Well Marked Low Pressure Over Southeast Bay Of Bengal – Expected To Concentrate To A Depression By Tomorrow & Subsequently Strengthen Further & Will Track Towards North Bay Of Bengal

14th May 2020 Update

Observations:

The Maximum Temperature has been in the range of 42C to 44 C for two to three days and subsequently has decreased to the lower range of 42 to 43 C by the end of the forecast period. Yesterday the Maximum Temperature was in the range of 41C to 42 C over most hot centers of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat which is near current normal of 40C to 41C. Yesterday the Maximum Temperature was as under:

Date 13-05-2020

Gandhinagar 42.0C
Ahmedabad 41.8C
Surendranagr 42.2C
Amreli 41.9C
Rajkot 41.1C
Kandla(A) 42.4C

Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch: 15th to 22nd May 2020

The winds will be from Westerly (West/NW/SW) direction during the forecast period. The wind speed will be high during evening times on all days of forecast period with the wind speed exceeding 20km/hour.

The morning Humidity will be high especially for Kutch and Saurashtra.  Upper Air Instability will persist and is expected to be high from 18th to 22nd May. Off and On Scattered low level clouds on some days during the the forecast period.
The Maximum Temperature expected to be near normal or above normal till 18th May and increase by 1 to 2 C during 19th/22nd May and could be in the range of 42C to 44C. The Normal Maximum Temperature is around 40C/41C for some hot centers of Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch.

Bay of Bengal Update on 14th May 2020

 

Some parts of IMD Mid-day Bulletin:

The low pressure area over southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining south Andaman Sea now lies as Well Marked Low Pressure Area over southeast Bay of Bengal & neighborhood. Associated cyclonic circulation extends up to mid-tropospheric levels. It is very likely to concentrate into a Depression over central parts of south Bay of Bengal on tomorrow, the 15th May and further intensify into a Cyclonic Storm over the same region by 16th May evening. It is very likely to move northwestwards initially till 17th and then re-curve North Northeastwards towards north Bay of Bengal during 18th-19th May.

Under its influence, Squally weather conditions with wind speed of the order of 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph likely to prevail over Andaman Sea during 15th-17th, along & off north Andhra Pradesh-south Odisha coasts on 18th; wind speed of the order of 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph likely over southeast Bay of Bengal & adjoining southwest & central Bay of Bengal on 15th; of the order of 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph likely over central parts of south Bay of Bengal & adjoining central Bay of Bengal on 16th; of the order of 70-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph likely over Eastcentral & adjoining Westcentral and south Bay of Bengal on 17th and wind speed of the order of 80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph over Westcentral & adjoining Eastcentral Bay of Bengal on 18th. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas during these periods.

Fishermen are advised not to venture into Odisha-West Bengal coasts from 18th May on wards and those out at sea are advised to return to the coast.

Refer to INFORMATORY MESSAGE: 02 (BOB 01/2020)
TIME OF ISSUE: 1400 HOURS IST DATED: 14.05.2020
FROM: INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT

indian_14052020

Forecast for Bay of Bengal System:

There is a Well marked Low Pressure over the Southeast Bay of Bengal at location 11.2N, 88.4E about 900 kms. East Southeast from Chennai and similar distance of about 900 kms Southeast from the Andhra Coast. This System is monitored by JTWC as 91B. The System is expected to concentrate into a Depression within 24 hours and strengthen further to a Cyclonic Storm during the next few days. System expected to track Northwest and then Northerly direction and subsequently track parallel to the Andhra/Odisha Coast towards North Bay of Bengal.

NRL Satellite Image of 91B.INVEST ( Well Marked Low Pressure) Dated 14th May 2020 @ 1200 UTC (05.30 pm. IST)

 

 

Caution: Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.

સાવચેતી:

સ્ટોર્મ કે હવામાન અંગે ની માહિતી માટે ભારતીય હવામાન ખાતા/ગવર્મેન્ટ ના બુલેટીન/સુચના પર નિર્ભર રહેવું.

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Read Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 14th May 2020

Read Forecast in Sanj Samachar Daily Dated 14th May 2020

Read Comment Policy– કમેન્ટ માટે માર્ગદર્શન

ઉપર ની બધી અલગ લિન્ક ક્લિક કરો. નવી વિન્ડો માં પેજ ખૂલશે

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Kishor
Kishor
16/05/2020 10:42 am

Thenx sir ji

Rajbha(jamnagar)
Rajbha(jamnagar)
16/05/2020 10:09 am

Sir lagbhag dar varse pela bob ma system bane pachhi arb ma system bane Ane arb ma lagbhag 25 may thi 5 June vache system Banti hoy chhe , joi aa varse su thay

dipak raysoni
dipak raysoni
Reply to  Rajbha(jamnagar)
16/05/2020 5:24 pm

ARB ma n thay e vadhare saru chhe aapna mate Kem k aenathi aapne directly koi faydo nathi. Ane aapno bhego karelo bhej lai jase sathe ane chomasa ma modu karse kem k mostly system west north west javani AB mathi

Ashvin Vora
Ashvin Vora
15/05/2020 10:47 pm

Thank you sir for latest updates

Odedara karubhai
Odedara karubhai
15/05/2020 9:16 pm

Thanks sir Chomasa ni sharuaat k nai sir ?

રાકેશ ફળદુ જIમ જોધપુર
રાકેશ ફળદુ જIમ જોધપુર
15/05/2020 8:54 pm

Thanks sir

Bharat Ramoliya
Bharat Ramoliya
15/05/2020 7:46 pm

Sir Amfan vavajoda thi chomasa na current ma fer far thai sake ?

Ahir devshi
Ahir devshi
15/05/2020 7:37 pm

ધન્યવાદ શર

Keshwala hitesh
Keshwala hitesh
15/05/2020 6:37 pm

Navi update aapva badal khub khub aabhar

Dipak patel To:Rajkot
Dipak patel To:Rajkot
15/05/2020 4:46 pm

Thanks for update

Vikram
Vikram
15/05/2020 4:30 pm

banaskatha ma vadal tya chhe

Vinod mungra
Vinod mungra
15/05/2020 3:19 pm

ટીવી વારા કહે છે કે ૫જૂન થી ચોમાસુ બેસસે આ સાચું કે ખોટું જવાબ આપજો

Vishal gandha
Vishal gandha
15/05/2020 3:12 pm

Thanks

Ram Raja
Ram Raja
15/05/2020 2:41 pm

Hii sir.tamne su Lage aa vakhte 1 June
a kerla ma monsun ni entry thay jay?

K k bera
K k bera
15/05/2020 2:13 pm

Thanks sir

Rasiklal Vadalia
Rasiklal Vadalia
15/05/2020 12:16 pm

Jsk. Sir. Thanks for new update.

Haresh Zampadiya
Haresh Zampadiya
15/05/2020 12:10 pm

Thanks sir for new update

jetha modhwadia
jetha modhwadia
15/05/2020 11:58 am

સર…બંગાળ ની ખાડી મા વાવાઝૉડુ સર્જાયુ..તેવી રીતે સૉમાચાની શરુઆતમા અરબી સમુદ્ર મા પણ સીસ્ટમ થતી હૉય છે…પણ બંગાળ ખાડી આ વખતે પહેલા સક્રીય થઇ…એટલે અરબીવાળા એ હવે રાહ જૉવી પડશે શુ?

Haresh Mer
Haresh Mer
15/05/2020 11:55 am

Thanku sir

Vikram
Vikram
15/05/2020 11:05 am

Sir gujarat ma mavathu thavani sakyata chhe

Rajesh Patel
Rajesh Patel
15/05/2020 8:58 am

Thanks ser new update

Harshadbhai K Kanetiya Botad
Harshadbhai K Kanetiya Botad
15/05/2020 8:53 am

thx sir new update

TARUN DETROJA MORBI
TARUN DETROJA MORBI
15/05/2020 8:13 am

Sir. I know u r not LGAKN but I hop KE chomasu KE rahese ple. Sri.

સરિયા વિપુલભાઈ
સરિયા વિપુલભાઈ
15/05/2020 6:22 am

સર,
જે આ બંગાળની ખાડીમાં વાવાઝોડું બને છે તેનાથી ગુજરાતને ચોમાસામાં (વહેલું કે મોડું)કાંઈ ફેરફાર થાય ? મેં સાંભળ્યુ હતું કે બધોય ભેજ સિસ્ટમ ખેસી લે એટલે પૂછ્યું.

vikram maadam
vikram maadam
Reply to  Ashok Patel
15/05/2020 8:31 pm

thenx for new updat sir..ji…

indian ocsean mathi avta chomasu pavano ….. madagaskar thi j turn lye ke .. somaliya thi ?? ..

Ravi faldu
Ravi faldu
15/05/2020 6:19 am

Jsk thanks sir new update

Asif
Asif
15/05/2020 5:49 am

Sir Gujarat ma chomasa darmyan kayrey evu banyu che ek var system vayagaya pachi fari turn Mari Gujarat par pachi Avi hoi

N. H. Gor
N. H. Gor
Reply to  Asif
16/05/2020 12:47 pm

Last year vayu and maha cyclone ma avu thayu hatu.
Banne sysytem gujarat na coastal area thi dur jaine recurve lai ne Pa6i avi hati. But banne vakhate system weak thai gai hati

Fatehsinh Rajput. Chuda
Fatehsinh Rajput. Chuda
15/05/2020 5:36 am

Thanks sir

Kishan Patel
Kishan Patel
15/05/2020 5:11 am

Sir,
West bengal ma storm na lidhe andaman nicobar ma chumash chalu thavani date pr su asar pdse…modu thava ni skyata ketli??

Ashok Vaghasiya
Ashok Vaghasiya
15/05/2020 5:04 am

Thanks for new updates

Milan sabhaya
Milan sabhaya
15/05/2020 5:00 am

Updet 14 tarikh ni
To comment ma batave kem 15 tarikh

Bhimani mahesh
Bhimani mahesh
15/05/2020 4:59 am

Sir atyare je vadad thai te pre monsun activity kevay ke havaman ni asthirta kevay

Amit undhad
Amit undhad
15/05/2020 4:28 am

Thenkyou sir

Dankhara Himmat
Dankhara Himmat
15/05/2020 4:21 am

Good news

Ranjit vanani
Ranjit vanani
15/05/2020 4:21 am

સર તારીખ માં કંઈક ફેરફાર લાગે છે

Darsh(Nadiad)
Darsh(Nadiad)
15/05/2020 4:14 am

Sir,asthirta etle kyak kyak mavthu pan thay??

Manish
Manish
15/05/2020 4:06 am

Sir bapor pachhi pavan ni speed andajit ketli hase

ajaybhai
ajaybhai
15/05/2020 4:02 am

Thanks for new update.

Mayurpatel
Mayurpatel
15/05/2020 3:37 am

બંગાળની ખાડી માં કદાચ વાવાઝોડું બને તો તે ચોમાસાને અસર કરે?

Hitesh Bakori jam jodhpur
Hitesh Bakori jam jodhpur
15/05/2020 3:09 am

સર જય શ્રીકૃષ્ણસરસ મજાનું અપડેટ બદલ ખુબ ખુબ આભાર ….જય જય ગરવી ગુજરાત

Rajani Mahesh samdhiyala (gir)
Rajani Mahesh samdhiyala (gir)
15/05/2020 2:22 am

thank you sir for new update