Whole Saurashtra has received a good round of rainfall on 3rd and 4th July. The Mid-Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation has mainly tracked West North Westwards and is currently over North Gujarat. The Axis of Monsoon runs from North Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Chhhatishgarh, Orissa and Bay of Bengal vicinity of Orissa Coast. The Mid-Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation is now embedded in the Western end of Axis of Monsoon.
850 hPa Winds
Surface Lows
Forecast:
6th July To 12th July 2010
50% Saurashtra to get 6 Cms. to 12 Cms. of rainfall during the forecast period.
Balance 50% Saurashtra to get above 12 Cms. of rainfall during the forecast period.
Forecast in Akila Daily dated 5th July 2010 @ 12.00 pm.
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Current Weather Conditions on 4th July 00.10 am.
Rain has started over Rajkot at about 11.45 pm. just 15 minutes before mid-night. Heavy downpour with thunder and lightening and winds.
GSF Rainfall Forecast for Saurashtra & Gujarat
Last seven days ending on 6th July 1200 UTC
These are experimental models. Use with Caution
GSF Rainfall Forecast for parts of India
Last seven days ending on 6th July 1200 UTC
These are experimental models. Use with Caution
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Current Weather Conditions on 3rd July 2010 @ 7.00 pm.
The Mid-Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation is over East Madhya Pradesh and neighbourhood. It is expected to track mainly Westwards. Heavy clouding is seen over North Madhya Pradesh, East Rajasthan, Shamlaji Ahmedabad to Central Gujarat area covering Baroda, Anand, Nadiad, Dabhoi to North Madhya Maharashtra.
Heavy Clouding is seen over Amreli and Gir Forest Area of Saurashtra.
The off shore trough from Maharashtra coast to Karnataka coast persists.
Heavy rainfall has been reported over Mumbai today.
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As per IMD Bulletin Dated 1st July 2010
Southwest Monsoon has further advanced into some more parts of Madhya Pradesh. The Northern Limit of Monsoon continues to pass through Lat. 22.0°N/Long. 60.0°E, Lat. 22.0°N/Long. 69.0°E, Rajkot, Ahmedabad, Indore, Bhopal, Jabalpur, Ambikapur, Daltonganj, Gaya, Muzaffarpur and Raxaul.
This translates to Monsoon progressing over 25% of Madhya Pradesh today, 25% of M.P. having been covered earlier. Now total 50 % of Madhya Pradesh is covered by Southwest Monsoon. This is indeed a snail speed for progress of Monsoon.
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Current Weather Conditions on 1st July 2010 @ 10.30 pm
The weather over Saurashtra has been cloudy today with intermittent sunshine. Dense clouds with high Cloud Tops are seen over the Bay of Bengal in the vicinity of Coastal Andhra & Orissa Coast. Mid-Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation is also present in the same area.
Forecast for Interior Maharashtra 2nd to 5th July:
The Mid-Upper Air Circulation will come over Chhatishgarh by tomorrow and over Vidarbha on 3rd July giving heavy rainfall for Chhatishgarh, Vidarbha and along the Maharashtra M.P. border areas.
GSF Forecast Map for 4th July
Forecast for South Gujarat & Saurashtra 3rd July to 5th July:
The Mid-Upper Air Circulation will move very fast in one day from over Vidarbha on 3rd July to North Madhya Maharashtra - South Gujarat vicinity on 4th July. Heavy round of Rainfall is expected over South Gujarat - quantity 10 Cms. to 15 Cms. between 3rd to 5th July.
GSF Forecast Map for 5th July
50 % of Saurashtra is expected to get 3 Cms. to 5 Cms. of Rainfall and
50 % of Saurashtra is expected to get 5 Cms. to 8 Cms. of Rainfall during 3rd to 6th July.
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Forecast in Akila Daily Dated 1st July 2010 @ 11.30 pm.
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Current Weather Conditions on 29th June 2010 @ 2.00 pm.
Saurashtra Farmers are in a dire state due to lack of needed rainfall for the Crop already sowed. IMD had declared that Monsoon had set in over Rajkot on 16th June 2010. However, there has not been any significant rainfall since then in the vicinity of Rajkot. Many Farmers will have to replant seeds after a good round of rainfall, since seed germination failed due to lack of moisture in the ground.
Some parts of Saurashtra especially Southern Saurashtra got a relief to their planted crops due to Hit & Miss round of scattered Rainfall on 27th June. Rainfall quantity was 1 Cms. to 6 Cms. with most of the places getting 3 to 4 Cms. This can be considered a welcome relief for Farmers of those areas since it will give some more time for their crop to survive till a satisfactory round of rainfall materializes.
Weather over Saurashtra is mainly dry for more than 10 days for major parts of Saurashtra especially Northern Saurashtra.
Forecast till 2nd. July 2010
Currently, the Weather over Saurashtra is not conducive good round of Rainfall. Only Scattered rainfall can occur mostly on the Coastal areas.
Forecast in Akila Daily Dated 28th June 2010
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