“CHAPALA” Weakens To A Very Severe Cyclonic Storm Over Westcentral Arabian Sea

Current Weather Conditions on 2nd November 2015 @ 9.00 pm. IST

 

UW-CIMSS Automated Satellite-Based
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
Version 8.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Algorithm
Current Intensity Analysis
                     UW - CIMSS                     
              ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE       
                  ADT-Version 8.2.1                
         Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm       

             ----- Current Analysis ----- 
     Date :  02 NOV 2015    Time :   150000 UTC
      Lat :   13:33:00 N     Lon :   50:02:34 E

     
                                    CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
                                    5.1 / 966.9mb/ 92.4kt

     
             Final T#  Adj T#  Raw T# 
                5.1     4.8     4.8

 Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 15 km

 Center Temp : -32.9C    Cloud Region Temp : -59.1C

 Scene Type : EYE  

 Positioning Method : SPIRAL ANALYSIS 

 Ocean Basin : INDIAN        
 Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : CKZ Method  

 Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT 
                   Weakening Flag : OFF   
           Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF   

 C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
  - Average 34 knot radii :   88km
  - Environmental MSLP    : 1009mb

 Satellite Name :    MET7 
 Satellite Viewing Angle : 17.8 degrees 

****************************************************

UW-CIMSS IR (NHC Enhancement)  Satellite Image of Very Severe Cyclonic Storm “CHAPALA” on 2nd November 2015 @ 1430 UTC

UW_Chapala_021115_1430

1 knot= 1.85 km./hour

 

From JTWC:

 

 JTWC Tropical Cyclone 04A  (FOUR) Warning No. 20

io0415_20

 

REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI  issued TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY BULLETIN

TROPICAL STORM ‘CHAPALA’ ADVISORY NO. THIRTY SEVEN ISSUED AT 1500 UTC OF 2 ND NOVEMBER 2015 BASED ON 1200 UTC CHARTS OF 2 ND NOVEMBER 2015.

THE EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM, ‘CHAPALA’ OVER WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF ABOUT 20 KMPH DURING PAST 6 HOURS AND WEAKENED INTO A VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM AND LAY CENTERED AT 1200 UTC OF TODAY, THE 2 ND NOVEMBER 2015 OVER GULF OF ADEN AND ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 DEGREE NORTH AND LONGITUDE 50.5 DEGREE EAST, ABOUT 180 KM SOUTHEAST OF RIYAN (YEMEN) (41443) AND 550 KM SOUTHWEST OF SALALAH (OMAN) (41316). IT WOULD MOVE WESTNORTHWESTWARDS, WEAKEN FURTHER AND CROSS YEMEN COAST TO THE SOUTH OF RIYAN AS A VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OF 120 TO 130 KMPH GUSTING TO 145 KMPH BY 0600 UTC OF 3RD NOVEMBER, 2015.

For details click link here RSMC ADVISORY No. THIRTY SEVEN

Observations:

The Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm “CHAPALA” has weakened now  to a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm over Westcentral Arabian Sea. The System is expected to track towards Central Yemen and make landfall by 0600 UTC of 3rd November 2015.

For Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch refer to Forecast Dated 2nd November 2015 issued at 9.00 am. click here Forecast Dated 2nd November 2015 @ 9.00 am.

 

Caution: Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.

અપડેટ 2 નવેમ્બર 2015 રાત્રે 9.00 કલાકે:

અરબી સમુદ્ર વાળી સીસ્ટમ  “ચપલા” (“CHAPALA”) હવે નબળી પડી ને અતિ તીવ્ર વાવાઝોડા માં પરિવર્તિત થઇ.

આ વાવાઝોડું હાલ પશ્ચિમ ઊત્તર પશ્ચિમ તરફ ગતિ કરે છે અને આવતી કાલ 3 નવેમ્બર 0600 UTC સુધી માં સેન્ટ્રલ યેમેન માં લેન્ડફોલ કરશે.

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ માટે 2 નવેમ્બર 2015 સવારે 9.00 કલાકે આપેલ અપડેટ વાંચવા અહી ક્લિક કરો  તારીખ 2 નવેમ્બર 2015 સવારે 9.00 કલાક

સાવચેતી:

સ્ટોર્મ કે હવામાન અંગે ની માહિતી માટે ભારતીય હવામાન ખાતા/ગવર્મેન્ટ ના બુલેટીન/સુચના પર નિર્ભર રહેવું.

 

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 2nd November 2015 @ 10.00 am.

 

akila_021115_edited_final