Current Weather Conditions on 31st October 2015 @ 9.00 pm. IST
| UW-CIMSS Automated Satellite-Based Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Version 8.2.1 Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Algorithm |
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| Current Intensity Analysis | |
UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 31 OCT 2015 Time : 140000 UTC
Lat : 13:45:02 N Lon : 57:34:41 E
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.8 / 952.9mb/109.8kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.8 5.9 5.9
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 14 km
Center Temp : -13.9C Cloud Region Temp : -71.2C
Scene Type : EYE
Positioning Method : RING/SPIRAL COMBINATION
Ocean Basin : INDIAN
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : CKZ Method
Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF
C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
- Average 34 knot radii : 111km
- Environmental MSLP : 1010mb
Satellite Name : MET7
Satellite Viewing Angle : 16.1 degrees
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UW-CIMSS IR (NHC Enhancement) Satellite Image of Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm “CHAPALA” on 31st October 2015 @1330 UTC
As per NRL: 04A (CHAPALA) over the Westcentral Arabian Sea is located at 13.8°N & 57.9°E with winds of 115 knots & Central Pressure of 937 mb. on 31st October 2015 @ 1200 UTC.
1 knot= 1.85 km./hour
From JTWC:
JTWC Tropical Cyclone 04A (FOUR) Warning No. 12
REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI issued TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ‘CHAPALA’ ADVISORY NO. TWENTY ONE ISSUED AT 1500 UTC OF 31 ST OCTOBER 2015 BASED ON 1200 UTC CHARTS OF 31 ST OCTOBER 2015.
THE EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM, ‘CHAPALA’ OVER WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA MOVED WESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF ABOUT 15 KMPH DURING PAST 6 HOURS AND LAY CENTERED AT 1200 UTC OF TODAY, THE 31 ST OCTOBER 2015 NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 DEGREE NORTH AND LONGITUDE 57.9 DEGREE EAST, ABOUT 1690 KM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MUMBAI (43003) AND ABOUT 540 KM SOUTHEAST OF SALALAH (41316) (OMAN). IT WOULD MOVE NEARLY WESTWARDS DURING NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS AND CROSS YEMEN COAST NEAR LATITUDE 15.0°N AROUND 1800 UTC OF 2ND NOVEMBER, 2015. DUE TO ENTRAINMENT OF DRY AIR AND LOWER OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY, THE EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM WOULD WEAKEN GRADUALLY INTO A VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM DURING NEXT 24 HOURS, FURTHER INTO A SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM IN SUBSEQUENT 24 HOURS AND WOULD CROSS YEMEN COAST AS A SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
For further details click link below.
RSMC ADVISORY No.: TWENTY ONE
Observations:
The Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm “CHAPALA” is now over Westcentral Arabian Sea and has weakened from top 135 knots speed to 115 knots. As per International Weather Agencies the winds are blowing at 215 km./hour with gusts of 260 km/hour based on average winds on 1 minute basis as compared to IMD’s basis of 3 minute average wind speed. The System is expected to track towards North Yemen/Oman next two days.
For Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch refer to Forecast Dated 30th October 2015 issued at 6.00 pm. click here Forecast Dated 30th October 2015 @ 6.00 pm.
Caution: Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.
અપડેટ 31 ઓક્ટોબર 2015 રાત્રે 9.00 કલાકે:
અરબી સમુદ્ર વાળી સીસ્ટમ “ચપલા” (“CHAPALA”) હજુ અત્યંત તીવ્ર વાવાઝોડુ છે પણ છેલ્લા 24 કલાક માં થોડું નબળું પડેલ છે.
આ વાવાઝોડા ના પવનો ઇન્ટરનેસનલ એજન્સી મૂજબ 215 કિમી પ્રતિ કલાકે ફૂંકાય છે (1 મિનીટ ની શરેરાશ મૂજબ ) જે IMD 3 મિનીટ ની શરેરાશ મૂજબ માપે છે. આંચકા ના પવનો 260 કિમી ની ઝડપે ફૂંકાય છે (1 મિનીટ ની શરેરાશ મૂજબ ). અરબી સમુદ્ર ની સીસ્ટમ હાલ ઊત્તર યેમેન/ઓમાન તરફ જાય છે. સીસ્ટમ સૌરાષ્ટ્ર તેમજ ગુજરાત થી ઘણી દૂર છે છતાં સીસ્ટમ ના પૂછડિયા વાદળો સૌરાષ્ટ્ર તેમજ ગુજરાત ઉપર થી ક્યારેક ક્યારેક પાસ થાય છે.
સૌરાષ્ટ્ર ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ માટે 30 ઓક્ટોબર 2015 સાંજે 6.00 કલાકે આપેલ અપડેટ વાંચવા અહી ક્લિક કરો તારીખ 30 ઓક્ટોબર 2015 સાંજે 6.00 કલાક
સાવચેતી:
સ્ટોર્મ કે હવામાન અંગે ની માહિતી માટે ભારતીય હવામાન ખાતા/ગવર્મેન્ટ ના બુલેટીન/સુચના પર નિર્ભર રહેવું.