Saurashtra Farmers are in a dire state due to lack of needed rainfall for the Crop already sowed. IMD had declared that Monsoon had set in over Rajkot on 16th June 2010. However, there has not been any significant rainfall since then in the vicinity of Rajkot. Many Farmers will have to replant seeds after a good round of rainfall, since seed germination failed due to lack of moisture in the ground.
Some parts of Saurashtra especially Southern Saurashtra got a relief to their planted crops due to Hit & Miss round of scattered Rainfall on 27th June. Rainfall quantity was 1 Cms. to 6 Cms. with most of the places getting 3 to 4 Cms. This can be considered a welcome relief for Farmers of those areas since it will give some more time for their crop to survive till a satisfactory round of rainfall materializes.
Weather over Saurashtra is mainly dry for more than 10 days for major parts of Saurashtra especially Northern Saurashtra.
Forecast till 2nd. July 2010
Currently, the Weather over Saurashtra is not conducive good round of Rainfall. Only Scattered rainfall can occur mostly on the Coastal areas.
Forecast in Akila Daily Dated 28th June 2010
[ add comment ] | [ 0 trackbacks ] | permalink | related link
26th June 2010 @ 10.00 am.
On June 25th IMD has updated the Southwest Monsoon 2010 Long Range Forecast. Updated Forecast is projecting 102% of Long Period Average Rainfall from the 98% of LPA Forecast in April 2010
Summary of the Update Forecasts for 2010 Southwest Monsoon Rainfall
i) Southwest Monsoon Season Rainfall
Rainfall over the country as a whole for the 2010 southwest monsoon season (June to September) is likely to be normal. Quantitatively, monsoon season rainfall for the country as a whole is likely to be 102% of long period average (LPA) with a model error of ±4%.
ii) Monthly (July & August) Rainfall
Rainfall over the country as a whole in the month of July 2010 is likely to be 98% of LPA and that in the month of August is likely to be 101% of LPA both with a model error of ± 9 %.
iii) Rainfall over Broad Geographical Regions
Over the four broad geographical regions of the country, rainfall for the 2010 Southwest Monsoon Season is likely to be 102% of LPA over North-West India, 103% of LPA over North-East India, 99% of LPA over Central India and 102% of LPA over South Peninsula, all with a model error of ± 8 %.
[ 1 comment ] ( 28 views ) | [ 0 trackbacks ] | permalink | related link
This Rainfall Forecast is an Experimental Product. Use with Caution.
Rainfall already recorded from 21st June 0600Z till 25th June 0600Z plus GSF Forecast Rainfall till 28th June 0600Z
Some places with more than 200 mm Rainfall during the above Forecast period:
Rainfall City Lat. & Long.
200.20 mm CUTTACK 20.47 85.93
205.08 mm GOPALPUR 19.27 84.88
214.84 mm CANNUR 11.83 75.33
219.73 mm ALIBAG 18.63 72.87
224.61 mm ANGUL 20.83 85.10
229.49 mm BOMBAY/JUHU 19.12 72.83
229.49 mm BOMBAY/SANTACRUZ 19.12 72.85
234.37 mm COCHIN (IN-NAVY) 9.95 76.27
234.37 mm FORT COCHIN 9.97 76.23
239.26 mm BHUBANESWAR 20.25 85.83
244.14 mm PURI 19.80 85.82
249.02 mm HUT BAY 10.58 92.55
[ add comment ] | [ 0 trackbacks ] | permalink | related link
Forecast in Akila Daily Dated 25th June 2010 @ 9.00 am
[ add comment ] | [ 0 trackbacks ] | permalink | related link
Current Weather Conditions on 24th June 2010 @ 4.30 pm.
A Low Pressure area has formed over the Northwest Bay of Bengal at location 19.0 N. 89.0 E.
Weather over Saurashtra has been mainly dry with Off and On Scattered showers and Hit & Miss thunder. Conditions have improved from yesterday and Saurashtra Coastal areas including Amreli And Bhavnagar District has good chances of rain today.
Northern Limit of Monsoon over Saurashtra passes through 22N in Arabian Sea and Rajkot. It is not expected to move Northwards for next few days.
[ add comment ] | [ 0 trackbacks ] | permalink | related link
Current Weather Conditions on 21st June @ 5.00 pm.
IMD had declared that Monsoon has set over Rajkot on 16th June 2010. As per IMD Mid-Day Report Dated 16th June 2010 "Southwest Monsoon has further advanced into the remaining parts of central Arabian Sea, some parts of North Arabian Sea, Southern parts of Gujarat State, remaining parts of Maharashtra, Southern parts of Madhya Pradesh and some more parts of Chhattisgarh. The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) passes through Lat.22.0°N/Long.60.0°E, Lat.22.0°N/Long.69.0°E, Rajkot, Ahmedabad, Indore, Seoni, Jagdalpur, Phulbani, Keonjargarh, Bardwan, Malda and Gangtok."
As per IMD the NLM passes through Rajkot, however, the Monsoon has been inactive over Rajkot and most parts of Saurashtra from 16th June except the Coastal Regions of Saurashtra. The Temperatures have increased once again with Rajkot reaching 41 Degrees C. which is 4 Degrees above normal.
There is a Cyclonic Circulation over Arabian Sea West of Maharashtra Coast. Monsoon trough along the Konkan Coast and the Cyclonic Circulation will combine to give Heavy Rainfall for Goa to Konkan and also some parts of South Gujarat. Rainfall estimates for Goa, Konkan and nearby South areas will be posted soon.
Forecast for Saurashtra: 22nd. to 27th June 2010
As of 21st June 2010 The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continues to pass through Lat. 22.0°N/Long. 60.0°E, Lat. 22.0°N/Long. 69.0°E, Rajkot, Ahmedabad, Indore, Seoni, Pendra, Ambikapur, Daltonganj, Gaya, Muzaffarpur and Raxaul.
Monsoon is not expected to progress further for next five days. However, weather over Saurashtra is expected to improve under the mild influence of the Monsoon trough along Konkan and the Cyclonic Circulation over East Arabian Sea. Light Rainfall is expected over Saurashtra mostly South of Rajkot. Rajkot could get rain on Thursday/Friday.
60% of Saurashtra expected to get 1 Cm. to 3 Cms. of Rain
20% of Saurashtra expected to get upto 3 Cms. to 5 Cms. of Rain
20% of Saurashtra expected to get upto 5 Cms. to 7 Cms. of Rain
Forecast in Akila Daily Dated 21th June 12.00 pm.
[ add comment ] | [ 0 trackbacks ] | permalink | related link
Current Weather Conditions on 15th June 2010 7.00 pm.
Weather over Saurashtra has improved and there are clouds over many parts of Saurashtra. Currently, Rainfall has been reported from various places amounting to 1 Cms. to 5 Cms. Heavy clouds vicinity of Jamnagar.
Off and on scattered rainfall is expected to continue as Pre-Monsoon.
The next posting will be after two days, since I am traveling.
[ add comment ] | [ 0 trackbacks ] | permalink | related link
Back Next
Calendar
