the order of 70-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph likely over Eastcentral & adjoining Westcentral and south Bay of Bengal on 17th and wind speed of the order of 80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph over Westcentral & adjoining Eastcentral Bay of Bengal on 18th. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas during these periods.

Fishermen are advised not to venture into Odisha-West Bengal coasts from 18th May on wards and those out at sea are advised to return to the coast.

Refer to INFORMATORY MESSAGE: 02 (BOB 01/2020)
TIME OF ISSUE: 1400 HOURS IST DATED: 14.05.2020
FROM: INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT

Forecast for Bay of Bengal System:

There is a Well marked Low Pressure over the Southeast Bay of Bengal at location 11.2N, 88.4E about 900 kms. East Southeast from Chennai and similar distance of about 900 kms Southeast from the Andhra Coast. This System is monitored by JTWC as 91B. The System is expected to concentrate into a Depression within 24 hours and strengthen further to a Cyclonic Storm during the next few days. System expected to track Northwest and then Northerly direction and subsequently track parallel to the Andhra/Odisha Coast towards North Bay of Bengal.

NRL Satellite Image of 91B.INVEST ( Well Marked Low Pressure) Dated 14th May 2020 @ 1200 UTC (05.30 pm. IST)

Caution: Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.

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Read Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 14th May 2020

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