Current Conditions on 23rd May 2008 12.30 pm.
The Temperatures over Saurashtra has been below normal for the past week and winds are on the higher side. The Wind gusts have reached 45 kms. to 60 Kms. per hour during the last week.
North India has been receiving unseasonal rains. It is hampering the formation of a Heat Low over North India.
Forecast for Rajkot, Suarashtra & Gujarat: 23rd to 30th May
The Temperature over Rajkot and most parts of Saurashtra will remain normal around 39 to 41 Degrees C. during the Forecast period. The humidity has increased lately and so though the Temperature is 39 to 41 Degrees, the Real Feel Temperature is around 44 to 47 Degrees C.
Forecast for South India: 23rd to 30th May
Rainfall activity will start over Kerala and Karnataka from today with increase in intensity from 27th. Kerala will get 8 Cms. to 12 Cms while Karnataka will get heavier rainfall of 12 Cms. to 20 Cms. during the Forecast period.
Rest of India: 23rd to 30th May
North India including New Delhi will continue getting scattered showers till Sunday. Temperatures are expected to increase over North India from Monday 26th May.
North Eastern States will receive 10 Cms. to 15 Cms. of rain during the forecast period with some Isolated places getting upto 20 Cms.
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Current Conditions on 15th May 2008 10.00 am.
The Low pressure in the Gulf of Martaban South East of Yangon has tracked North West over Myanmar and emerged in the Bay of Bengal close to the Western Coast of Myanmar located at 18.6N 94 E. The stregth of Low Pressure is oscilating from LP to Well marked Low Pressure. Currently it is Well Marked Low Pressure.
Current Status:
Winds 25 knots (46 Kms./Hour)
Pressure 1004 mb.
Location 18.6N 94E (West of but very close to the Myanmar Coast)
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Current Conditions on 13th May 2008 4.00 pm.
There was a Cyclonic Circulation in the Andaman Sea South of Myanmar. This Cyclonic Circulation has developed into a Low pressure in the Gulf of Martaban South East of Yangon or Rangoon.
Current Status:
Winds 20knots (37 Kms./Hour)
Pressure 1007 mb.
Location 15.7N 97E (150 Kms. South East of Yangon)
Note:
As per IMD the Monsoon has set over some parts of Bay of Bengal and Adaman Islands between 10th to 12 th May 2008. This translates to onset of Monsoon over Andaman Islands about eight days ahead of normal onset.
Forecast for Myanmar: 13th to 18th May
Heavy to Very Heavy rains are forecast for Cyclone affected area of Myanmar including the rest of South Myanmar where the total rainfall could be 20 Cms. to 25 Cms. during the forecast period with some areas receiving more than 25 Cms. This would hamper releif work in the Cyclone stricken areas and would be a cause for further hardship for the People of Myanmar.
Forecast for Rajkot, Suarashtra & Gujarat: 13th to 18th May
The Temperature over Rajkot and most parts of Saurashtra will remain normal around 39 to 40 Degrees C. for the next five days. The humidity has increased lately and so though the Temperature is 38 to 40 Degrees, the Real Feel Temperature is around 44 to 47 Degrees C.
Forecast for India: 13th to 18th May
Rains forecast during the period
Andaman & Nicobar 15 Cms to 25 Cms.
Kerala 8 Cms. to 12 Cms.
Coastal Karnataka 3 Cms. to 6 Cms.
North Eastern States 5 Cms. to 15 Cms.
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Current Conditions on 10th May 2008 12.30 pm.
It is more than a week after the Cyclone Nargis struct heavily on Five Divisions including Irrawady Delta and Rangoon Division.
Information on Death toll is scanty, however, the actual death toll figures may be higher than would be reported by Myanmar Government. It could exceed 100000.
Forecast for Myanmar: 10th to 15th May
Heavy to Very Heavy rains are forecast for Cyclone affected area of Myanmar including the rest of South Myanmar where the total rainfall could be 20 Cms. to 25 Cms. during the forecast period with some areas receiving more than 25 Cms. This would hamper aid work in the Cyclone stricken areas and would be a cause for further hardship for the People of Myanmar.
Forecast for Rajkot, Suarashtra & Gujarat: 10th to 15th May
The Temperature over Rajkot and most parts of Saurashtra will remain normal around 39 to 40 Degrees C. for the next five days. The humidity has increased lately and so though the Temperature is 38 to 40 Degrees, the Real Feel Temperature is around 45 to 47 Degrees C.
Forecast for India: 10th to 15th May
Rains forecast during the period
Andaman & Nicobar 10 Cms to 20 Cms.
Kerala 8 Cms. to 12 Cms.
Coastal Karnataka 3 Cms. to 6 Cms.
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Two days after the Very Severe Cyclonic Storm "NARGIS" struck Myanmar, reports of death toll are coming out. Various press reports are quoting death toll of 243 from the storm.
As has been posted earlier, Nargis struck the Ayeyrwaddy Delta so the maximum fatality and property damage would be from that area. Powerlines were down, trees were uprooted and buildings shattered accross the path of the storm including Yangon.
Information on Death toll and property loss is trickling in as time passes and the actual death toll figures may be higher than would be reported by Myanmar Government.
It is strange that most of the Media did not cover or mention the Very severe Cyclonic Storm Nargis till one day after it struck Myanmar.
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Very Severe Cyclonic Storm "NARGIS" In The Bay Of Bengal
Current Conditions on 2nd May 2008 at 2.30 pm.
Very Severe Cyclonic Storm "NARGIS" developed in the Bay of Bengal having 115 knots with 937 mb. Pressure strikes the Ayeyarwady Delta of Myanmar at the moment 0900 UTC 2nd May 2008 or 2.30 pm. IST. Myanmar should declare high alert to face the on slougth of "NARGIS" over the densely populated area of Ayerawady Division and Yangon Division. Storm surge could cause heavy flooding inland and over the Ayeyarwady Delta area.
Current Status RSMC/IMD:
Winds 165 Kms./Hour.
Central Pressure 962 mb.
Current Status JTWC:
Winds 215 Kms./Hour on one Minute average
Central Pressure 937 mb.
Location 15.9N 94.4E
Wave Height Not known on Landfall
Landfall At the current moment.
Note: RSMC/IMD is the official agency monitioring this Storm and any other Storm System that developes in the North Indian Ocean.
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Very Severe Cyclonic Storm "NARGIS" In The Bay Of Bengal
Current Conditions on 2nd May 2008 at 11.30 am.
Very Severe Cyclonic Storm "NARGIS" in the Bay of Bengal has stregthened to 115 knots with 937 mb. Pressure. Nargis has tracked mainly Eastwards from yesterday. The Eye is clearly visible. Nargis is expected to strike the Ayeyarwady Delta Coast of Myanmar by afternoon of 2nd May 2008 IST. Myanmar should declare high alert to face the on slougth of "NARGIS" over the densely populated area of Ayerawady Division and Yangon Division. Storm surge could cause heavy flooding inland and over the Ayeyarwady Delta area.
Current Status RSMC/IMD:
Winds 147 Kms./Hour.
Central Pressure 972 mb.
Current Status JTWC:
Winds 215 Kms./Hour on one Minute average
Central Pressure 937 mb.
Location 15.9N 93.7E
Wave Height 28 Feet
Distance to Landfall 80 Kms.
Nargis Eye Wall is 60 Kms from Landfall
Note: RSMC/IMD is the official agency monitioring this Storm and any other Storm System that developes in the North Indian Ocean.
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