Southwest Monsoon Withdraws From Most Parts Of North India, Most Parts Of Saurashtra & Parts Of Gujarat On 1st October 2018

Update Dated 1st October 2018

Meteorogical Conditions based on IMD Mid-Day Bulletin:

The Southwest Monsoon has further withdrawn from remaining parts of Rajasthan, entire Jammu & Kashmir, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, West Uttar Pradesh, some parts of East Uttar Pradesh, West & East Madhya Pradesh and some more parts of Gujarat state & North Arabian Sea.

The withdrawal line of Southwest Monsoon now passes through Bahraich, Nowgong, Bhopal, Indore, Bharuch, Veraval, lat. 21.0°N/long. 65.0°E and lat. 21.0°N/ long. 60.0°E.

Conditions are favorable for further withdrawal of Southwest Monsoon from remaining parts of East Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat and North Arabian Sea, some parts of Bihar, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh and Maharashtra during next 2-­3 days.

A Low Pressure area is likely to develop over Southeast Arabian sea around 6th October. It is likely to intensify into a Depression and move Northwestwards during subsequent 48 hours. Fishermen are advised not to venture into Southeast & Central Arabian Sea from 07th October, 2018 on wards. Fishermen at deep sea areas of Southeast & Central Arabian Sea are advised to return to coast before 07th October.

Current Weather Conditions on 1st October 2018

The weather has remained dry and sunny during the last few days. The Maximum Temperature has increased and is above normal on 30th September as under:

Ahmedabad Maximum Temperature was 37.4 C and was 2 C above normal.
Rajkot Maximum Temperature was 37.9 C and was 2 C above normal.
Amreli Maximum Temperature was 37.4 C and was 2 C above normal.
Bhuj Maximum Temperature was 40.2 C and was 4 C above normal.

Advance Indication: 7th October to 14th October 2018

There is a likelihood of a development of a Low Pressure over Arabian Sea during this period. The System is expected to strengthen significantly. The Forecast track is currently uncertain since it is oscillating on a Daily basis from Gujarat to Pakistan to Oman at at times towards Yemen, depending upon various Forecast Models and Forecast Runs. Updates will be published as and when there is better clarity on the Forecast outcome.

આગોતરું એંધાણ : 7ઓક્ટોબર થી 14 ઓક્ટોબર 2018

અરબી સમુદ્ર માં એક લો પ્રેસર થવાની શક્યતા જણાય છે અને ક્રમશ મજબૂત સિસ્ટમ ની શક્યતા છે. વિવિધ ફોરકાસ્ટ મોડલ તેમજ દર રોજ ના ફોરકાસ્ટ રન મુજબ સંભવિત સિસ્ટમ નો ફોરકાસ્ટ ટ્રેક બહુ ઝોલા ખાય છે જે ક્યારેક ગુજરાત તરફ તો ક્યારેક પાકિસ્તાન તરફ તો ક્યારેક ઓમાન તરફ અને ક્યારેક યેમેન તરફ ગતિ કરે છે. જેમ જેમ નિશ્ચિતતા દેખાશે તેમ અપડેટ થશે

 

Caution:Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC/Government Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.

સાવચેતી:
સ્ટોર્મ કે હવામાન અંગે ની માહિતી માટે ભારતીય હવામાન ખાતા/ગવર્મેન્ટ ના બુલેટીન/સુચના પર નિર્ભર રહેવું.