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As per weather forecast dated 30th January the Maximum and Minimum Temperatures over Saurashtra & Gujarat has increased. The Maximum Temperature at Rajkot was 31 C yesterday being 1 C above normal and
Minimum temperature was 17.5 C which was about 5 C above normal. Similarly most of Saurashtra as well as Gujarat experienced increase in both Maximum & Minimum Temperatures.

Forecast:

The Maximum Temperature over Saurashtra & Gujarat is expected to be high today as well as tomorrow. By tomorrow the winds will blow from the Westerly direction and hence there is a high possibility of Fog on Sunday morning over many parts of Saurashtra. The Minimum Temepratures will be above normal till Sunday.

Western Disturbance that is expected to start over North India from today and hence Jammu Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and parts of Uttrakhand hilly regions will experience snowfall from 3rd to 6th February of which heavier fall is expected on 4th and 5th February. The plains of North India will get rain.

The winds over Saurashtra will blow from North and North East from Sunday evening and the Maximum as well as the Minimum Temperatures will drop from Monday onwards and by Wednesday/Thursday this drop in Temperature will be more than 5 to 7 C.

Weather Forecast in Akila Daily Dated 3rd February 2012 @ 11.00 am.

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As per weather forecast dated 30th January the Maximum and Minimum Temperatures over Saurashtra & Gujarat has increased. The Maximum Temperature at Rajkot was 31 C yesterday being 1 C above normal and
Minimum temperature was 17.5 C which was about 5 C above normal. Similarly most of Saurashtra as well as Gujarat experienced increase in both Maximum & Minimum Temperatures.

Forecast:

The Maximum Temperature over Saurashtra & Gujarat is expected to be high today as well as tomorrow. By tomorrow the winds will blow from the Westerly direction and hence there is a high possibility of Fog on Sunday morning over many parts of Saurashtra. The Minimum Temepratures will be above normal till Sunday.

Western Disturbance that is expected to start over North India from today and hence Jammu Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and parts of Uttrakhand hilly regions will experience snowfall from 3rd to 6th February of which heavier fall is expected on 4th and 5th February. The plains of North India will get rain.

The winds over Saurashtra will blow from North and North East from Sunday evening and the Maximum as well as the Minimum Temperatures will drop from Monday onwards and by Wednesday/Thursday this drop in Temperature will be more than 5 to 7 C. from the current Max. & Min. Temperatures

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The Minimum Temperature has been near normal or slightly above normal in Rajkot and most parts of Saurashtra for last two days, however, the Maximum Temperature over Saurashtra and Gujarat has been 1 to 4 C. below normal past two three days. Daytime colder than normal Temperatures gives perception of cold weather.

IMD Map Showing Departure of Maximum Temperature



IMD Map Showing Departure of Minimum Temperature



Forecast: Saurashtra & Gujarat

The Maximum as well as Minimum Temperature will be on the rise. The Maximum Temperature will become near normal till Tuesday.]]> http://www.gujaratweather.com/forecast/index.php?entry=entry120117-013032
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The Minimum and Maximum Temperature over Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat has increased and are near normal in most places for this time of the year as can be seen below.

Minimum Temperature Over Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat

Minimum Temperatures today 13th January 2012 morning

Rajkot 11.7 Degrees C. is near normal

Ahmedabad was 11.4 C is near normal

Bhuj was 10.2 Degrees C. is normal

Surat was 13.3 Degrees C. is 1 C below normal


Similarly Maximum Temperature today 13th January 2012

Rajkot 27.9 Degrees C. is normal

Ahmedabad was 26.7 about 1 C. below normal

Bhuj was 24.6 Degrees C. about 1 C. below normal

Surat was 29.2 Degrees C. about 2 C. below normal

Weekly Temperature variations for Rajkot from 7th to 13th January:



Forecast:

The Temperature will be near normal over Saurashtra till 16th January.

The winds for 14th January will be mainly from East and later Northeast in Rajkot. The winds will be medium in morning, however, it will decrease in the evening.

Winds will blow from Northwest from 15th till 17th and hence there will be increase in humidity over Saurashtra. There is a possibility of Fog on 16th and 17th Morning.

Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal will get Snowfall in hilly regions while there will be rain in the plaind of North India mainly on 15th January.

Weather Forecast in Akila Daily Dated 13th January 2011 @ 11.00 am.

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The Minimum and Maximum Temperature over Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat has been 2 to 3 C below normal in some places while it is near normal at other places for this time of the year as can be seen below.

Minimum Temperature Over Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat

Minimum Temperatures today 11th January 2012 morning

Rajkot 8.3 Degrees C. is 3 C below normal

Ahmedabad was 11.8 C is normal

Bhuj was 9.2 Degrees C. is normal

Surat was 12.4 Degrees C. is 2 C below normal


Similarly Maximum Temperature today 11th January 2012

Rajkot 27.6 Degrees C. is normal

Ahmedabad was 24.6 about 3 C. below normal

Bhuj was 23.6 Degrees C. about 3 C. below normal

Surat was 28.0 Degrees C. about 3 C. below normal


IMD Map showing deviation of Minimum Temperature throughout India morning of 11th January 2012



Forecast: 12th to 15th January

The Minimum as well as Maximum Temperatures will gradually increase during 12th to 14th January over most parts of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat. We can expect a rise of 2 to 3 Degrees in Minimum Temperatures so as to reach near normal levels. The Maximum Temperatures at Rajkot has already reached near normal today and rest of the regions of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat are expected to follow similar trends till 15th January.

Winds over Saurashtra mainly from North East or East.

Heavy Snowfall is expected over hilly regions of Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh around 15th January and rainfall for the plains of these regions and adjoining states.

Weather Forecast in Akila Daily Dated 11th January 2012 @ 11.00 am

]]> http://www.gujaratweather.com/forecast/index.php?entry=entry120106-084202 Note: Regular weather forecast in English will resume from next post.

Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 6th January 2012



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Note: Please refer and rely on official IMD/RSMC Bulletins regarding the Cyclone "THANE". Remain alert and take precautions to remain safe.

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm "THANE" makes landfall between 4.00 am. to 7.00am. IST on Tamilnadu coast in the vicinity of Pondicherry. Intensity had gone up again to 75 Knots or 140 Kms./hour before landfall.


Cyclone Intensity Estimate



Cyclone Center at 6.30 am. today



NRL Satellite Image at 7.00 am.


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Note: Please refer and rely on official IMD/RSMC Bulletins regarding the current Cyclonic system approaching Tamilnadu Coast. Take precautions and remain safe.


Distance to landfall 125 Kms (from Tamilnadu Coast)

"THANE" has weakened a little as can be seen from the Intensity Estimate



UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.1.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 29 DEC 2011 Time : 140000 UTC
Lat : 12:09:09 N Lon : 80:58:48 E


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
3.9 / 990.6mb/ 63.0kt

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The Cyclonic Storm "THANE" in the Southwest Bay of Bengal strengthened further to a Severe Cyclonic Storm yesterday and subsequently strengthened further to a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm early morning of 29th December 2011.Current location of "THANE" is 11.9 N 82.7 E as per NRL and is about 300 Kms. mainly East of Tamilnadu Coast.

As Per NRL 75 knots (140 Kms/hour) winds 967 mb. pressure
Wave height of 7 meters

As per IMD 65 knots (120 Kms./hour) winds 980 mb. pressure

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE

Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 29 DEC 2011 Time : 013000 UTC
Lat : 11:57:12 N Lon : 83:03:32 E


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
4.4 / 982.8mb/ 74.6kt


Track of the Bay of Bengal System ("THANE")




Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimate:



Satellite Image of 29th December 5.30 am. IST





Forecast:

The Cyclonic Storm "THANE" is expected track mainly Westwards towards the Tamilnadu Coast during the next 24 hours and make landfall by tomorrow the 30th December 2011. It is expected to weaken before it approaches the Tamilnadu coast for landfall in the vicinity of Pondicherry. Heavy to very heavy rainfall is expected over Tamilnadu Coast during the next 48 hours with some places getting more than 25 Cms. of rainfall.

Note: Please refer and rely on official IMD/RSMC Bulletins regarding the current Cyclonic system approaching Tamilnadu Coast. Take precautions and remain safe.

IMD guidance and forecast Dated: 29.12. 2011 Time of issue:0730 hours IST:

Under the influence of this system, rainfall at most places with isolated heavy rainfall is likely over north Tamil Nadu & Puducherry and south coastal Andhra Pradesh from today morning, the 29th December 2011 onwards. The intensity of rainfall would increase with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places and isolated extremely heavy falls (25cm or more) from today evening onwards and extend to Rayalseema and north interior Tamil Nadu.

Squally winds speed reaching 45-55 kmph likely to commence along and off north Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and south Andhra Pradesh coasts from today morning The wind speed will increase gradually from today night onwards becoming 100-110 kmph gusting to 125 kmph along and off north Tamilnadu and south Andhra Pradesh coast at the time of landfall.

Storm surge of about 1 meter height above the astronomical tide would inundate the low lying areas of Chennai and Tiruvallur, Kanchipuram & Villupuram districts of north Tamil Nadu at the time of landfall.

Sea condition will be high to very high around the system centre. Sea condition will be high to very high along and off north Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and south Andhra Pradesh coasts from today night onwards.

Fishermen along north Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & south Andhra Pradesh coasts are advised not to venture into sea. Those who are out at sea are advised to return to the coast.



Damage expected (over north coastal Tamil Nadu and south coastal Andhra Pradesh): Extensive damage to thatched roof and huts. Minor damage to power and communication line due to uprooting of large avenue trees. Flooding of escape routes.



Action suggested (over north coastal Tamil Nadu and south coastal Andhra Pradesh): Total suspension of fishing operations. Coastal hutment dwellers to be moved to safer place. People in affected areas to remain indoors.

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The Deep Depression in the Bay of Bengal has intensified to a Cyclonic Storm "THANE" and has mainly tracked Northwards during the past 24 hours. Current location of "THANE" is 12.8N 86.9E about 700 Kms. mainly East of Chennai.

As Per NRL 55 knots (100 Kms/hour) winds 982 mb. pressure
As per IMD 40 knots (75 to 85 Kms./hour) winds 994 mb. pressure

Forecast:

The Cyclonic Storm "THANE" is expected track towards the Tamilnadu/Andhra Coast during the next two days. It is expected to weaken before any landfall even if it strengthens further.

CIMSS Enhanced IR Image on 27th December 2011 @ 12.00 pm.

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