Saurashtra has been receiving light scattered rainfall off and on during the last few days in line with forecast dated 9th July 2010 that there would be light scattered rain on 10th,11th 14th & 15th July and no rain on 12th & 13th July.
The Axis of Monsoon trough at mean sea level passes through Ganganagar, Agra, Satna, Jharsuguda and thence South-Eastwards to Eastcentral Bay of Bengal. The Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over north Chhattisgarh and neighbourhood extending upto Mid Tropospheric levels persists. The UAC is expected to move over to Madhya Pradesh by tomorrow.
15th to 17th July 2010:
Forecast for Saurashtra, North Gujarat & South Gujarat:
Saurashtra: Light rain to scattered showers durin g the forecast period.
North Gujarat: Medium rain with Isolated heavy rain during the forecast period.
South Gujarat:Medium rain during the forecast period.
Forecast in Akila Daily Dated 15th July 2010
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Current Weather Conditions on 9th July 2010 @ 8.30 pm.
Whole Saurashtra has received a good round of rainfall from 3rd to 9th July. Under the influence of upper Air Cyclonic Circulation extending upto lower tropospheric levels over Central Uttar Pradesh,
the axis of monsoon trough has shifted northwestwards and now passes through Anupgarh, Churu, Lucknow, Patna, Bardwan, Canning and thence South-Eastwards to East Central Bay of Bengal.
Forecast for Saurashtra & Gujarat: 10th to 15th July 2010
There is an off shore trough from Saurashtra coast to Kerala coast and under its influence, medium rainfall is expected over Coastal regions of Saurashtra and South Gujarat.
Coastal Saurashtra & South Gujarat:
Medium rain on 10th,11th, 14th & 15th July and scanty on 12th & 13th July.
Rest of Saurashtra:
Scattered showers on 10th, 11th,14th & 15th July. No rain on 12th & 13th July.
Rain quantity for Saurashtra during the Forecast period:
10 % of Saurashtra will get 5 Cms. to 8 Cms. of rainfall
15 % of Saurashtra will get 3 Cms. to 5 Cms. of rainfall.
75 % of Saurashtra will get 1 Cms. to 3 Cms. of rainfall.
South Gujarat will get 10 Cms to 15 Cms. of rainfall during the forecat period.
Forecast in Akila Daily Dated 9th July 2010
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7th July 2010 @ 10.55 am.
Map showing cumulative one week heavy rainfall areas over various parts North India from 3rd July till 6th July that has occurred plus Rainfall Forecast till 9th July based on GOES5 Model. This is an experimental product. Use with Caution.
Map showing cumulative one week heavy rainfall areas over various parts North India from 3rd July till 6th July that has occurred plus Rainfall Forecast till 9th July based on GFS Model. This is an experimental product. Use with Caution.
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Current Weather Conditions on 7th July 2010 @ 10.30 am.
As has been forecast on 5th July, Saurashtra has been receiving light to moderate rainfall daily. Rainfall over Saurashtra is expected to continue till 9th July. Various areas may be covered on different or multiple days.
Map showing cumulative one week heavy rainfall area around Saurashtra Gujarat region from 3rd July till 6th July plus Rainfall Forecast till 9th July based on GOES5 Model. This is an experimental product. Use with Caution.
Map showing cumulative one week heavy rainfall area around Saurashtra Gujarat region from 3rd July till 6th July plus Rainfall Forecast till 9th July based on GFS Model. This is an experimental product. Use with Caution.
Map showing cumulative one week heavy rainfall areas over various parts of India from 3rd July till 6th July plus Rainfall Forecast till 9th July based on GOES5 Model. This is an experimental product. Use with Caution.
Map showing cumulative one week heavy rainfall areas over various parts of India from 3rd July till 6th July plus Rainfall Forecast till 9th July based on GFS Model. This is an experimental product. Use with Caution.
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5th July 2010 @ 6.00 pm.
As per IMD Bulletin
Southwest Monsoon has further advanced into remaining parts of Madhya Pradesh, Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, most parts of East Rajasthan and entire Haryana, Delhi, Punjab, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh and Jammu & Kashmir. However, the advance of monsoon over East Uttar Pradesh was feeble.
The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) passes through Lat. 25.0°N/Long. 60.0°E, Lat. 25.0°N/Long. 65.0°E, Lat. 25.0°N/Long.71.0°E, Jawai Dam, Ajmer, Churu and Sriganganagar.
Conditions are favourable for further advance of southwest monsoon into the remaining parts of Rajasthan during next 48 hours.
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Current Weather Conditions on 5th July 2010 @ 5.30 pm.
Whole Saurashtra has received a good round of rainfall on 3rd and 4th July. The Mid-Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation has mainly tracked West North Westwards and is currently over North Gujarat. The Axis of Monsoon runs from North Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Chhhatishgarh, Orissa and Bay of Bengal vicinity of Orissa Coast. The Mid-Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation is now embedded in the Western end of Axis of Monsoon.
850 hPa Winds
Surface Lows
Forecast:
6th July To 12th July 2010
50% Saurashtra to get 6 Cms. to 12 Cms. of rainfall during the forecast period.
Balance 50% Saurashtra to get above 12 Cms. of rainfall during the forecast period.
Forecast in Akila Daily dated 5th July 2010 @ 12.00 pm.
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Current Weather Conditions on 4th July 00.10 am.
Rain has started over Rajkot at about 11.45 pm. just 15 minutes before mid-night. Heavy downpour with thunder and lightening and winds.
GSF Rainfall Forecast for Saurashtra & Gujarat
Last seven days ending on 6th July 1200 UTC
These are experimental models. Use with Caution
GSF Rainfall Forecast for parts of India
Last seven days ending on 6th July 1200 UTC
These are experimental models. Use with Caution
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